6-1-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

TheSportsCapper Hoops Plays

FRIDAY


100* Play Miami (+2) over Boston (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:30 PM EST

Boston has lost 6 of the last 8 games against the spread after having lost three of the last four games and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 road games against the spread coming off a game when both teams scored 100 points or more.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play NY Yankees (-175) over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

CC Sabathia has won 10 of the last 11 games when pitching in the month of June and he has won 14 of the last 20 games vs. AL Central Division Opponents. CC Sabathia has won 13 of the last 16 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he has won 31 of the last 44 games as a favorite of -125 to -175.

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50* Play Washington (-175) over Atlanta (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play San Francisco (-165) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Boston +117 over TORONTO Pinnacle
Despite a 4-2 record, Clay Buchholz is having an awful season. He’s allowed an eye-opening 75 hits in 56.1 innings for a BAA of .323. Remember, Buchholz went 5-0 in May and June last year with a 2.33 ERA before missing the rest of the year with back problems. He wasn’t as good as that 5-0 run suggests but he’s certainly not as bad as his current 7.19 ERA suggests. His xERA over his last two starts was 2.85. He has a solid groundball rate of 49% and he appears to be rounding back into form. He’ll now take the hill with plenty of confidence against a group of Jays hitters that have 10 measly hits against him in 85 AB’s for a BA of .118. After a brutal start to the year, the Red Sox are now a game over .500, just one game behind the Blue Jays with recent wins against Justin Verlander, David Price and Drew Smyly among others. Henderson Alvarez is 1-3 at home with a 4.36 ERA and it’s no mystery as to why. Alvarez relies heavily on his defense, as he rarely misses a bat with just 19 K’s in 65.2 innings for one of the lowest K rates in the majors. In order to keep this strong hitting guest in check, you need to strike out people in key situations and Alvarez simply cannot. He’s a top groundballer (57%) but that’s not enough to keep us off this live pooch. Play Boston +117 (Risking 2 units).

Minnesota +133 over CLEVELAND Pinnacle
Quite often we talk about overachieving and underachieving pitchers that have misleading stats. Let’s switch gears a bit here and look at underachieving and overachieving clubs. The Indians have somehow managed to stay in first for a good portion of this season but their free-fall has just begun. Cleveland’s 27-23 record has to be considered the AL’s biggest hoax so far when you consider a starting rotation that consists of Josh Tomlin, Justin Masterson, Jeanmar Gómez, Ubaldo Jiminez and today’s stiff, Derek Lowe. They’ve been winning games with their bats but we’re starting to see a team batting average that was as high as .279, starting to drop off. The Tribe have scored just five runs over their past two games and that was against a weak Royals staff. They’ve also lost five of six and the aforementioned starting five plus the pen has allowed 54 runs during that stretch. Lowe has walked 18 and struck out 18 over 61 innings. Such numbers indicate that there is little chance of maintaining that 3.25 ERA. The Twins are 18-32 after a horrible start that saw them open the season with seven wins in 31 games. Since then, Minnesota is 11-8. Carl Pavano is not exactly a stud but what he brings to the table is pinpoint control and the ability to provide his team a chance to win. Two teams moving in opposite directions, both with misleading W/L records allows us to take back a pretty nice tag on the Twinkies. Play: Minnesota +133 (Risking 2 units).

St. Louis +100 over N.Y. METS Pinnacle
To the casual observer, Adam Wainwright's 4.45 ERA this season can be chalked up to Tommy John surgery rust. You know, "The guy has missed a full year and is just taking his time getting 'it' back, like a lot of TJS pitchers do." Actually, nothing could be farther from the truth. Ignore the ERA, as his strand percentage is extremely low at 69% and is sure to rise. What we really have here is an already elite starter that has improved his numbers in every category. Wainright has walked 17 and struck out 51 in 59 innings. His already-stellar groundball/line-drive/fly-ball split has tilted towards even more grounders and is sitting at an elite 55%. Wainwright is in the best stretch of his career and his ERA is going to get much better. There is no Tommy John residue here. Johan Santana’s strikeout rate is outstanding, as he’s whiffing one batter an inning. However, his groundball/fly-ball split is at 36%/40% and with a strand rate of 80%, his 2.75 ERA is unlikely to last. The Cardinals are 6-2 on the road against southpaws and current Cards batters have a .304 batting average, a .457 slugging percentage and a gaudy .829 OPS against Santana. Regardless of outcome, this is a wager that should not be missed. Play: St. Louis +100 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* Miami Heat +2

3* Kansas City Royals -147

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Miami +2 over BOSTON: Watching the end of the game on Wednesday I had pretty much made up my mind who I was taking in game tonight. I'm going with the Heat. Boston threw everything they had at Miami and out played them for good stretches of the game, but they still lost and more importantly, this aging team spent a ton of energy and they may not have enough left in the tank for this one. Rondo is the engine that makes this Boston team go and he played every minute of Game 2, so you can expect him to be a bit tired here and if he needs frequent rest periods then Boston will really struggle. Miami also had a few players that played a ton of minutes, but they are younger, so I don't expect that to bother them all that much. Miami is rolling right now and they have averaged 102.6 ppg in their last 5 games and when your a tired team it's hardest to play good defense. I don't see Boston being able to keep pace with Miami here.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports

Game: Minnesota at Connecticut (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 163.5 -110

What many feel is the prelude to the WNBA Championship round will tip-off tonight in Connecticut as the Sun host the 5-0 Minnesota Lynx. These teams have a lot of offensive weapons and both have yet to lose. However, these games are usually decided on the defensive end as both teams respect each others ability to fill it up. The emphasis then becomes greater on the defensive end of the court. Minnesota on a single day of rest has defined their defensive effort with a 13-5 mark to the UNDER in their last 18 off a day of rest. Connecticut has brought the "D" vs. good teams at 6-1 to the UNDER in their last seven vs. a winning team and, overall, seven of their last nine at home have played UNDER the total. Play this one on the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

goodfella

3* kc royals -145

[Mr. IWS]

TurnerSystem

Pick: Miami +1.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe MLB:

3 Unit Play Take #964 San Diego +105 over Arizona (10:05pm est):

3 Unit Take #958 Houston +115 over Cincinnati (8:05pm est):

4 Unit Play Take #952 Philadelphia -105 over Miami (7:05pm est):

JS NBA:

7 Unit Play Take #711 'over' 180.5 Boston/Miami (8:30pm est):

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

NBA: 7-Unit Play. #712. Take Boston Celtics -2.5 over Miami Heat (Friday @ 8:30pm est).

3-Unit Play. #962. Take Colorado Rockies -114 over LA Dodgers (Friday @ 8:40pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

BRYAN LAVERTY

Seattle/Chicago White Sox Under 7 +109 (3 Units)
Nationals/Braves Over 7.5 (2.5 Units)
Kansas City -142 (2 Units)

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports

Game: Minnesota at Cleveland (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota +125 (moneyline)

The Cleveland Indians look like a duplication of last year's team. They surprised everyone with a fast start and then buckled, never to be heard from again. It looks like the same song this season as they started hot, but have been 10-12 in their last 22, barely above the breakeven mark at home. Minnesota isn't going to win a lot of games, but the time to play on them is while the offense is producing. The Twins are on the uptick at 8-6 over their last 14 games as the offense has been producing at a high level, scoring 76 runs over the stretch, good for 5.4 a contest. The Tribe's pitching has been exposed at 54 runs in their last six games, or nine per contest. The bullpen is simply over-worked. Play on Minnesota.

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Mariners +120

50* Heat / Celtics Over 180

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Tech Sports

5* A's +135