8-31-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

ER Sports


15* Playmaker: Tennessee -3

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

TOP PLAY 5* NCAAF Friday Night Feast (27-12 Run)!

Tennessee -3

Boise St/Mich St 4* Friday NCAAF MARQUEE MATCHUP (ESPN)!

Michigan St -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

20* Tennessee-3

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers CFB

N.C. State +137 over Tennessee
Tennessee lost six of its final eight games a year ago and finished 1-7 in the SEC. The consensus is that with 19 returning starters and with a healthy Tyler Bray at QB, the Vols are in position to make some noise but the story is getting tiresome. Bray does have tremendous upside and he could surely thrive, but there are other concerns. The team’s top back Raijon Neal has only carried the ball 73 times in two years. Top wideout Da'Rick Rogers was dismissed from the team for violating undisclosed team rules. That leaves Justin Hunter (2 TD’s last year) and junior college transfer Cordarrelle Patterson to pick up the slack.

The Wolfpack get little respect every year but continually deliver some decent football while winning their share of games. They went 8-5 a year ago and blew away national ranked Clemson 37-13 before beating Louisville in the Belk Bowl. Mike Glennon returns after an outstanding first year as starter (backed up Russell Wilson previously) in which he completed better than 62 percent of his passes for 3,054 yards and 31 touchdowns. With a year under his belt and with four offensive linemen returning, he could be even better. In addition to a capable passing attack, NC State has a solid back in James Washington, who went off for over 900 yards and seven TD’s.

The Wolfpack are simply the more consistent team. They rarely beat themselves and they have the killer instinct when the opportunity arises. Tennessee is a bit of a wild card again. The talent is there, the results are not and every year they disappoint. The Vols will have to prove that they’re worthy of spotting points against a very difficult opponent. So far they have proven nothing. This game is on neutral turf (Georgia Dome) and we find it puzzling to find Tennessee as chalk. But that suits us just fine.
N.C. State +137 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.74)

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

ATLANTA -102 over Philadelphia
The Braves come into this series tied with St. Louis for first in the Wild Card race. The Pirates are a half game out and the Dodgers are there too, just 1½-games back. Every series is crucial from here on in. The Braves warrant our attention as they are as tough as shoe leather in their own yard.

Roy Halladay has been stellar in August, which is nothing new but he’s already been knocked around twice by Atlanta this year (11.1 IP, 11 ER). He also has a 4.31 ERA on the road.

Mike Minor is a lefty and the Phillies have six wins in 19 tries on the road against southpaw starters. Minor has a 2.45 ERA post All-Star break and it comes with full skills support. He has not walked a single batter in three straight starts and has pitched into the seventh inning in four straight. Minor already dispatched of Philly on July 28 (8 IP, 1 ER, 9 Ks) and there’s no reason he can’t do it again.
ATLANTA -102 (Risking 2.04 units - To Win: 2.00)

TORONTO +114 over Tampa Bay
The Blue Jays are 16 games out of first and 13½ games out of a Wild Card spot. With a month to go and having to leapfrog over a bunch of teams, Toronto is finished. There’s no chance that they would send Brandon Morrow, one of their prized possessions, out there after being on the DL for two months unless he was feeling strong and 100% ready.

Morrow makes his second start since coming off the DL. He was somewhat effective in his first start back with two runs allowed in 4.2 frames. That game was to shake off the rust. He still has an elite strikeout rate and a 3.06 ERA on the year and that’s with a low strand percentage of 73%. There’s no denying that he’s as talented as almost any pitcher in baseball but his maddening inconsistency prevents him from being considered among the elite. He’s just 28 and has many gems left in that talented arm.

Jeremy Hellickson is almost the opposite of Morrow. Outstanding surface numbers but completely pedestrian skills right across the board. Hellickson had 13 wins and a sub 3.00 ERA last season. 2012 is looking a lot like last year with the same average skills. Hellickson’s groundball/line-drive/flyball profile is 41%/21%/38%/. He has 48 walks and 91 strikeouts in 139 innings. His xERA is 4.45. Hellickson’s stats are comparable and to guys like Joe Saunders, only the results have been very different. These are average skills with great results, strongly suggesting a forthcoming ERA correction. Sell high.
Our PickTORONTO +114 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.28)

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Patron

20,000 Unit Friday Night Move

Michigan State Spartans -6.5 over Boise State


100,000 Unit MUST WIN Saturday Move

Alabama Crimson Tide -14 over Michigan

Only the 100,000 Unit Move is guaranteed.

Bottom line is Michigan just will not win the battle at the line of scrimmage. Alabama will dominate on both the Offensive and Defensive Lines and that will put great pressure on Michigan.

They are not faster than Alabama, they do not have the big game experience Aabama has and Nick Saban, when given a lot of time to prepare for a team almost always outcoaches his opponent. Im thinking 38-14 for a final score. Play Alabama

[Mr. IWS]

EZ Winners

3* Michigan St -7

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Dodgers -125

50* NC State +3

[Mr. IWS]

Rockdemansports DOG OF THE DAY Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play Cincinnati (-190) over Houston (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST

Houston has lost 31 of the last 35 games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and they have also lost 36 of the last 49 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Houston has lost 34 of the last 46 games when playing on a Friday and they have also lost 39 of the last 49 games after having lost 18 or more of the last 25 games.

50* Play San Francisco (-170) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Texas (-160) over Cleveland (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott

3 UNIT PLAYS

MICHIGAN STATE -7 over Boise State: I know about 8 days ago I pooped into someone thread and said that Boise had a possible chance of covering in this game, but I have had a week to think and ready and study this game and I found that I really like the Spartans in this one. The Boise Broncos have lost 6 NFL DC's on their offense and now they must go into a hostile stadium and take on a Michigan State squad that is loaded on defense, with 8 starters back from a group that allowed just 18.4 ppg and 277 ypg last year. I know that Boise reloads, and they may still have a great offense, but this is too tall an order for them to handle in the opening game when the timing just might not be there. Michigan State also lost their star QB, but teh difference for them is the fact that they will be facing a Boise defense that has just 2 starters back, with their returning leading tackler having just 48 tackles last year. I just don't see this as a good spot for the Broncos as they have lost way too much from last years team and will be going up against a Spartans team that will contend for the Big 10 Title this year. Michigan State by 10+ here.

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

San Jose State Spartans vs. Stanford Cardinal

The Stanford Cardinal begin life without Andrew Luck on Friday, but they
will still field a formidable team in a season that opens up with this home
contest vs. the San Jose State Spartans from Stanford Stadium in Palo Alto, CA
at 10:00 ET on Pac-12 Network. A lot of teams would be devastated after
losing the best quarterback prospect since Peyton Manning, tight end Coby
Fleener and starting offensive linemen David DeCastro and Jonathan Martin to the
NFL, but not the Cardinal, who in fact enter this season still ranked 21st
in the country.

Often forgotten after all that Luck did to revive the Stanford program is
the fact that the Cardinal ranked 18th in the country in rushing offense last
year with 210.7 yards per game on the ground, and that was after ranking
17th in rushing offense in 2010. Well, running back Stepfan Taylor is back for
his senior season after rushing for 2467 yards in those last two seasons
combined, the 11th best rushing total in the country over that span. But what
about the two departed linemen you may ask? Well, Stanford had its best
recruiting class in over a decade and the fifth ranked recruiting class in the
nation this year, and that included two four-star recruits in offensive
linemen Andrus Peat and Kyle Murphy. In other words, the blocking will still be
there to open up holes for Taylor and also to pass protect for new starting
quarterback Josh Nunes, a junior who himself was a four-star recruit when he
arrived at Palo Alto two years ago. The defense returns seven starters from
a unit that ranked second in the Pac-12 last year in both scoring defense
(30th nationally) and total defense (28th nationally), although one of those
starters, linebacker Shane Skov, is suspended for this game due to a DUI
arrest.

San Jose State may not be at Stanford's level, but the Spartans have an
up-and-coming program. This team finished at 5-7 last year to fall just one win
shy of being bowl eligible, a marked improvement after going 3-22 combined
in the previous two years, and San Jose ranked 23rd nationally in passing
offense with 276.8 yards per game through the air. Granted, Quarterback Matt
Faulkner is now departed, but his replacement has great potential as David
Fales fits right into the Spartans' system after passing for over 4600 yards
and 37 touchdowns in two years while completing 61.8 percent of his passes at
the JUCO level. His favorite target will no doubt be last year's leading
receiver Noel Grigsby, who is still just a junior although he already has over
1700 career receiving yards at San Jose State. If Stanford has a bit of an
Achilles Heel, it is that it ranked 95th in the country in pass defense in
2011, so the Spartans may actually be able to put up some points here.

That was not the case the last two years when Stanford annihilated the
Spartans by scores of 57-3 and 42-17 respectively with Luck under center. This
series has been dominated by the home teams, as they have gone a perfect 8-0
both straight up and ATS in the last eight meetings. Of course, this is the
eighth time in the last nine years that this game has been played in
Stanford, although San Jose State did pull the 35-34 upset as a 10-point underdog
the last time it was home in 2006.

Pick: San Jose St+25

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin 1 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs - CUBS TO WIN (+164) *2:20 PM EST START* Listed Pitchers: Bumgarner vs Volstad (Note: I'm risking 1.00 unit to win 1.64 units) Probably won't get to a full write up for this one, but Bumgarner went just 6.1 innings at home in his last start giving up 7 hits and 4 earned runs while walking 4 batters. His ERA is a higher 3.70 on the road where he is 6-6. Volstad got his first win in his last start going 6.2 innings giving up 3 hits and 0 earned runs, and looks to build off that start. The Cubs are coming off scoring 12 runs in a walk off win Thursday afternoon, while the Giants played in Houston Thursday night and now need to try and get ready for this afternoon meeting at Wrigley. 1 UNIT = Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees - ORIOLES +1.5 (-105) Listed Pitchers: Gonzalez vs Kuroda (Note: I'm risking 1.05 units to win 1.00 unit)

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd 75 Dime College Opener NC State