7-6-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play Washington (-215) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Colorado has lost 12 of the last 13 games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and they have also lost 11 of the last 16 games vs. NL East Division Opponents. Colorado has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have lost 9 of the last 12 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs.


50* Play Detroit (-165) over Kansas City (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play NY Mets (-165) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd
5* MLB Never Lost Friday Night Feast
Oakland A's

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:
1500* MLB Reds -130
100* MLB Dodgers -110
50* MLB Over 8.5 Rays/Indians

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports

Game: San Antonio at Washington (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Washington +5 (-110)

The San Antonio Silver Stars were in Indiana last night, and after a no-show in the first half that found them down by 15 points, they poured it on in the second half out-scoring the Fever 60-29. That game took a tremendous effort, and energy. Travelling to Washington, and playing the next night against a cupcake opponent that is a woeful 3-10 on the season is not going to have them bringing their "A" game. Washington may be 3-10 on the season, but they have played a lot of teams tough. All three of their wins have come at home, and they beat Indiana here, and lost to Minnesota by just 2. This is a tough spot for San Antonio vs. a pesky opponent that won't get their attention. Play on Washington.

[Mr. IWS]

GoodFella

2* TWINS/RANGERS OVER 10.5

[Mr. IWS]

ACE-ACE

Toronto/Chicago WS Under 9
Oakland A's ML

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ Cleveland Indians - INDIANS -1.5 (+145)
Listed Pitchers: Cobb vs Masterson
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.90 units)

Cleveland won the first of 4 games between these two clubs by a score of 3-1. The Indians have now won 5 of their last 6, while the Rays have lost 8 of their last 11. Cleveland is now 43-39 on the year and 23-19 at home, while the Rays are 43-40 and 19-21 on the road. Tonight's starter for Tampa Bay is Alex Cobb who is 3-5 on the season with a 4.94 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and .269 opponents batting average. In his last two starts he has allowed 21 hits and 12 earned runs against, and his ERA is 5.92 over his last 6 starts. Justin Masterson will be on the rubber for Cleveland and he is 5-7 on the year with a 3.92 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and .242 opponents batting average. Over his last 5 starts he has allowed just 5 earned runs against (with 4 of those games allowing 1 earned run or less including a complete game shutout). At home he is 3-3 with a low 2.73 ERA, and in June his ERA was 2.06 (compared to Cobb whose ERA is 5.85 on the road and was 5.34 in June). In their last 8 games the Indians have scored 6+ runs six times, while the Rays have scored more than 4 runs just once over their past 11. Note Tampa Bay is 5-16 in their last 21 vs AL Central opponents, 0-4 in their last 4 road games, and 1-5 in Cobb's last 6 starts. The Indians are 6-1 in their last 7 home games, 4-1 in their last 5 vs AL East opponents, and 15-7 in Masterson's last 22 starts following a quality start in his last outing. We're taking the Indians tonight and with the two pitchers on the mound tonight plus the difference in hitting between the clubs lately we will take the value on the run line.

1 UNIT = Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets - UNDER 7.5 RUNS (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Wood vs Santana
(Note: I'm risking 1.20 units to win 1.00 unit)

The Cubs are 7-3 in their last 10 games, which has included two wins by tonight's starter. New York had a walk off win last night and have now won 6 of their last 8 games. On the mound tonight for this southpaw match up will be Travis Wood and Johan Santana. Wood is 3-3 on the season with a 3.05 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and .206 opponents batting average. He has been exceptional as of late allowing just 1 earned run over his last 3 starts (all of which he has gone 6 or more innings). Santana has re-gained his form after two rough starts following his no hitter. In his last three he has gone 2-1 with a 0.90 ERA (allowing just 2 earned runs over those 3 starts). On the year he is 6-4 with a 2.76 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and .207 opponents batting average. Note that the UNDER is 5-2 in the Cubs last 7 overall, and 3-0-1 in Wood's last 4 starts vs a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 10-4-3 in Santana's last 17 starts as a favorite, and 5-1-1 in his last 7 starts vs a team with a losing record. With the way these two starters are pitching right now runs should be hard to come by. Take the UNDER.

1 UNIT = Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks - DODGERS TO WIN (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Kershaw vs Collmenter
(Note: I'm risking 1.05 units to win 1.00 unit)

After a very rough stretch for the Dodgers they have managed to jump right back winning 3 of their last 4 games including a 4-1 win over Arizona in last night's series opener. The D'backs are in the middle of a 6 game losing streak which I think will continue tonight. Included in their losing skid was San Diego sweeping them at home this week. Clayton Kershaw had a few below average starts but has bounced back with three straight quality starts where he is 1-1 with a 1.71 ERA and has struck out 7+ batters in each of those starts. Josh Collmenter is 0-2 on the season with a 4.41 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and .273 opponents batting average, but his ERA jumps to 6.99 as a starter over 6 starts this year. Note that the Dodgers are 9-4 in Kershaw's last 53 starts as a home favorite, and 11-5 in his last 16 road starts overall. The Diamondbacks are losers of 4 straight home games, and are just 1-4 in Collmenter's last 5 starts overall. The Dodgers are 7-1 in Kershaw's last 8 starts vs Arizona, and Los Angeles has taken 5 of their last 7 meetings overall. Take the Dodgers at a good price tonight vs the struggling D'backs.

1 UNIT = Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres - PADRES +1.5 (-145)
Listed Pitchers: Arroyo vs Wells
(Note: I'm risking 1.45 units to win 1.00 unit)

I'm not sure where it has come from, but good pitching and good hitting has allowed the Padres to win 6 straight games. Last night they beat the Reds in the opener 2-1 and I wouldn't be surprised to see them make it 7 straight wins tonight. The Reds have lost 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5. Bronson Arroyo will start for Cincinnati and he is 3-5 on the season with a 4.06 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and .279 opponents batting average. Over his last 3 he is 0-1 with a 5.09 ERA. Kip Wells will get his third start of the year tonight and he has done well going 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and .277 opponents batting average over his first two starts on the road vs Houston and Colorado. Take note that the Reds are just 2-5 in Arroyo's last 7 starts, and 1-5 in his last 6 road starts. The Padres who have won 6 straight games are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs Cincinnati. Although I think the Padres have a good chance at winning their 7th straight I like the odds with them getting a run on the run line, so we will lay a bit of chalk and take the Padres +1.5 at home.

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning

10* Cardinals -140

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

San Francisco/ Pittsburgh Under 9: Google News Play. Looks like some quick money went to the Over, as this game opened at 8.5 and is now at 9. I see it the other way though. Barry Zito has struggled on the road, with a 4.23 ERA, but a lot of that damage was in his last 3 road starts vs the Angels, Milwaukee and Arizona. Two of those parks are high scoring parks, while the game vs the Angels was vs a very hot hitting LA team. Barry was very comfortable in his last 2 starts, which were at home in a big park. in those two starts he allowed just 1 ER in 13 innings of work. Pittsburgh would be considered a pitchers park this year as just 6.2 rpg have been scored in this park this year, so he should have a good outing here, plus we note that in 7 career starts vs the Pirates, Barry has not allowed more than 3 ER's in any of those starts. Erik Bedard has struggled mightily on the road but at home he has a 2.31 ERA in 7 starts, including an ERA of 1.42 in his last 3 home starts. Erik's home starts have averaged just 6.4 rpg, while 5 of Barry's 6 starts vs Pittsburgh failed to total more than 7 runs. Add it all up and we get a solid play on the Under in this one.


St. Louis/ Miami Under 9.5: I know when a couple of good offenses in this one, but I still feel that 9.5 is just too high. Ricky Nolasco has a 4.95 ERA on the road this year, but really that's the result of his last start at Boston, in which he allowed 9 ER's in 3.1 innings of work. Now let's throw that start out and we see that he hasn't allowed more than 4 ER's in any of his other 6 road starts, while compiling an ERA of 3.12 in those 6 starts. Ricky also comes in having allowed 3 ER's or less in 4 of his last 5 starts overall, so other than that Boston start he is pitching very well right, plus we note that he has faced St Louis twice in the last 2 years and has allowed just 2 ER's combined in the two starts. Jake Westbrook has been on a solid run of late, posting a 3.27 ERA in his last 5 starts. Jake does have a 4.98 ERA at home, but has allowed more than 4 ER's just once in his 8 home starts, plus in 5 career starts vs the Fish he has a 2.74 ERA, not allowing more than 3 ER's in any of those starts. The Marlins struggle offensively on the road at just 3.96 rpg and their task will be even more difficult tonight with Stanton out for the 2nd game in a row. The Cards do score 5.05 rpg at home, but the Fish allow just 4.26 rpg on the road, with their road games averaging just 8 rpg. I see a nice pitcher's duel in St Louis tonight.


New York Yankees -113 over BOSTON: Google News Play. I like the Bombers in this one. Cano is very hot right now and has had great success vs Beckett in his career. Josh is just 2-4 with a 3.69 ERA at home, while at night he has gone just 1-5 with a 4.65 ERA. He has a solid 3.43 ERA in his last 3 starts, but the Sox have put up just 1.3 rpg in those starts, so he has an 0-2 mark to show for his efforts oin his last 3 starts. The Sox do average 5.6 rpg at home, but they are off a 7 game trip, in which they scored just 14 runs total, and it will take them a game or two to get their timing back at home. Doesn't help the Sox offense that they are facing a hot Hiroki Kuroda, who has allowed 2 ER's or less in 6 of his last 7 starts, while posting an ERA of 1.65 over that stretch. Hiroki is hot and with Boston coming off a west coast trip I just don't expect their offense to do much damage vs him here. The Sox have good success at home vs lefties, but are just 10-21 in their last 31 home games vs a righty. Look for the AL East leading Yanks to move to 5-1 in their last 6 games at Fenway.

More later

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence Guaranteed Play of the day. Oakland A's.

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning

10* St. Louis Cardinals -140
10* Colorado +200

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

3* Reds -121
2* Yankees -111
2* Dodgers -108

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover | MLB Total Fri, 07/06/12 - 10:05 PM
triple-dime bet 915 CIN / 916 SDP OVER 7 Hilton
Analysis: Bronson Arroyo is in bad form with a 5.09 ERA in his last three starts. He's pitched worse on the road with a 4.34 away ERA.

Arroyo also threw a season-high 113 pitches during his last start, this past Friday versus the Giants.

But Arroyo isn't the main reason for going over this low total. San Diego starter Kip Wells is.

Wells is the worst starting pitcher in the majors. He was washed up years ago - and he wasn't very good when he was in his prime.

In the most improbable pitching performance of the season, Wells threw seven shutout inning in his last start at Coors Field. I don't se…e that type of fluke happening twice. The last time Wells didn't allow a run through seven innings was 2007.

As a sidenote, the over has cashed 14 of the past 17 times Brian Knight has been behind the plate for a Friday game.

Pick Made: Jul 6 2012 12:39AM PST

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella 3* NY Yankees