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KING CREOLE:
1* Marshall +4
2* Mizzou-7
1* UCLA/Cal OVER 56.5
1* Marshall +4
2* Mizzou-7
1* UCLA/Cal OVER 56.5
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From Platinum Plays.
500K SEC Lock/Year
the LSU Tigers -2½ over
the Florida Gators
Best Bets
the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +10½ over
the Clemson Tigers
the Kent Golden Flashes -3 over
the Eastern Michigan Eagles
the Wisconsin Badgers -14 over
the Illinois Fighting Illini
Michigan Wolverines -3 over
the Purdue Boilermakers
500K Pac12 Parlay
the California Golden Bears +2½ over
the UCLA Bruins
the Oregon St Beavers -14½ over
the Washington St Cougars
Best Bets
the Vanderbilt Commodores +7 over
the Missouri Tigers
the Texas A&M Aggies -12½ over
the Ole Miss Rebels
the Ohio St Buckeyes -3½ over
the Nebraska Cornhuskers
Premier Pick
the Texas Tech Red Raiders +5 over
the Oklahoma Sooners
the UTEP Miners -2½ over
the SMU Mustangs
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Totals 4 You Selections for Early Saturday, October 6th
2012 Big 10 Conference Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Northwestern/Penn State under 47 1/2
You Win or we'll email you Tonight's Update Free of Charge!!!
Early College Best Bets
Navy/Air Force under 54
Connecticut/Rutgers over 40
Kansas/Kansas State under 53 1/2
Arkansas/Auburn under 56
Totals 4 You Selections for Afternoon Saturday, October 6th
2012 College Football on CBS Super Total of the Year!!!!
Louisiana State/Florida over 42
Afternoon College Best Bets
Georgia Tech/Clemson over 73
Illinois/Wisconsin over 45
Arizona/Stanford under 54
Oklahoma/Texas Tech under 57 1/2
Totals 4 You Selections for Late Saturday, October 6th
2012 Saturday Night College Football Total of the Year!!!!!
Georgia/South Carolina under 53 1/2
Late College Bets Bets
Florida State/NC State over 54
West Virginia/Texas under 73 1/2
Miami-Florida/Notre Dame under 53 1/2
Nebraska/Ohio State under 57 1/2Comment
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Lines2Win
Navy +8 (To Win 1.5 Units) - rivalry game here, everyone expects Air force to run away because of their game against Michigan st. Navy always comes prepared to face Air Force, 8 points seems far too much.
Georgia Tech +10.5 (to Win 2 Units) - Georgia Tech got roughed up last week by Midd Tenn st and let the Hurricanes win the week before that. Clemson looks good, but they are very beatable. Like Gtech to bounce back after a horrible showing last week.
Middle Tenn St +3 (to win 1.5 Units) - ULM has played some pretty tough games to start and should be favored by alot more. Midd Tenn comes off a big win over Georgia Tech where they were able to stifle them. Something is up with line and we won't complain after we cash it.
West Virginia +7 (to win 2.5 Units) - The Texas defense looks very good but Ok st almost came back on them last week. West Virginia has been tested by Baylor and Maryland and still have fight left in them. This game should be a +3 not a +7, We like West Virginia to win outright.Comment
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Pittviper
Saturday NCAAF
ROT# 331 - 12:00pm - Northwestern +3
ROT# 361 - 12:00pm - Arkansas +8
ROT# 346 - 12:30pm - North Carolina -5.5
ROT# 325 - 3:30pm - Georgia Tech +10.5
ROT# 339 - 3:30pm - LSU -2.5
ROT# 402 - 6:00pm - New Mexico -3
ROT# 337 - 8:00pm - Florida State -16.5
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Matt Rivers
Saturday's Selections ...
Your Saturday winner is: 400,000♦ Winner #24 of 35 on the Toledo Rockets as the home fav%rite over the visitjing Central Michigan Chippewas. At the time I release this selection, Toledo is an -11 1/2 point home favorite. I also have a 100,000♦ Division Series winner on the San Francisco Giants with Cain over the Cincinnati Reds with Cueto. The Giants are the -120 favorite in both Vegas and offshore at the time I relense my selection on Friday night.
The Chippewas have been a solid go-agagnst under third-year coach Dan Enos, as they have failed 20 of their last 24 line games since Enos arrived in Mt. Pleasant. I don't expect those numbers grow in a positive way, as the Chipps must travel to the Glass Bowl for a date with the surging Rockets.
Toledo has won 4 in a row after an opening week loss at Arizona (but they did cover as the underdog in that overtime affair), and are 4-1 against the spread thus far this season for first year coach Matt Campbell.
After losing 5 straight in this series, the Rockets have turnjed the tables on the Chippewas as Toledo has won and covered the last pair of series meetings. Toledo has been able to score 34-points or more in 3 of their last 4 games, while Central Michigan has been yielding close to 40 points per game this season.
Hat trick time on Saturday afternoon as Toledo runs the series winnnng streak to 3 in a row both straight up and against the spread.
Baseball bonus play on the San Francisco Giants to hold serve in the opening game of their five game set with Cincinnati.
No doubt Johnny Cueto is capable of holding the Giants bats in check, but the same can be said for Matt Cain, and the fact Matt Cain has already done it on the big stage in October in the past only makes me like the home team as the small chalk that much more.
The Reds did win 4 of the 7 games played in the regular season series, and they did beat Cain in his two starts against them, but then again, the Giants were able to hand Cueto one of his losses as well this year.
No hat trick here tonight, Cain gets the job done this time around.
Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or this play is VOID.Comment
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Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action
50 Dime winner going this Saturday night in college football on the South Carolina Gamecocks as the small home favgrite againjst the Georgia Bulldogs. At the time I release this selection to you, the Gamecocks are the -1 point choice both here in Vegas and offnhore.
ANALYSIS
I will acknowledge that Georgia has the better scheduling spot here, as they only have a game at Kentucky up next, while South Carolina must travel to LSU to face the Tigers next weekend. Still, I doubt you will find either team looking ahead with this huge game staring them both straight in the face.
My prefgerence is the home team, as South Carolina has had Georgia's number of late winning and covering in each of the last two meetings, while going 4-0-1 against the spread the last five times these schools have faced each other.
Murray vs, Shaw certainly has fireworks potentjial, but Shaw's ability to take off and run with the ball could very well be the difference in this showdown. Keep in mind the Gamecocks defense leads the loop with 22 sacks this season, and they are allowing just over two yards per carry on the ground. That means SC can cheat against the pass making their job on the defensive end a little easier for them.
Marcus Lattimore rushed for over 170 yards in last year's game and figures to get his fair share in this one as well. South Carolina has covered all three home games this season, and 10 of their past 14 as the home favnrite, while Georgia is on an 0-6 slide as road dog the past two seasons, and are just 1-9 overall as the road pup since 2009.
It will be hotly-contested, but too many advantages on the side of the host to pass on - especially at this near pick price.
Take the Gamecocks.Comment
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Al DeMarco - GM
Saturday's Plays
15 Dime Play on Kansas State as the home favorite against Kansas. The host Wildcats are a -25 point favorite in Vegas and offshore as of 7:00 PM Pacific time on Friday night.
15 Dime Series Play on the Detroit Tigers over the Oakland A's. The Tigers are -150 in the series, down from -160 on Thursday.
Make no mistake, the annual Sunflower Showdown game - with the Governor's Cup at stake - is THE GAME for Kansas State. But that's not the case necessarily with Kansas. Remember, the Jayhawks' biggest game of the season - and the oldest rivalry west of the mighty Mississippi - was its annual Border War showdown with Missouri. But with Mizzou abandoning the Big 12 for the riches of the SEC, this is now the biggest rivalry game on the Kansas schedule. But that doesn't change the fact that K-State has ALWAYS prioritized this annual battle.
The Wildcats have been idle since pulling the 24-19 upset at Oklahoma as a 15 1/2-point dog two weeks back to improve to 4-0 SU on the season. Now they're playing their only home game in a four-week stretch.
This is a big number, but this is also the same Kansas State squad that pummeled Miami of Florida 52-13 at home this season, and those were the same Hurricanes that put up 41 at Boston College, 42 at Georgia Tech and 44 at home against N.C. State. Yet, K-State held that offense in check. Period.
The Jayhawks are also coming off a bye after they lost their third in a row by blowing fourth-quarter lead in a 30-23 loss at Northern Illinois. Previously they lost 20-6 at home to TCU and 25-24 in Lawrence against lowly Rice. The only win for Charlie Weis's crew came in their opener against South Dakota State (31-17).
K-State is on runs of 15-1 SU and 14-4 ATS in the series. The 'Cats are a perfect 3-0 in both categories since Bill Snyder returned from retirement, rolling 59-21 last season as an 11-point chalk in a game that quarterback Collin Klein gained 287 total yards.
Klein, who is 6-5 and 225, is a beast for any defense to handle because of his size, speed and athleticism. But Kansas State is more than just about Klein. The Wildcats defense is tough with 13 takeaways in four games, and their special teams play is outstanding. They lead the nation in punt return average; their No. 3 in punt return defense. The kickoff team is No. 6 in the nation and their punter has had ONE kick returned this season.
Week after week you see marquee programs shoot themselves in the foot with senseless penalties that thwart drives and momentum. Think USC on Thursday with 10 flags flown against the Trojans at Utah. But K-State is a disciplined team that has committed just eight penalties for the entire season. That's right...8 flags in 4 games.
BONUS BASEBALL SERIES PLAY
The public is enamored with the Oakland A's. Kind of ironic on the heels of the Moneyball movie that the A's would surge out of nowhere to take the A.L. West crown. Subsequently it's no surprise this young team has caught favor with the gambling public. There's no other reason to explain while a veteran team like Detroit, opening at home in the 2-3 ALDS format, has dropped from a -160 series favorite on Thursday to -150 Friday night.
Short series come down to who gets the jump and who has the pitching edge. Give the Detroit the advantage in both cases.
Justin Verlander goes in Game One and will be available for a potential Game Five. But the key to Detroit's rotation is the return to full health of Doug Fister, who is expected to go in Game Two, followed by Anibal Sanchez and most likely Max Scherzer in Game Four.
Verlander is 9-2 in 15 home starts this season with a 1.65 ERA. The Tigers are 12-3 in those outings, winning each of his last nine trips to the Comerica Park mound. One of those victories came against the A's on September 19 when he pitched six innings of five-hit shutout ball. He was also dominant in Oakland on May 13 with seven innings of two-hit, one-run ball. Verlander's career ERA in 13 starts against Oakland is 2.38.
Fister has a career ERA of 2.45 versus Oakland in 11 starts. He allowed one run on five hits in six innings in his lone outing against the A's this season. The Tigers have won 11 of his last 15 starts, including four straight and seven of nine at home.
Sanchez struggled after being acquired from the Marlins in July, but he found his stride down the homestretch, allowing 13 runs over 47.1 innings in his final eight starts for a 2.47 ERA. And five of those 13 runs came in one start, ironically against the A's at home in a September 20 loss.
Scherzer was outstanding in the second half as the Tigers won 13 of his final 17 starts. He was, however, bothered by some shoulder fatigue late in the year, leaving a start against the A's on September 18 after just two innings. He then sprained an ankle during the team's celebration after winning the division, but surprisingly started against KC earlier this week and responded with four shutout innings.
Verlander and Scherzer, and to a lesser extent Sanchez, are strikeout pitchers, and that's an advantage against a young, free-swing Oakland team that led the majors in strikeouts.
Oakland kiddie corps staff was amazing this year, but that was the regular season and the playoffs are another animal all together. Jarrod Parker, the Game One starter at Detroit, has a 3.47 ERA on the season, but on the road that mark swelled to 4.54.
Tommy Milone he twice failed to make it out of the fifth inning in his final three starts of the season, had a road ERA of 4.83 this year.
Another rookie. A.J. Griffin, was knocked out after 2.2 innings in his final start against Texas in the season-finale on Wednesday. In his three starts prior he worked 5.2, 4.1 and 4.2 innings. In all, he allowed 14 earned runs and 26 hits in 17.1 innings in his final four starts for an ERA of 7.27.
The Tigers have holes in their line-up for sure, but they played well down the stretch, winning eight of their final 10 overall and 16 of 22 at home, including two of three against Oakland September 18-20.
Today's Note
Full disclosure time:
Did I just lose a 15 dime play on USC on Thursday night?
You bet I did.
But, as you know, I don't lament losses or celebrate wins. Those that dwell on the past, either good or bad, lose focus in this business and often miss the next money-making opportunity in front of them.
I can accept losing, but I could never deal with letting a game I like either not being bet on or not being played to its maximum potential. Thus I've got another 15 dimer today, which matches by biggest release of the season.
Today I've got a 15 Dimer in football, my 30-Point Burial Blowout of the Year, plus a 15 Dime Playoff Series play in baseball. They both match the highest-rated plays I've released in either sport this season, and in baseball I'm on a 7-1 roll with those 15 dimers the past three months.Comment
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Anthony Redd
Saturday's Play
150 Dime selgction on the Florida Gators against the LSU Tigers. As I rejlease this play at 10:45pm Pacific Friday night, the line on Florida is +2.5 in Vegas and offshnre.
Note from A Redd
Let's keep this simple....
I've been a Professional Gambler in Vegas the past 15 years.
I joined this site in 2009 and the plays I release are the same ones I'm personally playing.
Today I have the 1st Ever 150 DIME Play of my Career in any sport.
Not month....not year....not season.....
This is the BIGGEST College Play of my Career
Let me make this perfectly clear.....
This is the closest thing to a sure thing
I've ever seen in my career as a gambler
And once again, I'm on an underdog because I've always found the key to making money - no matter the sport - is finding dogs with teeth and/or under-priced favorites. Today I've got the former and I wouldn't be surprised to see this underdog win OUTRIGHT.
Perspective.....
This play is TWICE AS BIG as last Saturday's
75 Dimer on Duke outright over Wake Forest.
This play is TWICE AS BIG as my 75 Dime Winner
on Clemson's cover against Florida State two Saturdays ago.
This play is 50 PERCENT BIGGER than my 100 Dime Winner
on Cincinnati over Pitt in early September.
First Ever 150 DIME Play of my Career, my single biggest play - and wager - in College Football - EVER - goes today. It's locked, loaded and ready to deliver.
End of story.Comment
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Chris Jordan
Saturday's teaser...
My 500♦ Six-Point Teaser winner for Saturday is going to be on an early game and a late game. It starts with the Northwestern Wildcats catching points at Penn State in Happy Valley, and ends tonight in Northern California, where I like the UCLA Bruins against the California Golden Bears up in Berkeley. As of 4 a.m. (PT), when I'm releasing this teaser, I see the natural lines at sportsbooks in Las Vegas and also Offshore as follows: Northwestern is +3, while UCLA is -1.
With a traditional Six-Point Teaser, which costs -1.10, we would end up with: Northwestern +9 and UCLA +5
TODAY'S BREAKDOWN
Due back with your breakdown by 8 a.m. pacific time.Comment
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