9-29-12

[poopoo333]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[poopoo333]

Brian Leonard

MAC GOM

Akron

[poopoo333]

NCAAF Top 4: "Offensive" teams holding under value

It was a very good weekend for sportsbooks, thanks in part to Week 4 of the college football schedule.

Over 62 percent of the college games with totals available played under the number, going against the majority of public bets which lean towards the over, on Saturday.

There are numerous teams showing early value for under backers, but these four programs – who bettors are used to seeing hang with high totals – aren’t moving the chains on either side of the ball to start the season.

Boise State Broncos (2-1, 0-3 over/under)

Gone are the days of long bombs and trick plays on the famous “Smurf Turf”. Boise State, the highest scoring team in FBS football over the past 12 years, is averaging only 19.7 points per game through its first three contests. New offensive coordinator Robert Prince is coming under fire and QB Joe Southwick is having a tough time shaking Kellen Moore’s big blue shadow in Boise. The Broncos take on New Mexico, another 0-3 over/under team, Saturday. Books have the total at 51.5 points.

Michigan State Spartans (3-1, 0-3-1 over/under)

The Spartans offense hasn’t been able to do much through their first four games, scoring only 23 points versus Eastern Michigan – the 116th-ranked defense - last Saturday and sitting second to last in the Big Ten in average points. Not all the blame can fall on QB Andrew Maxwell, though. Michigan State’s receivers have come down with a serious case of the butter fingers the past few weeks. Sparty hosts Ohio State with a total of 43 points Saturday.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-0, 1-3 over/under)

When you think of the Golden Domers, you think of thrilling runs, diving catches and high-profile afternoon games on NBC. But the fact of the matter is that Notre Dame has been a solid under play for the past few years. Including their 2012 over/under count, the Irish are 9-20-1 over/under the last three seasons – a 66.6 percent winning percentage for the under. A huge public following that bets Notre Dame and the over has tacked on a couple extra points to those totals over the years. The Irish are off this week and host Miami on Oct. 6.

Oklahoma Sooners (2-1, 0-2 over/under)

After sitting among the top four teams in scoring in the Big 12 the past five seasons, the Sooners are averaging a sluggish 37.3 points per game – seventh in the conference – which is low scoring by Big 12 standards. Turnovers have snuffed out scoring drives for Oklahoma, with a turnover margin of -1.33 tied for 108th in the land. Head coach Bob Stoops will be tightening the bolts during the bye week before facing Texas Tech on the road in Week 6.

[poopoo333]

Saturday ACC Game of the Month - Bryan Leonard

Bryan Leonard | CFB Side Sat, 09/29/12 - 12:30 PM
double-dime bet 131 Duke 3.0 (-110) Hilton vs 132 Wake Forest
Analysis: 131 Duke at Wake Forest
The Blue Devils are looking to end a 12 game losing streak to the Demon Deacons on Saturday. But unlike past seasons Duke is the better squad in this match-up. The Blue Devils are 3-1 and a win here could put them in a pretty solid spot to break the long winless season and bowl appearance streaks. Duke's only loss came to Stanford as they had to travel cross country to take on a very good Cardinal squad. Duke pulled off something you rarely see last week when they won the game and covered the spread despite a negative 4 turnover ratio against Memphis. Teams that are able to cover despite losing the turnover battle are teams we pay special attention to, and Duke has covered 3 of 4 games with a seasonal turnover margin of minus 4. While Wake Forest has that long winning streak in this series keep in mind 5 of the last 6 meetings have been decided by six points or less.
Wake also sits at 3-1 on the season but they are 2-2 ATS despite winning the turnover battle in each and every game. They lost to Flori„da State by 52 and struggled to beat Liberty at home in a 20-17 victory. Wake Forest hasn't lost a fumble all season which just shows how fortunate this team has been. Last week coach Grobe and company had to prepare for the Army rushing attack and now this week they face the Duke aerial assault. That's quite a change in just one week and they struggled to stop the Black Knights last Saturday. After allowing 89 combined points the last two weeks they may get their best defender back, but even with his addition Wake Forest has serious defensive concerns. Duke led this game last year late until Wake scored the final touchdown, we look for the Blue Devils to get over than hump this time around.
PLAY DUKE

[poopoo333]

Info Plays

7* Arkansas +14

[poopoo333]

Wunderdog

Arkansas at Texas A&M
Pick: Texas A&M -14.5

It was an offseason full of distractions for Arkansas and the team is paying the price. They opened the season ranked No. 10 in the country and beat Jacksonville State in their opener but looked a bit off as they gave up 24 points and didn't come anywhere close to covering the 40 point spread. They were given a pass by most. That changed when they lost at home to UL Monroe. The Razorbacks then played Alabama at home which at the beginning of the season looked like a spot in which Alabama would be severely tested. That was far from the case as Alabama wrecked them on both sides of the ball in a 52-0 romp. Arkansas was without Tyler Wilson, but he isn't worth 52 points, as we saw last week when Arkansas lost outright to Rutgers 26-35. We cashed in on that play last week as we had Rutgers (even recommending a strong look at taking Rutgers on the moneyline). The 35 points scored by the Knights was by a limited offense. Now the Razorbacks must take to the road vs. Texas A&M. The Aggies got their SEC baptism against the Gators in week one, losing a heartbreaker 20-17. Florida has since proven to be better than many expected (we've been on them nearly every week), and the Aggies have proven that they are better than expected as well. Johny Manziel has been perfect with seven TD passes and no interceptions on the season. Meanwhile the Aggies’ top two backs are both well over 6 yards per carry. The Hogs have not been road worthy at 0-6 ATS in their last six. John L. Smith is just 2-10 ATS in his coaching career in games with a total posted at 63 or higher. Kevin Sumlin is 15-3 ATS as a home favorite in his coaching career. The Aggies are a lot better than UL Monroe and Rutgers, and this one is on the road. Lay the points with Texas A&M.

[poopoo333]

Football Jesus Text pick for SAT : Ariz Wildcats,

10-2 in free football picks this season

[poopoo333]

RAS
124 Kent State +2.5
176 Texas State +22.5
199 North Texas -4.5
204 Tulane +20

[poopoo333]

Spartan

CFB Side Sat, 09/29/12 - 7:00 PM
*
triple-dime bet 116 Iowa St. 2.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 115 Texas Tech
Analysis: I have been saying from the start of the season that this Iowa State team is flying under the radar. We cashed in with them in week one with a Triple against Tulsa and then once again as a dog when they battled intra state rival Iowa in Iowa City and prevailed. Now here they are at home squaring off against Texas Tech in the conference opener and sure enough, the Cyclones will once again be taking the field as a home dog. Texas Tech might be 3-0 but take a closer look at their schedule and it's pretty much just style with zero substance. I for one am not impressed. Not sure what the odds makers are thinking here but I just don't agree. Last year the Cyclones ventured down to Lubbock and wiped the field with the Red Raiders 41-7 at their place. Oh sure, the revenge factor will be beaten to death by the staff of Tech but often that stuff gets wiped away real quick once the actual hitting commences. I'm sure many of you played enough ball in high school to know that. Makes for good media coverage though and gives reporters something to talk about. I'm more convinced by what I've seen with my own two eyes, and that is a fast, athletic Iowa State defense. The Red Raiders have yet to face anything close to resembling this unit to date, particularly those Cyclone linebackers. Absolutely stellar unit. Paul Rhoads is quietly building a sound, quality program in Ames and frankly they will be lucky to hang on to him. If you think it's easy to recruit blue chippers to come to Ames then think again. I visited with one trusted source here at Mizzou about this game and he truthfully laughed out loud when I told him the spread on this game. I think we have another jewel in the rough here guys. Jack Trice Stadium will be rocking and Rhoads will have his kids ready to keep the perfect record intact for another week. I say we go Triple Star here on Iowa State once again. Unless they just have a miserable night with turnovers I just don't see this thing going sideways on them. Many sincere thanks as always and best of luck to us. Enjoy the game!

[poopoo333]

EA Sports Consultants

North Carolina State +3
Central Florida -2.5
Kent State +1
Duke +2.5
Texas State +19.5
Virginia +3
Boston College +7.5
North Texas -7
UCLA -19.5

[poopoo333]

jack jones

20* byu -27.5
15* angels +100
15* dodgers +100

[poopoo333]

Jimmy Boyd

5* (NCAAF) Texas Tech -2.5


4* (NCAAF) Clemson -9
4*(NCAAF) California -2


3* (NCAAF) Missouri +2.5
3* (NCAAF) Virginia Tech -7

[poopoo333]

First Look with Marco D'Angelo

Texas San Antonio+3

Utah St-20

Tennessee+14

[poopoo333]

Prediction Machine

119 3:30 PM LA TECH @ UVA -2.5 14.4 PP 60.6%
143 3:30 PM SJ SU @ NAVY -2.5 12.6 PP 60.3%
174 7:00 PM @ WEST MI TOLEDO 0 8.5 PP 59.9%
123 12:00 PM BALL ST @ KENTST -1 +8.3 PP 59.4%
156 3:30 PM @ UGA TENN -13.5 19.6 58.7%
112 12:00 PM @ ILL PSU -1.5 7.1 58.4%
130 3:15 PM @ PURDUE MARSH -16 23.1 58.3%
147 7:50 PM TEX @ OKST -2.5 10.5 58.0%
151 12:00 PM BAYLOR @ WVU +12.5 -4.3 58.0%
109 12:00 PM BUFF @ UCONN +17 -11.4 57.8%
200 5:00 PM @ FLA ATL NORTX +6.5 -1.0 57.3%
180 8:00 PM UTSA @ NMST 54 64.1 Over PP 60.8%
156 3:30 PM TENN @ UGA 60.5 52.8 Under PP 60.2%
174 7:00 PM TOLEDO @ WESTMI 57 66.1 Over 59.9%
124 12:00 PM BALLST @ KENTST 53.5 61.3 Over 59.5%
116 7:00 PM TXTCH @ IAST 58 68.6 Over 59.5%
162 9:15 PM MISS @ ALA 54.5 48.2 Under 58.9%
170 12:00 PM NCSU @ MIA-FL 55 46.7 Under 57.6%
118 3:30 PM CLEM @ BC 59.5 50.0 Under 57.6%

[poopoo333]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA - Saturday, Sept. 29th

HYDRA (5 UNITS)
TEXAS -2.5 at oklahoma state (4:50pm)

TOP (3 UNITS)
SAN JOSE ST. -2.5 at navy (12:30pm)
N. ILLINOIS -10 vs c. michigan (12:30pm)
UL MONROE -20 at tulane (12:30pm)
FLORIDA ST. -16.5 at south florida (3pm)
W. KENTUCKY -2.5 at arkansas st. (4pm)
NEBRASKA -11.5 vs wisconsin (5pm)
OREGON ST. +3 at arizona (7pm)