5-11-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers NHL

GAME 7
N.Y. Rangers -139 over WASHINGTON
We’re going to free roll on the Caps in game 7. We have them to win the series at +339 in a wager we recommended before game six. As a result of that wager, if the Rangers win, we lose 1 unit on the series and win 1 unit on them here, therefore breaking even. Should the Caps win, we lose -1.39 units on the Blue Shirts tonight but win 3.39 units on our updated series bet for a profit of 2 units. This is a bet you should make only if you were on board with us after game six. Had we not made that bet, we’d be recommending Washington. They should’ve already won this series but instead of folding after that game-five heartbreaking loss, they came back and played its best game of the series. Braden Holtby is certainly in the Rangers' kitchen. The Rangers appear frustrated and have little confidence in beating the hot goaltender. The Caps have momentum and confidence and they’re very likely to put these regular-season overacheivers away here. The play is Washington, if you don't have anything else attached to this one. For those on board prior, our play is protecting our investment with New York. (Risking 1.39 units to win 1).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Houston +128 over PITTSBURGH

The Pirates own baseball’s worst offense, averaging just 2.86 runs per game. They’re overvalued here because of opposing pitcher, Bud Norris’s 4.58 ERA and 7.38 road ERA. However, Norris has a xERA of 3.76 because of strong skills that show a strong BB/K ratio of 13/33 in 37 frames, a groundball bias profile and a low strand percentage of 70%. His skills are almost identical to last year’s in which he posted a 3.77 ERA so you know his numbers should stabilize. Norris is a decent pitcher with unlucky results so far. The Astros have been competitive. They’re 6-4 in their past 10 and they’re just three games under .500. They’ll face James McDonald and his 2.70 ERA. In 101 starts prior to this season, McDonald’s ERA was 3.90 so don’t expect his numbers to hold up. He has a fly-ball profile and his pitch mix is the exact same as last season’s. In other words, McDonald hasn’t added anything to his arsenal other than good fortune and while he is serviceable, he’s not a 2.70 ERA pitcher. Numbers rarely lie and we'll take advantage of that here. Play: Houston +128 (Risking 2 units).

Atlanta +129 over ST. LOUIS

St. Louis and Atlanta feature the number two and three offenses in MLB respectively. Lefty Mike Minor is a true value candidate because of his 5.97 ERA and we’ll gladly take back the price offered here with this solid pitcher. Minor’s misleading ERA is a direct result of an extremely low strand percentage of 57%. His xERA sits more than two runs lower than his actual ERA at 3.57. Minor has 34 k’s and 12 walks in 38 innings pitched. Jaime Garcia’s strikeout rate is down and his numbers show a dramatic decrease after pitching through the lineup a couple of times. His xERA is 4.10 and the only edge he has over Minor is a higher groundball rate. Garcia is good but the value here is on the Braves and on buy-low candidate Mike Minor. Play: Atlanta +129 (Risking 2 units). Chicago -107 over MILWAUKEE Pinnacle Chicago took two of three from both the Dodgers and Braves and have now won six of 10. That’s a serious confidence booster for this club and now they'll have their ace on the mound against the reeling Brewers, who will counter with southpaw Randy Wolf. Wolf has allowed 47 hits in 32.1 innings for a BAA of .336. Wolf has issued 12 BB’s while striking out 19. Wolf has been outpitching his skills for years and much of that can be attributed to pitching with the lead on some very good teams. The Brewers are playing from behind most of the time this season, putting more pressure on Wolf and therefore his poor skills are catching up to him. Matt Garza pulled off an impressive league switch to the NL in 2011. His first five starts of 2012 have been even better and none of it is a fluke. He’s struck out 36 in 34 frames and that bodes well here against a Brewer team that has struck out 251 times, the second worst mark in the majors. Garza’s looks to be making a run at the league's top tier of starting pitchers with an ERA of 2.67, which is right in line with his xERA of 2.86. Play: Chicago -107 (Risking 2.17 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

MLB Moneymaker

500* Milwaukee Brewers +105

100* Under 7.5 NY.Yanks/Mariners

50* Pittsburgh Pirates -140

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play LA Dodgers (-170) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 10:10 PM EST

Colorado has lost 30 of the last 41 road games as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 36 of the last 58 games coming off a win by four runs or more. Jamie Moyer has lost 6 consecutive games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 7.01 vs. Los Angeles over his career.

50* Play Philadelphia (-165) over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Miami (-130) over NY Mets (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

2-0 sweep last night.

***TOP PLAY*** Boyd's 5* NBA Playoffs 1st Rd Game of the Year!
Memphis Grizzlies ML


*Huge 46-23 Run* Boyd's 4* MLB Friday Night Blowout!
LA Dodgers runline (-1.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Tech Sports

5* Cincinnati +105

5* Cleveland +115

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

FRIDAY

100* Play Memphis (-2) over Los Angeles Clippers (TOP NBA PLAY)
9:00 PM EST

Los Angeles has lost 14 of the last 19 games after trailing their previous game by fifteen points or more at halftime and they have also lost 40 of the last 64 games coming off a loss by ten points or more. Los Angeles has lost 45 of the last 79 games when revenging a loss of ten points or more and they have lost 35 of the last 56 games vs. Southwest Division Opponents.

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Well, the Memphis Grizzlies (43-28, 31-39-1 ATS) did what they had to do by
winning Game 5 to extend this series, but the Los Angeles Clippers (43-28,
35-35-1 ATS) still now get a chance to close things out at home with a 3-2
series lead. The home team has won every game in this series since Memphis's
historical home meltdown in Game 1 where it blew a 27-point lead, and that
horrific loss could now prove to be the difference in this series, which
would make for a long off-season for the Grizzlies. The Clippers go for the kill
Friday night at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, CA at 9:00 ET on ESPN.

This series has been highlighted by teams blowing big leads, mostly on the
Grizzlies' end, and even though they won 92-80 on Wednesday, even that win
came with some uncomfortable moments. Memphis was up by 24 points in the
third quarter before the Clippers closed the stanza on a 14-2 run. Then, the
Clips' two All-Stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin both missed much of the
fourth quarter with injuries as Paul re-aggravated his groin injury and Griffin
hyper-extended his left knee, and yet Los Angeles still drew within six
points on a couple of occasions, most recently at 85-79 with 55 seconds left
although the Clips could not make another field goal after that. Still, the
continued lack of composure by the Grizzlies when they have held big leads in
this series is disconcerting to say the least. The news was not all negative
for Memphis though as Zach Randolph finally resembled the player he was
before injuring his knee early this season as he had 19 points and 10 rebounds,
and Marc Gasol also had his best game of the series with 23 points. It was
also a good sign that the Grizz was able to win with a less than sparkling
performance from Mike Conley, who had just nine points and six assists. Memphis
will probably need all three of those players to come up big if it hopes to
steal its first road win of this series at a venue where the Clippers are
now 26-9 straight up this season.

Then again, getting the road win would be a lot easier if Paul and/or
Griffin were out for Game 6, but Griffin actually re-entered Game 5 and finished
the game and Paul is currently listed as probable despite grimacing in pain
during his limited second-half minutes. Both players will be reevaluated
Thursday, but the feeling is that if they can walk, they will play. That being
the case, look for a much faster start from the Clippers than in Game 5 on
the road, as they obviously do not want to be put in the position of needing
yet another humongous comeback. They shot just 37.1 percent from the floor
in Memphis Wednesday after shooting 47.1 percent and 44.7 percent in the
previous two games here at home, so you can probably expect them to get back
closer to those figures here with the return to La-La Land. Again though, they
do need both Paul and Griffin to be fully functional, or at least close to
it.

Game 5 continued a familiar pattern that has now seen the home teams go 7-1
straight up (oh that Game 1) in all the head-to-head meetings between these
clubs this year including the regular season as well as 5-2-1 against the
spread. Also, the 'under' is now 5-2 in the last seven meetings at Staples
Center.

Pick: LA CLIPPERS+1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports

BEST PITCHER -729 .................................. METS +130

SHUTOUT -390 ........................................ ... NO SYSTEM PLAY TODAY

TOTAL SYSTEM +730 .................................. DODGERS- OVER -110

HOT TREND - 700..................................... ..... BLUE JAYS -130

DIAMOND DOG -680 ..................................... INDIANS +115

ROCKS WORDS = only 2 systems showing any signs of life TOTALS AND MONEYBALL.

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 103-122 Season-to-Date ($60)
Game: Washington at Cincinnati (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Washington -115 (moneyline)

It is still a tough image for bettors to see the Nationals at pretty much even odds on the road vs. a competent team, but they have the best pitching in baseball right now. That high-level pitching keeps them in every game, and they certainly have been able to win their share atop the NL East. Gio Gonzalez was a great acquisition as the Nationals are 5-1 in his six starts where he has pitched to a brilliant 1.71 ERA. Great things were expected from Mike Leake, as he went 20-13 in his first two big league seasons, but he has struggled since day one and is 0-4 with a 5.97 ERA to start the season. Washington has been a momentum team now at 23-8 in their last 31 following a win, while the Reds a dreadful 5-23 in their last 28 vs. a better than .600 team. Play on Washington.

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

WSH (-115) @ CIN [4:10pm PDT]

TOR (-140) @ MIN [5:10pm PDT]

CWS (-125) @ KC [5:10pm PDT]

DET @ OAK OVER 7 (-125) [7:05pm PDT]

DET (-125) @ OAK [7:05pm PDT]


TB (-125) @ BAL [4:05pm PDT]

LAA @ TEX (-145) [5:05pm PDT]

CHC @ MIL UNDER 7.5 (-115) [5:10pm PDT]

[Mr. IWS]

vsi:
3 Unit Play. #902 Take Pittsburgh -130 over Houston (7:05p.m., Friday May 11)

[Mr. IWS]

Ferringo w/ratings
1.5-Unit Play. Take #907 Washington (-115) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Friday, May 11)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #926 Chicago White Sox (-125) over Kansas City (8 p.m., Friday, May 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #919 Tampa Bay (-125) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, May 11)
1-Unit Play. Take #929 Detroit (-125) over Oakland (10 p.m., Friday, May 11)
1-Unit Play. Take #927 Toronto (-140) over Minnesota (8 p.m., Friday, May 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take #924 Texas (-145) over L.A. Angels (8 p.m., Friday, May 11)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.0 Detroit at Oakland (10 p.m., Friday, May 11)
0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (8 p.m., Friday, May 11)

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe

4 Unit Play Take #907 Washington -115 over Cincinnati (7:10pm est):