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2* Pirates/Cardinals Over 8½
2* Pirates/Cardinals Over 8½
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Wunderdog (2-2)(+0.2*) Last night. (10-17-1)(-13.1*) Since Sat. and...wait for it...(212-271-6) (-101.3*) for the season.
Plays are not with juice added. EG...2* to win 1.8* at $1.10 juice.
Game: Kansas City at Minnesota (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Kansas City +110 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2.2)
The Tampa Bay Rays were swept in Kansas City, and their coach said it all. He addressed the media in the post-game interview by saying Kansas City is much better than their record, and could win the AL Central. I agree with both. The Royals had a painful 12-game losing streak early in the season, but have otherwise been 34-27 on the season. They are 10-5 in their last 15 games and are riding a three-game winning streak where they have beaten opponents by a combined 21-6 count. The Twins turn to Brian Duensing who pitched decent out of the pen, but his first start was a disaster, allowing 4 runs in three innings, and until he gets things stretched out he will be on a pitch count, opening the door for the Twins’ middle relief to get exposed here. The Royals are 8-1 when facing a team off of allowing 5 runs or more, while the Twins are failing miserably vs. right-hand pitching at 32-67 in their last 99. Play on Kansas City.
Game: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Pittsburgh +170 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 3.4)
It has been a long time since the Pittsburgh Pirates have contended in the National League, but they enter this game vs. the Cardinals just one game worse than them in the standings. Kevin Correia has pitched well of late allowing just 2 earned runs in his last two starts. After missing the entire 2011 season, Adam Wainwright has a 6-7 record and a 4.32 ERA - numbers that do not compare to how he was pitching prior to the arm injury and subsequent surgery. The Pirates have stood tall in division play where they are 11-3 in their last 14, and Wainwright has not been at his best on five days rest with the Cards just 1-8 in that scenario. The Cardinals have also been more like pretenders vs. winning teams at just 6-15 in their last 21. Play on Pittsburgh.
Game: Boston at Seattle (10:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Seattle +100 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 2)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total UNDER 8.5 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The Boston Red Sox have been an up and down team all season. Their bullpen is as weak on the back end as it has been in over a decade. They are dealing with injuries in their rotation which forces them to turn to Aaron Cook, who has been a disaster in his two starts with a 9.39 ERA. Hector Noesi has not been getting it done either for the Mariners, but these teams played to a 1-0 verdict last night. History shows that this is a good spot for another low-scoring game, and with a total of 7 to 8.5 Boston has had their troubles of late, winning just two of their last seven. The Red Sox bats have also been hot and cold, and after a loss they have played to an 8-1 mark to the UNDER in their last nine, while Seattle is now 8-3 to the UNDER in Noesi's last 11 starts overall. These teams have played to a 14-5-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 20 in Seattle, and overall the last four have all stayed UNDER the total. Aaron Cook couldn't make it work for the pitching-challenged Rockies where they went 10-20 in his last 30 starts with them. Now in the AL with the Designated Hitter it will only make it tougher to get through a lineup. Play on Seattle and take the UNDER in this one.
Game: New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on New York Mets -130 (moneyline) (risk 2 to win 1.5)
The Los Angeles Dodgers had the best record in baseball for most of the season, but the offense has been exposed, and this team is in a prolonged slump. The Dodgers finally scored yesterday, after having been shutout in three straight by the Giants, but the 2 runs were not enough to put one in the win column. The Dodgers have now scored just 15 total runs in their last 11 games - less than the Mets have scored in their last two! It won't get any easier against R.A. Dickey who has arguably been the best pitcher in baseball to this point of the season. Dickey is 11-1 with a 2.31 ERA, and has held opponents to 2 runs or less 11 times. The Mets are 20-8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game, while the Dodgers are 0-7 when facing a team that allowed 2 runs or less in their previous game. Play on the Mets.Comment
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401k Sports Friday Plays
2** Yankees/White sox under 10.5(even)(7pm) MLB debut of Yankees Pitcher Adam Warren. 2 seam and 4 seam fastball that reaches as high as 95-96. His best pitch is a curve that breaks late. He has excellent control walking less than 2 per 9 inn. Quintana has been unreal for the Sox. 43IP and a 1.25 ERA and 0.97 WHIP.
2** LA Angels -125 over Toronto(7pm) Ervin Santana has always been a 2nd half pitcher. He looks to have begun to heat up in the last 2 starts. I will look to fade the Blue jays. Villanueva won't go more than 5 and that will expose an overused Blue jays bullpen.
2** San Diego/Colorado over 11.5(8pm) - Ths is the true test of whether Marquis is back or not . He has pitched 3 times @ petco and once in Seattle. This time he is going in Coors. A park he has never pitched well in with a 6ERA. Francis has been slow to round into form in his comeback. 10.80 ERA at home TY and 6.25 ERA lifetime @ Coors.
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Kevin
MLBPredictions
Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS TO WIN (-148)
Listed Pitchers: Leake vs Cain
(Note: I'm risking 2.96 units to win 2.00 units)
Last night San Francisco enjoyed their 4th straight win, and all four were shutouts if you can believe that. The Giants have won their last four games by scores of 5-0 (last night vs Cincy), 3-0, 2-0, and 8-0. They have now won 6 of their last 7 games and have moved into 1st in the NL West with a 44-33 record, and stellar 25-14 home record. The Reds have lost two straight and are just 3-7 over their last 10 games to make them 41-34 on the year and 18-18 on the road. Mike Leake will pitch for Cincinnati. He is 2-5 with a 4.46 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, and .276 opponents batting average. He has gotten better as the season has gone on, but his numbers don't compare to the pitcher he will face tonight. Matt Cain will take the mound for San Francisco looking to keep the shutout innings going. Cain is 9-2 on the season with a 2.27 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and .195 opponents batting average. In June he has gone 4-0 over 5 starts with a 1.25 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, and .168 opponents batting average. Also note that at home he has a microscopic 1.45 ERA to go along with his 4-1 record over 7 starts. The Giants are 18-4 in their last 22 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, and 19-7 in their last 26 home games overall. They are 7-1 in their last 8 vs NL Central opponents, 20-8 in their last 28 games as favorites, and 9-1 in Cain's last 10 starts. Take one of the hottest teams in baseball right now behind one the best pitchers so far this year. Giants to win has value at -148.Comment
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