6-12-12

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Thunder
Tigers
Angels

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Paul Leiner

100* Rockies -115

50* Tigers -125

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Ben lee lost on Monday with the Blue Jays -$145/Nationals.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Reds -$165/Indians.

"Mr Chalk" is 34-29 -$1307 for the 2012 MLB season.

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Jimmy Boyd 6/12
5* Oklahoma City Thunder -5

3* Boston Redsox +100

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Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Miami/ Oklahoma City Under 195.5: Were gonna look to the Under in this one. The Thunder are known for their offense, but this team has played good defense in the playoffs, especially at home where they have allowed just 92 ppg. The Thunder have scored 102+ points in each of their last 5 games, but this Miami team has played great defense this year as they have allowed just 91.6 ppg overall and they have allowed more than 94 points just twice in these playoffs, with 1 of those games being an overtime game. The Heat averaged over 100 points on the year, but during the playoffs they have averaged just 91 ppg overall, including just 91.9 ppg on the road. The Thunder may look to run here, but Miami has the young athletes needed to get back on defense, while on the other side, Miami isn't really a running team and will not push the pace here. As high scoring as both teams have been this year the defenses will steal the show as this one is played in the 190's at best.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Cleveland/ Cincinnati Over 8.5: Ahh The Battle for Ohio and it should be a fun series, especially with the way the Indians score on the road. At Home the Indians score just 3.8 rpg, but out on the road they have averaged 5.1 rpg, which is tops in the league. Even better is the fact that this team hits righties at a .267 clip and scores 5.74 run per 9 innings off of them on the road. This lefthanded heavy team will be facing Johnny Cueto, who has not been at his best of late as he has a 4.66 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Let's also note that after allowing just 3 ER's in his first 3 home starts he has now allowed 8 ER's in his last 2 starts at home. Jeanmar Gomez gets the ball for the Tribe and he has really been struggling of late with a 9.77 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He has allowed 6 ER's in each of his last 2 starts on the road and while the Tigers do have a winning record (4-1) in his 5 road starts this year, he has a 5.04 ERA in those starts. Yes he has had high scoring road starts as and average of 12.4 rpg in those starts would indicate. Gomez also has a 5.82 ERA in 7 night starts, with those games averaging 11.4 rpg. The Reds have not lived up to their potential offensively this year, but they are starting to turn it around as they have averaged 5.1 rpg in their last 9 games. The Wind is blowing out, the humidity is there as well and with the warmer weather setting in this small stadium has seen 7 of the last 8 games put up 9+ runs. Should be a fun high scoring series and it starts tonight with at least 10 runs scored in this one.


Phillies/ Minnesota Over 9: The Phils have had their troubles scoring this year, but it's getting better for them as they have averaged 5 rpg in their last 5 games, plus they score 4.9 rpg on the road, compared to just 3.5 rpg at home. Also being in an AL park that gives the Phils to add Thome to the lineup as a DH. Thome played here from 2010 to part of 2011 and he has hit .256 with 22 HR's in his 96 career games here. He has also hit .292 with 2 dingers in 24 AB's vs Blackburn. Speaking of Blackburn, he really comes in struggling with a 9.75 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Interesting to note that the Twins are 3-0 in those last 3 starts and that 12.3 rpg have been scored in those games. Nick also has a 7.91 ERA in his home starts, with an average of 10 rpg being scored. Nick has faced the Phils just once in his career (2010) and he allowed 8 ER's in just 1.2 innings in that start. Offensively the Twins have been one of the better team in the last 20 games or so. That coincides with the return of Justin Morneau as they averaged 3.75 rpg before his return but 5.4 rpg in the 23 games since his return. We should also get extra runs once the starters go down as the Twins have a 3.92 pen ERA at home, while Philadelphia has a 4.71 pen ERA on the road. Philly road games have averaged 9.3 rpg, while Twin home games have averaged 9.5 rpg. I look for plenty of runs in this one as well.


Texas/ Arizona Under 10: Still seems unusual for me to be taking an Under in a Texas home game, but I will do it once again here. Texas home games have averaged 10.2 rpg on the year, but Arizona road games have averaged just 7.3 rpg. Ian Kennedy has been solid for the D-Backs this year with a 3.93 ERA overall. On the road he has been even better, with a 3.13 EA and have allowed 2 or fewer ER's in 5 of his 6 road starts on the year. He will be taking on a Rangers team that scores a healthy 5.5 rpg at home, but they are coming off a long 10 game road trip that saw them hit just .245 and score 3.1 rpg, so it may take them a game or two to get their swing back. Colby Lewis has been very good for the Rangers this year, with a 3.38 ERA overall and a 2.73 ERA in his 5 home starts. He also has a nice 2.89 ERA at night, despite a losing record. The D_Backs don't score too well on the road as they have averaged just 3.9 rpg away from home, including just 2.3 rpg in Ian's road starts this year. Ian's road starts have averaged just 5.2 rpg this year. I feel their is very good pitching on the mound tonight and with Arizona struggling to score overall and Texas having scoring problems of late I will look for this one to struggle to hit 8 runs.

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Kevin
MLBPredictions

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES TO WIN (-148)
Listed Pitchers: Lincoln sv Chen
(Note: I'm risking 2.96 units to win 2.00 units)

Tonight's game features two teams that probably not many people predicted would be doing as well as they are right now. The Pirates are 32-27 and 1st in the NL Central division right now, while the Orioles are 34-26 and 3rd in the AL East. Pittsburgh has won 5 straight series' and 4 straight games, but note that their last loss was with today's starter (Lincoln) and the Pirates are 13-16 on the road (compared to 19-11 at home). Baltimore has won their last two series' including two straight games vs the Phillies as underdogs, and they are 16-14 at home. The Pirates are averaging just 3.24 runs per game on the season, while the Orioles are averaging 4.38 runs per game. Pirates starter Brad Lincoln is 3-1 on the season, but has started just two games. In those starts he has went 6 innings allowing 2 earned runs and his last appearance was a start in Cincinnati where he went 4 innings giving up 5 earned runs. Southpaw Wei-Yin Chen will pitch for Baltimore, and he is 5-2 on the season with a 3.49 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and .252 opponents batting average. After starting to slip a little bit Chen rebounded nicely with a 7 inning performance where he allowed just 1 earned run. He is 3-0 at home with a 2.16 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and .228 opponents batting average. Take note that the Pirates are 9-48 in their last 57 interleague road games, and 3-30 in their last 33 interleague road games vs a team with a winning record. Pittsburgh is also just 2-5 in Lincoln's last 7 starts. The Orioles are 9-1 in their last 10 games following a day off, 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games, and 7-3 in Chen's last 10 starts. The Pirates have a horrible history in road interleague play and they will be facing a tough pitcher tonight. Runs should be hard to come by for Pittsburgh, and I don't see Lincoln being able to hold down the Orioles offense. Take Baltimore here at home.

[Dancin' Shoes]

LEGIT PICKS

Tuesday 6/12/12 Plays...

5* YANKEES/BRAVES (UNDER)

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