7-24-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio's *10* Pitching Mismatch **WON 10 IN A ROW**

Play on Baltimore at 7:05 ET. While the Orioles failed to become the 9th team to pull off a sweep this weekend in a wraparound series w/ Cleveland, Tampa Bay had Monday off. Still, we give the O's the edge as they return to Camden Yards to host their division rivals tonight. Wei-Yin Chen had been one of our favorite play-on pitchers at the start of the season and we'll back him again here against a Tampa Bay team that lost back to back 2-1 games to last place Seattle over the weekend. The Rays are down big money vs. lefties overall this season, going 11-19 (-$960) and averaging just 3.8 runs per game (.225 team BA). They did get to Chen the only time they faced him this season, but we look for a different story this go around in Baltimore. Something has just seemed to be "off" this year with the Rays, who are just 14-22 since June 11th when they were actually tied for first place in the AL East. Their offensive numbers are pretty woeful as they rank near the bottom of the league in both runs scored (396) and team batting average (.232). They produced just five hits Sunday vs. the Mariners and were not effective at all during a 10-game homestand that included visits from a pair of sub-par pitching staffs from Boston and Cleveland. They averaged just 3.3 runs per game while dropping six of 10 and were a dreadful .183 w/ RISP. This is their first road game following the All-Star Break and starter Jeremy Hellickson has not won a decision since May 16th. The team is just 2-7 in his nine starts since that time (4.29 ERA). Baltimore is our *10* Pitching Mismatch

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Tuesday

100* Play Pittsburgh (-160) over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Chicago has lost 26 of the last 33 road games as an underdog of +150 to +175 and they have also lost 28 of the last 39 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Paul Maholm has lost 14 of the last 15 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 6.30 in road games this season.


50* Play San Francisco (-160) over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cincinnati (-150) over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

4 UNIT PLAY

Detroit -119 over CLEVELAND: (Added) Gotta go with the hot Cats here. Detroit has won 13 of their last 15 games and have been doing it with both hitting and pitching. In their last 10 games Detroit has averaged 5.4 rpg, while allowing 3.9 rpg. Doug Fister is starting to come around for Detroit, as he is 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA and an 0.86 WHIP in his last 3 starts. he has allowed just 5 hits and 2 walks, while striking out 18 batters in his last 15 innings of work. He should continue posting numbers like that tonight vs a team he has dominated of late. In his last 5 starts vs Cleveland he is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA, while in 5 career starts at Progressive Field he is 1-0 with a 2.61 ERA. He also has an 0.93 WHIP in his 5 starts here. Ubaldo Jiminez is not having good success right now and is really the weak link of the Cleveland staff. Ubaldo is 8-9 with a 5.24 ERA overall and 1-2 with a 9.64 ERA in his last 3 starts. He also doesn't have great numbers vs the Tigers in his career. Tigers hitters are hitting .314 off of Ubaldo and have a .403 OBP vs him as well, while in his 9 career starts vs them he is just 4-5 with a 5.37 ERA. While Detroit has really taken off offensively of late the Tribe has not as they come in averaging just 1.8 rpg in their last 5 and just 3.3 rpg in their last 10 games. Better Pitching, better offense and a ton of momentum should have Detroit walking away with game 1 of this series.

3 UNIT PLAY

Toronto/ Oakland Under 9.5: With the Pitching that Oakland has I just can't see these teams getting to 10 runs. The A's have the best ERA in the AL (3.38) and while a lot of that is due to their 2.88 ERA at home, they still have a solid 3.95 ERA on the road. Travis Blackley Gets the ball for the A's tonight and he has been solid posting a 2.86 ERA overall and a 2.42 ERA on the road. He also has a 1.04 WHIP on the road and just 6.25 rpg have been scored in his road starts. Travis hasn't allowed more than 3 ER's in his last 6 starts and his last 2 starts were vs the high scoring Rangers and he allowed just 4 total ER's in the two games. Brett Cecil is struggling this year once again, but this just may be the team for him to get back on track. Brett has faced the A's 4 times in his career and he has a 2.79 ERA, allowing 4 ER's or less in each of those 4 starts. The A's do score 4.02 rpg on the road, but hit just .223 off of southpaws away from home. Toronto is off a huge offensive series vs Boston, but that was in Boston vs a very poor staff. Bautista is still out and Toronto will start to struggle without him, especially when going up against a solid staff like the A's. I really don't expect more than 7 runs in this one.

POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (6-0 RUN) (14-8 +3.91 UNITS)

Since 2005 San Diego is 3-18 as a road dog if they won by 1 run in their starters last start, if he went at least 6 innings in that start. Play On San Francisco -169 over San Diego

Kansas City is 3-19, since 2005 off a game that was decided in regulation, but was tied after at least 6 separate innings and this is not game 1 of a series. Play on LA Angels -160 over Kansas City

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Washington +104 over N.Y. METS

When things take a turn for the worst, as they have for the New York Mets, it becomes tougher to snap out of it with each passing game. The Mets have not only lost seven of nine games this season to the Nationals, but they’re 1-8 since the all-star break and 1-10 over their past 11 after losing the opener last night. R.A. Dickey has returned to earth after putting up some ridiculous numbers.

Against Washington last week at Nationals Park, Dickey was hit hard (10 hits in 7.1 frames) but suffered just three earned runs. He’s now been banged around in four of his last five starts with a 6.75 ERA over that span and he was also rocked in an inning of relief against the Dodgers this past weekend. Suffice to say, his confidence is not what it was a month ago.

The Nats have won three straight and Gio Gonzalez has full skill support behind his 3.32 ERA (3.05 xERA) and 1.14 WHIP. He has quietly been one of the best pitchers in baseball with a 12-5 record and 129 strikeouts in 111 innings. He’s also a lefty and the Mets have won just 13 of 35 games against southpaw starters. A struggling Mets team now faces one of the best in the game. All arrows point Nationals here.

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays 7* Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 +111

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner 100* Twins / White Sox Over 8.5 50* Cardinals -130

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 7/24
902 Pirates -165 @ 7:05p
904 Phillies -145 @ 7:05p
917 A's +110 @ 7:05p
919 Rays +115 @ 7:05p
922 Indians +105 @ 7:05p
906 Mets -110 @ 7:10p
908 Marlins -110 @ 7:10p
909 Reds -150 @ 8:05p
912 Cards -130 @ 8:15p
929 Yanks Even @ 10:10p

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

300,000 Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

30 Dime Tigers

[Mr. IWS]

Al Demarco 15 Dime Arizona runline

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers

40 Dime Mets

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

40 Dime Houston

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

50 Dime Tampa Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

300 Dodgers