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Craig Davis
20 Dime
Winner #8 of 12
Run Line Wipeout
Texas RL
20 Dime
Winner #8 of 12
Run Line Wipeout
Texas RL
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Sports Wagers Late pick
MILWAUKEE +105 vs. Atlanta
MILWAUKEE +105 over Atlanta
Don’t look now but the Brewers are just five games out of a Wild Card spot after being an afterthought this entire season. They are a different team home vs. away with a 42-28 home mark compared to a polar opposite 28-43 road record. The trend continued last night with a opening win in this series.
Tim Hudson has been an elite starter for years. He’s 14-5 this season with a 3.59 ERA but his under the hood numbers insist he’s beatable. Hudson’s xERA is 4.00. His xERA over the past month, covering five starts, was 4.46. He’s been greatly aided by a 79% strand rate. His strikeout rate is way down with just 90 all season in 153 frames and now his walk rate is beginning to creep up. Hudson has the wins and the pedigree but he’s not quite the same pitcher he was in the past. Wins will not come as easily as they once did.
Hidden in Marco Estrada’s pedestrian ERA (3.99) are intriguing numbers. An xERA of 3.49 shows he's made nice strides the past three years, in addition to the 2nd half this season. RH bats have little chance against him. He has a 70/6 K/BB in 63 IP against righties with a BAA of .184. Most notably, the Brew Crew have been playing too well at home for weeks now to ignore them as a pooch at MillerPark.
Our Pick MILWAUKEE +105 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.10)Comment
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