5-26-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 676-330 (.672)
ATS: 528-512 (.508)
ATS Vary Units: 1407-1310 (.518)
Over/Under: 511-526 (.493)
Over/Under Vary Units: 978-1057 (.481)

Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 7, best-of-7
BOSTON 85, Philadelphia 80

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MMA Professor
Roy Nelson (-195) over Dave Herman
Junior Dos Santos (-460) over Frank Mir.

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Baseball Crusher

Los Angeles Dodgers -130 over Houston Astros

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Soccer Crusher

Portugesa Desportos + Vasco da Gama OVER 2
This match is happening in Brazil

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SPORTS WAGERS - MMA

Saturday May 26, 2012
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
MGM Grand Garden Arena
PPV 10pm EST
Duane Ludwig +106 over Dan Hardy
This fight can be watched live on the Prelim portion of the broadcast. "The Outlaw" Dan Hardy comes in with a 23-10 record, which includes a streak of four straight losses coming into this one. To be fair, they have not been against easy competition and the first loss was in a title fight with long time division kingpin George St Pierre. Duane "Bang" Ludwig comes in off a loss and has a near identical record to Hardy at 21-12. Both fighters prefer to keep it standing and this bodes well for Ludwig, who was a Muay Thai champ and is the more accomplished striker. While Hardy's fights are always entertaining, standing and trading isn't the best thing for him to do with Bang and will likely end with him losing a decision or getting KO'd. On the ground, Hardy would probably have a decided advantage and one has to wonder if he will attempt some takedowns. He is in danger of getting a pink slip and needs a win very badly but many fighters are creatures of habit and won't deviate from their preferred fighting style. If Hardy proves to be the rule and not the exception, Ludwig has a great chance at getting back on track with a win. Ludwig is a slight dog due to the small chance that this hits the mat but more because Hardy is a more well-known fighter to the casual fan due to his title fight run a few years ago and his flamboyant personality. Ludwig offers up all the value here.
Play: Duane Ludwig +106 (Risking 2 units).

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SPORTS WAGERS - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers +5½/+221 over BOSTON
The Celtics have had their chances to put away the 76ers but have failed to finish them off and now Boston finds itself in a one-game showdown for all the marbles. That’s not a great place to be for a older team that is hobbling and playing under a lot more pressure than these free-spirited intruders. The Sixers have plenty of reason to be confident. The Celts are expected to be without Avery Bradley as the defensive menace is likely done for the postseason with a shoulder injury. Sixers guard Lou Williams described Bradley as a pit bull on defense. Bradley’s replacement, Ray Allen, is suffering from bone spurs in his right ankle and has struggled to stay in front of Philadelphia’s guards. Allen’s offense is suffering too, as he’s shooting 60% from the free throw line and 28% from 3-point land. The Sixers exploited the C’s suddenly deficient perimeter defense in Game 6 and a similar attack figures to be in store here. So, while the C’s are more experienced, the 76ers feature seven players age 25 or younger in their nine-man rotation and they can’t wait for this game to start. A loose, young, energetic and talented team with nothing to lose certainly has a chance to pull the upset or stay within range.

Play: Philadelphia +5½ (Risking 1.04 units to win 1)

Play: Philadelphia +221 (Risking 1 unit)

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The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

SATURDAY

100* Play Philadelphia (+5.5) over Boston (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Boston has lost 105 of the last 188 games against the spread when playing as a favorite and they have also lost 53 of the last 88 games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total.

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MLBPredictions / Kevin

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves - NATIONALS TO WIN (-129)

Listed Pitchers: Strasburg vs Minor
(Note: I'm risking 2.58 units to win 2.00 units)

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SCOTT STYLZE

NBA

Philadelphia 76ers +5 (1.5 unit play)

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Scott Beats the Man

Philadelphia
BOSTON**** -270**** * MONEY LINE

Philadelphia
BOSTON**** -5 ½ *** SPREAD

Philadelphia / Boston**** OVER 170 ½ **** POINTS TOTAL

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Saturday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Felipe Paulino, Kansas City Royals (2-1, 1.42 ERA)

The 28-year-old right-hander hasn’t allowed a run in three of his four starts this season, including two against the Yankees. He’s fanned 29 in 25 1/3 innings, and batters are hitting .232 against him. Paulino gets the Orioles in Baltimore on Saturday.

Derek Lowe, Cleveland Indians (6-2, 2.15 ERA)

The 38-year-old sinkerballer has allowed two or fewer runs in six consecutive starts heading into Saturday’s outing against the White Sox. Despite only striking out 15 batters all season, Lowe is excelling by getting batters to pound the ball into the ground. He needs to be careful with Orlando Hudson, who is 13-for-42 (.310) against him.

Slumping

Mike Minor, Atlanta Braves (2-4, 6.96 ERA)

The wheels have come off for the 24-year-old lefty. He’s served up 12 homers in his last five starts, including four last time out against the Reds. Batters are hitting .286 against him. Minor hasn’t produced a quality start since April 24. He gets the Nationals at home Saturday.

Jeremy Guthrie, Colorado Rockies (2-2, 5.55 ERA)

The 33-year-old right-hander has yielded six earned runs in each of his last three home starts, including last Sunday vs. Seattle. The good news is that Saturday he’ll be pitching in Cincinnati. In fact, Guthrie has a 1.68 ERA in three road starts, compared to 9.92 ERA at Coors Field.

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UFC 146 betting preview: Can dogs keep cashing in heavyweight title fights?
By CASE KEEFER

Favorites in UFC heavyweight title fights have burned many bankrolls over the last two years.

Underdogs are on a four-fight win streak in heavyweight championship bouts, heading into Saturday’s title fight between champion Junior dos Santos and Frank Mir at UFC 146 in Las Vegas. Not since Brock Lesnar came back to submit Shane Carwin at UFC 116 - 30 numbered UFC events ago - has a heavyweight champion kept his belt and cashed tickets for bettors.

“I think that’s just random,” MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas told Covers. “I think Junior dos Santos will put a stop to that. I think that streak comes to an end.”

If dos Santos can’t knock out Mir, then it’s time to officially consider the possibility that a curse is attached to the heavyweight title belt and bet the underdogs for the rest of eternity.

This matchup is custom-made for the champion to shine in his first title defense. The odds reflect as much, as dos Santos is posted around -500 with Mir coming back at +350.

“I can’t recommend people lay 5-1,” Kalikas said, “but I don’t think Mir is worth a bet, honestly. He’s going to have to get this fight to the ground to be successful, and I don’t see that happening.”

But plenty of public bettors do. The line has stayed steady for the most part since Kalikas opened it because more straight tickets are on Mir. UFC 146 is shaping up beautifully for many sportsbooks. They aren’t worried about exposure on Mir because the co-main event features a matchup with a favorite just as hefty.

Cain Velasquez enters as a -450 favorite over Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva, posted at +300. The excessive number of two-fight parlays pairing dos Santos and Velasquez makes a Mir victory far less dangerous for bookmakers.

“People that don’t know much about MMA are going to take a shot on the dog to cancel out the parlay money,” Kalikas explained. “The casual sports fan that’s starved for action is going to like the high price.”

It’s hard to blame them considering recent events. The dreaded “unstoppable” word was thrown around for both Lesnar and Velasquez before their reigns came to inglorious ends.

The upheaval has given the heavyweight division an inaccurate reputation as the most unstable class in the UFC. The big guys have more power - the sentiment goes - so the results tend to be more random and more dependent on one strike.

But truthfully, the upset rate in the heavyweight division is no greater than the smaller weight classes in the UFC. The surprises have just come at the top, making them more memorable.

The underdog success shouldn’t last past this weekend. Like the Macarena and rat tails, the run by underdogs in heavyweight title fights is a trend born to die.

UFC 146 leans

Junior dos Santos (-500) vs. Frank Mir (+350)

Kalikas wisely suggests checking out the price on dos Santos to win inside the distance on fight day. It’s a nice way to back dos Santos while trimming off a small amount of juice.

Cain Velasquez (-450) vs. Antonio “Bigfoot” Silva (+300)

The only interesting question here is whether Silva can last longer than he did against Daniel Cormier, Velasquez’s teammate, last year. Cormier knocked out Silva in 3:56. Give me the under with a motivated, healthy Velasquez.

Roy Nelson (-225) vs. Dave Herman (+175)

Herman claims he barely trained for this fight after taking it on short notice. Nelson claims he emptied his bank account in order to get the best preparation for UFC 146.

Stipe Miocic (-160) vs. Shane del Rosario (+130)

I hate to uncharacteristically take all the chalk, but that’s where the value rests this weekend. Miocic has a higher upside than del Rosario, who hasn’t fought in 14 months after suffering severe injuries when struck by a drunk driver.

Stefan Struve (-120) vs. Lavar Johnson (-110)

Shop to find Struve by submission at +110 or Even money for the best bet on the card.

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Hondo

Hudson was unable to hold the Nationals at bay last night, which resulted in a Brave loss that caused Hondo to fall 1,745 messersmiths below sea level.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will wing it with the Angels against King Felix – 10 units on Williams.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 849- 626 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

Free winner Sat: Cinci w/ Leake