| Kevin MLBPredictions 2 UNIT = Los Angeles Dodgers - OVER 7.5 RUNS (+100) Listed Pitchers: Pomeranz vs Capuano (Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units) 1 UNIT = Seattle Mariners @ Baltimore Orioles - MARINERS TO WIN (+124) Listed Pitchers: Vargas vs Tillman (Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.24 units) 1 UNIT = Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers - REDS TO WIN (+122) Listed Pitchers: Arroyo vs Gallardo (Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.22 units) |
| Jeff Scott Sports TOP PLAYS 3 UNIT PLAYS LA Angels -148 over OAKLAND: The Angels has had a rough road trip as they come into this game having won just one of their last 5 games, but their last 2 opponents had something that the A's don't and that's an offense that can keep up with them. The Angels come in having averaged 7.7 rpg on their current trip and they score 5.1 rpg on the road, while the A's have put up just 3.5 rpg at home. The Angels did struggle in their lone meeting with Jarod Parker, but that was back in may when they were struggling offensively and it was also the first time they had seen him. Jarod was also pitching better at the time and the long season may be taking it's toll on him as he is just 2-2 with a 6.06 ERA in his last 5 starts. Now making it even harder for the A's offense to keep pace in this game is the fact that they are facing Jared Weaver. Jared is 14-1 with a 2.29 ERA overall, while on the road he is 6-1 with a 3.55 ERA. Jared has been even more special at night, going 12-1 with a 2.03 ERA and an 0.93 WHIP. The Angels have won his last 11 starts overall and he has allowed 2 ER's or less in 10 of those starts. Jered has really been strong against the A's of late as he is 3-1 with a 1.47 ERA in his last 5 starts vs them, including a 2-0 mark with a 1.66 ERA in his last 3 trips here. The Halos are coming off a 7 game stretch vs Texas and Chicago, but I don't expect a letdown here. They lost some ground to the A's during their last 7 games, so I expect them to be fully focused in this series as they look to take back second place in the AL West from the upstart A's. St LOUIS -110 over San Francisco: Google News Play The Giants had a great series in Colorado, in which they swept the Rockies and scored 35 runs in the process. I know the Giants offense is better away from home but not that good, plus they were taking on a Rockies team that seems to have given up the last few weeks. They will face a different kind of team in this 4 games and vs a much better staff. The Cardinals are once again looking to make a surge for a play of spot and they have been tough to beat at home of late as they have won their last 6 in a row here and 11 of their last 12. The Cards average 5.17 rpg at home, but during their last 9 games here they have put up 6.4 rpg, while their pitching has been superb, allowing just 1.9 rpg over that stretch. Matt Cain has been superb at home this year, but he has been hit around on the road of late with a 4.10 ERA in his last 4 road starts and he is just 2-2 with a 4.54 ERA in 7 career starts vs the Cards. Jake Westbrook has been very good of late with a 4-2 mark and a 3.72 ERA in his last 7 starts. Jake has won his last 3 in a row overall and is 4-1 with a 3.03 ERA in his last 5 starts at home. St Louis has lost all 3 of his starts vs the Giants, but St Louis is rolling at home right now, both offensively and with pitching and will not let the Giants steal game one of this 4 game set. POWER ANGLE PLAY (11-2 RUN) Minnesota +112 over CLEVELAND: Boy it would have been nice had the Tribe won at least one of their games on their 9 game road trip, but this is still their first game back from that trip and they aren't playing well at the plate or on the mound right now. During the trip Cleveland scored just 3.1 rpg, while they gave up a whopping 8.2 rpg. This team doesn't have much confidence in any faze of their game right now and they will be taking on a team this is playing with high confidence right now. The Twins are off a 4 game series with the Red Sox and they won 3 of the games played. Overall the Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 games and that includes a a 3 game home sweep of these Indians, in which they outscored them 28-6. Minnesota sends Scott Diamond to the mound tonight and he has been solid for them with a 9-5 mark and a 2-93 ERA. He is just 3-3 with a 3.63 ERA on the road this year, but Cleveland struggles vs lefties at home, hitting just .211 and scoring just 3.2 rpg off of them here. The Twins have been very hot offensively of late as they have averaged 6.1 rpg in their last 10 games and they should be able to get to Zach McAllister, who is 0-2 with a 4.05 ERA in his last 3 starts. Just don't see a focused Cleveland team here, coming off the long road trip and that will allow a very confident Minnesota team to take game 1 of this series. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Since 2009 Cleveland is just 4-18 when they are off a game in which they scored at least 6 runs, hit at least 2 HR's and still lost the game. Texas -135 over BOSTON: The Boston Red Sox have struggled at home all year and that includes going 0-2 and getting outscored 24-6 in the two games here vs Texas. Boston is reeling right now and it was never more evident than losing 3 of 4 at home to the Twins. Aaron Cook comes in struggling as well as he is 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA in his last 3 starts, while at home he is just 1-3 with a 5.96 ERA. Boston's pitching overall has struggled of late as they have a 4.93 ERA in their last 10 games, while a bullpen that had turned things a round this year is really struggling with a 5.70 ERA in their last 10 games. Not having Ortiz has hurt this offense as they just haven't been able to out score their opponents and you will need to put plenty of runs on the board when your facing this Texas team. The Rangers average 5.2 rpg on the year and they have put up 6 rpg in their last 10 games and that includes putting up 9 rpg in a 4 game set vs a very good Angels pitching staff. Yu Darvish has struggled of late with a 6.87 ERA in his last 3 starts, but he has the offense to make up for that and the Rangers have gone 2-1 in those starts. He will also be taking on a team that scores a run and a half less at home vs righties than lefties. This is a big series for the Rangers, cause the Angles and A's are playing each other and that means that Texas has a shot at putting some more distance between one or both of the teams. The Rangers are the better team here and they can really hit in this park, plus they have the advantage on the mound and between the ears. OTHER PLAYS 2 UNIT PLAY NY Yanks/ Detroit Over 8: Google News Play Arizona -115 over PITTSBURGH Washington/ Houston Over 8.5 1 UNIT PLAY LA Dodgers/ Colorado Over 7.5 BALTIMORE -140 over Seattle 2 EXTRA POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (23-5 RUN)(32-13 +14.83 UNITS) Since 2006 Baltimore is 21-2 as a home favorite when they are off a game in which their opponent's starter lasted more than for innings and the O's got more runs of the pen then their starter. Play on Baltimore -140 over Seattle Since 2004 Pittsburgh is 3-18 in the first game of a home series when they are off a win in which they drew at most 1 walk and they were NOT a +250 or higher dog in that win. Play Arizona -115 over Pittsburgh |
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