| MLBPredictions / Kevin 2 UNIT = Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants - GIANTS TO WIN (-113) Listed Pitchers: Gonzalez vs Vogelsong (Note: I'm risking 2.26 units to win 2.00 units) Washington snapped their 8 game winning streak with a 7-4 loss in Arizona yesterday. They are now 71-44 on the season and 39-22 on the road. The Giants won their last two games over Colorado on the weekend at home by scores of 9-6 on Sunday and 9-3 on Saturday. They have scored 8+ runs in 6 of their last 10 games, and are now 63-52 and 34-24 at home. Gio Gonzalez will take the mound tonight after a complete game his last start where he threw 117 pitches giving up 9 hits and 3 earned runs against the Astros. He is 14-6 on the season with a 3.32 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, and .209 opponents batting average, but his ERA has been slowly climbing as he posted a 4.34 ERA in June, 4.59 ERA in July and has a 3.71 ERA in two August starts. Ryan Vogelsong will pitch for San Francisco to make this a great pitching match up. Vogelsong is 10-5 with a 2.27 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and .215 opponents batting average. At home Vogelsong has stellar numbers with a 5-3 record, 1.42 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and .194 opponents batting average. After a shaky April start to the season Vogelsong has pitched to a 1.51 ERA in May, 2.02 ERA in June, 2.18 ERA in July, and a 2.70 ERA over his two August starts, which has put him into Cy Young talks. His last time out he allowed just 3 hits and 0 earned runs over 7 innings in a win in St Louis. Take note that the Giants are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall, 36-16 in their last 52 games as a home favorite, and 8-2 in their last 10 starts vs a lefty starter. The Giants are also 8-1 in Vogelsong's last 9 home starts, and 9-0 in his last 9 starts as a favorite. The Nationals swept San Fran at home earlier this season, but are just 3-9 in their last 12 meetings in San Francisco. Gonzalez hasn't been pitching his best lately and is coming off a long 117 pitch outing, while Vogelsong has continued to be great and especially at home. I like the Giants tonight laying just -113. 2 UNIT = Chicago White Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays - WHITE SOX TO WIN (-119) Listed Pitchers: Peavy vs Villanueva (Note: I'm risking 2.38 units to win 2.00 units) The Blue Jays won on Sunday 10-7 but are just 3-11 in their last 14 games as they are battling a ton of injuries to starters. They have dropped to 54-60 on the season and 29-25 at home. The White Sox are 7-4 in their last 11 after securing a series win against Oakland yesterday with a 7-3 victory. Chicago is now 62-51 on the year and 30-25 on the road. Jake Peavy will pitch for Chicago and he is 9-8 on the season with a solid 3.08 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, and .229 opponents batting average. Peavy has started two games against the Blue Jays this season, which were both home wins (4-2 and 4-3). Toronto's most consistent starter, Carlos Villanueva will take the mound tonight and he is 6-2 with a 3.30 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and .223 opponents batting average. Villanueva has been called on to start games due to Toronto's starting pitching problems and is showing a little bit of tiring, although overall he has been solid as a starter. The White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games after scoring 5+ runs in the previous game, 7-3 in their last 10 vs a team with a losing record, and 23-10 in their last 33 games as a road favorite. The White Sox are also 13-6 in Peavy's last 19 starts as a favorite, and 6-2 in his last 8 road start as a favorite. The Blue Jays are just 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Although they managed to score 10 runs yesterday afternoon the Blue Jays have had massive troubles scoring runs with their lineup that includes a number of Triple-A players, and I expect those scoring troubles to continue tonight against Peavy. Take the White Sox. |
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