6-26-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Detroit +170 over TEXAS

The Tigers have underachieved all season. They were heavy favorites to run away with the AL Central but they’re two games under .500 and in third place. The good news is that they’re just two games out of first and they’ll probably still run away with the division. They came in here last night in an unfavorable spot and whacked the Rangers 8-2. That could trigger a big run before the break. The Tigers wasted little time giving Drew Smyly an opportunity at the MLB level this year and he has not disappointed. The Tiger roster has been crippled by injury and Smyly is dealing with recent issues that have led to a minor DL stint (blister) but he returns here fresh and ready to go. Smyly's early results are encouraging and his skills provide even more reason for optimism. ERA is solid but xERA is even better. Neither his hit% or strand% hint that a dramatic correction is looming. The kid can pitch and is certainly worth a serious look taking back a tag like the one offered here. Yu Darvish is 9-4 with a 3.45 ERA and a 3.64 xERA. He’s been progressively better each month and he could live up to his hype. However, Darvish has admitted to feeling fatigued after his June 7 th start and although he’s thrown back-to-back gems since, the toll of playing his first full season in America will take its toll along the way. This isn’t really about playing against Darvish anyway. It’s more about taking back a tag on the strong combination of Smyly and the undervalued Tigers. Play: Detroit +170 (Risking 2 units).

Tampa Bay +107 over KANSAS CITY

Chris Archer made his major league debut on June 20 and allowed two hits, struck out seven in seven innings while walking just one. Archer was one of the more dominating pitchers in the minors. He features a plus fastball and an outstanding slider. He has achieved a high strikeout rate because of his dominant offerings and that was evident is his first start at this level. The Royals have never seen him either and that often favors the pitcher. The Royals snapped a four-game losing streak with an impressive 8-0 win last night. Luke Hochevar gave the spent bullpen a much needed break but that weak unit figures to be back at work here. The Rays haven’t faced Bruce Chen in two years but Chen isn’t fooling anyone recently. He can barely last five innings anymore and enters this one with a 4.81 ERA and a .272 BAA. Chen has an awful 30%/46% groundball/fly-ball ratio. Those balls hit in the air are finding gaps and leaving the yard. He’s allowed three dingers over his last 12.1 frames. The combination of Chen and the Royals is not a favorable one spotting a price. Win or lose, we’re going with the best of it here. Play: Tampa Bay +107 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd
Boyd's 4* 'Never Lost' 6-0 MLB *BEST BET*
Texas Rangers RL

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Dodgers -115

50* Mariners -120

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE HOOK

WNBA

TULSA SHOCK +8 Sparks (3 UNITS)

WASHINGTON MYSTICS +2 Storm (2 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
1000* MLB Over 8 Cardinals/Marlins
100* MLB Dodgers -115
50* MLB Mariners -120

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

Miami/ St Louis Over 8.5

3 UNIT PLAYS

Kansas City/ Tampa Bay Under 9

Washington -133 over COLORADO

San Diego/ Houston Over 9

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

LA Angels -135 over BALTIMORE

Washingtobn/ Colorado Under 10.5

1 UNIT PLAYS

PHILADELPHIA -140 over Pittsburgh

Atlanta/ Arizona Over 8

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

WNBA

4* OVER 156 Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream (12:05PM EST) *EARLY*

COMP (WNBA)
Washington Mystics +2 over Seattle Storm (7:00PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG SPORTS

Game: Arizona at Atlanta (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Arizona D`Backs +120 (moneyline)

The Atlanta Braves have not played good baseball lately. They are just 4-9 in their last 13 games, dropping them to just four games over the .500 mark after a quick start. Their hitting and pitching have both betrayed them during the 13-game stretch as they have been out-scored 65-42, and have been shutout three times. Despite Ian Kennedy standing at 5-7 off a 21-4 season a year ago, the Diamondbacks have played above the .500 mark. They are playing their best baseball of the season right now at 12-5 in their last 17, and own a four game winning streak coming to Atlanta. The D-Backs have been strong behind Hudson vs. the NL East where they are 6-1 in his last seven starts. The Braves are just 4-13 following a loss and 1-6 in their last seven at home. Play on Arizona.

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

St Louis Cardinals @ Miami Marlins - CARDINALS TO WIN (-114)
Listed Pitchers: Lohse vs Zambrano
(Note: I'm risking 2.28 units to win 2.00 units)

The St Louis Cardinals will be looking for their 7th straight win against the Marlins tonight. Last night's 8-7 win after being down 6-2 entering the ninth inning was St Louis' 6th straight win against the Marlins dating back to last season and makes them 2-0 against them this year. The first meeting was the season opener when tonight's starter, Kyle Lohse, took a no hitter into the 7th inning in a 4-1 St Louis victory. The Cardinals are 39-35 on the year and 22-19 on the road, while the Marlins are 34-39 on the year and just 18-21 at their new stadium. St Louis has won 4 straight and 5 of their last 6, while the Marlins have lost 7 of their last 8 games and are just 5-17 in their last 22 overall. Lohse is 6-2 on the season for the Cardinals with a 2.85 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and .250 opponents batting average. He has pitched just as well on the road with a 4-1 record and 2.83 ERA. Carlos Zambrano is 4-5 on the season with a 4.01 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, and .224 opponents batting average. In his last three starts he has allowed 14 earned runs over just 9.1 innings of work. He has walked 13 batters while striking out just 7 over that span. At home Zambrano is just 1-3 with a 6.12 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, and .303 opponents batting average. Note that the Cardinals are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, 5-1 in their last 6 as a road favorite, and 4-0 in their last 4 vs a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The Cardinals are 18-8 in Lohse's last 26 starts vs a team with a losing record, and 9-3 in his last 12 starts with 4 days of rest. The Marlins are just 2-11 in their last 13 home games, and 3-13 in their last 16 vs a team with a winning record. The Marlins are also just 6-8 in games Zambrano has started this year, including 0-3 in his last 3 starts. Not only is St Louis 7-0 in their last 7 meetings with the Marlins, they are also 22-7 in their last 29 meetings in Miami/Florida. Take the Cards tonight with confidence.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Arizona at Atlanta (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Arizona +120 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.4)

The Atlanta Braves have not played good baseball lately. They are just 4-9 in their last 13 games, dropping them to just four games over the .500 mark after a quick start. Their hitting and pitching have both betrayed them during the 13-game stretch as they have been out-scored 65-42, and have been shutout three times. Despite Ian Kennedy standing at 5-7 off a 21-4 season a year ago, the Diamondbacks have played above the .500 mark. They are playing their best baseball of the season right now at 12-5 in their last 17, and own a four game winning streak coming to Atlanta. The D-Backs have been strong behind Hudson vs. the NL East where they are 6-1 in his last seven starts. The Braves are just 4-13 following a loss and 1-6 in their last seven at home. Play on Arizona.
Game: San Diego at Houston (8:05 PM Eastern)

Pick: 2 units on San Diego +130 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.6)

The Houston Astros left themselves with nowhere to go but up after a distasteful 2011 campaign that left them with 106 in the loss column. This team opened the season, and some eyes, with improved play early, but they have since reverted back to a team that has taken on the characteristics of the 2011 version. The Astros are just 8-20 over their last 28 games, and lost the series opener here vs. San Diego last night. Lyle's has sure been ugly when pitching a game following one where Houston allowed 5 runs or more, as Houston is 2-14 in his last 16 starts in this situation. Right-handers have dominated Houston to the tune of a 103-48 mark against them, and overall the Astros are 3-19 in Lyle's last 22 starts. The Padres have won the last four vs. Houston as well. Play on San Diego in this one.

Game: Oakland at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 7 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)

Both of these teams rely on pitching to stay in games, last night that was on full display as the A's won a pitcher's duel by the score of 1-0. It marked the second straight game where the Mariners have been unable to push across a run, and at the same time their pitching has been superb, allowing 4 total runs in their last three games, so the bullpen has plenty of rest. The A's offense has only produced more than 4 runs in one of their last eight games, but they have been able to win five of them because the pitching has been outstanding. The pitching has allowed 2 runs or less in six of their last eight games. Teams playing at home off of two straight being shutout are 35-23 to the UNDER in their next game, and the M's are 7-0 to the UNDER in Vargas' last seven starts at home with a total of 7 to 8.5. The A's meanwhile, are 22-8-2 to the UNDER in their last 32 on the road with a total set from 7 to 8.5. Play the UNDER.

Game: San Francisco at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 6 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)

The Giants recorded their seventh shutout of the season vs. the Dodgers here last night, and you have to like the prospects of Ryan Vogelsong keeping the Dodgers’ bats at bay again tonight. Vogelsong has been the best pitchers for the Giants on the season at 6-3 with an ERA of 2.41. Those numbers are great, but when he takes the mound at home he has pitched to a 1.47 ERA. The Dodgers are going to struggle for runs, and need a good pitching outing tonight, and they are in capable hands with Clayton Kershaw taking the hill. Kershaw has allowed 3 runs or less in 12 of his 15 starts on the season. Kershaw has been a bona fide stopper, pitching to a 10-4-1 UNDER mark in his last 15 after the Dodgers allowed 5+ in their previous game. Vogelsong gives up very little at home and the Giants are 20-3 to the UNDER in his last 23 home starts. Play the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

KC Royals under
St.louis Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy MLB
MLB:
4* OVER 10.5 Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies (8:40PM EST)