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Northcoast
Marquees - St Louis +2
EC/UCF under 47
Marquees - St Louis +2
EC/UCF under 47
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FantasySportsGametime
Football Thursday
100* Play Arizona -1 over St. Louis (TOP NFL PLAY)
Starts at 8:30 PM EST
St. Louis has lost 17 of the last 24 games when playing after the 1st month of the season and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games coming off a win. St. Louis has lost 13 of the last 16 games coming off a home game and they have lost 9 of the last 10 games coming off a division game.
100* Play FIU +1 over Arkansas State (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Starts at 7:30 PM EST
Arkansas State has lost 10 of the last 13 games against the spread when playing as a road favorite of seven points or less and they have also lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread when playing on a Thursday. Arkansas State has lost 5 of the last 6 road games against the spread when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points and they have lost 12 of the last 15 games against the spread coming off a two game home stand.
100* Play Central Florida -12 over East Carolina (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Starts at 8:00 PM EST
Central Florida has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games coming off a loss as a favorite and they have also covered the spread in 25 of the last 35 games after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games. Central Florida has covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points and they are averaging over 30 points a game on offense this season.
100* Play USC -13.5 over Utah (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Starts at 9:00 PM EST
Utah has lost 2 of the last 3 games against the spread as a home underdog and they have also lost 7 of the last 10 games against the spread after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games. Utah has lost 7 of the last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points and they are only averaging 17 points a game on offense over the last three games.Comment
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Sports Wagers
East Carolina +11½ -105 over CENTRAL FLORIDA
Are the Knights really double-digits better than the Pirates? We highly doubt it. UCF is 2-2 and has put up some strong offensive numbers by averaging just over 30 points a game. However, when playing two quality clubs in Ohio State and Missouri, they lost them both and scored just 30 points combined. The Knights’ skewed offensive numbers have come against Akron and Florida International, not exactly crème de la crème.
East Carolina’s docket isn’t much different with a blowout loss to #9 South Carolina and a 21-point defeat at the hands of North Carolina. It has won its other three games against much lesser competition.
The C-USA is a weak conference. The Knights open up their home conference schedule here while the Pirates are in first place with a 2-0 conference record. The Pirates’ offense is a work in progress and this line is predicated on them not being able to keep pace. While that is somewhat valid, against UTEP last week, ECU racked up 475 yards of offense while the defense continues to force key turnovers. On a short week for both clubs, in a conference game where familiarity is present, we’ll gladly take the points with a Pirates team that figures to slow down the tempo and stay within striking distance.
Our PickEast Carolina +11½ -105 (Risking 2.1 units - To Win: 2.00)Comment
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Spartan | CFB Side Thu, 10/04/12 - 9:00 PM
Double-Dime Bet 305 Southern Cal -13.5 (-110) Hilton vs 306 Utah
Analysis: I know it's always scary laying a good sized number on the road, and that is magnified when it's a prime time slot on ESPN. No doubt the Utes and their fans will be screaming for blood come time for kickoff. It's my opinion that the Trojans will turn the blood curdling screams into a wimper when it's all said and done. I've looked hard at this game and I refuse to fall into that trap of over thinking this one. I watched the replay of when Utah went down to Tempe and got abused by the Sun Devils and frankly guys, that offensive line was a joke. I have a difficult time seeing Kiffin's kids coming out flat here because let's face it, those kids like the spotlight of prime time just as much as the Utah kids do. I would like to see Lane Kiffin step out of his comfort zone some on offense and open up the playbook some. He holds a huge athletic and play making advantage here in my view and needs to go on the attack. If he does that guys the Trojans will breeze here. I'm not declaring triple star here but I do like USC here a lot. Let's go Southern Cal as a Double Star.Comment
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VegasTout Football Plays for Thursday
Play USC -14 over Utah—NCAA FOOTBALL TOP PLAY
9:00 PM EST
USC has won 18 of the last 22 games when playing as a favorite and
they have also won 13 of the last 17 games when playing in the 1st
half of the season. USC has won 10 of the last 13 games coming off a
home game and they have won 14 of the last 16 games after outrushing
their last opponent by 200 or more total yards in their last game.
Play Florida International +2 over Arkansas State---NCAA BONUS PLAY
Play Central Florida -11.5 over East Carolina---NCAA BONUS PLAY
Play Arizona -1 over St. Louis---NFL BONUS PLAYComment
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JEFF SCOTT SPORTS
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
ST LOUIS +1.5 over Arizona: This is a bad spot for the Cardinals as they are on a short week and must travel to take on a Jeff Fishers coached St Louis squad that is home for the 2nd week in a row. This really is a false 4-0 Arizona team. Last week the Cardinals were at home vs a Miami Team that had to travel cross country with a rookie QB and they still needed OT to beat them. Tannehill threw for 400+ yards in that game, showing that their defense has some holes and I expect the crafty Jeff Fisher to come up with a way to exploit that. The Cardinals are not all that good on offense, ranking 25th in passing and 28th and it will be harder for them to run the ball in this one as the Rams get their top run stuffer (Michael Brockers). Stopping the run has been the weakness of the Rams (26th) but they have stopped the pass very well, ranking 11th in the league and let's note that 2 of the opposing QB they have faced are RG3 and Mathew Stafford, so that makes their pass defense ranking even more impressive. Now that pass defense will take on Kevin Kolb, who has a 97.6 QB rating, but still haven't impressed that much throwing for just 188 ypg. On the other side Sam Bradford had a couple of good outings to start the year but struggled in his last 2 games vs tougher defenses. but he has thrown for 265.5 ypg at home and he has 3 TD to just 2 INT's at home, compared to 1 TD and 2 INT's on the road. Jeff Fisher is a solid coach and as a home dog he has done pretty well in his career. Arizona's offense is weak and will be one dimensional in this one and I don't feel that Kolb will make enough plays to pull it out. I also look for Fisher to find a way to exploit that suspect pass defense of the Cardinals. The Cardinals may be 4-0, but they are still ranked at #20 in the Vegas Power Rankings and I feel that makes a St Louis team that is 2-0 at home a Live Dog here. It will be close, but I look for a late FG by Greg Zuerlein, who is a perfect 12-for-12 on field-goal attempts to be the difference here.
6 POINT TEASER --- St Louis +7.5 & Under 45.5Comment
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JEFF SCOTT SPORTS
CFB Thursday and Friday
TOP PLAYS
4 UNIT PLAY
7 POINT TEASER --- Pittsburgh +8.5 & USC -7
3 UNIT PLAYS
USC/ Utah Under 48: I like the way this USC defense is playing right now. They come in off a game vs a good California offense and they allowed just 9 points and 250 yards in the game. The Trojans really had just one bad game defensively and that was vs Syracuse and they will be taking on a struggling offense in this one, So I look for their overall defensive numbers to improve. The Utes have been hit by offensive Injuries this year, mainly at QB, and it has hurt them as they come in ranked 116th in total offense (298.2 ypg) and 105th in passing (190.8 ypg). Last week the Utes could muster just 7 points and 209 yards in that game and they may be facing a tougher defense this week. I really don't expect DD out of Utah here. The USC offense has been inconsistent the last two games, putting up just 41 points in their last 2 games after scoring 42+ in each of their first 2 games. Those first 2 games were vs bad defenses and they will not be facing a bad defense in this one. The Utes have a tough defense and they have had to have one as their offense has been so poor. Utah comes in allowing just 21.2 ppg and I feel they will come up with enough plays here to keep USC in the lower 30's at best. I expect at most 42 points in this one.
Pittsburgh/ Syracuse Under 58: Wow. I really don't see nearly 60 points in this game. This is the Big East for crying out loud. Yes the Cuse use the no huddle offense but in their last 2 weeks they have really struggling, putting up just 28 points in the game vs FCS foe Stony Brook and then in their next game vs Minnesota they could muster just 10 points. The Defense for the Panthers is coming around as they have allowed just 27 points in their last 2 games and with teh extra prep time will find a way to keep this Cuse no-huddle attack under wraps. Pittsburgh is not a take chances kind of offense and they will not look to get into a shootout in this one. The Panthers do run the ball (40 per game) more than they throw it (30 per game) and that kind of ball control will help them eat clock and keep the Syracuse offense off the field. They will also be facing a Syracuse defense that has allowed just 17 ppg in their last 2 games. This game should be a hard fought typical Big East game and not a Big 12 shootout and that should keep the game in the 40's and not the 50's.
Arkansas State/ FIU Under 58: Both of the these defenses have struggled as both have allowed 30+ ppg, but I still see this one as an Under play. FIU has struggled on offense of late as they have averaged just 20.3 ppg in their last 3 games, and Im not sure they will do much better in this one. The Arkansas State defense has allowed 30 ppg, but if you take out the games vs Nebraska and Oregon on the road then in their other 3 games they have allowed just 18 ppg. I would put the FIU offense in the category of of Arkansas State's other 3 opponents (Memphis, Alcorn State and WKU) than Oregon and Nebraska. The brought back 10 starters this year and was supposed to be the best in the Sun Belt, but they have struggled and have allowed 39 ppg, but i expect a better showing tonight vs an Arky State team that is not all that explosive. Sure the Red Wolves put up 30 ppg, but they do run the ball more than throw it and they put up 26 FR'd per game, which would indicate they have some time consuming drives. This is a big game in the Sun Belt and I expect both teams to bring their "A" games on defense, which should keep this game from reaching the 50's.
BYU/ Utah State Under 46: Was there any mystery on which way I will go here. Yep you guessed it I like the Under. The Cougars had a 47 point explosion last week but that was vs a depleted and poor Hawaii defense. This is not an offense that will score 40 or even 30 points all that often, especially when going up against good defenses and the Aggies have one of the better stop units in the nation, ranking 11th in scoring and 18th in points allowed. BYU will not move the ball on the Aggies like they did vs the Rainbows. The Aggie offense has put up 66 points in their last 2 games, but not vs the kind of defense that they will face tonight They have faced 2 good defenses this year and put up just 14 vs Wisconsin and just 20 points in regulation vs Utah. Both teams run more than they throw and both ar good at running, but these rush defenses are two of the better in the nation. That should eat clock and put these teams in some long yardage situations and neither QB is great in those situations. I see this one on the low 40’s at best.
OTHER PLAY
2 UNIT PLAYS
7 POINT TEASER --- BYU/ Utah Under 52.5 & Arkansas State +6
Arkansas State -2 Over FIU
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Christian Alexander's Pick Pack
NCAA Football Thursday Picks
Premium Plays
Matchup: Southern Cal at Utah
Time: 9:00 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: Utah (+14 -115)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: October 2, 2012 @ 12:45:26 PM EDT
The talent level in this game heavily favors USC; however Lane Kiffin has been less than impressive as the play caller for USC this season. Not only in their loss against Stanford, but struggling to find the offensive production they should have with this unit against lesser talented teams as well. The Utah front seven presents the same challenges for USC that Stanford did and I look for the USC offense to struggle again this week. Throw in the Thursday night PAC-12 road game aspect, which USC has historically struggled in, and I look for Utah to keep this game close all night and possibly have an outside shot late in the game to pull off the upset.
Member Plays
Matchup: East Carolina at Central Florida
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: Central Florida (-11.5 -110)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: October 4, 2012 @ 4:13:38 PM EDT
Simply put, UCF is a much better football team than East Carolina. While they are 3-2, the Pirates ranks 110th in the country in scoring offense and 104th in rushing yards. UCF comes in with a 2-2 record but those two loses are at Ohio State and vs Missouri. This game will simply come down to the fact that UCF will be able to move the ball on East Carolina and East Carolina won’t be able to put enough points to cover an extremely deflated line. I look for UCF to have no trouble covering the small double digit line and expect an easy win by The Knights in this game.Comment
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Scott Pritchard's Pick Pack
NCAA Football Guaranteed Pick
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: East Carolina at Central Florida
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: Under (47.5 -110)
Line Source: Peppermill
Posted on: October 4, 2012 @ 4:33:35 PM EDT
Happy Thursday, let's make some money. I have one play one time. It is not how many you play it is how many you win. Before you BET it, make sure you GET it. I am talking about being selective and finding real value. East Carolina is at Central Florida. I like the UNDER. See the cashier.
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David Banks
Cardinals / Rams Under 39.5
The Arizona Cardinals (4-0, 3-1 ATS) were extremely fortunate to get by the Dolphins last week 24-21 in overtime despite being badly outplayed on the stat sheet, and they now have a road date with the pesky St. Louis Rams (2-2, 3-1 ATS) Thursday night. You can catch all the action from the Edward Jones Dome in St. Louis, MO at 8:20 ET live on NFL Network.
The Cardinals managed to remain unbeaten despite getting dominated on the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball by Miami. Arizona was outgained by a robust 183 total yards in the contest, as what had been a formidable defensive line over the first three weeks was unable to put sufficient pressure on the Dolphins' rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill, enabling him to pass for an amazing 431 yards. The offensive line was even worse, as it was unable to open up any running lanes or pass protect. The Cardinals had a pathetic 28 rushing yards for the game on 15 carries (1.9 YPC) while the Miami front seven spent most of the game in the Arizona backfield, sacking Kevin Kolb eight times! At the end of the day though, good teams find a way to win games where they are badly outplayed, and Arizona was able to do that under extreme circumstances as the Cardinals tied the game 21-21 on a fourth-and-10 touchdown pass from Kolb to Andre Roberts with 22 seconds left in regulation time. Now it remains to be seen if the Cardinal were simply looking past that non-conference game while looking ahead to this divisional battle just four days later. You may have the answer to that question in the early minutes of this contest.
As for the Rams, they have already matched their win total from all of last year when they finished at 2-14, and they are a perfect 2-0 here at the Edward Jones Dome so far after upsetting the Seattle Seahawks 19-13 last week. St. Louis also won a game where it was probably outplayed, although not to the degree that Arizona was. The Rams were only outgained by 33 total yards, but they were unable to run the ball much, managing only 75 yards on 27 carries as Steven Jackson seems to still be affected by his nagging groin injury. Quarterback Sam Bradford was not spectacular either, completing 16-of-30 passes for 221 yards and one interception without throwing a touchdown pass. In fact, the star of the game for the Rams was their rookie kicker Greg Zuerlein, who kicked four field goals while twice setting team records for the longest field goal in franchise history! He first broke the team record by booting a 58-yarder in the first quarter, only to later top that by booming a 60-yarder in the third quarter. St. Louis did not have a legitimate offensive touchdown in the game, as its only touchdown came off of a fake field goal.
Arizona swept the two head-to-head meeting last season, and when the last matchup went 'over' in a 23-20 win, it snapped a seven-game 'under' streak in this series. The 'under' is also 11-5 in the last 16 Arizona divisional games, as well as 15-6-1 in the last 22 St. Louis conference games. Meanwhile, Arizona is 6-2 ATS and 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings here in St. Louis.
2-0 last 2 NFL picks
2-0 last 2 NFL totalsComment
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