6-9-12

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Jimmy Boyd 6/9
5* Boston Celtics +8
5* Detroit Tigers -142

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Ben lee won on Friday in extra innings with the Braves -$170/Blue Jays.

For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Chalkest game on the board the White Sox -$220/Astros.

"Mr Chalk" is 32-28 -$1362 for the 2012 MLB season.

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Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Boston/ Washington Over 8.5: Dice-K will be making his first start of the year for the Sox and i feel the nats will be able to hit him some. He did have a 3.49 ERA in 6 re-hab starts for Pawtucket this year, but it's interesting to note that he averaged less than 5 innings of work in those starts and you have to feel that since coming off injury he will be on a strict pitch count in this one. He will then be turning the ball over to a Boston pen that has a 4.19 ERA at home, so we should get some late runs here in this one. Dice-K has a solid winning record in this park (27-15), but with a high 4.73 ERA in his 52 starts here, along with a semi-high 1.43 WHIP. Washington is not a great offensive team, but they do score 4.2 rp/9 off of righty starters on the road this year. I expect at least 4 from them here. Gio Gonzalez hasn't allowed more than 3 ER's all year, but he hes yet to face a caliber of offense as this one and in a park like this one. Boston loves to hit lefthanded pitching at home as they come in hitting .284 at home vs southpaws, while scoring 6.6 rp/9 off of them in this park. Boston should get 4+ of their own in this one as well. This series has been a high scoring one to say the least. Dating back to 2001, the OVER has gone 9-1 in the last 10 meetings, with each and every game hitting at least 9 runs. I look for that continue here as this one hits at least 11 runs like last night.


MINNESOTA -120 over Chicago Cubs: Hate to ask a bad team to win for me, but it just so happens that the Cubs are much worse that the Twins are right now. The Cubs are just 7-23 on the road this year, including 0-7 vs southpaws. The Cubs score just 3.5 rpg on the road, but vs lefties they hit just .203 and put up a mere 2.01 rp/9 off of them away from home. Not good numbers at all and they will be facing a tough leftiy today. Scott Diamond comes in with a 4-1 mark and a 1.86 ERA, while at home he has gone 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA and an 0.98 WHIP. Jeff Samardzija has pitched well for the Cubs overall, with a 5-3 mark and a 3.13 ERA, but on the road he is 2-2 with 4.45 ERA and he has a high 1.67 WHIP away from home as well. Jeff puts too many runners on base away from home and that will cost hi here vs a Minnesota team that has really been playing well offensively of late. Since the return of Justin Morneau to the lineup the Twins have averaged 5.3 rpg (21 games), which compares to averaging under 3.8 rpg prior to his return. that's an extra run and a half. Both teams will likely end up in the basements of their divisions, but the Twins are the better team here, with the better starter and should make it 2 in a row over the Cubs here.


Arizona/ Oakland Over 9: I had this same play last night and I had an easy win in that one. I will look for the same tonight. Both of these offenses come into this one hitting pretty well as Oakland has averaged 6.4 rpg in their last 5 games, while Arizona has put up 25 runs in their last 3 games combined. Jarod Parker is in fine form with an 0.43 ERA in his last 3 starts, but 2 of those starts were at home and he does have a 4.30 ERA, with an average of 9 rpg scored in his road starts. Jarrod also has a 1.50 WHIP on the road this year, compared to his 1.21 WHIP overall. I know that just one bad road start has inflated his road numbers, but that one road start was in a NL Park (San Fran) and he allowed 6 ER's in just 2 innings, plus he is off of 105+ pitches in each of his last 2 starts meaning he may not go that long and that would mean turning the ball over to an A's pen that has a 4.37 ERA in it's last 10 games. Trevor Cahill has pitched very well on the road this year, but in this hitter friendly park he has a 5.16 ERA and he has allowed 4 ER's in 3 of his 4 home starts. Trevor has thrown 104+ pitches in each of his last 3 starts, so he may not be around much past the 6th in this one, and then he will turn the ball over to an Arizona pen that has a 4.34 ERA at home this year. The A's have allowed 4.1 rpg on the road, while Arizona has allowed 5.1 rpg at home. At worst we get a push here. LOL. Still I will call for around 12 runs in this one.

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Pro Tech Sports

5* TB +120
5* Toronto +128
5* Redsox +105

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 9.5 runs between Arizona and Oakland

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WEST CAPPER

4**** Brewers
2** Angels
2** Rays

Anybody get his NCAA Baseball picks? 13-3 last weekend according to his twitter feed.