9-10-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

BEST BETS

YTD 0-0

3% BALTIMORE –6.5


BALTIMORE –6.5 Cincinnati 41.5

Cincinnati surprised everyone last year on their way to a 9-7 record before losing their playoff game against the Texans, 10-31. They were about average on offense, averaging 5.0yppl against 5.1yppl and were about average on defense, allowing 5.1yppl against 5.1yppl. The Ravens were also average on offense, gaining 5.2yppl against 5.2yppl but very solid on defense, allowing just 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.4yps against 6.1yps and 4.6yppl against 5.2yppl.

Cincinnati lost G Bobbie Williams to these Ravens and tried to replace him with Travelle Wharton who is now out with an injury. They also lost their starting center, Kyle Cook, who was replaced last week with the signing of Jeff Faine. Carlos Dunlap is questionable for this game and he is one of their best defensive ends. They also don’t have rookie cb Dre Fitzpatrick. The Bengal’s also need to find a second receiver. Jermaine Gresham is a nice fit at TE for Cincinnati to go along with A.J. Green but they need that second receiver. RB Cedric Benson is also gone and replaced by Green-Ellis from NE.

Baltimore lost a few key people during the off-season in G Ben Grubbs, LB Jarret Johnson and DE Cory Redding. They also lost DE Terrell Suggs who is likely out for the year. Those defensive losses add up to about ½ their sacks last year. Baltimore is also looking to go more hurry up on offense this year which should help Joe Flacco and their offense continues to mature with WR Torrey Smith. They’ve also added Jacoby Jones to spice up their return game.

Baltimore qualifies in great week one situation, which is 46-13-1. I make the line seven in favor of Baltimore and a predicted total of about 42 points. Cincinnati built their wins last year against bad teams as they were 0-8 vs playoff teams. Against good teams on the road they lost by seven at Baltimore, 28 at Pittsburgh and 21 in the playoffs at Houston. They also lost by six at Baltimore in 2010 and by eight last year at home to these Ravens. Meanwhile, the Ravens were 7-1 vs playoff teams last year with the only loss by three points at NE in the playoffs. The Ravens were very good at home against good teams defeating Pittsburgh by 28, the Jets by 17, Houston by 15 and 7, Cincinnati by 7 and SF by 10. BALTIMORE 27 CINCINNATI 14



OAKLAND –1 San Diego 46.5

Both teams threw the ball well last year as SD averaged 7.2yps against 6.5yps and Oakland averaged the same 7.2yps against 6.5yps. But, both defenses were poor as SD allowed 7.0yps against 6.3yps and Oakland allowed 5.0ypr against 4.3ypr.

Oakland begins the year with plenty of new faces, mostly at the upper management level. Reggie McKenzie comes over from GB to serve as the General Manger. He brought in Dennis Allen to coach the team and two new coordinators as Greg Knapp is back in Oakland to install the west coast offense. Jason Tarver heads up the defense, along with Allen, who is a defensive minded coach himself. San Diego tried to address their pass rushing ability through the draft but did not address the secondary and that continues to be a problem for SD, as well as their defensive line.

Oakland qualifies in a week one situation, which is 76-45-5 but they don’t qualify in the best part of that situation. My numbers make this game a pick ‘em and predict about 51 points. Oakland is just 1-4 SU the last five games played here against SD but has defeated SD in three of their last four games (in SD and Oakland) as they have defeated SD each of the last two years in SD. The last five years here in Oakland have seen at least 44 points being scored in each game, including 64 last year between these two in the final week of the season. Both teams have issues in the secondary and have receivers that can take advantage of their weakness. Oakland won at SD last year because of problems at LT for SD. If rookie Mike Harris can’t protect Phillip Rivers in this game, Oakland will probably win again. OAKLAND 27 SAN DIEGO 24

[Mr. IWS]

Spartan - NFL MONDAY NIGHT MAGIC!

spartan | NFL Side Mon, 09/10/12 - 10:15 PM
double-dime bet 482 OAK -1.0 (-110) Hilton vs 481 SDC
Analysis: There are few certainties in life guys. I'd have to say de‹ath and taxes still top the list but another apparent item has been creeping up the pole, that is the stubborn fact that Norv Turner's Chargers are slow starters. It's a scene that has been repeating itself and I am not bucking the trend here as they venture into Oakland. Oakland has knocked off the Chargers the last four times they have squared off and I predict they will make it five. Oh, and they are 5-1 against the number the last six times so they have had the Chargers number of late. Maybe Phillip Rivers will find himself monday night but he has not looked like the Rivers of old lately. I look for McFadden, (YES, HE's HEALTHY) to have a big night and if he can stay upright to have that season we've all been waiting for. Anyway, not going to beat this thing to death. You can clearly see where I'm going. I say let's go Double Star on the Raiders to send the home crowd away in a festive mood. Take the silver and black to make Turner squirm some more. Many sincere thanks guys and best of luck to us. Enjoy the game!

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers Pass NFL
MLB

Detroit -104 over CHICAGO
This series could very well go a long way in determining who will win the AL Central. The White Sox hold a slim two-game lead over the Tigers but the Sox are not in very good form right now with just three wins in their past 10 after losing a home series to the Royals this past weekend. They’ve also lost seven straight to these Tigers.

Rich Porcello has taken the loss in each of his last five starts but much of it was bad luck, as Porcello deserved much better. On the surface (4.58 ERA), Porcello appears to be an ineffective hurler but there's more to like here than you may realize. His base skills feature elite command and a continued groundball tilt that is up to 54% on the year. In August, Porcello’s groundball rate was an effective 58%. Porcello’s uncovered talents put him on the list of the most undervalued pitchers in the game.

José Quintana has a 7.01 ERA over his last five starts but unlike Porcello, he’s deserving of it. Quintana’s xERA over that span is 5.72. He has plus control but he relies heavily on his defense because he does not strike out enough batters. Quintana's upside remains as a back of the rotation/middle relief type in the long run and it’s doubtful he’ll be the one to snap the South Side’s ugly losing streak against this rival.
Our PickDetroit -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard | MLB Money Line Mon, 09/10/12 - 8:10 PM
triple-dime bet 916 CWS (-105) Hilton vs 915 DET
Analysis: Chicago White Sox v. Detroit

Jose Quintana heads to the hill for the White Sox in this critical AL Central matchup. The Tigers are batting just .247 against left handed pitchers this season, a drastic difference from the .277 they've hit off right handers. They have yet to face Quintana this season, and there's always an adjustment period for hitters when facing a guy that they have never seen before. Quintana will get to face a Tiger lineup that is slumping of late, having scored just 16 runs in its last six games, and batting below .200 in the process. Now, they'll be forced to fly in late from the west coast for a strangely-scheduled trip to Anaheim surrounded by playing at home and then playing in Chicago. It's definitely a potential flat spot for the Tigers, who are eight games under .500 on the road.

Rick Porcello will be making the start for the Tigers. Porcello has struggled against the White Sox in 10 career outings with a 4.95 ERA. Porcello has been the losing pitcher in each of his last five starts. Opposing hitters have batted .313 against Porcello for the season. The White Sox are averaging 5.4 runs of offense per game at home this season. With the Tigers possibly feeling some jet lag and a lot of hitters putting the ball in play against Porcello and his awful defense, the White Sox should be in a good spot in the series opener. The White Sox will also put some extra emphasis on this game as they face Doug Fister, Max Scherzer, and Justin Verlander in the final three games of the series.

PLAY: CHICAGO WHITE SOX

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 You Selections for Monday, September 10th

2012 Monday Night Football Totals Parlay of the Year!!!!!
Cincinnati/Baltimore under 41 1/2
San Diego/Oakland under 46 1/2

2-0 NFL or we'll email you Tuesday's Report Free of Charge!!!


MLB Best Bets
Miami/Philadelphia under 8 1/2
Atlanta/Milwaukee over 8 1/2
Cleveland/Minnesota under 9

[Mr. IWS]

From Platinum Plays

500K MNF Totals Lock

the Cincinnati/Baltimore Game OVER
the Total Of 41½ Points

Best Bets


the Cincinnati Bengals +7 over
the Baltimore Ravens

the San Diego/Oakland Game UNDER
the Total Of 47 Points

the LA Angels w/Haren -160 over
the Oakland Athletics

the Cincinnati Reds w/Latos -175 over
the Pittsburgh Pirates


Premier Picks

the Oakland Raiders -1 over
the San Diego Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play Washington -140 over NY Mets (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:00 PM EST

Washington has won 27 of the last 42 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have won 10 of the last 12 road games when playing in the month of September. Washington has won 34 of the last 49 games as a favorite of -125 to -175 and they have won 59 of the last 95 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers.

50* Play Philadelphia -150 over Miami (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cincinnati -160 over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* San Francisco Giants -132

4* Baltimore Ravens -5.5

4* San Diego Chargers -1

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Braves

3* Tigers

3* Bengals / Ravens Over 41

[Mr. IWS]

5Lines

Total Line for 09/10/2012
(Won last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Miami Marlins : o8.5
Cost: -110


Run Line for 09/10/2012
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - New York Mets : +1.5
Cost: -135

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso
15 Phillies
10 Raiders
5 Braves

[Mr. IWS]

401k Sports Monday plays
Washington -150 over NY Mets(7pm)
Wash -1.5 runs +110 over NY Mets
San Francisco/Colorado over 10.5(-110)(10pm)

[Mr. IWS]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks 9/10
480 Baltimore Ravens -7*

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
75 DIME
NFL Winner #5 in a Row
Raiders