5-24-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

THURSDAY

100* Play Miami (-3) over Indiana (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Miami has won 10 of the last 13 games coming off a win by fifteen points or more and they have also won 12 of the last 18 games after allowing 85 points or less in their last game.

[Mr. IWS]

AL ROGERS

4* San Francisco Giants +1.5 (-170)
3* Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers under 182.0

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

Miami -3 over INDIANA: Despite playing without Bosh and Haslem, I still expect the heat to close out the series tonight in easy fashion. after scoring just 75 points in each of game 2 and game 3, the Heat have really upped their offense and have now scored 108 ppg in their last 2 games and they know they can win here after beating Indiana on this floor by 8 points in game 4. The pacers defense that had been so good this year, has been torn apart in the last 2 games and even though Granger and West are probable for this game, i don't expect them to be 100% and that will certainly hurt at the defensive end, plus at the offensive end as well. Indiana hasn't been great on offense this year and they just won't cpome up with enough points to keep this one close. Miami has all the momentum tight now and will close out this series with an easy win.


OTHER PLAY

1 UNIT PLAY

Cleveland/ Detroit Over 7

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Philadelphia +138 over ST. LOUIS Pinnacle
The Cardinals are coming off a sweep of the Padres but it wasn’t as easy as it seemed. The Cards had numerous chances in all three games to blow it wide open but nobody could deliver the big hit. St. Louis had lost four straight prior to sweeping the Padres and over its last five games, they’re batting just .247. Jake Westbrook is another starter who has appeared to have revitalized his career. He has a 2.41 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in his first 52 IP. Westbrook’s stock is high and that’s usually the best time to sell, as this is a pitcher with a career ERA of 4.27 and a career BAA of .276. Westbrook is the same pitcher with the same mix of pitches as the one we’ve been accustomed to seeing over the years. His 82% strand rate and 25% hit rate reveal how fortunate he’s been. Chances are his luck runs out against a Phillies team whose current players have 139 career AB’s against and are batting a combined .324. Joe Blanton appeared in just 11 games last year due to elbow problems. Blanton has been an enigma for years with a strong skill set but an inability to perform to the level suggested by those skills. This year he’s healthy and he’s pitching to his potential. Blanton has walked just seven batters in 53 frames while striking out 39. He has a solid groundball rate of 46% and his 3.74 ERA is right in line with his lower xERA of 3.41. Blanton is legit while Westbrook is more of a phony. Let's take advantage. Play: Philadelphia +138 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Thursday's Action
30 Dime winner going out on the Miami Heat

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* LA. Angels -120

50* Over 6.5 Giants/Marlins

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

***TOP PLAY*** Heat/Pacers 5* Game 6 *BEST BET*
Indiana Pacers +3.5

Boyd's 100% Perfect Thursday Night SMASH!
New York Mets

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Minnesota/ Chicago Over 9: Last night I played an Under in the Yanks game and part of the reason was because they had never seen Will Smith, who was making his first MLB start. Well I was was wrong as the Yanks teed off on that kid. Tonight Im looking to take an over here despite the fact that Cole Devries will be making his first MLB start. From 2007 to 2009 Cole was a starter in the Minors, but in 2010 and 2011 he was primarily a reliever and did pretty good in that role. Back in 2009 he had 26 starts and was just 7-14 with a 4.84 ERA for AA New Britain, while in AAA Rochester this year he has gone just 1-4 with a 4.24 ERA, so as you can see he has struggled as a start in the Minors and I expect him to struggle in his first MLB start tonight. Philip Humber perfect game is a distant memory as he comes in with a 7.86 ERA since that start and his work won't get any easier tonight vs a hot hitting Minnesota squad. The Twins were shutout last night, but since the return of Justin Morneau they have been scoring a lot. Just came back at the start of this trip and the Twins have come on to score 6.3 rpg, compared to scoring under 4 rpg prior to his return. On this trip Twin games have averaged 12.1 rpg, while Chicago's last 5 at home have averaged 11.4 rpg. Both teams should be good for at least 4 runs each in this one and that will at worse give us a push. I expect around 13 runs in this one so I'm not looking for a push. It should be easy.

Atlanta +110 over CINCINNATI: So hard to get a 4 game sweep of a team in MLB these days and I don't expect the Reds to be able to pull off the trick tonight. The Atlanta offense has struggled in this series and they should be without Chipper for this one, but they still have good offense on this team and they are taking on a pitcher that has struggled in his own park. Homer Bailey is 14-12 in 46 career starts at this park, but he has a high 5.07 ERA in those starts. This year he is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA at home, but more disturbing for him may be his night stats. In his career Home has a 4.51 ERA in day starts, but a 5.10 ERA at night and this year he is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in 3 night starts. Randal Delgado has struggled on the road this year (1-2, 5.40 ERA), but he is opposite of Homer as he is better at night (2-1 with a 3.33 ERA in 5 starts) than in the day (0-3 w/a 5.71 ERA in 3 starts) and in his lone start this year vs the Reds he allowed just 1 run (0 ER) in 6.2 innings of work. Homer is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Braves, but i expect him to struggle tonight vs an Atlanta that just does not wanna get swept here.

Miami/ San Francisco over 7: (Added) I kinda missed the boat on this one and should have grabbed it at 6.5 this morning, but It really did look to easy and those games don't always tend to go as easy. The fact that it looks real easy and the fact that I lost the half a run is why I have it at a 3 unit play and not higher. in the beginning it looked as if this new park in Miami would be a pitchers park, but that has changed as their home games have averaged 9.3 rpg, with the OVER going 14-4-1 in those games. We all know that San Fran home games are low scoring, but out on the road their games have averaged a solid 9.2 rpg. The Giants have struggled to score for much of the year, but they do average 4.4 rpg on the road and they have been hot offensively overall of late as they have averaged 5.14 rpg in their last 7 games. Miami cmes in averaging 4.68 rpg aat home and they have justv put up 18 runs in the 3 game series vs the Rockies, so they are swinging hot bats. Now we do have some solid pitching on the mound and both Vogelsong and Sanchez have done well vs tonight's opponents, but neith has faced these teams in this park. e also note that Vogelsong has a 3.54 ERA on the road, while Sanchez has a 3.15 ERA at home, plus both pens are not great either. We should get a few late runs in this one and thyat will help push this one over the total.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Philadelphia/ St Louis Over 8

1 UNIT PLAY

Cleveland/ Detroit Over 7

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

959 Tigers -170 @ 12:05p
954 Reds -117 @ 7:10p
955 Giants +140 @ 7:10p
962 White Sox -150 @ 8:10p
957 Phillies +125 @ 8:15p
964 Marlins +105 @ 10:10p

[Mr. IWS]

The Brian Laverty

Detroit/Cleveland Under 7 -103 (2.5 Units) ***DAY GAME***

Verlander is lights out during the day and Masterson is a pitcher who I really trust when pitching at home. Both teams offenses have struggled to get runs in the series, and now they run into each others aces. Won't be surprised to see a 1-0, 2-1 type of game.

Another 3-1 day yesterday.
Now 13-7 last 20 plays and 7-1 last 2 nights.

[Mr. IWS]

MTI Sports

Seattle Mariners ML

Free Pick: Atlanta Braves ML

[Mr. IWS]

4-STAR Minnesota over CHICAGO - You would have thought everyone would have learned their lesson by now. Phillip Humber just should not be this big a favorite. Versus any team or any other major league starting pitcher. Without that perfect game he has been a replacement level starting pitcher, but you are not paying for him like that here.

This is the final game of a three-game home set for Chicago vs. Minnesota with the teams having split the first two games. The White Sox are 6-18 since June 05, 2011 at home and it is the last game of the series for a net profit of $1517 when playing against.
Both teams won their games in blowouts with Chicago winning yesterday, 6-0. The White Sox are 1-15 since April 13, 2011 at home after scoring 6+ runs in a night game for a net profit of $1744 when playing against.
Humber starts at home in this one, where he has struggled mightily. The White Sox are 3-13 since April 15, 2011 when Phillip Humber starts at home for a net profit of $1157 when playing against.
His last start was his second best of the year as he allowed just two runs in 6.1 innings, earning a no decision in an eventual 3-2 win over the Cubs. He allowed five hits but kept the ball in the park. The White Sox are 2-7 since April 15, 2011 when Phillip Humber starts after going at least 6 innings and giving up no home runs and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $635 when playing against. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Minnesota 6, CHICAGO 4

[Mr. IWS]

Nolan Fernandez

Atlanta/Cincinnati OVER 9

Seattle +100

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago White Sox - WHITE SOX TO WIN (-139) and WHITE SOX [Run Line] -1.5 (+150)

Listed Pitchers: De Vries vs Humber

**(Note: I'm risking 1.39 units to win 1 unit on the moneyline play and 1 unit to win 1.50 units on the run line)**

We are going to be splitting up this 2 unit play on the run line and moneyline. Here is how it will play out:

If Chicago wins by 2+ runs we win 2.50 units, if Chicago wins by 1 run we break even, if Chicago were to lose we'd lose 2.39 units.

Take note: I like playing it this way better than taking White Sox -1 (+100) as we have chance to win 2.50 units instead of just 2, although we risk a little more if they outright lose.

Tonight will be the rubber match game of the series as the Twins won the first game 9-2 and Chicago won last night 6-0. The White Sox are 22-22 on the season while the Twins are just 15-28 on the year. The Minnesota Twins will have Minnesota native Cole De Vries on the mound tonight for his first Major League start. De Vries is just 1-4 on the season in AAA with a 4.24 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and .258 opponents batting average. In 2010 and 2011 he split time between AAA and AA and held a 1-8 record and 5.79 ERA in 2010 and a 4-2 record and 3.40 ERA last season. Phillip Humber is on the mound for Chicago and he has seemed to finally get everything back together after 3 below average outings (2 were very bad) following his no-hitter back on April 21st. On the year he is 1-2 with a 5.31 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and .232 opponents batting average. His last two starts he has gone 6+ innings in each and given up just 1 and 2 earned runs and 9 hits combined. The White Sox have won 5 of their last 6 games and have the bats going pretty well right now as they've scored 30 runs over that span. Tonight's play comes down to pitching, and with De Vries having a little bit of trouble in AAA I think we will see him get hit around a bit tonight in Chicago. Humber has had two really bad starts mixed in with 5 quality starts, and he has been pitching well as of late. Look for Chicago to win this series vs Minnesota and I wouldn't be surprised if they win this ball game by a handful of runs. We will risk a 1 unit on the White Sox tro win and the other unit on Chicago by 2 or more.