9-16-12

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Army (+3) on Saturday.

Sunday it’s the Ravens. The deficit is 252 sirignanos.

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DCI NFL

Week
Straight Up: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS: 0-1 (.000)
ATS Vary Units: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under: 0-1 (.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 0-4 (.000)

Season
Straight Up: 11-6 (.647)
ATS: 8-9 (.471)
ATS Vary Units: 40-85 (.320)
Over/Under: 9-8 (.529)
Over/Under Vary Units: 44-53 (.454)

Thursday, September 13, 2012
GREEN BAY 30, Chicago 26

Sunday, September 16, 2012
Kansas City 22, BUFFALO 18
Cleveland 16, CINCINNATI 15
Minnesota 26, INDIANAPOLIS 23
New Orleans 40, CAROLINA 28
Houston 22, JACKSONVILLE 15
MIAMI 23, Oakland 20
NEW ENGLAND 31, Arizona 14
N.Y. GIANTS 37, Tampa Bay 12
Baltimore vs. PHILADELPHIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Washington 23, ST. LOUIS 18
SEATTLE 23, Dallas 18
N.Y. Jets vs. PITTSBURGH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN DIEGO 29, Tennessee 15
SAN FRANCISCO 31, Detroit 22

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Steve Budin - CEO

Sunday's Pick

The Baltimore Crew has a 50 DIME play on the Baltimore Ravens as the road underdog agalnst Philadelphia. As this play goes live on the site at 10 PM Eastern on Saturday night, the Ravens are anywhere between +2 1/2 to +1 dependiing on which books I've checked in Vegas and offshore. I believe in putting the power of money to work for us so if your line is +2 1/2, go ahefd and buy up the 1/2 point on Baltimore. Any number other than +2 1/2 (or the unlikely case you find +3), there is no need to purchase the insurance. As a former bookmaker I know the value of buying the hook on certain numbers in certain games.

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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL WEEK #2

HYDRA (5 UNITS)
49'ERS -7 vs lions (SNF)

TOP (3 UNITS)
COLTS +3 vs vikings (10am)
PATRIOTS -13.5 vs cardinals (10am)
RAVENS +3 (-125) at eagles (10am)
TEXANS -7 at jaguars (10am)
STEELERS -5 vs jets (1:25pm)
CHARGERS -6.5 vs titans (1:30pm)
BRONCOS +3.5 at falcons (MNF)

*All lines at Las Vegas Hilton Sept. 16th, 4:30am Pacific
** All times Pacific

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MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Nolasco is 3-0, 1.08 in his last three starts. Latos is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
-- GGonzalez is 6-1, 1.82 in his last seven starts. Minor is 2-0, 2.59 in his last four outings.
-- Phillies won last five Halladay starts (4-0, 4.73), scoring 39 runs.
-- Young is 1-0, 2.45 in his last couple starts. Peralta is 1-0, 3.00 in his two starts this season.
-- Volstad is 3-1, 3.22 in his last four starts.
-- Werner is 2-1, 2.59 in four starts this season.
-- Fife has a 2.16 RA in three starts, last of which was August 1.

-- Lester is 4-1, 3.66 in his last six starts.
-- Haren is 2-1, 2.33 in his last three starts. Smith is 1-1, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Straily is 2-0, 3.42 in four major league starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Lyles is 2-2, 5.84 in his last five starts.
-- Locke is 0-1, 5.73 in his two starts this season.
-- White is 0-2, 3.86 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 2-3, 9.57 in his last six starts. Corbin is 1-3, 5.79 in his last five starts.
-- Wainwright is 0-3, 10.54 in his last three starts.

-- Morrow is 1-2, 4.30 in his last four starts.
-- Moore is 0-3, 5.56 in his last four starts. Kuroda is 1-2, 4.40 in his last four outings.
-- Peavy is 1-3, 5.10 in his last five starts. Diamond is 1-2, 6.50 in last three.
-- Porcello is 0-6, 5.29 in his last six starts. Jimenez is 0-5, 7.44 in his last six outings.
-- Beavan is 1-2, 5.09 in his last three starts. Harrison is 1-2, 8.04 in his last three starts.
-- Wolf is 0-4, 6.53 in his last five starts, last of which was August 19.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won six of their last eight games.
-- Miami won its last three home games, allowing six runs.
-- Washington won 12 of its last 17 games. Braves won six of seven at home.
-- Phillies won 12 of their last 16 games.
-- Milwaukee won 19 of its last 25 games.
-- Giants won 12 of their last 17 games.
-- Padres won eight of their last ten games.

-- Bronx won three of its last four games.
-- Detroit won its last four games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Rangers won 11 of their last 16 home games. Seattle won six of its last ninr games on foreign soil.
-- Oakland won 23 of its last 29 games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Reds are 6-7 in their last thirteen games.
-- Astros lost 20 of their last 28 games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Rockies lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Arizona lost eight of its last ten home games.
-- Cardinals lost 13 of their last 18 games. Dodgers lost seven of last ten.

-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five games.
-- Indians lost their last seven games, outscored 38-18.
-- Rays lost six of their last nine games.
-- Angels lost four of their last six games overall. Kansas City lost four of its last six home games.
-- Boston lost 13 of its last 17 games, but won last two.
-- White Sox are 7-8 in their last 15 games overall. Twins lost 16 of their last 22 home games.
-- Orioles lost their last three road games, scoring eight runs.

Totals
-- Four of last six Chicago Cub games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Houston games stayed under the total.
-- 13 of last 16 Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eleven Arizona games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight San Diego games went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve St Louis games went over the total.

-- Under is 19-3-1 in last 23 Detroit games.
-- Five of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Texas home games.
-- Over is 9-3-2 in last fourteen Kansas City games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in White Sox' last six games.
-- Six of last seven Oakland games stayed under the total.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Over is 3-1-1 in Drake's last five games.
-- Col-SD-- Favorites won last five Davis games.
-- Phil-Hst-- Home team won 20 of last 26 Scott games.
-- NY-Mil-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Bellino games.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Hudson games.
-- Cin-Mia-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Marquez games.
-- SF-Az-- 16 of last 19 Joyce games went over the total.
-- StL-LA-- Six of last eight Demuth games stayed under.

-- Bos-Tor-- Underdogs won six of last eight Gorman games.
-- Chi-Min-- 12 of last 13 Cederstrom games stayed under, with underdogs winning six of his last seven.
-- Det-Cle-- Over is 8-1-1 in last nine Wegner games.
-- TB-NY-- 25 of 29 Emmel games went over the total.
-- LA-KC-- Fagan is a rookie ump; not enough data on him yet.
-- Sea-Tex-- Four of last five Everitt games went over the total.
-- Blt-A's-- Over is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Conroy games.

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Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at Arizona

The Diamondbacks look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 1-4 in Ryan Vogelsong's last 5 Sunday starts. Arizona is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 16 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Latos) 13.822; Miami (Nolasco) 15.979 Dunkel Line: Miami by 2; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8 Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Over

Game 903-904: Washington at Atlanta (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.177; Atlanta (Minor) 15.298 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Houston (2:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 15.965; Houston (Lyles) 14.833 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-200); 8 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-200); Under

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Young) 14.717; Milwaukee (Peralta) 16.170 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 9 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+140); Over

Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Locke) 13.682; Cubs (Volstad) 14.657 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-120); No Run Total Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); N/A

Game 911-912: Colorado at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (White) 15.418; San Diego (Werner) 15.744 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-150); Under

Game 913-914: San Francisco at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.269; Arizona (Corbin) 16.110 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-120); Under

Game 915-916: St. Louis at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.023; LA Dodgers (Fife) 14.631 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.315; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 16.496 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 919-920: Boston at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 14.812; Toronto (Morrow) 14.414 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Over

Game 921-922: LA Angels at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Haren) 17.091; Kansas City (Smith) 16.248 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8 Vegas Line: LA Angels (-160); 9 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-160); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 14.490; Minnesota (Diamond) 14.917 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 925-926: Detroit at Cleveland (3:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.722; Cleveland (Jimenez) 15.208 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Over

Game 927-928: Seattle at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Beavan) 14.313; Texas (Harrison) 14.652 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-230); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-230); Under

Game 929-930: Baltimore at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Wolf) 16.503; Oakland (Straily) 15.966 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+130); Over

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Today's NFL Picks

NY Jets at Pittsburgh

The Steelers look to take advantage of a Jets team that is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 road games. Pittsburgh is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Steelers favored by 12 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 16 Time Posted: 9:00 p.m. EST (9/12)

Game 197-198: Tampa Bay at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 121.960; NY Giants 136.920 Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 15; 48 Vegas Line: NY Giants by 9; 44 Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-9); Over

Game 199-200: Arizona at New England (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 125.587; New England 145.057 Dunkel Line: New England by 19 1/2; 52 Vegas Line: New England by 13 1/2; 48 Dunkel Pick: New England (-13 1/2); Over

Game 201-202: Minnesota at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 127.405; Indianapolis 124.286 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3; 47 Vegas Line: Minnesota by 1; 44 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1); Over

Game 203-204: New Orleans at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 133.168; Carolina 136.437 Dunkel Line: Carolina by 3 1/2; 47 Vegas Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 51 Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+2 1/2); Under

Game 205-206: Kansas City at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 128.986; Buffalo 125.019 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 4; 41 Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2; 44 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+3 1/2); Under

Game 207-208: Baltimore at Philadelphia (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 135.997; Philadelphia 143.347 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 49 Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1; 46 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-1); Over

Game 209-210: Oakland at Miami (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 134.696; Miami 130.404 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 39 Vegas Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 37 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-2 1/2); Over

Game 211-212: Cleveland at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 126.615; Cincinnati 134.845 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8; 44 Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7; 38 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-7); Over

Game 213-214: Houston at Jacksonville (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston 136.708; Jacksonville 128.335 Dunkel Line: Houston by 8 1/2; 46 Vegas Line: Houston by 7; 41 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-7); Over

Game 215-216: Dallas at Seattle (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 134.533; Seattle 129.672 Dunkel Line: Dallas by 5; 45 Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 41 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3); Over

Game 217-218: Washington at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.870; St. Louis 125.019 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 42 Vegas Line: Washington by 3; 45 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+3); Under

Game 219-220: NY Jets at Pittsburgh (4:25 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 126.424; Pittsburgh 138.842 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12 1/2; 44 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5 1/2; 41 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5 1/2); Over

Game 221-222: Tennessee at San Diego (8:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 129.776; San Diego 133.176 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 3 1/2; 39 Vegas Line: San Diego by 6; 42 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+6); Under

Game 223-224: Detroit at San Francisco (8:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 135.154; San Francisco 140.218 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 5; 41 Vegas Line: San Francisco by 7; 46 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+7); Under

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 17 Time Posted: 9:00 p.m. EST (9/12)

Game 225-226: Denver at Atlanta (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 131.670; Atlanta 133.243 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 47 Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 51 Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3); Under

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Gamblers Data

Free Play Sunday

Jets/Steelers over 42.5

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Hondo

Hondo resumed his sweeping approach to deficit reduction yesterday when he cashed with the Yankees and Alabama to reduce the NRN (nasty red number) to 1,555 vaughns.

Today, Mr. Aitch will go to Morrow over Jon Lester, aka Jon Lager, -- 10 units on the Blue Jays. Tonight, he expects the Niners to beat the number against the Lions -- 10 units.

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 909-668 (58 %) over the last 4 years PLUS !

Free play Sun: Over the total 44 Wash/SL Rams

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Cappers Access

Raiders
Seahawks
Rams
49er's

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NEWSLETTER

NORTHCOAST POWERPLAYS

4* PATRIOTS 33 CARDINALS 15 (If NE is -14 or less only otherwise 3*)
3*COLTS 25 (+) VIKINGS 22
3* PANTHERS 29 (+) SAINTS 24
2* RAMS 22 (+) REDSKINS 23
3* JETS 24 (+) STEELERS 25

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy Sunday plays

4 Eagles - 2 1/2
4 Bills -3

CFL

6 Montreal -6

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

4-Unit Play. Take #197 Tampa Bay (+7) over New York Giants (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
Note: This is an Advantage Play and my top NFL play of the week.
I think that a lot of people are just taking this win for granted for the Giants. The idea is that they are the defending Super Bowl champions and they will simply bounce back after their opening night loss to Dallas. However, if there is one thing that I have learned about the Giants it is that they are an excellent play on the road and as an underdog and a terrible play at home or as a big favorite. Last year they lost their opening game and then played a lackluster Monday Night Football game against a pathetic St. Louis team. They won and covered, but it was an uninspired effort on national TV. They lost outright as a 10-point home favorite to Seattle and they didn't cover on a 3.5-point line against Buffalo. They also barely beat Miami, failing to cover against as 9.5-point home favorites, and they lost outright as home chalk against Philadelphia and Washington. That was all just last year. In 2010 they lost as a home favorite to Tennessee, and went 1-3 ATS as a favorite of 7.0 or more at home, with uninspired efforts at -10 against Detroit, losing at -11.5 against Dallas, and at -8 against Jacksonville. The Giants just don't get up for these games. I think that Tampa Bay is a solid, under-the-radar team. They have a lot of very good offensive skill players and I think that they will push back against the G-Men on both the offensive and defensive lines. I don't know that I will call for the outright upset. But I know that the value here is all on the road team in a game that is off just about everyone's radar. Take the Bucs here.

3.5-Unit Play. Take #215 Dallas (-3) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
Unlike the Giants, I think that Dallas will have put its extra preparation time to good use. This team has to feel like it has a lot of momentum after handling the Giants in the opener and they have to be feeling good about themselves. This play is also a bit similar to the Atlanta play that we used last week. The line on that game, just as with this one, is being held down because of the perception of home field advantage. Sure, Seattle is a tough place to play when the Seahawks are good or a team is just completely overlooking them. But that is definitely not the case here. Dallas went into San Francisco and won last year and they dominated Seattle in Big D last season as well. Russell Wilson looked lost and scattered last week against Arizona and now he's facing a much better defense from the Cowboys. He will see a lot of blitzes, a lot of pressure, and I don't know that he has the weapons or the ability to keep cool in the face of the Dallas heat. This is a very square play, with a lot of action on Dallas, but at 3.0 I think that this line is a steal and is definitely worth some action. Dallas is 5-1 ATS in this series and the road team is 5-2 ATS. Seattle is just 6-15 ATS against a team with a winning record.

2-Unit Play. Take #200 New England (-13.5) over Arizona (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
I can't think of many reasons why New England won't win by 30 here. The only one is that maybe they are looking ahead to their game with Baltimore next week. But other than that, this one should be all Patriots. New England took some punches from Tennessee last week but still ended up winning handily on the road. And they did just enough things wrong where I'm sure Bill Belichick had plenty to get on his team about this week in practice. They could afford to sharpen up on offense. Arizona, on the other hand, was lucky to get a win. They were lucky to beat Seattle and its in-over-his-head rookie quarterback. Now they have to travel across the country and are a West Coast team making the dreaded 1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16 EST start (which is 10 a.m. on Arizona's body clock). It is the Patriots home opener and this fits right in with each team's wheelhouse: Arizona has shown a propensity to just mail it in when they get down and thus get blown out, while New England has shown an ability to find another gear and just lay into teams that aren't ready to play. These two teams are on two different levels. The Patriots went 3-1 last year as a double-digit favorite and they beat Arizona 47-7 the last time these two met. Lay the big number.

2-Unit Play. Take #201 Minnesota (-1) over Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

2-Unit Play. Take #220 Pittsburgh (-5.5) over N.Y. Jets (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

2-Unit Play. Take #224 San Francisco (-6.5) over Detroit (8:20 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #214 Jacksonville (+7.5) over Houston (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

1-Unit Play. Take #209 Oakland (-2.5) over Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

1-Unit Play. Take #221 Tennessee (+6) over San Diego (4:20 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

This Week's Totals

2.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 44.5 Minnesota at Indianapolis (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.5 Baltimore at Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Dallas at Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 41.5 Houston at Jacksonville (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)

Teasers

NOTE: These are 7-Point teasers. If you don't know how to play teasers or aren't comfortable playing teasers, there is more than enough other action to keep you occupied!

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #200 New England (-6.5) over Arizona (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16) AND Take #225 Denver (+10) over Atlanta (8:30 p.m., Monday, Sept. 17)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #197 Tampa Bay (+14) over New York Giants (1 p.m.) AND #221 Tennessee (+13) over San Diego (4:20 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

NFL Selections:

7-Unit Play. Take #200 New England (-13.5) over Arizona (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
Note: This is our NFL Blowout Game of the Year.
New England just may win this game by 30+. The only negative that I could find is that the Patriots play the Baltimore Ravens next week. Then I thought to myself and realized that the Patriots are a professional organization by all accounts and their coaching staff and Tom Brady don't get caught in look-ahead games. Last season the Patriots were playing Kansas City and they were favored by 17. They had the Eagles the next week and many people thought they would come out flat due to the big game the next weekend. New England went on to beat the Chiefs 34-3 to cover that 17-point line with ease. This week's matchup should be eerily similar to that one as New England dominates from the opening whistle. Arizona is in a tough spot as they had a come from behind victory last weekend in a game where they lost their starting QB, and now they have to travel all the way to the East Coast for a 1 p.m., game. The Cards are just 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games. In their recent history New England is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings. Look for New England's new defensive youngsters to get all over Kevin Kolb, causing turnovers which lead to short fields and quick points for the Patriots highly potent offense. Arizona will struggle to contain both the Patriots passing attack and their newfound running game with Steven Ridley. The Patriots were 3-1 ATS last season when saddled with double-digit lines including their 45-10 drubbing of the Broncos in the playoffs. This early in the season New England will keep the pressure on until the end to make a statement to the league that they are still the class of the AFC.

3-Unit Play. Take #221 Tennessee (+6) over San Diego (4:30 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 16)
Why in the world is San Diego favored by nearly a touchdown? They have absolutely no business being favored over the Titans by this much. San Diego isn't that great of a squad. They barely beat Oakland last week and that was because the Raiders long snapper was rolling the ball to the punter. Tennessee meanwhile is a bit undervalued after their less than stellar showing versus the Patriots last Sunday. New England was favored over Tennessee by nearly this same number and the Chargers are not in the same league as New England. The Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and 3-1-1 ATS in their last three road games. Tennessee is also 20-7 ATS after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. I see the Titans bouncing back in a big way and quite possible winning this game outright let alone covering the line. San Diego is just not that great a team early in the year. They always seem to play much better as the calendar turns. If this was a home game for the Chargers in December I may be on the other side of the card, but in September I am all over the Titans. San Diego is just 1-4 ATS in their last five September games. Take the points here.