6-12-12

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We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

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Heat at Thunder Game 1: What bettors need to know

Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5, 194.5)

THE STORY: With this year's conference finals featuring showdowns between young up-and-comers and grizzled veterans, youth prevailed both times. That should make the 2012 NBA finals between the Miami Heat and the Oklahoma City Thunder one of the most fast-paced matchups in recent memory. The two superstar-laden teams begin the championship Tuesday night in Oklahoma City. The Thunder reached the finals with a six-game win over San Antonio. Miami ousted the Boston Celtics in seven.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ABC, TSN

ABOUT THE HEAT: Miami is playing in its second straight Finals and is led by mega-star LeBron James, who willed his team to victory with sensational performances in Games 6 and 7 against the Celtics. James scored 76 points and hauled in 27 rebounds over the final two games of the series after Miami found itself on the verge of a shocking upset at the hands of the Celtics. James will be accompanied by fellow star Dwyane Wade and a suddenly healthy Chris Bosh, whose low-post presence will make life difficult for the Thunder front court combo of Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka. Miami's big weakness is its reserve corps, which will be in tough to match the productivity of its Oklahoma City counterpart.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: So much for San Antonio's air of invincibility. Going into the third game of the West finals, the Spurs had won 20 straight games and looked virtually unstoppable. Four games later, it was the Thunder who were celebrating after reeling off four straight wins over a shell-shocked Spurs squad. Three-time NBA scoring champion Kevin Durant and electric point guard Russell Westbrook lead the way for Oklahoma City, while star sixth man James Harden provides instant scoring off the bench. Add in a reliable post presence in Perkins and one of the league's elite shot blockers in Ibaka, and it's clear the Thunder are full value for their first NBA finals appearance since relocating from Seattle.

TRENDS:
- Heat are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.
- Over is 6-2 in Thunder's last eight home games.
- Underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The teams split a pair of regular-season meetings, with the home team prevailing each time.

2. The matchup features each of the last five scoring champions in Durant (2010-12), Wade (2009) and James (2008).

3. James, Wade and Bosh scored all 28 Miami points in the pivotal fourth quarter of Game 7 against Boston - Miami's first victory in a seventh game since 2004, Wade's rookie season.

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Tuesday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Streaking

Ian Kennedy, Arizona Diamondbacks (5-5, 3.93)

Kennedy matched a career-high with 12 strikeouts in six innings to help Arizona pound Colorado 10-0 last week. After suffering through a five-start losing streak, the California native has won consecutive starts, giving up just one run in 13 2/3 innings. Kennedy has walked just 19 batters in 75 2/3 innings over 12 starts.

Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox (6-2, 5.77 ERA)

A minor change to the grip of his change-up has Buchholz baffling hitters again. He has 19 strikeouts since he made the change three starts ago, yielding just four earned runs over that span. Walks have been Buchholz’s major problem (31 in 73 1/3 innings), but he has issued only four free passes to first in his last three.

Slumping

Paul Maholm, Chicago Cubs (4-5, 5.10 ERA)

Chicago has dropped five consecutive Maholm starts and the lefty is coming off a 8-0 loss at Milwaukee that saw him go just four innings, allowing four runs on six hits. He hasn’t had a quality start since May 9 and has struck out just 36 batters compared to 20 walks this year. The Cubs are averaging only 1.7 runs in his last three outings.

Bud Norris, Houston Astros (5-3, 4.65 ERA)

After winning four in a row, the Astros have lost each of Norris’ last three turns in the rotation. He gave up nine runs in just 1 2/3 innings at Colorado at the end of May and then served up a pair of homers and four earned runs in a 4-3 loss to St. Louis in his last time out. The good news was that he struck out a season-high 12 batters against the Cards.

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Tuesday’s betting tips: Greece shorthanded vs. Czechs

Weather to watch

Cleveland Indians at Cincinnati Reds - 13 mph winds are expected to blow out to right-centerfield.

Who’s hot

NBA: Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.

Euro 2012: Poland is 4-0-2 in its last six official international matches.

MLB: Nationals are 11-5 in their last 16 road games.

MLB: Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five overall.

Who’s not

NBA: Heat are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.

Euro 2012: Greece is 1-5-1 in six matches against the Czech Republic.

MLB: Tigers are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.

MLB: Royals are 8-21 in their last 29 home games.

Key stat

0 – Miami Heat superstar LeBron James has never scored 30 points in an NBA Finals game and averages just 19.5 points in 10 Finals games so far in his career. He heads into Game 1 in Oklahoma City leading the playoffs in scoring, averaging 30.8 points per contest.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Yoenis Cespedes, Oakland Athletics – Cespedes has been out of action since straining his left hamstring last Thursday and is considered questionable for Tuesday’s game against Colorado. Cespedes is hitting .275 with six homers and 26 RBI in 35 games this season.

Game of the day

Miami Heat at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5, -5, 194.5)

Notable quotable

"People ask me about this team's identity. You want to know who we are? We play one-run games. That's who we are." – Pittsburgh Pirates manager Clint Hurdle. The Pirates have played 27 one-run games in their first 59 and are 17-10 in those contests. Pittsburgh sits third in MLB money standings having earned its supporters 11.11 units.

Notes and tips

It looks as though Greece might be quite shorthanded for Tuesday’s match against the Czech Republic. With Avraam Papadopoulos already ruled out due to injury and Sokratis Papastathopoulos set to serve his suspension, Goal.com reported Monday evening that midfielder Georgios Fotaki is also out with a thigh injury he suffered during Sunday’s training. He was scheduled to start in midfield, moving Kostas Katsouranis to central defense. Greece is set at +190 with the draw at +205. The Czech Republic is priced at +125.

To follow up on Ashton Grewal’s story, the title bout decision that gave Timothy Bradley an upset victory by judges' decision over welterweight champion Manny Pacquiao won't be subject to review by the Nevada State Athletic Commission. The Los Angeles Times reported Monday that the split decision is expected to stand, and Bradley will remain the undisputed WBO welterweight champ. Bradley won five of the last six rounds on the scorecards of judges Duane Ford and C.J. Ross but independent statistics services scored the match in Pacquiao's favor. Fight statistics showed Bradley landed 159 of his punches; Pacquiao landed 253 punches.

The Oakland A's are going with a closer by committee system. Grant Balfour could not hang onto the full-time closer's role, and neither could Brian Fuentes, and after Fuentes allowed a walkoff homer on Friday for the second time in four appearances, manager Bob Melvin decided to go with a group effort. Rookie Ryan Cook, the A's most reliable reliever all season, will join the mix, along with Fuentes and Balfour, and Melvin said he will factor in availability and matchups.

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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 685-334 (.672)
ATS: 532-522 (.505)
ATS Vary Units: 1418-1338 (.515)
Over/Under: 518-533 (.493)
Over/Under Vary Units: 993-1079 (.479)

NBA Finals
Game 1, best-of-7
OKLAHOMA CITY 98, Miami 91

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Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Oklahoma City

The Thunder look to take advantage of a Miami team that is 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a road underdog. Oklahoma City is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-5). Here are all of today's picks

TUESDAY, JUNE 12 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST (6/11)

Game 501-502: Miami at Oklahoma City (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.897; Oklahoma City 134.052 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 199 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 194 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-5); Over

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MLB

AL teams were 2-2 Monday, they're 48-40 against NL teams in interleague play this season.

Remember there are DHs in games in American League parks, no DHs in National League parks. It doesn't seem to affect totals either way.

Hot pitchers
-- Buchholz is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
-- Former Royal Greinke is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
-- Kendrick is 2-1, 3.20 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 2-0, 0.66 in his last couple starts.
-- Wainwright is 3-1, 3.67 in his last four starts. Quintana is 1-1, 2.87 in his first three '12 starts.
-- Colon is 1-1, 1.20 in his last couple starts.
-- Harang is 4-1, 3.22 in his last six starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Norris is 0-2, 11.68 in his last three starts. Bumgarner is 2-3, 5.05 in his last six outings.
-- Alvarez is 0-3, 6.46 in his last five starts. Wang is 0-2, 5.79 in his first two starts this season.
-- BChen is 1-2, 5.48 in his last four starts. Lincoln is 1-1, 6.30 in his first two '12 starts.
-- Young allowed three runs in five IP (75 PT) in his first '12 start. Cobb is 0-2, 6.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Sabathia is 2-3, 4.24 in his last five starts. Minor is 1-3, 8.84 in his last seven starts.
-- Buehrle is 0-2, 4.91 in his last couple starts.
-- Cueto is 1-2, 4.66 in his last three starts. Gomez is 1-2, 9.77 in his last three outings.
-- Cubs lost last five Maholm starts (0-3, 6.41). Scherzer has a 7.42 RA in his last five starts.
-- Lewis is 0-2, 4.50 in his last three starts.
-- Mendoza is 1-1, 9.50 in his last four starts.
-- Blackburn is 2-3, 8.67 in his last six starts.
-- Guthrie is 1-3, 10.13 in his last four starts.
-- Williams is 2-2, 5.04 in his last four starts.
-- Hernandez is 1-3, 6.75 in his last five tarts. Richard is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won 10 of their last 14 home games.
-- Nationals won six of their last seven games.
-- Pittsburgh won 12 of its last 15 games. Orioles won four of six.
-- Rays won their last four games, allowing ten runs.
-- Bronx Bombers won nine of their last eleven games; Atlanta won eight of its last eleven.
-- Indians won seven of nine road series openers.
-- Detroit won three of its last four games.
-- Arizona won seven of its last eight games.
-- Brewers won their last four road games.
-- Minnesota won nine of its last twelve games.
-- White Sox won nine of their last ten road games.
-- Dodgers won six of their last eight games. Angels won five of their last six games, scoring 43 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Astros lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five games.
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Miami lost six of its last seven games. Red Sox lost seven of eight.
-- Reds lost five of their last seven games.
-- Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Texas lost eight of its last twelve games.
-- Royals lost last four games, scoring nine runs.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Cardinals lost 11 of their last 17 games.
-- Colorado lost its last five games, outscored 44-16. Oakland is 3-12 in its last fifteen road games.
-- Seattle lost five of its last six home games. Padres lost 11 of their last 13 road games.

Totals
-- Houston's last seven road games went over the total. Under is 9-0-1 in last ten San Francisco home games.
-- Five of last seven Alvarez starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Pirate road games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Tampa Bay's last ten games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Cincinnati home games went over.
-- Five of Cubs' last six games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Arizona road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Milwaukee games. Four of Royals' last five games stayed under.
-- 14 of last 15 Philly road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five St Louis home games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3 in Harang's last ten starts.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in San Diego's last eleven road games.

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Kings Monday.

Tuesday it’s the Thunder. The deficit is 618 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo, who had won four straight, made more progress last night as he went 3-for-4 with the Yankees, Marlins, Angels and Blue Jays to lower the NRN (nasty red number) to 1,525 osteens.

Tonight, Mr. Aitch will back Quintana – that guy can pitch, man. Ten units on those darn Chisox. Also, he will bother Harang for some support – 10 on the Dodgers.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 857- 632 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS

Tues: Blue Jays -145

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Today's MLB Picks

Boston at Miami

The Red Sox look to build on their 10-3 record in Clay Buchholz' last 13 starts as a road underdog. Boston is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JUNE 12 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Houston at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.487; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.027 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-170); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); Over

Game 903-904: Washington at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Wang) 15.642; Toronto (Alvarez) 17.370 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Toronto (-150); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-150); Under

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Lincoln) 14.907; Baltimore (Chen) 15.503 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-150); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-150); Under

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Young) 16.172; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 15.877 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-160); 8 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over

Game 909-910: NY Yankees at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.904; Atlanta (Minor) 16.739 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+140); Over

Game 911-912: Boston at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.541; Miami (Buehrle) 13.922 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Under

Game 913-914: Cleveland at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 15.006; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.612 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-170); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+150); Over

Game 915-916: Detroit at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 14.781; Cubs (Maholm) 15.546 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+110); N/A

Game 917-918: Arizona at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 15.223; Texas (Lewis) 16.341 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 11 Vegas Line: Texas (-170); 10 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-170); Over

Game 919-920: Milwaukee at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Greinke) 15.570; Kansas City (Mendoza) 14.449 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-150); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-150); Under

Game 921-922: Philadelphia at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.341; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.712 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 9 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Quintana) 15.002; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.120 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+145); Over

Game 925-926: Oakland at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Colon) 15.028; Colorado (Guthrie) 13.889 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 11 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+100); Over

Game 927-928: LA Angels at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Williams) 16.781; LA Dodgers (Harang) 17.851 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Under

Game 929-930: San Diego at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 14.509; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.213 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Seattle (-170); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+150); Over

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Joe Wiz Daily Free Play

San Diego and Seattle Under 7

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Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Tampa Bay Rays -155 over NY Mets

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Sports Wagers NBA

NBA FINALS
Game 1
Miami +5/+201 over OKLAHOMA CITY Pinnacle
How sweet it is. Heat versus Thunder. LeBron versus Durant. Miami's Big Three versus OKC's Big Three. In terms of entertainment, it doesn’t get better than this and while we’re tempted to take a position on the Heat to win the series at +155, we’re seeing more value in individual games. You simply can’t ignore the Heat at a price like this because they’re very capable of winning anytime and certainly capable of winning the opener. The Thunder have more depth and firepower but the Heat are vastly superior on defense and that’s where championships are won. The focus of conversation in this series is Durant and Westbrook v LeBron and Wade. But Chris Bosh cannot be ignored. If anyone doubts what level of impact Bosh has on this Heat team, just look to how the series against the Celtics turned in Miami's favor once he returned from injury. Bosh's ability to step out and hit jumpers and his prowess at getting to the rim, ultimately leading to the free throw line, will be huge in his matchup with OKC's bigs. The Thunder have been off for five days and if there's a doubt that persists about this young squad, it's that for all they've achieved, running through the three teams that won four out of the last five championships, there is still nothing like actually stepping onto a Finals floor for the first time and dealing with a new level of pressure and expectation. We still have to observe how smoothly OKC makes that step. Like a prize fight, there is some feeling out to be done here in the ‘early rounds’ and while a Thunder win would not surprise, a loss wouldn’t either and that’s where the value liesPlay: Miami +5 (Risking 1.01 units to win 2) Play: Miami +201 (Risking 2 units).

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Matt Rivers
250,000* Thunder