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| Matt Rivers 300,000 Road Warrior Lock Reds |
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Lee Earnest
Cincinnati Reds -112 over Arizona D'Backs
This play tonight is all about backing Johnny Cueto. Cueto has had an exceptional season thus far and is currently 16-6 with a 2.47 ERA. Cincinnati is 18-8 as a team when Cueto gets the start. In his 26 starts this season Cueto has given up 2 earned runs or less 18 times. Cueto has had success against Arizona already this season. Back on 7/17 Cueto pitched 6 innings of 4 hit, 0 earned run ball. The Reds beat Arizona by 4 runs in that game. Cueto's lifetime stats against Arizona have been impressive as well. He is 4-0 lifetime against the D'backs with a 1.45 ERA and WHIP of .968. The Reds are 5-0 lifetime against the D'backs when he gets the start.
Wade Miley gets the start for Arizona tonight. Miley has been impressive himself this season going 13-8 with a 2.78 ERA. He has given up 2 earned run or less in 11 of his 22 starts this season. While Miley has looked impressive, his wins haven't exactly been as impressive as one might think. Miley has had the benefit of starting against some of the weaker offensive teams in the league. Teams like Houston, Miami, the Cubs, Seattle, don't exactly scream "offense", while he has fallen to teams like Texas, St Louis, Washington, the Dodgers. The Reds I feel are a middle of the pack offensive team and not quite on the same level as say Texas or Washington; they are more offensively explosive than the teams like the mentioned above. Miley has only seem the Reds once in his career and owns a lifetime record of 1-0 against Cincinnati however his ERA is 4.76.
This will probably be a close game and will come down to who gets the timely hits at the much needed time, however given the lifetime record that Johnny Cueto owns over the D'backs, there's value in siding with him at this cheap priceComment
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