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BOB BALFE
11-2 MLB RUN (85%)
Los Angeles Dodgers -107 over Reds
11-2 MLB RUN (85%)
Los Angeles Dodgers -107 over Reds
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Jeff Scott Sports
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
New York Yanks +124 over TAMPA BAY: (Added) Google News Play. Freddy Garcia has struggled in his 4 starts with the Yanks (12.50 ERA), but this is one team he has done well against. Garcia is 9-2 with a 3.33 ERA in 16 career starts vs the Rays, including going 5-2 with a 3.65 ERA in 9 starts at the Trop. He is facing a Rays team that is struggling offensively of late, averaging just 2.4 rpg in their last 7 games. The Rays have a team ERA of 3.67 (4th), but of late that pitching has suffered as they have allowed 5.6 rpg in their last 7 games. Not good when your about to face a very good hitting Yanks team. Matt Moore had a nice June (3-0 with a 3.16 ERA), but they Yanks have cranked out 5.7 rpg vs lefties on the year, so he may be in for a long night. The Yanks were swept here earlier in the year, but these are two different teams that are headed in opposite directions and New York should get a measure of revenge with a solid win in the opener of this 3 game set.
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS
Chicago/ Atlanta Under 8 (Added)Comment
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FREDDY WILLS
11-1 RUN
4.5* MLB POD Yankees +123
I'm going with the Yankees here today although they are 0-7 in their last 7 visits to Tampa I believe they have too many advantages and with this kind of value it is hard to pass up a big play. Garcia will make his first start since being sent to the bullpen where he has thrived with a 1.56 ERA. Garcia struggled as a starter earlier this year, but he faces a Rays team he has dominated over his career. He has posted a 1.32 ERA over his last two visits to Tampa and collectively the Rays have just a .540 OPS in 127 AB against him. Rays are currently 23rd with a .698 OPS vs. RHP and 20th at home with a .673 OPS so Garcia should be in good shape for a quality start. Especially since the Rays are losers of 6 of 7 being out scored 39-17.
Matt Moore on the other hand has been pretty good of late, but he's on 4 days rest in this game for the first time since May 22nd where he threw just 4.2 innings giving up 4 ER. Moore has faced some light hitting teams of late ranked 22nd, 13, 18th twice over his last 4 starts in terms of OPS vs. LHP. He will have his hands full the second time around vs. the Yankees. I don't trust Moore's stuff for one he struggles with control walking 4.3 batters per 9 and he's giving up 1.33 HR/9. Yankees are #1 in HR and #3 in BB's. Moore throws just 3 pitches and he throws the fastball 70% of the time where the Yankees are ranked #1 vs. that pitch. Yankees are 45-20 in their last 65 vs. LH starter. Garcia on the other side has a 4.03 xFIP and has much more control walking just 2.32 guys per 9.Comment
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Kevin
MLBPredictions
2 UNIT = Colorado Rockies @ St Louis Cardinals - CARDINALS -1.5 (+110)
Listed Pitchers: Outman vs Lohse
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.20 units)
Both of these teams are coming off of a series loss over the weekend, with the Rockies winning on Friday but dropping their last two against San Diego and the Cardinals winning yesterday to avoid the sweep against the Pirates. The Rockies haven't won a series in almost a month, dropping to 30-48 on the season and 12-23 on the road. The Cardinals sit 3rd in the NL Central with a 41-38 record and 18-18 home record. Southpaw Josh Outman will be on the mound for Colorado. He is 0-3 on the season with a 9.32 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, and .316 opponents batting average. As a starter he is 0-2 over 6 starts with a 9.26 ERA, and he has allowed 4 or more earned runs in his last 5 starts. On the road his ERA is 12.15 over 7 appearances (3 starts). The Cardinals will send Kyle Lohse to the hill who is 7-2 on the season with a 2.82 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and .245 opponents batting average. His last start he went 7.1 innings giving up 4 hits and 2 earned runs against. Note that the Rockies are 6-18 in their last 24 games overall, 2-6 in their last 8 road games, and 10-25 in their last 35 games following a loss. They are just 17-40 in their last 57 vs a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a favorite, 4-1 in their last 5 vs a lefty starter, and 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. They are also 62-25 in their last 87 home games vs a team with a road winning % less than .400. The Cardinals are 8-2 in Lohse's last 10 starts as a home favorite, and 13-6 in his last 19 starts as a favorite overall. They haven't met this year yet, but the Cardinals are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings vs the Rockies, and 6-1 in their last 7 at home vs Colorado. St Louis should be able to score some runs tonight vs Outman, while Lohse should be able to keep the Rockies in check. Take the Cardinals by two.
1 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks - PADRES TO WIN (+143)
1 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks - UNDER 9 RUNS (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Richard vs Cahill
(Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.43 units on the side and I'm risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit on the total)
San Diego has won 2 straight over the weekend, and 3 of their last 4 games. The Diamondbacks are returning home after going 2-4 in their 6 game road trip. The Padres are 30-50 on the season and are last in the NL West, while the D'backs are 39-39 and 3rd in the division. These two teams have met 6 times this season (all in San Diego) with Arizona coming on top 4 of the 6 games. Clayton Richard will take the mound for San Diego and he has been solid lately. Richard is 5-8 on the year with a 3.77 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, and .250 opponents batting average. Over his last 4 starts he has allowed just 4 earned runs against. On June 1st Richard went 6.2 innings against the Diamondbacks giving up 7 hits but just 1 earned run in an eventual San Diego 7-1 victory. Trevor Cahill will go for Arizona, and he is 6-6 on the year with a 3.67 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, and .244 opponents batting average. After a great start to June, Cahill allowed 10 earned runs (12 total) over 11 innings of work in his last two starts. He has faced the Padres twice this season and has a 0.60 ERA against them, which includes a complete game 6 hit shutout. The Diamondbacks struggled to score runs on their 6 game road trip, as they score more than 4 runs just once. The UNDER is 5-1 in these two teams 6 meetings this year, including an UNDER both times Cahill took the mound. The UNDER is 13-3 in their last 16 meetings overall, and 6-2 in their last 8 meetings in Arizona. I like the UNDER tonight with a high total with the two solid pitchers on the mound, and with Cahill having a little but of struggles lately and Clayton Richard pitching good over his last 3 I think the Padres can win a tight low scoring game tonight. Take the UNDER and our underdog play on the Padres.
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