6-6-12

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Basketball Crusher

Boston Celtics +1.5 over Miami Heat

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Baseball Crusher

New York Yankees -140 over Tampa Bay Rays

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Sports Wagers MLB

CINCINNATI -1½ +135 over Pittsburgh Pinnacle
Mike Leake fought through both on-the-field and off-the-field adversity in 2011, ranging from a shoplifting charge to an awful six-start run at the beginning of 2011 that landed him in the minors. After another shaky start this season, Leake has turned things around with some impressive numbers recently that have us paying attention. His 4.95 ERA is 1½-runs higher than his .3.45 xERA over the past month. He has outstanding control to go along with a heavy groundball bias profile and the Reds have won his last four starts, with Leake allowing just one earned run in three of them. There is real potential for a significant step forward for Leake and against Kevin Correia and the light hitting Pirates, this is an opportunity to seize. Correia is 31-years-old and has spent a good portion of his career in the minors. He has a measly 20 K’s in 58 innings with 19 walks issued. He pitches to contact and at this park, against a team in which current batters have 37 hits in 137 AB’s against him with eight jacks (.887 OPS), Correia’s chances for success are limited. He’s always had HR issues and he comes into this HR park having surrendered four bombs in his last 17.1 innings and that suggests he could be pitching tentatively here. On paper, it doesn’t look like a pitching mismatch but in reality, it is. Play: Cincinnati -1½ +135 (Risking 2 units).

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The Brian Laverty

French Open Tennis

3 Units Sara Errani +4 +105

3 Units Over 21.5 -103 Sharapova/Kvitova

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Paul Leiner

100* Cubs / Brewers Over 7.5

50* Marlins -130

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Oklahoma City

The Heat look to stay alive and build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite of 1 to 4 1/2 points. Miami is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks

THURSDAY, JUNE 7 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 723-724: Miami at Boston (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 128.749; Boston 125.097 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3 1/2; 182 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 179 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1 1/2); Over

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Today's MLB Picks

NY Mets at Washington

The Mets look to build on their 6-0 record in R.A. Dickey's last 6 starts. New York is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Mets favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 7 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: NY Mets at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Dickey) 16.189; Washington (Wang) 14.608 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-125); Under

Game 953-954: LA Dodgers at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Harang) 14.375; Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.863 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-180); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-180); Over

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Garza) 15.064; Milwaukee (Wolf) 14.295 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-105); Under

Game 957-958: San Francisco at San Diego (3:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 13.369; San Diego (Marquis) 14.239 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Correia) 14.820; Cincinnati (Leake) 16.151 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-160); Over

Game 961-962: Atlanta at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.839; Miami (Buehrle) 15.579 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Miami (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+115); Under

Game 963-964: St. Louis at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 14.203; Houston (Happ) 13.948 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Over

Game 965-966: Cleveland at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lowe) 13.781; Detroit (Crosby) 14.893 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); Under

Game 967-968: Texas at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 14.244; Oakland (McCarthy) 15.880 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+140); Over

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.432; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.060 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 8 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+130); Under

Game 971-972: Baltimore at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 16.155; Boston (Buchholz) 15.098 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+125); Under

Game 973-974: Toronto at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Alvarez) 15.982; White Sox (Peavy) 16.773 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-150); Over

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SPORTS WAGERS

BOSTON +115 over Miami

You think Miami and specifically LeBron James aren’t coming into this game 6 scared? Up 2-0 and seemingly on their way to an easy road to the NBA Finals, the Heat have dropped three in a row to the Celtics and now have to play this one on the parquet floor in Boston, where Miami has lost 15 of its past 16 trips here and seven of eight since Miami’s ‘Big Three’ banded together. While LeBron James is a great player, he still hasn’t proven to have the mettle of what champions are made of. The Larry Bird’s, Michael Jordan’s or Kobe Bryant’s are greats that wanted the ball when it counted most. LeBron doesn’t seem to want the rock and is afraid to shoot when he does. In terms of pressure, it doesn’t get greater than this and if past performance is any indication of what to expect, than James and the Heat are in trouble. The Celtics know how to beat this team and they know how to finish off a team when it counts most. Fear of fading the Heat and misguided perceptions have this one priced incorrectly. Play: Boston +115 (Risking 2 units).


CINCINNATI -1½ +135 over Pittsburgh

Mike Leake fought through both on-the-field and off-the-field adversity in 2011, ranging from a shoplifting charge to an awful six-start run at the beginning of 2011 that landed him in the minors. After another shaky start this season, Leake has turned things around with some impressive numbers recently that have us paying attention. His 4.95 ERA is 1½-runs higher than his .3.45 xERA over the past month. He has outstanding control to go along with a heavy groundball bias profile and the Reds have won his last four starts, with Leake allowing just one earned run in three of them. There is real potential for a significant step forward for Leake and against Kevin Correia and the light hitting Pirates, this is an opportunity to seize. Correia is 31-years-old and has spent a good portion of his career in the minors. He has a measly 20 K’s in 58 innings with 19 walks issued. He pitches to contact and at this park, against a team in which current batters have 37 hits in 137 AB’s against him with eight jacks (.887 OPS), Correia’s chances for success are limited. He’s always had HR issues and he comes into this HR park having surrendered four bombs in his last 17.1 innings and that suggests he could be pitching tentatively here. On paper, it doesn’t look like a pitching mismatch but in reality, it is. Play: Cincinnati -1½ +135 (Risking 2 units).

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Denver Money

2* Tigers -120
2* Whitesox -145
2* Mets -125
1* Padres +125

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Ben lee lost with the Red Sox -$165/Orioles on Wednesday.

For Thursday "Mr Chalk" likes the White Sox -$150/Blue Jays.

"Mr Chalk" is 30-28 -$1562 for the 2012 MLB season.

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Paul Leiner:
1500* NBA Over 179 Heat/Celtics
100* MLB Over 7.5 Brewers/Cubs
50* MLB Marlins -130

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Philadelphia/ LA Dodgers Under 7.5: The Phils need a win in the worst way and the way their offense is going of late they really need a shutdown game from their starter and should get it today with Hamels on the mound. Cole has a solid 2.84 ERA on the year and a 3.07 ERA at home, but more importantly are his numbers vs the Dodgers of late. Cole has a 1.18 ERA in his last 5 regular season starts vs the Dodgers and that includes not allowing a run in his last 2 starts vs them (17 innings of work). As I said the Phils will need a big game from him as they have been struggling again offensively, hitting just .218 and scoring just 2.8 rpg in their last 5 games. The Phils have also scored just 3.5 rpg on their own field this year. Pitching has been very good for the Dodgers of late an it should continue today with Aaron Harang on the mound. For the most part Aaron has done well for the Dodgers, with a 3.90 ERA But he really seems to be settling in as he has allowed 1 ER or less in 4 of his last 5 starts. His games have been a bit high scoring (8.91 rpg), that is thanks to good run support and I don't expect that here vs Hamels. Both pens come in hot as well as the Dodgers have a pen ERA of 1.35 in their last 5 games, while Philly has an 0.60 pen ERA in their last 5 games. I expect a Pitchers duel in game 4 of this series here.


Chicago/ Milwaukee Over 7.5: Matt Garza has always been a really good pitcher... when he pitches at home. But as seen in his last 3 starts (all on the road) we see that he struggles on the road. In 4 home starts this year Matt has a 1.91 ERA, but in 6 road starts he has a 6.10 ERA, including a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 on the road. Matt's starts have averaged 9.5 rpg overall, while his road starts have averaged 10 rpg. He does have a 2.88 ERA in 5 starts vs the Brewers, but 3 of those starts were at home and he has a 5.06 ERA in his 2 road starts vs them. The Brewers have struggled to hit some of late, but they have still averaged 4 rpg in their last 5 games and they average 4.97 rpg at home on the year. Randy Wolf has not pitched well at all this year, with an overall ERA of 6.05, an ERA of 5.16 in day starts and a 4.50 ERA at home. Higames have been high scoring this year as 10.91 rpg have been scored in his starts overall, 11 rpg have been scored in his home starts and 12.43 rpg have been scored in his night starts. Now i know that the OU line is 7.5, but still in each one of his starts at least 7 runs have been scored, so we just need to find one extra run in this one. I don't expect us to be searching for that run at the end of this one, as this game should reach at least 9 runs with ease.

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Jimmy Boyd 6/7
5* Boston Celtics +2

3* Chicago Whitesox -137

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Hoopsgooroo 6/7

952 Nationals +111 @ 1:05p
966 Tigers -120 @ 1:05p
955 Cubs -105 @ 2:10p
957 Giants -150 @ 3:35p
970 Yanks -150 @ 7:05p
960 Reds -165 @ 7:10p
961 Braves +122 @ 7:10p
971 Orioles +130 @ 7:10p
973 Jays +133 @ 8:10p

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Thursday 6/7/12 Plays...

5* CARDINALS/ASTROS (UNDER)
4* CELTICS

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