7-16-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers - TIGERS TO WIN (-116)
Listed Pitchers: Santana vs Porcello
(Note: I'm risking 2.32 units to win 2.00 units)

2 UNIT = Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres - PADRES TO WIN (-114)
Listed Pitchers: Happ vs Wells
(Note: I'm risking 2.28 units to win 2.00 units)

1 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Tampa Bay Rays - INDIANS TO WIN (+126)
Listed Pitchers: McAllister vs Cobb
(Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.26 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play NY Yankees (-175) over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Phil Hughes has won 27 of the last 34 home games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has won 29 of the last 37 home games as a favorite of -150 or higher. Phil Hughes has won 25 of the last 40 night games and he has an ERA of 2.11 over the last three starts.


50* Play Cincinnati (-140) over Arizona (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Tampa Bay (-135) over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers

Chicago +124 over BOSTON
Dylan Axelrod is not going to dazzle many. He’s typically been a fill-in for injured players and to date, he has just five starts and three relief appearances. However, his 6.16 ERA is more than two runs higher than his xERA of 4.32. He also has a 49% groundball rate. Groundball pitchers always have a chance to do well but this isn’t about backing Axelrod. Aaron Cook goes for the Red Sox. In 23 innings, Cook has just two strikeouts. He has not struck out a single batter in three of his four starts. He relies on luck and defense. His last two starts were in Oakland and Seattle and those two parks have a way of making lousy starters look good. Get him in a hitter’s park like Fenway and the results should be much different. In two starts at Fenway, Cook has allowed 14 hits and eight runs in 7.2 innings for an ERA of 9.19. Expect the South Side to be a little extra jacked up here in support of Kevin Youkilis, who returns to Boston for the first time since changing his Sox. Aaron Cook is on our top list of pitchers to be faded when favored.

Washington -101 over MIAMI
Overall, the Nationals are 51-35. On the road, they’re 27-19 and they’ve won two of three in this four-game set so far. On paper, it appears as though Edwin Jackson is coming off consecutive rough starts with 12 runs allowed over 8.2 innings. However, one of those came in Colorado so we’re not going to put too much weight into that one. In his last start against the Giants, Jackson allowed a three-run homer to Pablo Sandoval in the first inning before settling down for the next four-plus frames. Truth is, Jackson has had one bad outing over his past 11 starts. Prior to outing at Coors, he had gone 11 straight allowing three runs or less and in seven of those starts, he allowed two runs or less. Carlos Zambrano’s career has not been rejuvenated in Miami. His flying start was mostly luck. He’s back to being the same pitcher he was in Chicago, long after his heyday. He’s still walking too many batters (53 in 101 IP). At home, he’s 1-4 with a 6.00 ERA. Zambrano has a history of being a volatile pitcher and now that things aren’t going so well, he’s not only going to have to fight to succeed with flat skills, he’s going to have to deal with his fragile psychological issues. Durability is also a concern. Zambrano has not reached the 200 IP level since 2007. He’s been struggling in the second half for several years now. His lacklustre skills and volatile emotional history question whether the season will end well. We’re betting it will not.

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 7/16
914 Tigers -117 @ 7:05p
902 Marlins -102 @ 7:10p
904 Reds -132 @ 7:10p
919 Indians +110 @ 7:10p
905 Cards -104 @ 8:10p
922 Twins -130 @ 8:10p
923 Mariners -105 @ 8:10p
912 Dodgers -102 @ 10:10p

[Mr. IWS]

401k Sports Monday Plays

Mon plays - Not a lot to like on tonight's card
2** Cincinatti/Arizona under 8.5(+105) - Both teams have quietly been under machines over the past couple of weeks. Arroyo has slipped into his 2nd half Cy Young mode that he pulls every year. Miley ended the 1st half weak, but I think the AS break will help him be 100% in this one.
2** Pitt +105 over Colorado(8:30pm) - Day 4 with Karstens and his 2 straight strong starts going for us

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

Kansas City/ Seattle Over 9: This Seattle offense is light night and day when it comes to scoring at home as opposed to on the road. The Mariners struggle to score at home, putting up just 2.86 rpg with a .196 BA, but on the road they have averaged nearly 2 rpg more, putting up 4.78 rpg, while hitting .256. Those solid road numbers should continue here vs Jonathan Sanchez, who has really been bad this year. Overall Sanchez has a 6.75 ERA and a 1.94 WHIP in 11 starts, while at home he has an 8.44 ERA and a 2.11 WHIP in 5 starts. Very bad numbers indeed and Seattle should capitalize. Jonathan's starts overall have averaged 11.09 rpg, while his home starts have averaged 13.8 rpg. Jason Vargas comes in pitching well with a 1.52 ERA in his last 3 starts, but a closer look shows that 2 of those starts were at home and the 3rd starts was at offensively challenged Oakland. Overall on the road this year Jason may have a winning record (6-4), but he has a high 5.09 ERA to go along with it and that has helped produce 11.09 rpg in his l1 road starts. The Over is 8-3 in his road starts, compared to a 7-1 UNDER mark in his home starts. He will be facing a Royals offense that has come around a bit after averaging 4.9 rpg in their last 10 games. Seattle's last 10 games have averaged just 5.9 rpg, but 7 of those games were at home and the other 3 were in Oakland. Overall this year Mariner road games have averaged 9.7 rpg, while KC home games have put up 9.1 rpg. I don't see how this one doesn't hit at least 10 runs.


CINCINNATI -131 over Arizona: This should be a higher rated play, but with the Reds coming off an emotional weekend sweep of the Cards and with the possibility of no Chapman tonight (he pitched 3 days in a row), I will play it safe and keep it at a 3 Unit play. The Reds are hot right now and with Pittsburgh struggling a little they know they have a chance to put some distance between themselves and the Pirates, so I don't really expect a letdown after the St Louis series. Wade Miley had been rolling a long, but he has been touched for 12 ER's in his last 2 starts. On the road he is 3-3 with a 3.40 ERA overall, but in his last 3 on the road he is 0-3 with a 6.26 ERA. Those road number may not get any better after tonight. The Reds average 4.6 rpg at home, but they have really hit lefties well at home, hitting .292 and scoring 5.6 rp/9 off of them. In contrast we have a D-Backs team that has hit just .225 and have scored just 3.2 rp/9 off of righties on the road. They will be facing Bronson Arroyo, who is 1-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last 3 starts. He may be 0-1 at home this year, but he has a good 3.71 ERA, with the Reds going 5-2 in his 7 home starts. Bronson has faced Arizona twice in each of the last 2 years and he is 3-1 with a 2,45 ERA in those 4 starts. The Reds have the momentum and should be motivated for this one, as they take care of a slumping Arizona team in game 1 of this 4 game series.


Philadelphia/ Dodgers Under 7.5: Joe Blanton has really struggled for the Phils this year, with a 4.98 ERA overall and a 5.23 ERa on the road, but he has looked somewhat better of late, allowing 3 ER's or less in 3 of his last 5 starts, while in his last two road starts vs Miami and Minnesota he has allowed 4 total ER's and the dodgers offense is not not even close to those two teams. LA is till struggling to score and they really don't score much with Nathan Eovaldi on the mound. in his 8 starts this year the dodgers have averaged just 1.12 rpg for him, while in his 3 home starts they have put up just 0.67 rpg for him. His starts have averaged just 4.38 rpg overall, while his home starts have averaged just 3.67 rpg. Nathan has pitched well at home with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP and should be able to hold down a Phiily offense that has averaged just 3.8 rpg in their last 10 games. I have been playing some overs in Dodgers games of late, but I will head the other way with this one as I expect no more than 6 runs to be scored here.

POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (6-6 -1.68 UNITS)

Since 2009, when playing a 2:00 pm or later game after scoring 3 runs or less and winning, the Over is 21-4 in Toronto games. Play On the Over 10.5 in the Toronto/ Yanks Game.

Since 2006, The Blue Jays are 0-12 in a series opener when they are off a win vs an AL opponent and they scored 3 runs or less in that win. Play On New York Yanks -173

[Mr. IWS]

Marco d'angelos first look
PHI/LAD U 8

[Mr. IWS]

Jason Sharpe

3 unit--Baltimore

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Point Sports
3 unit--Reds

[Mr. IWS]

Allen Eastmen
2 unit- Reds
1.5 unit- Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

VSI- Reds

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Anthony

Monday July 16, 2012

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees (MLB) - 7:05 PM EDTPremium PickPick: Money Line: -168 New York Yankees Play Title: regular play


Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals (MLB) - 8:10 PM EDTPremium PickPick: Money Line: -103 Seattle Mariners Play Title: regular play

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Betting Professor

Here are the Monday picks for MLB with the current Money Lines:

Miami Marlins +101
Milwaukee Brewers -107
Los Angeles Dodgers +102

[Mr. IWS]

Jeffrey James from YWN crew,


#912 Los Angeles Dodgers with Capuano moneyline -120 (10:10 edt)