9-27-12

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

Thursday's Action...


30 Dime Play tonight is anotger 2-Team teaser, as I go with the Washington Huskies in the college ranks teased up, and the Cleveland Browns in the NFL also teasjed up. As of 9:30 am eastern, the prices are Washington +7, and Cleveland +12. PAY CLOSE ATTENTION! This is a 2 Team, 7-Point Teaser, meaning you will wager a little extra juice, but you will also be getting the extra-point in both cases. That means we will get Washington +14 and Cleveland +19 when the dust settles.
the turnover battle to stay in this game, and I think they just might do that as Baltimore will come in a little flat off that emotional win. Baltimore will win, but Cleveland will cover.

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

Thursday's winner...


My 40-Dime Wgnner is on the BALTIMORE RAVENS against the Cleveland Browns, at M&T Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland. As I release this AFC North showdown at 9:30 a.m. eastern, a majornty of the lines I see both Offshore and in Las Vegas has this game at Baltimore -12

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lovell

10 Star NFL Browns vs Ravens Under 44

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4 units New York Liberty under 154 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
50 Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 You Selections for Thursday, September 27th

2012 PAC 12 North Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Stanford/Washington under 48 1/2

You Win or we'll email you Friday's Report Free of Charge!!!

Bets Bets
Cleveland/Baltimore under 44
Miami/Atlanta over 8
Oakland/Texas under 9
Tampa Bay/Chicago under 8

[Mr. IWS]

From Platinum Plays

500K Pac-12 TV Lock/Year

the Stanford Cardinal -6½ over
the Washington Huskies

Best Bets



the Stanford/Washington Game UNDER
the Total Of 48 Points

the Cleveland/Baltimore Game OVER
the Total Of 44 Points

the NY Yankees w/Nova -140 over
the Toronto Blue Jays

the San Diego Padres w/Kelly +110 over
the LA Dodgers
Premier Pick



the Baltimore Ravens -12 over
the Cleveland Browns

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo 9/27
101 Browns +12.5 @ 8:20p

952 Reds -170 @ 12:35p
958 Giants -112 @ 3:45p
959 Nationals -133 @ 7:05p
971 Yanks -132 @ 7:05p
973 Rays -105 @ 8:10p
964 Padres +105 @ 10:05p

[Mr. IWS]

4.5-STAR Tampa Bay over CHICAGO - In are last few plays we've talked about Jake Peavy wearing down after throwing nearly double the innings of any of his last three seasons. That continues to happen and the White Sox are going with him. James Shields meanwhile is having no such problems with Tampa Bay. At even money, Tampa Bay is the team you want to back here.

Chicago enters having lost two straight games and seven of their last eight. The Rays are 56-26 since April 15, 2011 vs a team that has lost at least their last two games for a net profit of $2428.
Tampa Bay meanwhile has now won seven straight games. The White Sox are 4-12 since August 02, 2011 when playing a night game vs a team that has won at least their last four games for a net profit of $711 when playing against.
That is also a good sign for Shields to front run. The Rays are 13-2 since April 14, 2011 when James Shields starts after the team won their last two games for a net profit of $1169.
Yesterday, Tampa beat Boston , 4-2. They had trailed after four innings in that one. The Rays are 34-16 since July 29, 2011 when they are off a win in which they came back from a deficit for a net profit of $1814.
Tampa Bay overcame a huge night of striking out there with 14 total in the game. The Rays are 14-3 since May 20, 2008 if not a -140 or greater favorite after a game where they struck out at least 14 times.
Tampa Bay really dipped into the bullpen to win that one, using six pitchers in the game. The Rays are 17-5 since August 21, 2006 when James Shields starts when their team used 6+ pitchers yesterday for a net profit of $1065.
Peavy struggled in his last start, allowing five runs and not getting much support in a 6-2 loss. The White Sox are 2-6 since May 04, 2012 when Jake Peavy starts after his team scored a total of fewer than three runs in his last start for a net profit of $515 when playing against. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Tampa Bay 6, CHICAGO 2

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Ravens -12

50* Tampa Rays -110

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Tampa Bay -104 over CHICAGO
The White Sox are dropping quicker than Eric Gagne’s list of friends. They’ve been sitting in first place since July 23 but after another loss last night, their seventh in eight games, they wake up in second place today and having to face the hottest team in the majors with one of the best starters in the AL taking the hill today.

Tampa is on a seven-game winning streak. James Shields has a 1.93 ERA over his last five starts, which should come as no surprise as his xERA since July 1 is 2.94. Shields has 202 K’s in 212 innings to go along with an elite 53% groundball rate. You can count on his skills, reliability and consistency. The man is the straight goods.

The South Side has lost six of Jake Peavy’s last nine starts. Peavy’s last start was moved back because of fatigue and at the age of 31, with 203 innings under his belt this year, with a history of injuries, he’s too big a risk for our liking. Peavy’s batted ball profile of 37%/43% GB/FB doesn’t exactly instil confidence either. He’s posted a 5.33 ERA over his past five starts with an almost identical 5.04 xERA over that same span. Big edge to the Rays with small price to spot has us at the betting window.
Our PickTampa Bay -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)

COLORADO -1½ +129 over Chicago
3:10 PM EST. We mentioned yesterday how the Cubs will have no motivation to close out the year after a set of relevant series against the Pirates, Reds and Cardinals. They dropped the opener of this set 10-5 and followed that up with a 6-0 loss last night. Let’s head back to the well once again.

The Rockies will face one of the weaker major leaguers in Chris Volstad. Volstad has made 19 starts and has three wins. In 101 innings, he’s walked 43 and struck out 55. He’s walked more batters than struck out in each of his past six starts. In his last outing, he didn’t strike out anyone. It gets worse. Volstad has a 1.63 WHIP, a 6.22 ERA with a .6.04 xERA and a disturbing 27% line-drive rate over his last six starts. Volstad has been a MLB punching bag and at this park and it’s not about to stop.

Jhoulys Chacin goes for the Rocks. He’s made just 12 starts after spending most of the year on the DL and the results have been mixed. Taking a wait-and-see approach would be wise in most instances with Chacin but not in this one, as the opposing pitcher is similar to NFL replacement refs whereas they can don the uniform but lack the qualifications for the job at hand.
Our PickCOLORADO -1½ +129 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.58)

Arizona/SAN FRAN over 7½ +103
3:45 PM EST. Someone likes us. That’s the only reason we can find for this repeated opportunity to go over the total when Barry Zito starts a day game. It’s like a broken slot machine that keeps paying off. And now, the number is lower than usual with a 7½ plus a little juice our way. The weather forecast for AT&T Park this afternoon calls for a gentle breeze out to right center at 8 mph.

Zito has started five matinée games at AT&T since the All-Star break. The last one came a week ago in which the Giants beat the Rockies 9-2. There were 26 hits in that game. The four other scores were 9-8, 9-6, 9-1 and 10-0 with the Giants winning three of them but losing the 9-1 and 10-0 games. The winning team has scored at least nine runs in each game because contrary to public perception, this venue is a strong hitter’s park in day games with no damp air altering the flight of the baseball.

The D-Backs bats are alive and well with 68 runs scored over their past 10 games. Patrick Corbin will face a San Fran offense that has been on fire since the All Star break (.281 BA, 5.2 runs per game). Corbin has a 5.46 ERA in September with a 4.71 xERA. Two hot-hitting teams, two struggling pitchers and favorable conditions all point to this one sailing over the number.
Our PickArizona/SAN FRAN over 7½ +103 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.06)

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

1-Unit Play. Take #962 Atlanta (-1.5, +115) over Miami (7 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #966 Detroit (-1.5, +100) over Kansas City (1 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #970 L.A. Angels (-1.5, +100) over Seattle (3:30 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #971 N.Y. Yankees (-130) over Toronto (7 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 27)

1-Unit Play. Take #973 Tampa Bay (-105) over Chicago White Sox (8 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 27)

Today's Totals

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 8.0 Milwaukee at Cincinnati (12:30 p.m., Thursday, Sept. 27)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #957. Take Arizona Diamondbacks +115 over San Francisco Giants (Thursday @ 3:45pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Christ

Pro Football Thursday, Sept. 27

Cleveland Browns (0-3) at Baltimore Ravens (2-1)

Time: 5:20 PDT

Line: Ravens by 13 (43½ over/under)

Facts: The Ravens are the most lopsided choice to win this week. In Weeks 2 and 3, however, the Patriots and then the Saints were the heaviest favorites and lost straight-up. • Browns rookie QB Brandon Weeden, who’s tied for the league high with 6 interceptions, averages 5.89 yards a throw, second worst in the league. The Ravens’ Joe Flacco is fifth best at 8.30. • Last season, Baltimore was 0-3 ATS as a double-digit pick, including a 20-14 home victory over the Browns in Week 16 as a 12-point favorite. • Cleveland is one of only two winless teams in the league. The previous six seasons, there were always at least five squads that got off to such lousy starts. • Baltimore had a league season-best 4 TD drives of 80-plus yards last week against New England in a 31-30 victory, including two of 92.

Analysis: Weeden’s going to need help from RB Trent Richardson and the rest of the running game to keep from being pressured into 40-plus throws against a savvy Baltimore secondary led by sensational safety Ed Reed. But considering the Ravens yield only 3.3 yards a rush, fourth best in the league, Weeden might be facing a lot of third-and-longs. On the other side, the Ravens should be able to maintain ball control behind a ground game led by Ray Rice that averages 5.1 yards a carry. And don’t disregard the disruptive nature of a juiced (read that anyway you want) home crowd on the newbie signal caller.

Forecast: Ravens 28, Browns 9

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

5 STAR = San Francisco Giants