6-19-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Minnesota -103 over PITTSBURGH Pinnacle
Kevin Correia is not looking forward to this start. This guy is about as fragile as a pitcher can be after going 0-6 with a 7.82 ERA in his last nine games at PNC Park. It’s no mystery as to why either. Correia has issued 21 walks and struck out a measly 25 hitters in 69 innings. This is a guy that seldom misses a bat and makes Barry Zito look relevant. Meanwhile, rookie lefthander Scott Diamond has the skills to support his low 2.13 ERA. He won’t sustain that ERA but it’s unlikely to rise dramatically either, as he has an elite 61% groundball rate and outstanding control that’s seen him walk just six batters in 51 frames. The Pirates have never seen Diamond and they’re hitting just .232 against southpaws this season. This is about as cheap a price you’ll ever see against Correia and we’re not about to pass it up. Play: Minnesota -101 (Risking 2.06 units to win 2).

ARIZONA -1½ +134 over Seattle Pinnacle
The Mariners will stretch out Erasmo Ramirez for the second time in five days after appearing in seven games in relief. He was banged around in pitcher friendly San Diego for eight hits and six runs in just five innings or work. He now moves to a much tougher venue on pitchers. Ramirez pitches to contact, he has an xERA of 4.87 and at the age of 22 and getting rocked in his first start, chances are the D-Backs will get to him too. Arizona has scored 28 times over its past four home games which includes last night’s 7-1 win in the opener. Daniel Hudson is so much better than his current 5.67 ERA suggests. After being placed on the DL on April 18, the D-Backs have won his last four starts. He was sharp in three of them and was especially sharp in his last start in Texas in which he allowed just five hits in seven innings. In that last game in Arlington, Hudson struck out seven and walked none. This is a guy that went 16-12 last season with a 3.67 ERA in 222 innings at a tough home park. That DL stint appears to have served him well, as he’s rounding back into form. Hudson and the Snakes are a solid investment. Play: Arizona -1½ +134 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

MIAMI -3½ over Oklahoma City

This one is largely about the presence of Chris Bosh and the difference he can make in favour of the Heat. Miami was 42-15 in the regular season when Bosh played but 4-5 when he didn't. They're 6-1 in the playoffs when Bosh plays at least 20 minutes and 6-5 the rest of the time. Combine the two and they're 48-16 with Bosh in the lineup and 10-10 without him. As long as they have Bosh, you have to like their odds. Oklahoma City faced a higher level of competition than the Heat did in the postseason but this difference has been grossly overblown. If you look at the quality of the opponents rather than the names on their jerseys, their entire advantage came in the conference finals. Before that, Miami foes Indiana and New York combined for more wins and a far better scoring margin than the Lakers and Mavs. Miami has been dominant when fully intact, both in the regular season and in the playoffs. The Heat have six double-digit wins in the seven playoff games that Bosh played at least 20 minutes. The Thunder have four this entire postseason. This is the game that Miami can put the proverbial nail in the Thunder’s coffin and they smell blood. Play: Miami -3½ (Risking 2.02 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Tuesday

100* Play Philadelphia (-200) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Colorado has lost 10 of the last 12 games vs. Philadelphia and they have lost 7 consecutive games as an underdog of +175 to +250. Colorado has lost 19 of the last 26 games after having lost five or six of the last seven games and they have also lost 6 of the last 7 games coming off three or more inter-league games.

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50* Play Chicago White Sox (-200) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play LA Angels (-200) over San Francisco (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Reds -110

50* Rangers -130

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5

4* Chicago Whitesox -1.5 (+106)

[Mr. IWS]

Mti Sports 6/19
Rockies
Royals
Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Tech Sports

5* Washington +117
5* San Francisco +180

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Informer

3 Unit Play. #604 Take Connecticut -4 over Indiana (7:05 p.m., Tuesday June 19)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy WNBA

3-Unit Play. #602. Take Under 155.5 New York vs. Atlanta (Tuesday @ 7pm est).

As these two teams hook up neither of them is in a good mood. And, this is a rivalry game to boot with the season series already tied at 1-1. New York comes off a dubbing at the hands of Connecticut where they lost 55-97 as Connecticut was in a foul mood from losing to the Sparks at home. Combine that with Atlanta coming off a loss to Connecticut at home as well by a bucket in a game where they were up by double-digits places both of these teams in an irritated mood. I like New York to play much better defensively as compared to giving up 97 points in their last game which is a lot considering it is the WNBA and quarters are at 10 minute intervals and I also like Atlanta to respond well coming off a loss as they usually do. The last couple games Atlanta was coming off a loss they gave up 59 points to the Sparks, 57 points to San Antonio and 65 to Phoenix. The Under is 4-0 for the Dream coming off a straight up loss and the Under is 8-3 for the Liberty coming off a loss by this margin.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports

Game: Indiana at Connecticut (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Indiana +4 (-110)

Grab the underdog Indiana. Indiana is rested with two full days off and has a 5-3 ATS record for the season, including a 2-0 ATS mark as an underdog (winning both times as a road dog, as well). Indiana is fourth in the league in team defense allowing 74.8 points per game and third best from beyond the arc (.386%). The last game Indiana faced a team ahead of it in the standings, Chicago, and blew out the Sky, 84-70. Play on Indiana.

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

Minnesota Twins @ Pittsburgh Pirates - TWINS TO WIN (+104)
Listed Pitchers: Diamond vs Correia
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.08 units)

The Twins managed to win on Sunday in 15 innings to avoid the sweep against the Brewers. Minnesota is now 26-39 on the season, and 13-17 away from home. Pittsburgh has won two straight after losing 4 in a row and are now 34-31 on the year and 19-11 at home. Tonight the Twins will send Scott Diamond on the mound. I believe this is our third straight start backing Diamond, who is 5-2 with a 2.13 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and .270 opponents batting average. His last start he went 6 innings giving up 5 hits and 4 earned runs, which were all scored from two home runs on mistake pitches. Pittsburgh will have Kevin Correia on the mound, who is 2-6 on the year with a 4.43 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and .264 opponents batting average. His last two starts he has combined for 11 innings pitched giving up 18 hits and 7 earned runs against. Correia is 0-6 in his last 9 starts at home dating back to last season. Take note that the Pirates are averaging just 2.87 runs per game at home, while holding opponents to 2.77 against. The Twins are scoring 4.10 runs per game on the road. Minnesota is 5-1 in their lsat 6 games following an off day, and 4-1 in their last 5 road games. They are 6-2 in Diamond's last 8 starts overall. The Pirates are just 5-11 in Correia's last 16 starts and 2-7 in his last 9 home starts. Tonight I think we have a pitching match up that really favors the Twins, and I will hop on them as underdogs. Note that the price has changed since releasing this pick but I still like the Twins up to -110 tonight.

Kansas City Royals @ Houston Astros - ASTROS TO WIN (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Hochevar vs Rodriguez
(Note: I'm risking 2.40 units to win 2.00 units)

Last night we were on the Royals but Houston walked away with a 9-7 victory when all was said and done. Tonight's pitching match up sees Luke Hochevar face veteran Wandy Rodriguez. Hochevar is 3-7 with a 6.27 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, and .300 opponents batting average on the year. Rodriguez is 6-4 with a 3.35 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .268 opponents batting average. The Royals are hitting just .239 against lefties as a team on the year. Kansas City is just 2-5 in their last 7 road games, 16-49 in their last 65 road games vs a left handed starter, and 1-8 in their last 9 interleague games vs a southpaw starter. The Royals are also just 7-15 in Hochevar's last 22 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Houston is 5-0 in their last games as a home favorite, and 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Houston looked like the better team last night, and I think Wandy can shut down the Royals offense. Take the Astros to improve on their 19-14 home record tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

GoodFella

2* Marlins/Red Sox OVER 9

[Mr. IWS]

Bookiemonsters - marlins game to go over 9 runs

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Tampa Bay -138 over WASHINGTON: in his last outing, David Price ran into a very hot Mets offense and he allowed 7 ER's in 5 innings in that game, but prior to the Met game he was pitching very well. In the four games leading up to the Met debacle, David had 2-1 record with a 1.02 ERA, allowing 1 ER or less in all 4 starts. Now that wasn't vs the offensive dregs of MLB as he faced the Yanks, Baltimore, Boston and Atlanta during that stretch, with the Yanks and Boston games being on the road. I expect a solid bounceback start for price in this one, especially vs a Washington team that has averaged just 3.6 rpg at home overall, including averaging just 2.9 rpg in their last 8 at home. This is not a good offense and Price should keep them shut down tonight. on the other side we have C. Wang (Can't believe he's still around) and i like fading this guy. Wang did a decent job for this team in his 1 game out of the pen, but in his 3 starts, not so good. Wang is 1-2 with a 5.02 ERA in his 3 starts this nyear, plus he has a very high 2.09 WHIP in those starts as well. Seems like it has been a tale of two careers for Wang, as he went 54-20 with a 3.79 ERA in his first 4 years in the league, but has since gone 6-11 with a 6.42 era in his last 3 years. Washington is reeling a bit right now and tampa Should take advantage with a solid road win tonight.

PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (-115) over Colorado: Plain and simple, the Phils need to put a hurtin on a team to relieve the pressure and they should be able to do that tonight. The Rockies come in just 1-10 in their last 11 games and each on of those losses were by at least 2 runs. Their pitching has been horrid over that stretch, allowing 84 runs (7.63 rpg), while their starters come in with a 9.89 ERA in their last 10 games. Tonight's starter, Josh Outman has just v3 starts on the year and he has been very bad in his last 2 starts, allowing 10 ER's in just 8 innings of work. In his lone road start he allowed 5 ER's nin just 3 innings at Arizona and that now gives him a 1-4 mark with a 6.35 ERA in his last 7 road starts dating back to last year. Cole Hamels comes in struggling a bit, but he really needs to start putting together some solid efforts or he may not be getting that big free agency payday at the end of the year. Cole is 9-3 overall with a 3.34 ERA this year, and at home he is 4-3 with a 3.26. Cole has really pitched well at night in his career, going 60-36 with a 3.12 ERA, compared to a 23-21 mark with a 3.96 ERA in day starts. This year has gone a perfect 5-0 in his night starts, while the Phils have gone 6-0 as a team in his night starts and they have outscored those opponents by 2.83 rpg. Philly needs this one bad and they have the right pitching matchup to get it done. The Rockies have been outscored 79-32 in their last 10 losses and that has me expecting a very easy win by the Phils tonight.

NY Yanks/ Atlanta Under 8.5: Had this play last night and will come right back with it tonight. The Braves offense has been awful of late as they have scored just 12 runs in their last 7 games and that includes putting up just 8 total runs in 4 games with the Yanks. Speaking of Yanks pitching, they come in with a 2.06 ERA in June and should Hiroki nget into any trouble, a very good NY pen is well rested after CC went the distance last night. Kurodo comes in hot with a 1.80 ERA in his last 3 starts and he has a nice 2.79 ERA at home on the year, with his home starts averaging just 7.2 rpg. Tim Hudson comes in pitching very good this year, with a 3.90 ERA, while on the road he has a 2.12 ERA, with his road starts averaging just 7.8 rpg. He will be facing a tough Yanks lineup that averages 4.8 rpg on the year, but they also get 51% of their runs from the Long ball and that is not something that Hudson gives up to many of as he has allowed just 1 HR in his last 7 starts and 2 HR's all year. He is a ground ball pitcher and should get some DP's to help us out here. Both teams have been struggling with RISP and with two very good starters on the mound, one team that can't score at all and another with an outstanding bullpen, i will look for this one to struggle to reach 6 runs.

Houston/ Kansas City Under 8: Line movement aside I do like this play. KC has gone 13-4 UNDER this year vs a lefty starter, with those games averaging just 6.9 rpg. The Royals do not hit lefties all that well on the road, hitting just .233 and scoring 3.4 rpg off of them away from home. Wandy Rodriguez did have a tough home start in his last outing, but in he still has a solid 3.33 ERA at home on the year and 3 of his last 4 home starts have failed to put up more than 6 runs. Luke Hochevar has a 4.6i ERA on the road but still his road starts have aveaged just 7.6 rpg and each of his last 4 road starts have put up no more than 6 runs. Houston does average 4.6 rpg at home on the year, but they do come in struggling some, hitting just .220 in their last 10 games. Last night 16 runs were put up on the board, but I feel that tonight both starters will have good showings and this one will reach 6 runs at best.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

CHISOX -1.5 (-105) over ChiCubs

Pittsburgh/ Minnesota Over 8

1 UNIT PLAYS

St Louis +140 over DETROIT

Seattle/ Arizona Under 9