6-4-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Over Spurs/Thunder
50* Cards -125

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

San Francisco/ Chicago Under 7: Jeff Samardzija has been pitching very well for the Cubs this year as he has a 3.09 ERA overall, while in his last 3 road starts he has allowed just 4 total ER's He hasn't faced the Giants before, which gives him the Edge here, plus the Giants are just not a good offensive team in their own park as they have averaged just 3.1 rpg at home this year. Ryan Vogelsong has been hot of late, as he has allowed 1 ER or less in 5 of this last 6 games, while posting an ERA of 1.51 over that stretch. Ryan has also pitched well at home with a 1.31 ERA, while his home starts have averaged a mere 4.6 rpg. He should have no problems keeping those numbers intact vs a Cubs team that has averaged just 3.3 rpg on the road this year, while in this series they have put up just 4 total runs in the 3 games. Lets also note that not one of the last 8 in this series has put up more than 7 runs in a game. I expect a pitchers duel in San Fran this afternoon.


OTHER PLAY

2 UNIT PLAY

St Louis -130 over NY METS

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Oklahoma City/ San Antonio Over 202: Game 5 expects to be high-scoring again as the Thunder are putting up 101.5 PPG on 46.4% FG in the 2012 playoffs, while the Spurs are even more explosive at 102.2 PPG on 48.6% FG. Both teams have really been shooting the ball well in the series and they have really been looking to push the pace. 7 of the last 10 in this series has put up at least 203 points, while those 10 games have averaged 206.2 ppg, including an average of 211.5 ppg being scored in the last 4 games played here. The Spurs have averaged 106.3 ppg at home this year, while the Thunder has averaged 100.3 ppg on the road, so both teams really have the ability to hit the century mark in this one. Defensively the Spurs have struggled of late, allowing 103.8 ppg in their last 5 games, while the Thunder has allowed 99.3 ppg in their last 7 overall and 103.4 ppg in their last 5 road games if these playoffs. I expect this one to approach 210 points and go OVER the total with ease.

Oklahoma City +5 over SAN ANTONIO: I know the Spurs have outscored their foes by 12 ppg at home, but I believe the season is starting to take its toll on this team, especially on the defensive side as the Spurs have now allowed 103.8 ppg in their last 5 games. The Thunder have a great flow offensively and they know that the Spurs may be on the ropes here a bit right now, so they should really push tempo here and that should tire the Spurs out in the 4th. I expect the Thunder to come up more than enough offense to keep this one close or maybe even win it outright.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - PUCKS (10-3 +17.04 last 30 days, +22.98 units YTD)


Game 3
LOS ANGELES -½ +114 over New Jersey (REG) Pinnacle
The Kings have shown a killer instinct throughout this post-season by winning crucial Game 3's in each round after after going up 2-0 in all of them. The Devils' psyche comes into question here after losing two games in OT and being unable to beat Jonathon Quick. Quick is so locked in right now that he’s in the kitchen of the Devils. New Jersey is passing the puck when they should be shooting because they’re not confident they can beat Quick. This is a frustrated Devils team that has their work cut out for them. The Devils have played two seven-game series, one six-game series and two in this set for a total of 22 games played in the playoffs. The Kings have one sweep, two five-game series and two games here for a total of 16 games played. That’s equivalent to an extra series for the Devils and it’s a factor, especially when traveling to Los Angeles and playing in front of an expected frenzied crowd. The Kings have the Devils by the throat. They have a big psychological edge, a big home ice edge, a significant goaltending edge and now it’s time to put this visitor away. No OT here. Play: Los Angeles -½ +114 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS - MLB (+9.48 units last 30 days after rough patch)


Colorado +117 over ARIZONA Pinnacle
Colorado has won six of seven and current hitters have some pretty sweet numbers against Joe Saunders that include a .296 BA, a .354 OBP and a .835 OPS in 135 combined AB’s. Saunders is a great example of a favorite that should be avoided in most instances. 2011 was pure hit% and strand%-driven luck. His xERA shows he's the same guy that hasn't delivered acceptable numbers for four years running. Saunders overachieving allows us another opportunity to fade him while taking back a tag and we’re not about to miss it. Christian Friedrich has a 5.59 ERA and 1.59 WHIP after his first five starts of the season. Those numbers are misleading. His skills have been fantastic with 32 K’s in 29 innings with just eight walks issued. Blame a 42% hit rate and 64% strand for his early struggles. Friedrich has significant profit potential and if all things are equal, it begins here. Play: Colorado +117 (Risking 2 units).

Chicago +129 over SAN FRANCISCO Pinnacle
Ryan Vogelsong returned to the majors last season after spending four full seasons in Japan. This was as unlikely a return to MLB as we may ever see, as Vogelsong was better in his return than anything he showed in his prior MLB or Japan stints. Age, xERA and a poor history suggest that his success will be short lived. A 2.50/4.34 ERA/xERA split this year indicates high risk and not a situation to be backing him in this price range. The Cubs haven’t hit too many pitchers well but Ryan Vogelsong is one they have. Current Cubbies have 11 hits in 40 career AB’s (.275) versus Vogelsong with a .475 slugging % and a .808 OPS. While the Cubs have their struggles, Jeff Samardzija provides them their best chance to win. Samardzija has the second highest fastball velocity in the NL behind Stephen Strasburg. His 94.7 mph fastball has helped him strike out 65 batters in 64 frames. His 3.09 ERA comes with full skills support and you won’t find a pitcher in the league that is more under the radar than this outstanding young righty. Play: Chicago +129 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

MLB - STL, SF, LAA
NBA - OKC

Best Bet - Later

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

Thunder/Spurs 5* 17-0 Game 5 *BEST BET*
San Antonio Spurs -5


Boyd's 3* 25-0 MLB *Afternoon Delight*
San Francisco Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Rangers / A's Over 7½

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

Triple Dime Bet: Thunder +5

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo
STL @ NYM o8.5 (+100) [10:10am PDT]
TEX (-125) @ OAK [7:05pm PDT]
LAD @ PHI u6.5 (-110) [4:05pm PDT]

SEA @ LAA (-140) [7:05pm PDT]


CHC @ SF (-130) [12:45pm PDT]
LAD @ PHI (+110) [4:05pm PDT]

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
500* MLB Rangers -130
100* NBA Over 202 Spurs/Thunder
50* MLB Cardinals -125

[Mr. IWS]

DAVE COKIN

BASEBALL
6/4 Colorado (Friedrich +120) over ARIZONA (Saunders)
It's a clean sweep for Christian Friedrich against Joe Saunders on the categories I track, and these are the plays that have worked best for me all season. The downside is that the Rockies are, as usual, not a very good road team. But Arizona has been just about as bad at home, and Saunders has struggled at Chase, although not quite as badly as his ERA suggests. Friedrich is an impressive rookie southpaw, and while he has gotten roughed up at Coors, his road numbers are outstanding. As I've expressed many times, I like following lefty prospects in their first journeys around the majors, and just blindly backing Friedrich has already yielded a nice profit. Saunders does have good numbers against the Rockies, but Colorado looks like a good value as a road underdog.

[Mr. IWS]

MLB Predictions
Kevin

Today's play is an early game...

Chicago Cubs @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS TO WIN (-127) ***3:45 PM EST START***
Listed Pitchers: Samardzija vs Vogelsong
(Note: I'm risking 2.54 units to win 2.00 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports

BEST PITCHER -989..........................ANGELS -140

SHUTOUT -380.................................GIAN TS -125

TOTAL +250 ....................................... METS - OVER

DIAMOND DOG -640 ............................PHILLIES +105

HOT TREND -990 .................................D-BACKS -120