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Bryan Leonard
Diamondbacks
Anyone have his GOM
Diamondbacks
Anyone have his GOM
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Jeff Scott Sports
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+130) over Chicago: The Phils are struggling that's for sure, but you have to expect them top come out with fire here, especially knowing that they have trips to Atlanta and Washington on deck. Losing right before that trip would not be good. The Phils offense has been a real disappointment this year, but they have shown signs at times that they can get the job done and they should have a good today vs a very bad pitcher. Dating back to last year Chris Volstad has now gone 0-8 with a 4.27 ERA, while this year he has started out 0-3 with a 6.14 ERA. Chris has also struggled with the Phils, as he is 2-5 with a 5.88 ERA in 12 career starts vs them, including an 0-2 mark with a 13.95 ERA in 2 games vs them last year. Chris was with the Marlins last year and they were outscored by a 23-3 count in the two starts. He does have a 2-1 mark here, but with a high 6.53 ERA. Vance Worley has had no such pitching problems in his short career, as he is 13-5 with a 2.81 ERA in 27 career starts, including a 6-2 mark with a 2.62 ERA in his last 13 starts at the bank. Vance also has a nice 1.63 ERA when he wins the game and in 1 start vs the Cubs he allowed 1 ER on 4 hits in 8 innings of work. THe Cubs have 7 road losses this year and all 7 have been by 2 runs or more and that should happen tonight as well as the Philly bats wake up again and pound Volstad early and often on their way to an easy win.
OTHER PLAY
1 UNIT PLAY
Miami/ Arizona Under 7.5: Gonna ride the two lefties trend above for this one. Miami averaging 1.6 rpg in their last 8 games and Buerhle won't give up much. Should not see 8 runs in this one.Comment
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MLBPredictions / Kevin
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-105) ***12:40 PM EST START***
Listed Pitchers: Corbin vs Buehrle
(Note: I'm risking 2.10 units to win 2 units)
New York Mets @ Houston Astros - METS TO WIN (-111)
Listed Pitchers: Dickey vs Norris
(Note: I'm risking 2.22 units to win 2 units)
The Mets enter Houston with a solid 13-9 record and are 5-4 on the road. New York took 2 of 3 in Colorado over the weekend after sweeping Miami at home, which makes them 5-1 in their last 6 games. The Astros managed to take just one game from both Milwaukee and Cincinnati last week, making them 2-4 in their last 6 games. Overall Houston is 8-14 and 4-5 at home. The Mets will have Knuckleballer R.A. Dickey on the mound tonight. He is 3-1 with a 4.44 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, and .269 opponents batting average. Dickey has had 3 solid starts allowing 2, 1, and 1 earned run, but had one rough outing in Atlanta where he allowed 8 earned runs against over 4.1 innings of work (which has inflated his numbers quite a bit). The Astros will go with Bud Norris today, who is 1-1 on the season with a 5.84 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and .287 opponents batting average. Norris started the season off with two quality starts (2 and 3 earned runs against over 7 and 6 innings of work), but allowed 19 hits and 11 earned runs against over his last two starts. Take note that the Mets are 6-1 in their last 7 vs a team with a losing record, and 5-2 in their last 7 during Game 1 of a series. The Mets are 4-1 in Dickey's last 5 starts and 7-3 in his last 10 road starts dating back to last season. The Astros are just 32-71 in their last 103 games as an underdog, and 19-48 in their last 67 vs a team with a winning record. The Astros are also just 1-5 in Norris' last 6 home starts vs a team with a winning record, and 1-9 in his last 10 starts with 5 days of rest. Dickey has had great outings in 3 of his 4 starts, including his latest, and I expect him to out pitch Norris today. The Mets are rolling winning 5 of their last 6 while the Astros haven't won a season series since their first series versus Colorado. I'll take New York at a good price laying just a bit of chalk.Comment
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WUNDERDOG
Game: Arizona at Miami (12:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona +160 (moneyline)
Like their NBA counterparts, the Miami Marlins have not been as good as expected with all their free agent signings. It has gotten very ugly of late as the Marlins have tasted victory in just one of their last eight games. The pitching has been pedestrian during the stretch, but the bats have stayed in the bat rack, as the Marlins' inept offense has delivered just 13 runs in their last 8 games, scoring about 1.5 per contest, which is not becoming of a large favorite. The Diamondbacks have taken 2-of-3 in this series, outscoring the Marlins 15-7. That has stretched the D-Backs' mark to 15-6 in their last 21 vs. a team below .400. The Marlins have been plagued by a 25-55 mark in their last 80 following a loss.
Play on Arizona.Comment
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Jeff Scott Sports
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+130) over Chicago: The Phils are struggling that's for sure, but you have to expect them top come out with fire here, especially knowing that they have trips to Atlanta and Washington on deck. Losing right before that trip would not be good. The Phils offense has been a real disappointment this year, but they have shown signs at times that they can get the job done and they should have a good today vs a very bad pitcher. Dating back to last year Chris Volstad has now gone 0-8 with a 4.27 ERA, while this year he has started out 0-3 with a 6.14 ERA. Chris has also struggled with the Phils, as he is 2-5 with a 5.88 ERA in 12 career starts vs them, including an 0-2 mark with a 13.95 ERA in 2 games vs them last year. Chris was with the Marlins last year and they were outscored by a 23-3 count in the two starts. He does have a 2-1 mark here, but with a high 6.53 ERA. Vance Worley has had no such pitching problems in his short career, as he is 13-5 with a 2.81 ERA in 27 career starts, including a 6-2 mark with a 2.62 ERA in his last 13 starts at the bank. Vance also has a nice 1.63 ERA when he wins the game and in 1 start vs the Cubs he allowed 1 ER on 4 hits in 8 innings of work. THe Cubs have 7 road losses this year and all 7 have been by 2 runs or more and that should happen tonight as well as the Philly bats wake up again and pound Volstad early and often on their way to an easy win.
OTHER PLAY
1 UNIT PLAY
Miami/ Arizona Under 7.5: Gonna ride the two lefties trend above for this one. Miami averaging 1.6 rpg in their last 8 games and Buerhle won't give up much. Should not see 8 runs in this one.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Dallas +6.5 over OKLAHOMA CITY: I had the Thunder in the opener, but gonna go the other way with this one. The Road team is 19-6-1 the last 26 in the series and the Mavs are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 playoff games, plus 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 as a road dog of 5-10. The Mavs really controlled game one, especially on the boards where they outrebounded the Thunder 42-36 and pulled down 10 offensive rebounds. Durant didn't really shoot well and while that may not happen again, i still see the dallas defense being able to contain him for the most part in this one. Four Thunder starters logged 35+ minutes, while Durant, Harden, Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka combined to score 94 of the Thunder's 99 points in Game 1, so there is not a lot of depth here and that should allow the Mavs to be able to keep this one close and maybe even pull out a late win. They are the defending champs and just not ready to give up that crown. Look for another down to the wire game.
Indiana/ Orlando Under 187.5: Really feel this total is too high, considering the way the magic have to play without Howard and the fact that game 1 pit up just 158 points. Including the 2 games in the regular season, in the 3 games played here between these teams there has been an average of just 169.7 ppg scored, with none of the games posting more than 185 points. During the course of the season the Magic were 7th in scoring defense (93.1), while the Pacers were 10th (94.2), so these teams have played great defense all year and it showed in game 1. The Magic have scored just 91 ppg on the road this year and that will be hard to accomplish that tonight without Howard, especially since the pacers have allowed just 93 ppg at home on the year. Orlando has played some great defense on the road as they have allowed just 93 ppg away from home and they know that their only shot of winning is playing great defense, like they did in the opener. I really don't see either team hitting 90 points in this one.
2 UNIT PLAY
Dallas/ Oklahoma City Under 194: I had the Over in this one in game 1, but will look to the Under here. A few of the Thunder players played a ton of minutes and i don't expect them to have the same pace they did in that one. Like wise for Dallas. In game one I felt the Mavs were totally outclasssed and would get blown out, which would not allow them to slow the game down. The were able to play with this team and i did get luck on the Over, but this is an aging team and I will expect them to keep the pace under wraps here. The Mavs did play good defense in the game and they were able to hold Durant to 10-27 shooting and I expect another solid defensive game plan from them here as well. Dallas does play good defense overall and they won last years title on the strength of some great defense, and while the Thunder have allowed 96.4 ppg at home they have allowed teams to shoot just 42.3% on their home floor. Game one put up 197 points, but the 3 previous in this series put up no more than 191 points. FT's at the end scares me a bit, but I still see this one falling under the total.Comment
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Rich Sports
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Kansas City Royals @ Detroit Tigers - Monday April 30, 2012 7:05 pm
Pick: 5 units (Normal) MONEYLINE: Detroit Tigers -150
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder - Monday April 30, 2012 9:35 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) ATS: Oklahoma City Thunder -6.5 (-110)Comment
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