Tweet
Robert Ferringo
CHC @ STL (-170) [10:45am PDT]
CHC @ STL u8.5 (-110) [10:45am PDT]
DET @ CWS u8 (-105) [11:10am PDT]
CHC @ STL (-170) [10:45am PDT]
CHC @ STL u8.5 (-110) [10:45am PDT]
DET @ CWS u8 (-105) [11:10am PDT]
-
Jeff Scott Sports
Complete Card
TOP PLAYS
4 UNIT PLAY
San Francisco/ Colorado Over 6.5: (Added) With the way that Tim Lincecum has pitched this year, I didn't expect to see an OU line this low in many of his games. What's even crazier is to see an OU line the low in a game that Jeremy Guthrie is pitching. Jeremy has a 5.92 ERA overall and a 6.75 ERA in his last 3 starts, while in 1 start vs the Giants this year he allowed 6 ER in just 3.1 innings worth of work. San Fran is not a great offense, but they have scored 3.7 rpg on the year and 15 runs in their last 3 games. They should be able to tag Jeremy for a few here. The Rockie offense does struggle to score away from home and they may be without Troy in this one, but Tim has really struggled this year and the Rockies still have plenty of players that can hit. We also get the added advantage of having the wind blowing out to center in this one as well. I expect both teams to easily hit 3 runs in this one.
3 UNIT PLAYS
St Louis/ Chicago Over 8: Cardinal home games have averaged 10.8 rpg this year, with the Over going 13-3 in those games. Last night they were only able to score 4 runs off of Dempster, but they also didn't have Beltran in the lineup for that one. He should be in the lineup today and that will help this Cardinals offense get back on track here. The Cardinals have hit .290 and they score 6.3 rpg at home and that should continue today vs Paul Maholm who has a 5.65 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Cardinals and a 4.63 ERA in 4 career starts here. Paul has also struggled on the road in his career, with a 5.05 ERA, plus he has a 4.71 career ERA in day starts. Kyle Lohse has had a good start to the year with a 2.08 ERA, but he has struggled with the Cubs in his career, posting a 5.48 ERA in 13 starts vs them, including a 5.65 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them. Both offenses are more than capable of 4+ runs in this one.
Cleveland -131 over MINNESOTA: The Tribe really plays well on the road this year and they are 9-3 away vs Righties. Their offense has really played well away from home, scoring 5.3 rpg, which is 2nd in the league. Today they get to face a struggling Jason Marquis, who is 2-2 with a 6.26 ERA overall and 1-1 with a 7.16 ERA at home this year. Derek Lowe has struggled with the Twins of late, going 0-3 with a 6.55 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them, but he has had a good year this year so far, going 5-1 with a 2.47 overall and 3-0 with a 1.27 ERA in 3 days starts. The Twins offense will stuggle today with Lowe, while Cleveland's offense will have a very nice showing vs Marquis, who wqas hit for 7 ER in just 6 innings in his lone career start vs the Tribe. Easy cleveland win here.
Arizona +105 over LA DODGERS: (Added) I have been a solid fan of the dodgers at home this year, but this is one spot to buck them. Chad Billingsley has done a fine job for the Dodgers this year, but he does come in struggling slighly with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He has also struggled with the D-Backs in his last 2 starts here vs them (both last year), going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in the two starts. Wade Miley has never faced the dodgers and that gives him an edge here. Wade has had a nice start to his year with a 3-1 mark and a 2.76 ERA overall, while on the road he is 1-0 with a solid 2.35 ERA. The dodger offense has been very good this year, but I expect Wiley to slow them down a bit. LA Has won 5 in a row, while the D-Backs have lost 8 of their last 9, so both trends are due for a reversal. Look for the D-Backs to get the mild upset here.
NY Yanks -148 over BALTIMORE: (Added) CC Sabathia is off to a fine start at 5-0 and a 3.51 ERA on the year. CC is also 4-0 with a very nice 3.10 ERA in his last 4 trips to Baltimore. The Yankee offense is also coming around as they have averaged 5.4 rpg and have hit .299 in their last 5 games and they have given CC 6.53 rpg worth of support this year. The Orioles have also given their starter tonight some solid run support, with 5.3 rpg in his starts this year, but Im not sure it will be enough vs this hot offense tonight. W. Chen has pitched nicely for the Orioles this year, but the Yanks did hit him around a bit in his lone start vs them this year. In that game he allowed 4 runs (2 ER) on 7 hits in 5.2 innings of work. Overall the Baltimore staff that was so good in the early part of the year, has fallen on some hard times, posting a 5.33 ERA in their last 10 games, while allowing 6.7 rpg over that same stretch. The orioles offense has been good this year, but they won't score enough off of CC to win the game.
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS
WASHINGTON -1.5 (+120) over San Diego: The Nats offense seems to be coming around a bit and should be able to score off Bass. Stephen Strasburg has been excellent this year with a 3-0 mark and a 1.64 ERA, but in day games he has been nearly unhittable so far, posting an 0.47 ERA in 3 starts, with the Nats winning all 3 starts. Look for another easy win by the Nats today.
BOSTON -1.5 (+110) over Seattle: Josh Becket has struggled this year, but he is 3-1 with a 3.48 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the M's, while the Sox are 3-0 and have won all 3 games by 2+ runs in his last 3 starts vs the Mariners here. Blake Beavan also had a rough start with a 1-3 mark and a 4.32 ERA and he has struggled in 2 career starts vs the Sox, posting an 0-2 mark with a 6.23 ERA vs them, with both losses by 2+ runs. Easy Red Sox win here.
1 UNIT PLAYS
Texas/ Kansas City Over 10 (Added)
Cincinnati/ Atlanta Over 7 (Added)
Comment
-
LEGIT PICKS
Tuesday 5/15/12 Plays...
5* YANKEES/ORIOLES (OVER)
4* ROCKIES/GIANTS (UNDER)
3* HEAT
---SURGEON GENERAL'S WARNING: Practicing Money Management & Shopping Lines Can Lead to Long Term Success--Comment
Comment