8-18-12

[poopoo333]

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Chicago White Sox (Peavy) -145 over Kansas City (Chen)
Range: -130 to -165

3* Kansas City -1 over St. Louis
Range: +2 to -3

3* Dallas/San Diego UNDER 37
Range: 39 to 35

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

Marquee - St Louis +1

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
5-12, -405.5 Dimes in August

30 DIME
LIVE DOG WINNER


Tampa Bay Rays +140 (Cobb vs Wilson)

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

1 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees - YANKEES TO WIN (-110) *AFTERNOON GAME*
Listed Pitchers: Lester vs Phelps
(Note: I'm risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 unit)

1 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Oakland Athletics - ATHLETICS TO WIN (-160)
Listed Pitchers: Kluber vs Colon
(Note: I'm risking 1.60 units to win 1.00 unit)

1 UNIT = Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers - OVER 9.5 RUNS (-105)
Listed Pitchers: Britton vs Porcello
(Note: I'm risking 1.05 units to win 1.00 unit)

1 UNIT = Minnesota Twins @ Seattle Mariners - MARINERS TO WIN (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Diamond vs Vargas
(Note: I'm risking 1.20 units to win 1.00 unit)

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast

3* Pitt - 3.5 or 4 (Sunday)
Marque St Louis +1 or 1.5

[Mr. IWS]

JACK JONES

25* GOY Angels -144
20* Jets p/k
15* Chiefs p/k

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog Sports

Game: Texas at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Texas -130 (moneyline)

The Texas Rangers lost a tough one here last night, but this is a team that has been at their best after a loss. The Rangers sport a 46-18 mark after tasting defeat in their previous game. The Blue Jays hung in the race in the AL East for a while, but they have really dropped out of site by going 5-1 in their last 19 games. The Jays have had little bite as a dog where they are 5-13 in their last 18 games. The Rangers are winning the games they are supposed to as they are now 63-31 in their last 94 vs. a losing team. Roy Oswalt has been spotty, but is certainly capable of a gem. The Jays have really struggled against a pitcher with a WHIP of greater than 130 where they are a dismal 1-8 in their last nine. Play on Texas in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

MTi Sports

Rays +144

[Mr. IWS]

Andy Iskoe

Saturday

Giants +1 at Jets (36½): Although just an exhibition game, this one always draws hype in the nation’s top media market, heightened by the Jets and their utilization of Tim Tebow. The Giants have the more stable roster with their major concern development of running back depth. UNDER.

Chiefs +1 at Rams (35½): KC’s first and second units looked sharp in the win over Arizona. St. Louis’ offense needs more work and is likely to be the more aggressive of the two teams in that regard. Rams.

Redskins +1 at Bears (36): Washington coach Mike Shanahan continues to take these preseason games seriously and should give rookie RG III more experience at QB against a sound defense. Bears treated their opener as a scrimmage but starters should see more action here. OVER.

49ers +3 at Texans (36): Preseason Super Bowl preview? Perhaps as both teams are set at most positions and will seek to repeat last season’s trip to the Playoffs. Both teams were sharp in their openers. In this type of matchup the defense usually has the edge. UNDER.

Seahawks +2½ at Broncos (37½): Denver and QB Peyton Manning were very sharp in their win at Chicago. Seattle has a very competitive QB battle involving the trio of Matt Flynn, Tarvaris Jackson and rookie Russell Wilson. The Seahawks were very aggressive in their play-calling last week and should employ a similar approach here. Seahawks.

Cowboys NL at Chargers NT: Dallas is off a short week following Monday night’s game in Oakland and has serious offensive line issues to address especially at center. With the injury to Ryan Mathews, San Diego has to find capable replacements at RB. Offensive line play figures to be the primary focus of both teams. UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

ANDRE GOMES

WNBA - 653 New York Liberty @ 654 Connecticut Sun

Projected line: Connecticut by 4 points

The Liberty took advantage of the Olympic break to practice and especially to heal some of their injured players, especially Planette Pierson, Kia Vaughn and DeMya Walker. With their frontcourt now healed, New York scored 46 points in the paint in their game two days ago against Connecticut, their second best mark of the season. Not only they looked good on paint, as their better presence on the inside helps spreading the floor to give more space to their shooters and that's why the Liberty shot 6-16 3pts! Even without a star in the frontcourt, the Liberty have a deep unit that helps them in always being quite good down low throughout the whole games.
On the other hand, Connecticut had basically a no-show in New York. With Jones out due to injury and Charles struggling with 1-7 FG, the Sun were never in the game. They showed no aggressiveness (4-5 FT), but I'm sure they will look better today, with Charles bouncing back and with the whole team trying to be more aggressive on both ends of the floor. However, with even Connecticut playing much better today, I still believe the Liberty will be competitive tonight. Even though Connecticut has already routed the Liberty at home twice this season (92-77 & 97-55), the truth is that tonight's spread (7,5) is very similar to the lines these two games had (7 & 8), even though Connecticut had Charles and Jones on their best and with the Liberty having a banged up Pierson playing just 8 minutes and coming off the bench.
Therefore, we have good reasons to believe that this healthy version of the Liberty have conditions to make this game very competitive tonight, especially when the Sun will be playing without Jones and with Charles bouncing back but yet to be at 100% after the Olympics. So, I'll be taking New York on tonight's contest.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 653 New York Liberty (+7,5) @ -110 / 1.91

WNBA - 655 Los Angeles Sparks @ 656 Seattle Storm

Projected line: LA Sparks by 8 points

Seattle had a very easy win over a terrible Phoenix team, however they didn't look good at all. Sue Bird struggled the whole game with a stomach flu and even though Tina Thompson returned to the court, but she was clearly limited. With Wauters and Lauren still out, the Storm' post game is basically zero right now. They didn't have problems against Phoenix, but let's face it, the Mercury frontcourt is also a disaster, however the same can't be said to the Sparks' frontcourt. Seattle attempted 23 3pts shots, went to the charity line just 7 times and grabbed only 4 offensive rebounds against Phoenix! They will now face the Sparks, and the LA team has a big defensive problem in stopping pick n rolls, as their frontcourt struggles in defending this kind of play. However, Seattle has no frontcourt for this game, just Camille Little and she isn't a threat down low and she's a mid-ranger shooter.
I believe there will be no miracles for Seattle. With Lauren back and Bird at 100%, the Storm will be a very strong team. However, on this game with Bird struggling with the flu and Lauren out, the Sparks' powerful frontcourt with Parker, Ogwumike and Milton-Jones will pound the Storm down low and get a comfortable win today. Therefore, I'll be taking the Sparks tonight.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 655 Los Angeles Sparks (-4) @ -110 / 1.91

EARLY GAME PREMIUM PLAY (1PM EST START)

MLB - 951 Chicago Cubs @ 952 Cincinnati Reds
(Starting Pitchers: J. Samardzija vs J. Cueto)

On this first game of a double header, I like both SP to have a great performance and shutdown the batters for this contest. Samardzija is coming from a great outing against Houston and the truth is that he has allowed just two runs or fewer in six of his last eight starts, while his FIP has been lower than 4.00 in five of his last six outings. With the Reds having a lineup full of RH batters, this is a good matchup for Samardzija, as he is .242 BA, .347 SLG, 2.77 FIP and 2.91 xFIP against RH batters this season! This is why he has already dominated the Reds this season by allowing them just one run and three hits in a 7.2 IP outing.
Cincinnati will start Cueto on this early game and he is my current bet to win the NL Cy Young award. He is coming from 5 days rest and in fact, he is coming from a dominant performance against this very same Cubs on the road, where he allowed no runs and just three hits in a 8.0 IP outing. He has a season ERA of 2.45 and his August numbers aren't much worse with 2.82 ERA, 3.36 FIP and 2.88 xFIP. Against a poor lineup of the Cubs today, I believe Cueto will once again dominate.
Cincinnati will be resting Ludwick and Stubbs for this game and so, they will be missing some of their offensive power in here, especially as Ludwick has been hitting .330 BA in August. With both SP having a great spot to dominate the batters on this contest, I'll see a lot of value on the Under and so, I'll take it in here.

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 951/952 Under 7.5 (w/ J. Samardzija & J. Cueto) @ -123 / 1.81

[poopoo333]

SPORTS WAGERS - MLB

Pittsburgh vs. ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh +151 over ST. LOUIS
Over the course of a season, every team will suffer through a stretch in which their bats go cold. That has yet to happen to the Cardinals but they could be on the verge of that right now. St. Louis is coming off back-to-back games of scoring a lone run. That occurred against two struggling starters in Trevor Cahill and James MacDonald. The Cardinals have also lost seven of their past 10 games while the Pirates have won two straight.
The Cards have lost Lance Lynn’s past three starts but it should have been four after the right-hander was let off the hook when the Cubs got to him for six runs in five frames. He’s now allowed 16 runs over his past 22 innings covering four starts. Lynn has had trouble getting lefties out all season (1.68 WHIP against LH) and now he’s having that same problem against righties too. Lynn is finding the stretch run of his first full season to be rather difficult. It won’t help that the Pirates have had the luxury of seeing him twice already this year.
Erik Bedard is hit and miss. He can be downright nasty one game and blow up the very next. But he’s more appealing taking back a tag like this, than he is spotting one. We know he’s capable and it’s a risk worth taking against the suddenly struggling combination of both the Cardinals and Lance Lynn.


Tampa Bay vs L.A. ANGELS
Tampa Bay +136 over L.A. ANGELS
Tampa has now won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 19-3. In eight games against L.A. this season, the Rays are 7-1 and have allowed just 10 runs in those eight contests. Overall, TB is 16-6 over its last 22 games.
Alex Cobb is the next Rays pitcher to get a crack at the Angels. Cobb is not as consistent as his teammates but his skills are equal and with a bit of better luck (65% strand rate on year), his ERA would be significantly lower than his current one of 4.08. Cobb has an elite groundball rate of 58%. His xERA of 3.49 is more than 1½-runs lower than his actual ERA. He has good control and his strikeout rate is increasing. Those factors keep him on our buy low radar and it sure doesn’t hurt that he’s pitching for a red-hot club.
C.J. Wilson’s transition from a late inning reliever into a 200+ inning a year workhorse has been remarkable to say the least. However, we’re seeing a deterioration of his skills, particularly his control and strikeout rate and that should be worrisome to Angel backers here given Wilson's limited track record as a starter. Wilson has walked 69 batters in 154 frames. In games in which his strand rate is normal, he allows runs in bunches. In games in which his strand rate is 80% or more, he has to pitch out of trouble time and time again. In two of his last three starts, he’s reached the 100+ pitch count in five innings and had to be removed. The toll all this is taking on Wilson is adding up and with 223 innings pitched last year, 203 the previous year and 154 this season, C.J. Wilson is a pitcher that could be suffering from fatigue, resulting in a difficult stretch run. Once again we find solid value on this very live pooch.

[poopoo333]

Dom Chambers


30 DIME
LIVE DOG WINNER


Tampa Bay Rays +140 (Cobb vs Wilson)