9-28-12

[Mr. IWS]

5Lines

Total Line for 09/28/2012
(Won last 2 games)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Cincinnati Reds : o7.5
Cost: -110


Run Line for 09/28/2012
(Lost last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
MLB - Houston Astros : +1.5
Cost: +105

[Mr. IWS]

Kevin
MLBPredictions

2 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ Cleveland Indians - INDIANS TO WIN (-111)
Listed Pitchers: Smith vs Huff
(Note: I'm risking 2.22 units to win 2.00 units)

The Royals were swept in a 4 game series in Detroit during the week and have now lost 5 straight games. Over those 5 games the Royals have scored just 14 runs (2.8 per game). Cleveland went into Chicago looking to be spoilers against their division rivals, and ended up taking 2 of 3 against the White Sox to hurt their chances at winning the division. The Indians have really struggled over the second half of the season, but they've won 3 of 4 and scored 29 runs over those 4 games (7.25 runs per game). Will Smith will pitch for Kansas City and he is 6-8 on the year with a 4.88 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, and .302 opponents batting average. His last start was vs the Indians where he went 7 innings giving up 8 hits but just 2 earned runs. David Huff will get his 3rd start of the season and looks to improve on his 2-0 record, 2.25 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and .220 opponents batting average. His last start was in Kansas City where he went 5.2 innings giving up just 3 hits and 1 earned run in a 15-4 win. Note that the Royals are 3-12 in their last 15 road games vs a team with a losing record, and 2-5 in Smith's last 7 starts vs a team with a losing record. Not much good can be said about Cleveland either, but they've won 3 of 4 and their bats are going. Huff beat Kansas City in his last start where he pitched well, and I expect another solid outing from him with some run support to give him another victory. Take the Indians.

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

Friday's winner...

My 500♦ Winner for today is the PITTSBURGH PIRATES agagnst the Cincinnati Reds at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. And make note, I want you listing the scheduled starters: A.J. Burnett and Homer Bailey. I am releajsing this game at 9:45 a.m. Pacific, and I currently see the line at a majority of Las Vegas and/or Offshnre Sports Books sitting at Pittsburgh -120.

[Mr. IWS]

MLB TOTALS

1/2 Dime - White Sox +105

[Mr. IWS]

Neil Larson

Top Sport Cappers

10* Over Hawaii/BYU

[Mr. IWS]

Easy Baseball Betting

Dodgers (0)
Blue Jays (+178)
Reds (0)
Phillies (-145)
Mariners (+179)
Tigers (-152)
Braves (-176)
Indians (-105)

[Mr. IWS]

J.R Stevens / SMOOTH44

BYU vs. HAWAII
(PICK: HAWAII +27 ***PLAY OF THE DAY***)
Tonight Hawaii travels to the mainland where Coach Chow faces his former team! I love backing coaches against their former teams in their frist season gone because they know their former team's personnel and tendancies as well, if not better, as the new coaches! Hawaii got waxed last week by Nevada and this has a lot to do with the over-inflated line and also has many believing they have no chance tonight against BYU---BUT NOT ME!! I believe Hawaii got caught looking ahead to this game, knowing how awesome it would be to beat their new coach's former team on national TV! BYU appears to be the better team, at least defensively, but their offense is inept as we saw against Boise, making it hard to justify the 27 point line! And just how good or legit is their defense? It's hard to say but perhaps only average at best considering they really haven't faced any real powerhouses in Washington State (82nd in nation), Utah (110th in nation), Boise (90th in nation) and Weber State (FCS school)! I believe Hawaii has enough talent and atheticism to stand toe-to-toe with BYU! And with Coach Chow knowing his former team best he will have a few surprises waiting for them! In a rare but highly successful siutation let's take Hawaii with tremendous confidence tonight knowing that certain teams are a PERFECT 0-12 ATS (failing to cover by more than 2 TDs) if they lost to Boise State the previous week by 3 or fewer points but covered the spread!! PREDICTION: BYU 23 HAWAII 20

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

TORONTO +183 over N.Y. Yankees
Our job is not always to predict the outcome of games. It’s to find value in the numbers and let the chips fall where they may. We find another example of that here in fading the overpriced Yankees.

The toll of pitching at Yankee Stadium and on the road against AL competition could be catching up to Hiroki Kuroda, who has had the luxury of throwing at pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium prior to this year. Kuroda is just 4-5 on the road this season with a 4.28 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He allowed seven earned runs in five innings in his only trip to Toronto earlier this season. He’s also allowed four runs or more in four of his past five starts. He’s not pitching well enough to be favored in this range.

Chad Jenkins is an unknown, which adds to the Yankees billing here. Jenkins is a big, strong dude that may not be ready to front a rotation but he has the arm strength and bulldog mentality to be an asset at the back end. The 6’4” 230 pound righty consistently generates ground balls by keeping the ball down with his heavy and lively 88-93 mph fastball. Jenkins can drop a hard slider in for strikes or use it as a chase pitch. Jenkins is an efficient pitcher who throws strikes and pitches to contact and could have a nice career as a #4-5 type starter. We all know where these two are at but at this price, we can’t pass up the value offered.
Our PickTORONTO +183 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.66)

CHICAGO +108 over Tampa Bay
Not sure the Rays should be chalk here with this unfavourable pitching matchup.

Big-time prospect Jeremy Hellickson has put up big-time ERA and WHIP since arriving to the bigs. So what's the problem with that? Well, a closer looks finds that his strikeout rate and control issues leave him with a soft skills set that has been masked by low hit rate and high strand rate. Note the ERA/xERA discrepancy of 2.34/4.21 before wagering on this guy. His batted ball profile of 40%-GB/39%-FB is not impressive either.

Gavin Floyd has back to back strong starts for the first time since June. He is 4-1 in five career starts against the Rays, with a 2.57 ERA, 0.86 WHIP with 30 K’s in 35 IP. The South Side was very unfortunate to lose the opener last night after numerous scoring opportunities against James Shields. They’re still a strong team at home and should capitalize on those chances tonight.
Our PickCHICAGO +108 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.16)

N.Y. Mets +156 over ATLANTA
Playing the role of the spoiler is almost as much fun as being in a pennant race but sans the pressure. The Mets find themselves in that role again and with six wins in their past seven games, they could certainly make things difficult for the Braves.

Atlanta is just 13-16 at home against southpaws and will face a solid one here in Jonathon Niese. Niese has been consistently good all season with a 3.54 ERA and an xERA of 3.49. He has 152 K’s with just 46 walks in 183 frames. He also owns a strong groundball bias profile. These are all the elements of strong starter. With a take-back of +156, surely Niese warrants consideration.

Atlanta has reeled off five in a row to remain tied with the Cardinals in the Wild Card race. Tim Hudson rebounded nicely in his last start vs. PHI (7 IP, 2 H, 4 Ks) after two poor outings. Still, with a mere 37% of his starts this year being quality , it's hard to trust this 37-year-old. Hudson skills have slipped noticeably in the second half with his strikeout rate way down and his xERA rising from 3.56 to 4.42. His age and second-half fade suggest he’s far too risky in this price range.
Our PickN.Y. Mets +156 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.12)

[Mr. IWS]

Chuck O'Brien

Friday's Winner...

I love my 25 Dime Wgnner tonight, as I'm siding with the American League West-leading Texas Rangers, as they're laying the cheap price at home in Arlington, to the arch-rival Anaheim Angels in a crucial game for both teams. As I release this game at 10:45 a.m. pacific, I want you listing schjeduled starters Ryan Dempster and Jered Weaver. I see the line on this game is Texas 1.20, in sports books here in Las Vegas and also Offshnre. List both and get the best value possible.

TONIGHT'S BREAKDOWN
Due back by 1 p.m. Pacific




Scott Delaney

Friday's winner...

My 25-Dime Wgnner is on the ATLANTA BRAVES in their National League East showdown against the New York Mets, at Turner Field, in Atlanta, Georgia. As I relejase this game at 2:30 p.m. eastern, a majornty of the lines I see both Offshore and in Las Vegas have this game sitting at Braves -1-1/2 +105.

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd 9/28

4* (NCAAF) BYU -27

3* (MLB) St Louis Cardinals ML -133

[Mr. IWS]

Ferrigno
7 unit total


Yankees over 9

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

WNBA

4 Units Atlanta over 154

Comp play

Seattle over 148

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Hawaii / BYU Over 49

50* Phillies / Marlins Over 7

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

CFL

4 units Hamilton +1
4 units Calgary - 6 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo | MLB RunLine - Friday, Sep 28 2012 8:10PM
908 MIL -1.5(-130) Justbet vs 907 HOU double-dime bet

Analysis:
PLAY: MILWAUKEE -1.5 RUNS
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY