7-7-12

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Fantasy Sports Gametime
Baseball Saturday

100* Play Washington (-200) over Colorado (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 4:00 PM EST
Colorado has lost 12 of the last 14 games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and they have also lost 11 of the last 13 games
when playing on a Saturday. Colorado has lost 19 of the last 27 day games and they have lost 16 of the last 24 games vs.
left-handed starting pitchers.

50* Play Texas (-220) over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play LA Angels (-170) over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[poopoo333]

Paul Leiner:
500* MLB Over 8 Mets/Cubs
100* MLB Pirates -120
50* MLB Braves -115

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CHRIS JORDAN

300* White Sox -145 (don't list pitchers)

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Free Silver Key Pick for Saturday ML Baseball

Over 9 Total Runs, Miami at ST. LOUIS

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

2nd Biggest Baseball Release

50 DIME Washington Nationals Run Line -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG SPORTS

Game: Miami at St. Louis (4:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 9 -110

The Miami Marlins thought they might have a steal when they acquired mal-content Carlos Zambrano in the offseason. It hasn't panned out as his 4.82 ERA with the Cubs last year stands at 4.03 this season, and lately he has pitched poorly. Zambrano's last five starts have amounted to just 22 innings where he has allowed 21 runs. One thing the Cardinals have been doing is swinging the bats, scoring 82 runs over their last 14 games - just shy of 6 per contest. The Marlins have also found their offense as they have plated 5 or more runs in 12 of their last 17 games. The Marlins have seen just four of their last 22 games with a total set from 9 to 10.5 stay UNDER the total, while St. Louis weighs-in at 20-7 to the OVER in their last 27 as a favorite of -110 to -150. Home plate umpire Gerry Davis has been hitter-friendly with the OVER scoring 7-3-1 in his last 11 donning the mask. Play on the OVER.

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Minnesota +190 over TEXAS Pinnacle
The Rangers are slumping with five losses in a row. Over that span they’ve scored nine times. Throw in the big price tag on the Twins, plus the struggles of Derek Holland and there’s enough influences here to warrant a wager. Holland has been whacked in four of his past eight starts in which he’s allowed five runs or more. At home, he’s 2-3 with a 6.69 ERA. Additionally, the Twinkies own the league’s best OPS (.801) against southpaws. Sam Deduno last appeared in the majors early in ’11 with the Padres and he’s pitched a total of 5.2 innings. He also pitched briefly with Colorado in ’10. He once was a solid prospect with the Rockies before suffering from a variety of elbow and shoulder injuries. Deduno finally appears to be healthy and when healthy, he has good, quality stuff. He owns a lively 88-93 mph fastball that hitters rarely elevate and he can knock them out with a solid-average curveball that he gets hitters to chase. His ability to keep the ball in the yard (40 HR in 849.2 career innings) may be his best attribute. At Triple-A Rochester this year, he posted a 2.14 ERA and a .185 BAA in nine starts. As an extreme groundball guy with an encouraging strikeout rate, there is always a chance he has a breakout and it doesn’t hurt that the Rangers have never seen him. Play: Minnesota +190 (Risking 2 units).

BOSTON -108 over N.Y. YANKEES (GAME 1) Pinnacle
Freddy Garcia v Franklin Morales. The Yankees and Red Sox renewed their ancient rivalry with another classic last night that saw the game tied 5-5 after one inning. The Yanks went on to win and now these two will play a twin bill today. Whether it’s game one or two the matchup must be Garcia versus Morales for this wager to stand. Earlier in the year, Garcia started back-to-back games in which he could not get out of the second inning in either one. He was subsequently demoted to the bullpen and gets a spot start here. Garcia has lost velocity each of the past three years. His quality starts are dwindling and line-drive % is creeping up to a very uncomfortable 29%. Those are signs that Garcia is a great fade. Franklin Morales posted one of the lowest xERA’s of any starting pitcher with at least 20 IP in June. His strikeout rate was off the charts and his walks are way down. It remains to be seen if he can sustain these skills over an extended period but remember that he used to be a top prospect in the Rockies organization. Morales is way under the radar and is a huge underlay here against Freddy Garcia. Play: Boston -108 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).