7-3-12

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4* WNBA Take Over 167 Phoenix vs. San Antonio Silver Stars

4-Unit Play. #953. Take San Francisco Giants +120 over Washington Nationals (Tuesday @ 6:35pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

Atlanta/ Chicago Over 8.5: Sweltering heat in the south, with a pitcher that has struggled mightily this year and one that throws a lot a fly balls. Oh yeah. I have to go with the Over in this one. Chris Volstad was sent down to the minors, due to poor showings up here, but the Cubs need him due to injuries. That helps us here. Chris has a 7.46 ERA in 8 starts this year, including a 6.50 ERA in 3 road starts. Dating back to last year, Chris has a 5.40 ERA in his last 37 starts and he didn't do much in the Minors this year, with a 4.44 ERA in 8 starts at AAA Iowa. The Braves should be able to get their offense back on track vs Chris tonight. Last night Atlanta scored just 1 run off of Cubs pitching, but they do score 4.5 rpg at home, and they had scored 5.2 rpg in their previous 6 home games before last night. There is no reason the Atlanta offense shouldn't have a good showing tonight. Jair jurrjens was also sent to the minors this year, but has since come back to have two pretty good outings. Still he has a 6.75 ERA at home on the year and he does toss a bunch of flyballs and in this heat that should help the ball carry very well. The Cubs have hit lefties at a .195 clip and have scored just 2.04 rp/9 off of them on the road this year, but it's a different story vs righties as they have hit .261 and have scored 4.2 rp/9 off of them away from home. Getting at least 4 runs from the Cubs in this one would be golden, because I expect at least 5 from Atlanta off of Volstad an company. Both pitchers may not last the whole game in this heat, but fear not as the Braves have a pen ERA of 4.54 at home, while the Cubs have a pen ERA of 4.86 on the road. I expect no less than 10 runs in this one.

3 UNIT PLAYS

Texas/ Chicago Under 9: The White sox were killing the ball on the recent road trip and then in their final two games of that trip they scored just 2 total runs. Now they are back home where they have averaged 4.98 rpg on the year, but recently they have struggled at home, putting up just 3.3 rpg in their last 6 games here. This offense will be facing Roy Oswalt, who will be making his first road start of the year. Roy had 1 good and 1 bad home start so far, but in his career he has been a good pitcher on the road, posting a 3.54 ERA. The Ranger offense struggles vs lefties at home, but on the road they have hit .325 and scored 6.21 rp/9 off of them. it will not be easy for them to get those kind of numbers off of tonight's pitcher. Chris sale has been awesome this year, especially at home, where he sports a nifty 1.69 ERA and an 0.83 WHIP in 7 starts. Chris comes in having allowed just 2 total ER's in his last 4 home starts (32 innings) and 0 ER's in his last 23 innings pitched at home. Let's also note that Chris' home starts have averaged just 6.4 rpg These teams met last in the first week of the season and no more than 7 runs were scored in any game and I don't expect more than 7 in this one as well.

POWER ANGLE PLAY

Washington/ San Francisco Over 7.5: Haven't had one of these in a while, but now that I'm settling in my new place I will look to have them more often. Tim Lincecum is off two solid starts, but let's not get that excited as one was in a big park in Oakland and the other was vs the offensively pathetic LA Dodgers. Tim still has a 5.60 ERA overall, with an average of 8.9 rpg being scored in his starts, while on the road his ERA is 7.59, with an average of 11.6 rpg being scored in those starts. Tim also has struggled with the Nats of late, posting a 7.16 ERA in his last 3 starts vs them. The Nats have played teir last 10 games on the road and that averaged 5.8 rpg in that stretch and the hope here is that offensive confidence will spill over at home where they have averaged just 3.7 rpg. The Giants don't score well at home at all, but on the road they have averaged 4.7 rpg and have hit a solid .260. Jordan Zimmerman has a 2.77 ERA overall, but it's slightly higher at home 3.25, so he will give up some runs at home. His home starts have averaged 7.9 rpg. I expect both offenses to come up with enough runs to push this one Over. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since 2007 the OVER is 18-5 when the Nats are in game 1 of a series and the start time is 6:35 or earlier.

San Diego/ Arizona Under 9: Last night these teams put up 8 runs and than now means that no more than 8 runs have been scored in the 7 meetings between the teams this year. Granted 6 of those games were in San Diego, but I still don't expect more than 7 or 8 in this one. Trevor Bauer is off his first career start and he allowed just 2 ER's in 4 innings in that start. In the Minors this year he has a 2.23 ERA in 16 starts and allowed just 75 hit in 93 innings in those starts. This kid can pitch and he gets to take on anemic San Diego offense in this one. The Padres score just 3.8 rpg on the road and they have averaged just 2.9 rpg off of Arizona pitching this year, plus having never seen Bauer, that gives the Pitcher an edge. Andrew Cashner has just 2 starts on the year and both were on the road. His 4.50 ERA on the road is a bit deceiving as he has allowed just 3 ER's in the two starts. He allowed 2 ER's at Houston and 1 ER at Milwaukee, but he was lifted in the 3rd inning after suffering an injury in that Milwaukee game. Overall he has 3 career starts and has allowed just 4 ER's total in those starts, while in AA ball he had a 1.88 ERA in 3 starts this year. This kid can also pitch and his lone start last year was vs Arizona, in which he allowed just 1 ER in 5.1 innings of work. The D-Backs score 5+ rpg at home, but they do come in slumping some, having put up just 6 runs in their last 3 games. These two starters tonight should shut down these offenses as this game barley his 6 runs.

Cincinnati/ Dodgers Under 6.5: Google News Play. Last night I had the OVER in this game, but tonight we will look to the UNDER. not only is their good pitching on the mound, but both offenses are missing key stars and that will make it hard for a lot of scoring to happen here. The Reds have been with out Votto and Rolen for a couple of games, but should also be without Cozart tonight. The Reds put up 8 runs last night, but they had averaged 2.5 rpg in their previous 4 games on this trip and for the year they hit just .216 and score 3.36 rp/9 off of lefties on the road. The Reds offense will be going up against a tough lefty tonight in Chris Capuano, who has been nearly unhittable at home, posting a 1.87 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 8 home starts, with those home starts averaging just 5.6 rpg. Johnny Cueto has been very good for the reds this year and may be looking for an awesome outing after being snubbed for the All Star game. Johnny has a 2.24 ERA in 9 road starts, with those starts averaging just 5.2 rpg. He should have no problems holding down an LA team with many key offensive injuries and a team that has scored just 12 runs in their last 8 games. A classic pitcher's duel in LA tonight.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

NY Yanks -113 over TAMPA BAY

Baltimore/ Seattle over 6.5

1 UNIT PLAYS

St LOUIS -156 over Colorado

Baltimore +132 over SEATTLE

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan 300: Milwaukee Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

jeff benton

20 dime mets

[Mr. IWS]

Mti Sports 7/3
Blue Jays

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports 7/3
Indians
Padres

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Essler MLB Money Line Tue, 07/03/12 - 9:40 PM

dime bet 963 SDP (+135) vs 964 ARI