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Sports Wagers KANSAS CITY +113 over Chicago The Royals are among the hottest teams in the majors right now with 12 wins in their past 18 games. The White Sox have not enjoyed much success against KC this year with just three wins in their past 10 attempts. Chicago is hitting a disastrous 16-87 (.184) with men in scoring position against this team and frustration is mounting.
Jeremy Guthrie has found life outside of Colorado much more enjoyable. He's been a much different pitcher since arriving here, especially in his last two starts in which he has not allowed a run while walking just two and striking out 14. With his experience and the ability to induce groundballs (40%) he gives his side a chance to win. He’s rolling along right now and has a very good history against current South Side batters of 53 hits allowed in 214 career AB’s for a BAA of .244.
Jose Quintana will try and turn things around for his club but his mediocre skills suggest it will be a difficult task. Quintana has a 2.77 ERA in 14 starts but we’re not buying it. He has just 53 K’s in 97 innings and when you pitch to contact you are bound to get burned. Quintana’s xERA of 4.09 and 4.44 over the past 31 days or five starts tell the real story. He’s been a pleasant surprise for the White Sox but ERA regression is inevitable and right now, this is as good a place as any for that to occur.
Miami -1½ +133 over COLORADO This venue certainly has influence on the posted total of 10 but Drew Pomeranz has a much larger influence on that number than Josh Johnson.
Pomeranz was scratched from his August 15 start due to chest soreness. He hasn't made it past the fourth inning in his past three starts and the Rockies have lost five of his past six starts. Also consider that Pomeranz will not be allowed to pitch deep into this game because of manager Jim Tracy’s strict 75-pitch limit on his starters and that is going to take a toll on the bullpen if it hasn’t already. Pomeranz is 0-4 at home and 1-7 overall with an ERA of 5.04.
Josh Johnson has been on the brink of top tier starter status since June. Over his last three starts, his ERA is 1.99. Johnson has outstanding control, a groundball bias profile and one of the best four-pitch mixes in the majors. He’ll face a Rockies lineup that not only hasn’t seen him much (just 45 career AB’s) but that will also be without their best hitter in Carlos Gonzalez, who is on a leave of bereavement. In those 45 career AB’s, current Rockies hitters have eight knocks against Johnson for a BA of .185.
The Rockies are a mess. They’ve been a mess all year with 45 wins in 118 games. They’re 14 games under .500 at home and will now face one of the most consistent and effective pitchers in the game while sending out a pitcher of their own that can’t go five innings. Chances are the Marlins roll.
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