5-8-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

New Jersey +125 over PHILADELPHIA

There is no switch in pro sports so don’t expect the disengaged Flyers to suddenly turn it on and wake up. For whatever reason, Philadelphia has stopped playing since they knocked off the Penguins in the first round. The Flyers were extremely fortunate to grab a 2-0 lead in game four and instead of giving them life, they blew it and now a demoralized club becomes even more fragile. The Devils have been better in every period of every game and it’s not by a slim margin either. They’ve dominated and should have swept this series in four games. The close-out game is usually the toughest to win but New Jersey is hungrier and much more determined while the Flyers hearts are just not in this thing. Philadelphia will also be without its best player in Claude Giroux and nothing in its play over the past five games suggest that it will dig down and respond. Play: New Jersey +125 (Risking 2 units).


Atlanta +100 over CHICAGO

Ryan Dempster has to be the most frustrated pitcher in baseball. Here’s a guy that has an ERA of 0.95, a WHIP of 0.81 and a BAA of .144 and has zero wins. In fact, the Cubs are 0-4 in his starts and that’s plenty proof once again of W/L records being the most misleading stat in the game. The real bad news for Dempster is that his numbers are in for a correction because they’re unsustainable. Dempster has a career ERA of 4.37 and over the past four years in which he’s started between 31 and 34 games each season, his ERA was 3.81. Dempster is not an elite pitcher so his elite stats are heading south very soon and it’s likely to begin here. Atlanta is first or second in the NL in many offensive categories including runs scored, team batting average and total bases. Randall Delgado is much better than his current 5.10 ERA suggests. He’s had his fair share of bad luck in the early going with a 64% strand rate and an ERA more than 1½-runs higher than his xERA. Delgado has 26 k’s in 28 frames and is coming off a six-hit, eight inning performance against the Phillies in which he allowed just two runs. Delgado is undervalued, Dempster is overvalued and therefore we’ll gladly step in. Play: Atlanta +100 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Milwaukee Brewers -130

50* Over 8.5 Cards/D`Backs

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Tuesday

100* Play Detroit (-200) over Seattle (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 10:10 PM EST

Kevin Millwood has lost 8 of the last 10 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents and he has lost 7 of the last 8 games coming off two or more straight team wins. Kevin Millwood has lost 5 of the last 7 games when playing on a Tuesday and he has lost 7 of the last 10 games as an underdog of +175 to +250.

50* Play Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) over San Francisco (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Los Angeles Angels (-180) over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports
0-3 yesterday

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Denver/ LA Lakers Under 198.5: The Nuggets are the 2nd highest scoring team in the league (103.5 ppg), but the Lakers have played good defense vs them this year, allowing just 93.6 ppg to he Nuggets in the 8 meetings this year, including allowing them just 93.5 ppg in the 4 meetings these teams have had in this building this year. The Lakers have played great defense at the Staples Center all year long, allowing just 92.9 ppg on 44.8% shooting. The Nuggets have scored 104.5 ppg on the road, buit as you can see above the have had problems in this building this year. The Lakers will not run with Denver and they have been very successful at slowing the pace vs them in the series. The Lakers did put 103 and 104 points in the first 2 here in this series, but Denver will need to play good defense like they did in the two games at home if they hope for a game 6. In the two games in Denver they allowed the Lakers just 92 and 84 points and will need that same defensive intensity here. If the game is close we should see the teams walking the ball up in the 4th and looking for that perfect shot, while if its a Lakers blowout, then we should see them resting players. Either way I just don't see these teams putting up more than the low 190's here.

Atlanta/ Boston Over 173: Google News Play. This is a desperation game for the Hawks and you can bet they will not hold back with anything. They are not a running team but they can push the ball at times and they have scored 98.1 ppg at home on the year. The Celtics have struggled some on defense on the road where they have allowed 93.5 ppg, compared to allowing just 84.2 ppg at home. Atlanta is also a bit healthier with the return of Al Horford, which should lead to more points as well. the Celts are healthy on offense and really looked to push the tempo in their last game and they will do the same here as it was very effective and allowed they to put up 101 points in that game. Atlanta home games have averaged 191.5 ppg on the year, while Boston road games have averaged 184.4 ppg. With 10 of Atlanta's last 12 going over the total, ill look for the trend continue here, as the teams put up 180+.

OTHER PLAY

1 UNIT PLAY

Philadelphia/ Chicago Under 171.5: Google News Play. Going to look at the Under in this one. both games played here in this series went over the total, but both those games were with Rose and Noah in the lineup. That will take a lot of points out of Chicago's lineup and they will once again have to look to their defense if they hope for a game 6. The Bulls have played great defense all year at home and should be able to keep a Sixers offense that struggles to score on the road in check here. Philly knows a thing or two about defense and while they play much better defense at home they still should be able to hold an injury riddled Bulls offense in check here. I don't expect a running game in this one and the Bulls know that they need to play great defense if this series is to continue. Look for a grind it out game that will put 169 or less points.

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports

MONEYBALL SYSTEM -------NATS -110

DIAMOND DOG - TAKE THE PODS (padres I guess)

LA Dodgers w/ Kershaw

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports


Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Philadelphia 76ers @ Chicago Bulls - Tuesday May 8, 2012 9:35 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Chicago Bulls -5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 93-112 Season-to-Date ($480)
Game: Miami at Houston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 8 -120


This game looks to be a low-scoring affair. Miami has struggled for offense on the road where they have plated just 39 total runs in their last 14 road games. With 9 of those runs coming in a single game, they have scored just 30 runs in the other 13, or barely over 2 per contest. The Marlins are 38-18-2 in their last 58 to the UNDER, played with Anibel on the mound with the standard four days rest, as well as 20-6 to the UNDER vs. a team with a winning home record. The last 29 meetings in Houston between these clubs have resulted in a 21-8 mark to the UNDER as well. Take the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Atlanta Braves @ Chicago Cubs - CUBS TO WIN (-107)

Listed Pitchers: Delgado vs Dempster
(Note: I'm risking 2.14 units to win 2.00 units)

The Cubs put together a 5-1 win last night against the Braves to start the series off on the right foot. The victory for the Cubs was their 2nd straight and 3rd in their last 4 games which puts them at 12-17 on the season (8-9 at home). The loss for the Braves snapped a 3 game winning streak and has them in second in the NL East with a 18-12 record (10-7 on the road). Atlanta will send Randall Delgado to the mound tonight. Delgado is 2-3 on the season with a 5.14 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, and .271 opponents batting average. After starting the season 2-0 he has dropped 3 straight starts to fall to 2-3. His most recent start was the longest of his career going 8 innings allowing 6 hits and 2 earned runs. He has allowed 29 hits over 28 innings of work on the season. Ryan Dempster will take the mound for the Cubs looking for his first win of the season. Despite not having a win under his belt Dempster leads the Majors with a 0.95 ERA over his 4 starts this year, and his lack of wins can be blamed on his run support. Dempster has been lights out with his 0.95 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, and .144 opponents batting average. Over his 28.1 innings of work he has allowed just 14 hits, 3 earned runs while striking out 29 batters and walking just 9. Dempster is going to win more games than he losses if he continues to pitch like he is, and I think the Cubs break out for him tonight. Winners of 4 of their last 6 games, which includes a walk-off victory on Sunday and a 5-1 win last night over the Braves, I think Chicago will feel confident tonight and give Dempster enough run support to get the win. With the better pitcher on the mound take the Cubs at a very generous price at home.

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4* Chicago Cubs ML-108

3* Chicago Bulls -5

3* Atlanta Hawks -1.5

2* OVER 5.5 - New Jersey/Philadelphia

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Magic / Pacers Under 179½

[Mr. IWS]

Sharp Moves

OVER 6 - San Francisco/LA Dodgers

Seattle Mariners ML +180

UNDER 9 - Cincinnati/Milwaukee

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
1500* NBA Over 171.5 Bulls/Sixers
100* MLB Brewers -130
50* MLB Over 8.5 Cards/Dbacks

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lovell

30 Star NBA Bulls -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

DAVE COKIN
BASEBALL
5/8 BALTIMORE (Arrieta +110) over Texas (Feliz)