8-21-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

POWER ANGLE PLAY

PHILADELPHIA -150 over Cincinnati: Google News Play POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY-- Since 2010 the Phils are 50-14 when they are off a win in which their hitters combined to leave 18 men on base and they were not a dog of +180 in that win.

NY Yanks/ Chicago Over 9

Seattle/ Cleveland Under 6.5

Pittsburgh -132 over SAN DIEGO

St Louis/ Houston Under 7

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Kansas City/ Tampa Bay Under 7: As I have said before, I don't play by the rules. Price is on fire and his home starts have averaged less than 7 rpg. I know Emmel is behind home plate, but I will buck the trend.

LA Angels -108 over BOSTON Google News Play

Detroit/ Toronto Under 9

1 UNIT PLAYS

LA Dodgers/ San Francisco Over 7.5

Atlanta +136 over WASHINGTON

2 POWER ANGLES FOR TODAY (36-14 L50) (44-21 +17.40 UNITS)

Since 2004 the Rangers are 17-2 as a favorite when they lost by 1 run in their starters last game and the pen did not allow a run in that game. Play on Texas -186 over Baltimore.

Since 2010 the UNDER is 10-0 when the Rays play a game with David Price and he is a 200+ favorite after throwing 100+ pitches in his last start. Play Tampa Bay/ Kansas City Under 7

[Mr. IWS]

5Lines

Total Line for 08/21/2012
(Lost last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Cincinnati Reds : o8
Cost: -110


Run Line for 08/21/2012
(Lost last 4 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Kansas City Royals : +1.5
Cost: +105

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Tuesday

100* Play Tampa Bay (-250) over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST

Tampa Bay has won 32 of the last 46 games when playing in the month of August and they have also won 50 of the last 84 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Tampa Bay has won 12 of the last 14 overall games and they have won 58 of the last 97 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.

50* Play St. Louis (-245) over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Seattle (-200) over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Leiner

100* LA Dodgers -120

50* LA Angels -115

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB DOG DAY (+72.97u YTD)

Colorado vs. N.Y. METS
Colorado +146 over N.Y. METS
Only the Houston Astros have less wins than the Rockies. This has been a season to forget for Colorado but unlike other teams that are out of it, the young Rockies have not quit. They came in here last night and beat R.A. Dickey. The Mets are 19 games out of first and 10 games out in the Wild Card race. Their season is basically done after a promising start and they’re starting to play that way. Facing the 47-71 Rockies doesn’t exactly get their juices flowing either.
The Rockies will welcome back Jhoulys Chacin. Chacin wasn't very good at the end of last year and certainly not in April of this year. But there's reason to believe that he wasn't healthy during his 3-13, 5.14 ERA streak over his last 21 starts. "It means a lot to get back out there. My arm feels strong again," Chacin said. "I want to contribute. It's been really hard watching what has happened to the rotation." Chacin has shown some wicked stuff as he produced a 3.62 ERA in 2011, pitching at a difficult venue while winning 11 games. He’s ready and raring to go.
Chris Young should never be in this price range pitching for the uninspired Mets. Young has a dismal xERA over the past month at 7.50. He has 46 K’s in 74 innings, not to mention a very troubling 15%/64% groundball/fly-ball split over his last five starts. To make matters worse, Young will be followed by New York’s shaky bullpen. As risky favorites go, you won’t find many more than Young, the Mets and the Mets’ pen.

L.A. Angels vs. BOSTON
L.A. Angels +102 over BOSTON
After being swept at home by the Rays last weekend and allowing 37 runs in the process, the Angels popularity is lower than it’s been in weeks and that presents an opportunity here.
Aaron Cook should rarely, if ever, be favored over another MLB team. This is a guy that has seven strikeouts in 57 innings for the worst strikeout ratio in the majors. With his control eroding, Cook’s once middling skills and xERA are now completely unacceptable. It may also surprise you to learn that the Angels offense owns the league’s best OPS since the all-star break at .819 and that number can go nowhere but up after facing this fledgling foe.
Earvin Santana has had three decent outings in his past four starts. He’s been tough to hit during those assignments, allowing only 18 hits in 24.1 IP while producing a 2.99 xERA over that span. Santana is having a rough season but a 47%/19%/34% groundball/line-drive/fly-ball profile says the efficiency is still present. Santana certainly offers more value than the sinking Red Sox, especially with Cook on the mound.

Atlanta vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta +149 over WASHINGTON
Anytime we are offered a tag like this with the Braves, it deserves consideration. Atlanta is too savvy and mature to be intimidated by Stephen Strasburg’s presence. In fact, current Braves hitters have 31 hits in 99 career AB’s vs. Strasburg for a BA of .313. Strasburg's last two starts in the series have both been defeats for Washington in which he posted a combined 7.56 ERA.
Paul Maholm gave up a run and five hits in seven innings in Wednesday's 6-1 win over San Diego. He improved to 2-1 with a 1.57 ERA in three starts since being acquired from the Cubs on July 30. Maholm is 7-1 with a 1.19 ERA in his last eight starts overall and with an elite groundball/fly-ball split of 51%/21%, he certainly gives the Braves a great chance to win every time he takes the mound.
Strasburg obviously provides the Nationals with an opportunity to win also but a shaky history vs. this opponent, combined with this sweet price makes this doggie very appealing indeed.

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox - WHITE SOX TO WIN (-106) Listed Pitchers: Nova vs Liriano (Note: I'm risking 1.06 units to win 1.00 unit) Chicago won the first game of this series 9-6 after a 5 run 5th inning. The win moved Chicago to 66-55 on the season and 33-26 at home, and they are sitting in 1st place in the AL Central. The Yankees are 72-50 on the year and 33-26 on the road, and also first in their division. These two teams have met 5 times this season with the White Sox winning 3 of the 5. Tonight's starter for the Yankees is Ivan Nova who is 11-6 with a 4.76 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and .288 opponents batting average. Since the All Star break he has 7 starts and has gone just 1-3 with a high 7.02 ERA, 1.66 WHIP and .317 opponents batting average. Francisco Liriano enjoyed his first win with his new club in his last start in Toronto where he went 6.1 innings allowing 2 earned runs, and on the season he is now 4-10 with a 5.22 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, and .238 opponents batting average. His numbers are inflated due to an awful start in Minnesota, but he has been much better since April. Take note that although the Yankees have been solid overall lately they are just 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs a team with a winning record, 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 0-5 in Nova's last 5 starts vs a team with a winning record. The White Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs a team with a winning record, 16-5 in their last 21 home games overall, and 7-3 in their last 10 games after allowing 5+ runs in their previous game. Nova has allowed 32 hits and 24 earned runs in his last 4 starts (compared to 18 and 11 for Liriano) and I think Chicago who is playing well at home should be able to get to the struggling pitcher. Take the White Sox as slight home favorites.

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers
7-13, -368.5 in August

40 Dime

Tampa Bay Rays (RL -1.5) -125 (Hochevar vs Price)

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports

DOG OF THE DAY - YANKEES are 22-7 on the road when NOVA on the mound

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* L.A. Angels (Santana) +100 over Boston (Cook)
Range: +120 to -120

3* Atlanta (Maholm)/Washington (Strasburg) UNDER 7
Range: 7.5 to 6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd 5* MLB Run Line Game of the Week (4-1 L5)! Tampa Bay Rays -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers

WINNING DAY #3 OF 4
40 DIME RUN LINE MONSTER
TB Rays RL

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien

60 Dime MLB
Winner #4 in a Row
Blowout of the Month
Seattle RL

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

15 Dime MLB
Winner #5 of 8
BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH
Texas RL

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

250,000
Line Value Lock
Yankees