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Stephen Nover | MLB Money Line Sat, 08/11/12 - 7:05 PM ~Š double-dime bet 907 STL (+125) Hilton vs 908 PHI Analysis: The Cardinals are 23-12 against southpaws this season and draw Cliff Lee, who is 0-4 at home with a 4.53 ERA.
Lee has surrendered seven homers during his last two home starts. St. Louis is 8-2 in its last 10 games versus a lefty. The Phillies are 3-7 in Lee's past 10 home starts.
If you discount a poor start in Colorado earlier this month, Jake Westbrook has pitched well. He's won his last four decisions.
The Cardinals have the better offense and are the better team with the Phillies going with youth and rehabbing veterans. Cliff Lee is being priced more on his reputation tha€n performance.Stephen Nover | MLB Total Sat, 08/11/12 - 7:05 PM ~Š double-dime bet 909 MIL / 910 HOU Over 8.5 Bookmaker.com Analysis: €I'm not impressed with either starter and both bullpens are terrible.
Marco Estrada has yet to win, while Houston's Dallas Keuchel has a 8.44 ERA in his last three starts.
The Brewers have enough power to light up Keuchel, who has given up six homers in his last four starts and has walked 10 more batters than he's struck out.
Houston's OPS is 100 points higher at home where they average nearly 4.5 runs per game.
Jake Shields came to the UFC two years ago on the heels of a huge win over Dan Henderson and a ton of hype behind him. The hype train has slowed down considerably as he has gone 2-2 in the UFC and hasn't wowed with his performances. Granted, he has fought elite competition but his vaunted wrestling and submission game has been somewhat neutralized since his time in the big show. This fight is a new start of sorts for Shields, as it is his first fight in the UFC at middleweight, which is the weight class he fought in when he defeated Dan Henderson in 2010. This is a much more comfortable weight class for him.
Ed "Short Fuse" Herman comes into this fight having finished three straight after being out of action for two years due to a knee injury. Like Shields, he is skilled at wrestling and submissions. Although he doesn't have great hand speed, his punching power is under-rated and more than enough to stun an opponent and allow him a chance to finish by ground and pound or submission. Herman also is good at recognizing when he has an opponent in trouble and aggressively goes for the finish.
Shields’ goes into all his fights with a grappling advantage. In fact he is one of the best at combining American wrestling and Brazilian Jiu Jitsu. The big equalizer in all of his fights is that his standup is so far behind the rest of his game and his cardio has also been suspect. Short Fuse can exploit both weaknesses. If he doesn't get overzealous with his striking and allow himself to get taken down he can out-strike Shields and also tire him out. This fight is in Denver. The high altitude causes any athlete to tire if they are not acclimated to it. Ed Herman lives in Fort Collins, which is an hour away from Denver and has a little higher elevation. He will not be fighting the effects of high altitude. If Herman can drag this fight past the 1st round his chances of winning greatly increase. There are enough factors in Herman's favor to warrant a bet on the guy who's fighting in his own backyard.
Game: New York Yankees at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern) Pick: New York Yankees -150 (moneyline)
After playing soft for a bit and having had to face Felix Hernandez, and Justin Verlander in two of three games, the Yankees have righted the ship by winning three straight. The recent acquisition of Ichiro paid dividends last night as he drove-in 5 runs, making the Bombers' lineup deeper. Toronto has quickly played themselves out of post-season hopes as they are 2-10 in their last 12 games, and the pitching which has been lacking all season was no match last night as the Yanks hung a 10-spot on them. Today they turn to Aaron Laffey who could be in trouble as he has allowed nine homers in just 55 innings, and 52% of all Yankees' runs come via the big fly. The Yankees are now 22-6 behind Nova when facing a team that allowed 5 or more runs in their previous game. The Yankees get the call.
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