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TAMPA BAY -113 over N.Y. Yankees
The Rays go for the sweep tonight and there’s nothing to suggest that they won’t get it. New York managed just six hits last night and it was the fifth game in succession that they’ve had six hits or less in a game. The last time they did that was in 1990 when they finished in seventh place in the American League East with a record of 67-95.
Hiroki Kuroda is having a fine year but he’s just 3-5 on the road with a 4.13 ERA. Kuroda’s overall ERA results have outpaced xERA indication thanks to favorable hit % and strand % so it is likely that a slight correction is forthcoming. In his lone career outing against Tampa Bay, Kuroda gave up six runs and eight hits while walking four in 5.2 innings of an 8-6 defeat April 7. The pressure this time around is much more intense.
The Rays are playing great ball. They recently reduced 10½-game AL East lead to a mere 1½-games. Matt Moore's rough start against the Yankees came on July 2 when he was not in the best of forms. That is not the case now, as he has five straight quality starts with a 2.56 ERA in that time. Moore has flipped his 4.19 ERA and 1.40 WHIP from the first half to a 2.76 ERA, 1.23 WHIP in the second half and it comes with full skills support. Moore was a top consensus MLB-ready starter prospect in the game. He blew away AAA hitters and he’s starting to do that here. Moore has 152 K’s in 156 innings. This line is set on reputation, not fact and the facts are clear. The stronger, streaking club is undervalued.
Our PickTAMPA BAY -113 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 1.77)
Baltimore vs TORONTO
Baltimore +106 over TORONTO
How do you get shutout at home in back-to-back games against Joe Saunders and Zach Britton? The Blue Jays managed to accomplish that difficult feat and now they’re favored against a team that grabbed a share of first place in the AL East last night?
The Blue Jays just want to call it a year already. Among the injured are Jose Bautista, Brett Lawrie and J.P. Arencibia. That leaves the offense to Adam Lind (.232), Colby Rasmus (.227), Kelly Johnson (.224), Yunel Escobar (.251) and Edwin Encarnacion (.281) hitting with no protection. After Encarnacion’s .281 BA, the next best on the club is Moises Sierra’s .252 average. Toronto has lost four straight while being outscored 30-8 over that span. They have four wins over their past 16 games.
The Orioles are sizzling with nine wins in their past 11 games. They went into New York last weekend and just missed the sweep. Instead of letting down after that big series, they carried that momentum into this series and promptly disposed of a weak team in killer fashion. Sure, the Jays have an edge on the mound with Brandon Morrow over Miguel Gonzales but so what? They had an edge in that 12-0 loss last night and Gonzalez is providing Baltimore with quality innings in a pennant race. This wager isn’t predicated on Gonzales over Morrow. It’s the Orioles over the Blue Jays where any take-back is a gift.
Our PickBaltimore +106 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.12)
TAMPA BAY -113 over N.Y. Yankees
The Rays go for the sweep tonight and there’s nothing to suggest that they won’t get it. New York managed just six hits last night and it was the fifth game in succession that they’ve had six hits or less in a game. The last time they did that was in 1990 when they finished in seventh place in the American League East with a record of 67-95.
Hiroki Kuroda is having a fine year but he’s just 3-5 on the road with a 4.13 ERA. Kuroda’s overall ERA results have outpaced xERA indication thanks to favorable hit % and strand % so it is likely that a slight correction is forthcoming. In his lone career outing against Tampa Bay, Kuroda gave up six runs and eight hits while walking four in 5.2 innings of an 8-6 defeat April 7. The pressure this time around is much more intense.
The Rays are playing great ball. They recently reduced 10½-game AL East lead to a mere 1½-games. Matt Moore's rough start against the Yankees came on July 2 when he was not in the best of forms. That is not the case now, as he has five straight quality starts with a 2.56 ERA in that time. Moore has flipped his 4.19 ERA and 1.40 WHIP from the first half to a 2.76 ERA, 1.23 WHIP in the second half and it comes with full skills support. Moore was a top consensus MLB-ready starter prospect in the game. He blew away AAA hitters and he’s starting to do that here. Moore has 152 K’s in 156 innings. This line is set on reputation, not fact and the facts are clear. The stronger, streaking club is undervalued.
Our PickTAMPA BAY -113 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 1.77)
Baltimore vs TORONTO
Baltimore +106 over TORONTO
How do you get shutout at home in back-to-back games against Joe Saunders and Zach Britton? The Blue Jays managed to accomplish that difficult feat and now they’re favored against a team that grabbed a share of first place in the AL East last night?
The Blue Jays just want to call it a year already. Among the injured are Jose Bautista, Brett Lawrie and J.P. Arencibia. That leaves the offense to Adam Lind (.232), Colby Rasmus (.227), Kelly Johnson (.224), Yunel Escobar (.251) and Edwin Encarnacion (.281) hitting with no protection. After Encarnacion’s .281 BA, the next best on the club is Moises Sierra’s .252 average. Toronto has lost four straight while being outscored 30-8 over that span. They have four wins over their past 16 games.
The Orioles are sizzling with nine wins in their past 11 games. They went into New York last weekend and just missed the sweep. Instead of letting down after that big series, they carried that momentum into this series and promptly disposed of a weak team in killer fashion. Sure, the Jays have an edge on the mound with Brandon Morrow over Miguel Gonzales but so what? They had an edge in that 12-0 loss last night and Gonzalez is providing Baltimore with quality innings in a pennant race. This wager isn’t predicated on Gonzales over Morrow. It’s the Orioles over the Blue Jays where any take-back is a gift.
Our PickBaltimore +106 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.12)
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