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  • Mr. IWS
    215 Hustler
    • Sep 2006
    • 100060

    #31
    David Banks

    August 25, 2012

    Houston Texans vs. New Orleans Saints

    The New Orleans Saints (1-2, 2-1 ATS) looked like a team with suspended
    players on defense last week vs. lowly Jacksonville, while the Houston Texans
    (2-0, 2-0 ATS) have looked every bit like the possible Super Bowl contenders
    that some project them to be. The significance of all that is this third
    week of preseason is the week that the starters play the longest, so strengths
    and weaknesses will be brought to light. The two teams get together down on
    The Bayou Saturday night at 8:00 ET from the Superdome in New Orleans, LA in
    a game televised nationally on CBS.

    The Saints will be short-handed all year with linebacker Jonathan Vilma
    suspended for the whole season, and New Orleans will also be without its best
    pass rusher Will Smith until Week 5 of the regular season. Both suspensions
    were handed down in the wake of the Bountygate scandal that also resulted in
    Head Coach Sean Payton being suspended for the year. The Saints performed
    admirably on the defensive end in their first two games, but keep in mind that
    their first two opponen6s, the Arizona Cardinals and the New England
    Patriots, each played their starters for just a couple of possessions. The Saints
    were exposed defensively last week though vs. the normally putrid Jaguars'
    offense in a 27-24 loss, as perhaps one of the worst starters in the NFL in
    Blaine Gabbert completed 13 of 16 passes for 112 yards and two touchdowns,
    and the Jaguars also added a whopping 170 rushing yards. Moreover, remember
    that Maurice Jones-Drew is still holding out, and it was Rashad Jennings
    leading the way with 62 rushing yards in 11 carries (5.6 YPC). The Saints should
    have no worries on the offensive end and they did accumulate 416 yards vs.
    the Jags, but they will not have things as easy as usual vs. the first string
    Houston defense for nearly three quarters.

    The best news about the Texans' 20-9 beatdown of the 49ers last week was
    that Andre Johnson saw his first game action since aggravating a groin in one
    of the first days of training camp, and he seemed fully healthy on a 43-yard
    reception. With Johnson and quarterback Matt Schaub both now healthy after
    injury plagued 2011 campaigns, it gives Houston amazing balance as it now
    has a very good passing offense to go with the best running game in football
    led by Arian Foster and Ben Tate. And don't forget about the defense, which
    improved by leaps and bounds after hiring Wade Phillips as the defensive
    coordinator last year and that has continued to impress this season, as the
    Texans suffocated one of the best offenses in the NFL on the road in Carolina
    26-13 before last week's second stellar defensive showing. Yes, Houston lost
    sack specialist Mario Williams to Buffalo in free agency, but you must
    remember he was lost for the season fairly early last year and there was no
    noticeable drop-off in the Houston defense, and that has continued this preseason.

    Houston's Coach Gary Kubiak is now 15-11 during preseason with the two wins
    this year, although he is just 3-3 in Week 3 dress rehearsals. Then again,
    he may now be coaching the best team in Texans franchise history.


    Pick: OVER 44


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    • Mr. IWS
      215 Hustler
      • Sep 2006
      • 100060

      #32
      Dom Chambers
      70 Dime
      Yankees RL

      Matt Rivers
      2nd Biggest Release
      400,000♦ Winner #15 of 20
      Pirates

      Bob Valentino
      One and Only
      75 DIME
      Dog Game of the Year
      Bills

      Chuck O'Brien
      Preseason Blowout of the Year
      30 DIME DOUBLE-DIGIT ROUT
      Steelers

      Anthony Redd
      40 Dime NFL Trifecta
      redskins
      steelers
      lions

      Scott Delaney
      30 DIME PRESEASON
      WINNER #6 OF 7
      Lions


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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 100060

        #33
        Kevin
        MLBPredictions

        1 UNIT = New York Yankees @ Cleveland Indians - YANKEES TO WIN (-148)

        Listed Pitchers: Kuroda vs Masterson
        (Note: I'm risking 1.48 units to win 1.00 unit)

        After being swept by Chicago the Yankees bounced back with a 3-1 win as their ace CC Sabathia returned to the mound. The loss was Cleveland's 9th straight loss, and they have been horrible over that span scoring just 6 runs over their last 5 games. The Yankees have Hiroki Kuroda on the mound tonight, and he has been outstanding as of late with a 1.39 ERA over his last 7 starts. On the year he is 12-8 with a 2.96 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, and .240 opponents batting average. Cleveland will send Justin Masterson to the rubber tonight who is 9-11 on the year with a 4.73 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and .264 opponents batting average. Over 6 July starts Masterson had a 5.55 ERA, and it hasn't gotten better as he has a 6.35 ERA over 4 August starts. In his last outing he went 5.2 innings giving up 9 hits and 7 earned runs against in Oakland. The Yankees are 9-2 in Kuroda's last 11 starts, and 43-21 in their last 64 games as a favorite. The Indians are 17-39 in their last 56 games overall, 5-21 in their lsat 26 games following a loss, and 1-5 in Masterson's last 6 starts as an underdog between +151 and +200. The Yankees are 10-4 in their last 14 games in Cleveland, and we will lay the chalk on them to win tonight behind Kuroda.

        1 UNIT = San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks - PADRES TO WIN (+164)
        Listed Pitchers: Richard vs Kennedy
        (Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.64 units)

        The Padres won last night's meeting 5-0 as even bigger underdogs than they are tonight. The win was the Padres 5th straight win and they've scored 26 runs over those 5 games (just over 5 runs per game). The Diamondbacks split a 4 game series with Miami at home before last night's loss and now are 2-3 over their lsat 5, scoring just 16 runs over that span. Tonight's starter for San Diego is Clayton Richard who is 10-12 on the year with a 3.73 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and .254 opponents batting average. His last outing was against San Francisco where he went 8 innings giving up 5 hits and 0 earned runs. Over his last 3 starts he is 2-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. Richard has faced Arizona twice this year going 6.2 innings allowing 1 earned run and 8.2 innings allowing 2 earned runs (both in San Diego wins). Ian Kennedy will be starting for Arizona and he is 11-10 on the season with a 4.24 ERAm 1.34 WHIP, and .277 opponents batting average. In his last three starts he is 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.81 WHIP. The Padres have won 4 straight meetings with the Diamondbacks and I think tonight they have a good shot at upsetting behind Richard who has done well against the D'backs. Take the Padres as big underdogs.
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        • Mr. IWS
          215 Hustler
          • Sep 2006
          • 100060

          #34
          Fantasy Sports Gametime

          Baseball Saturday

          100* Play Texas (-225) over Minnesota (MLB TOP PLAY)
          Starts at 4:00 PM EST

          Minnesota has lost 35 of the last 49 games when playing in the month of August and they have also lost 20 of the last 24 road games when playing on a Saturday. Minnesota has lost 9 consecutive games as an underdog of +200 or higher and they have lost 22 of the last 31 games vs. AL West Division Opponents.

          50* Play Arizona (-170) over San Diego (MLB BONUS PLAY)

          50* Play LA Dodgers (-170) over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)


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          • Mr. IWS
            215 Hustler
            • Sep 2006
            • 100060

            #35
            Northcoast 3* houston +3
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            • Mr. IWS
              215 Hustler
              • Sep 2006
              • 100060

              #36
              James Patrick Sports

              3* San Diego / Arizona Under 9
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              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 100060

                #37
                Jimmy Boyd 8/25
                5* (MLB) NY Yankees ML -155
                5* (NFL) Buffalo Bills +2.5


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                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 100060

                  #38
                  Greg Shaker | NFL Total Sat, 08/25/12 - 8:00 PM

                  triple-dime bet 275 HOU / 276 NOS Over 43.5 5dimes Analysis: Week 3 of the NFL Exibition season and as usual we are going to see more starters see more time in this week than any other week, including week 4. That's good for us here because we know that the Saints can score points, however can they stop anyone this year? They certainly did not do so last week verses the Jags and the fact is, being without LB Vilma and Superstar Pass Rusher Will Smith is going to reek havoc with this team, especially the first 5 weeks of the season. Lest we forget the game these two played last year, a 40-33 Saints win, and let's also not forget that we have 2 good QB Rotations for this one. The Texans want to win this game and will use their D starters deep into the contest. The word I have iŒs perhaps 3 quarters. But visiting teams that want to win is always good for OVERS and while I don't utilize a Model for Pre-season, I do see this as a High Percentage Play even with this high number. We could wait for it to slip down, but I am not so sure it will, and most likely not down to the key number of 42. Let's play 3% here..
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                  • Mr. IWS
                    215 Hustler
                    • Sep 2006
                    • 100060

                    #39
                    sean michaels lions first half
                    jordan sf giants rl
                    delaney lions
                    davis nats
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                    • Mr. IWS
                      215 Hustler
                      • Sep 2006
                      • 100060

                      #40
                      SPORTS WAGERS

                      Washington +104 over PHILADELPHIA

                      Roy Halladay is one of the biggest household names in sports. He’s carried himself with nothing but class ever since arriving on the scene way back in 1998. He’s a model of consistency, a Cy Young award winner and the list goes on. He also should not be favored over Washington and Gio Gonzalez.

                      Age affects most everyone. Halladay has pitched over 2600 innings over 396 appearances. He’s 7-7 this season in 18 starts with a 3.95 ERA. At home he’s 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA and over his last five starts he’s 3-2 with a 3.68 ERA. Consistent? Definitely. Dominating? Not. Beatable? Yes.

                      Philadelphia has just 15 wins in 38 tries against southpaws and Gonzalez is one of the best. Gonzalez has already shut Philly down twice this season (13 IP, 1 ER, 16/4 K/BB) and there’s no reason he can’t do it again. He has 161 K’s in 153 innings, a 3.27 xERA, a 10-2 record on the road with a 3.26 ERA and he’s also pitching for the best team in baseball. Win or lose, taking back juice with a top team, an elite pitcher while facing an inferior opponent is simply a no-brainer.


                      PITTSBURGH -103 over Milwaukee

                      The Pirates are still not being taken seriously. Here’s a team with more home wins than the Nationals and with the third highest home win total in the NL, yet here they are a mere pick’em in their own yard against a Milwaukee team that boasts a woeful 20-38 road record, not to mention the Brewers hapless bullpen.

                      Shaun Marcum comes off the DL to make this start after a two-month hiatus so there’s a reasonable expectation that we’ll see the Brewers awful pen. It marked the fourth time in the past five seasons that Marcum has succumbed to injury - including Tommy John surgery which erased his entire 2009 campaign. Marcum is a free-agent at the end of this year and with a history of durability issues, there is pressure on him to perform well. His fly-ball bias profile (42%) makes him an even bigger risk.

                      Meanwhile, Jeff Karstens is healthy and on a roll. Karstens only pitched 12 innings in April before shoulder trouble landed him on the shelf for two months. He's been mostly effective since returning to the rotation in mid-June, including a 2-0 month of July with a 2.67 ERA. The Pirates have won four of his past six starts. Even though 13 starts is a small sampling, Karstens has managed to bump up his strikeout rate and lower his walk rate to levels that warrant our attention. Karstens has put together effective stretches in the past, including a 2.65 ERA in the first half of last year and while he occasionally gets hit hard, he’s certainly undervalued here against a team that doesn’t win on the road often with a pitcher coming off a two-month DL stint
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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 100060

                        #41
                        SPORTS WAGERS

                        Indianapolis +3½ over WASHINGTON

                        The Redskins 33-31 loss in Chicago last week looks much better on paper than it actually was. Washington was down 30-10 heading to the fourth quarter when the Bears third and fourth units entered the game. They made it close but let’s call a spade a spade. Washington’s first and second units couldn’t score on Buffalo or Chicago.

                        The Colts are prepping diligently in this pre-season. New head coach, Chuck Pagano is the former defensive coordinator for the Ravens, hired to John Harbaugh's first coaching staff in 2008. Pagano's defense in Baltimore finished 3rd in both points allowed and yards allowed last year. Pagano is busy implementing the same aggressive and quick defense. It will take time, of course, but the team is buying into it and they are treating this kind of game different than most.

                        Andrew Luck and the starting offense are expected to play into the third quarter. Here’s what Bruce Arians, the Colts offensive coordinator had to say about this game, "We are using 60 to 70 percent of our stuff. For us right now, to be successful is more important than hiding anything. We want to be successful, build confidence in everybody, not just Andrew, but in the whole unit.” In two preseason games, the offense has been sharp and the defense is getting better. Indy rolled up 38 on St. Louis in their pre-season opener and just missed winning in Pittsburgh last week when they hung a 24 on the Steelers. This is a team that wants to succeed badly in the pre-season to change last year’s debacle and with all the hype surrounding RG3, we get a very nice number to work with here
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                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 100060

                          #42
                          Chris Jordan
                          200♦ Run Line Punisher

                          Biggest Blowout on
                          the entire MLB card!
                          Giants RL
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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 100060

                            #43
                            Sean Michaels
                            Fourth Ever
                            100 DIME
                            Preseason Play of my Career
                            Lions first half
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 100060

                              #44
                              Craig Davis
                              20 DIME
                              Winner # 8 of 9
                              Nationals
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                              • Mr. IWS
                                215 Hustler
                                • Sep 2006
                                • 100060

                                #45
                                JEFF SCOTT SPORTS

                                TOP PLAYS

                                4 UNIT PLAY

                                7 Point Teaser--- Indy/ Washington Over 35.5 & Oakland +10

                                3 UNIT PLAYS

                                WASHINGTON -3.5 over Indianapolis

                                Pittsburgh/ Buffalo Under 40.5

                                OTHER PLAYS

                                2 UNIT PLAYS

                                7 Point Teaser--- Houston +10 & Pittsburgh Buffalo Under 47.5

                                Washington/ Indianapolis Over 42.5

                                1 UNIT PLAY

                                Houston/ New Orleans Under 43.5

                                NFLX Record Top Plays 13-17-1 (-5.9 Units) Other Plays 7-12-1 (-10.8 Units)
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