10-6-12

[poopoo333]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[poopoo333]

Dr. Bob

I have 5 Best Bets and 5 Strong Opinions this week (one is a total on a Best Bet side).

Best Bets
Rotation #337 Florida State (-15) 2-Stars at -17 or less.
Rotation #343 Texas A&M (-12) 2-Stars at -13 1/2 or less, 3-Stars at -10.
Rotation #372 Texas Tech (+6) 2-Stars at +3 or more.
Rotation #390 Notre Dame (-13 1/2) 2-Stars at -14 or less.
Rotation #396 San Diego State (-21) 2-Stars at -24 or less.

Strong Opinions
Rotation #371-372 UNDER (58 1/2) - Oklahoma at Texas Tech
Rotation #335 Connecticut (+7 1/2) Strong Opinion at +7 or more.
Rotation #346 North Carolina (-6) Strong Opinion at -7 or less, 2-Star Best Bet at -4 or less.
Rotation #400 Florida (+2 1/2) Strong Opinion at +1 or more.
Rotation #401 Texas State (+3 1/2) Strong Opinion at +3 or more.

[poopoo333]

Scott Sprietzer

Middle Tenn. St. 3.5 vs 407 La.-Monroe - Triple Play GOM
Paid by me

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Sprietzer

Triple dime GOM Middle Tenn. St. 3.5

Triple dime Notre Dame -13.5

[Mr. IWS]

Ben Burns
Mich state and Indiana OVER the total

[poopoo333]

Ben Burns
Mich state and Indiana OVER the total

[Mr. IWS]

BIG AL

Florida
Middle Tennessee St.
Purdue
Virginia

[Mr. IWS]

Joe Gavazzi

CFB Steamroller Game of the Month!

Michigan State (-15) at Indiana Noon ET Big 10TV
4* Michigan State

One of the 10* selections on this Saturday card is my October Steamroller Game of the Month. This group of highly successful selections was formulated in the early 80s and based in part on the early statistical work of legendary sports handicapper Mike Lee. The object is to isolate teams who will dominate their opponent at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the point of attack. When certain parameters are met using statistical indicators like running yards and yards/rush, it leads to consistent ATS outcomes of significantly over 60%. After 4-5 weeks of data are accumulated, the results become even stronger. Follow my Steamrollers all season long. Just such could be the case in this game today. With a pair of losses already, the Spartans can’t afford to look past lowly Indiana. Last year, they pounded away at the Indiana defensive front and recorded a 55-3 victory. Behind RB Bell, look for them to again dent the dish against a Hosier defensive front that’s allowing 214/5.0. Last week in Indiana’s 44-29 loss to Northwestern, the Wildcats motored overland for 394 yards. Second year Indiana HC Wilson is just 6-10 ATS while Michigan State HC Dantonio has logged a 10-3 ATS mark as road chalk. STEAMROLLER!

[Mr. IWS]

Wayne Root

Upset Purdue
R.O.I. Ole miss
Billionaire Miami FL

[Mr. IWS]

Wayne Root GOY

Pinnacle
Cal + 3

[biggmac419]

Pick:
Maryland
Start:
October 6, 2012 - 3:30 PM
Capper:
Larry_Ness
Offered at:
bookmaker @ -6.5 -110 Maryland
Analysis:

The Maryland Terrapins host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Byrd Stadium...
My free play is on Maryland at 3:30 ET.

The Maryland Terrapins host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Byrd Stadium in ACC play on Saturday. Neither school is a ‘player’ for this season’s title, as Wake Forest comes in 3-2 (1-2 in the ACC) while Maryland is 2-2 but has yet to play a league game. This is only the second game away from home for Wake Forest and in its first try, lost 52-0 at Florida State. The Demon Deacons were totally embarrassed in that contest, allowing 612 yards and offensively, QB Tanner Price (coming off a solid 2011 season in which he threw for 3017 yards with 20 TDs and just six INTs), looked like a high school player, completing 8-of-22 for 82 yards (at least no INTs). Now I don’t want to argue that Maryland is all that much better than Wake but in the team's biggest “step up” game of the 2012 season to-date, the Terps played very competitively at Morgantown. Maryland was tied with West Va at 14-all in the mid-second quarter and lost just, 31-21 (as 26-point underdogs). You just may have heard that West Va features a pretty fair QB in Geno Smith and while he threw for 338 yards with three TDs vs Maryland, that’s a far cry from the 463.3 YPG passing he’s averaged in his other three games this season, while tossing 17 TDs! Maryland hasn’t played since that Sep 22 trip to Morgantown and should be primed for its league-opener here at home. The home team has dominated this series the last five years, winning all five by an average of 22 PPG, while going 4-1 ATS. Let’s note that Wake Forest is playing for a SIXTH straight week and is coming off a 34-27 home loss to Duke last Saturday, the first time the Demon Deacons have lost to the Blue Devils since 1999. Adding insult to injury, Wake WR Campanaro broke his hand in the second quarter and listed as out indefinitely. Maryland’s early defensive numbers of 19.0 PPG and 227.3 YPG allowed after three games might have been questioned prior to visiting Morgantown but NOT now. I mentioned that Smith was held in check (in comparison to his other three games in 2012) and the entire West Va offense was limited to 363 yards (just 25 yards rushing) and only 24 points (West Va’s first score came on a 51-yard fumble return). Randy Edsall struggled through a 2-10 first season at College Park and the former UConn coach (led Huskies to five bowl berths in seven years as a member of the Big East), could sure use a win here, in his 2012 ACC opener. I’m betting he gets it. Lay the short number.

Good luck...Larry

[Mr. IWS]

Root

inner circle Texas

[Mr. IWS]

PPP


6% Nevada
5 So. Florida
5 Oklahoma
4 Army
4 New Mexico
5% Over Akron
4% Over Army
4% Over Mississippi
4% Over Marshall
3 Over Ball St

[biggmac419]

Brandon Lang
Today's Free Pick
3-Team 10-Point Teaser
Texas Tech (+14) / Ohio St (+6 1/2) / CSU (+27 1/2)

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 10* Conference GOY (2nd TY / won 1st 34-7 on ASU Sep 22)
My 10* Big 12 Game of the Year is on Oklahoma at 3:30 ET.

I've ridden "Big Game Bob" (I like to call him "Big Game Blob") pretty hard over the last decade and with good reason. He won a national title in his second season at Norman (in 2000) but has since gone 0-3 in BCS title-game appearances, lost more than a few other BCS Bowl games as well (see Boise St and West Va, both as seven-point favorites) plus in recent years, has seen a "bad loss" during the regular season take his team out of title consideration. Welcome to 2012, when then-No. 6 Oklahoma lost 24-19 at home to then-No. 15 Kansas St on on September 22. Oklahoma had beaten Kansas St by 41 points last year in Manhattan and this loss, marked the first-ever at home for Stoops vs a ranked opponent (he had been 14-0!). So what am I doing making a "big play" on Stoops and Oklahoma? The answer is simple. Stoops has already all but taken his team out of the national-title 'picture' and is free to win now and whine later, how "that one misstep in September," cost his team. Then again, if Oklahoma somehow climbs back into the title-game 'picture,' I'll likely go against "Big Game Blob," but that's getting ahead of myself. The key here is that the Sooners had a week off to 'stew' about the Kansas St loss and who do they draw when they return to the playing field? Not only a HIGHLY-overrated Texas Tech team which is not only 4-0 but one which came into Norman last year as 28 1/2-point underdogs and beat the 6-0 and 3rd-ranked Sooners, 41-38! It was "Big Game Blob" at his best last year. Let me remind all that last year's Texas Tech team opened 4-0 but then lost SEVEN of its final eight games, with the Oklahoma contest being the only win. Tech lost all five games after beating Oklahoma (1-4 ATS), getting outscored 246-99! Tech comes into this game a surprising 4-0 (was picked no better than 7th in the 10-team Big-12 in the preseason) but a closer look shows wins over Northwestern St, Texas St and New Mexico, in which the Red Raiders scored 151 points (50.3 per). However, playing in Ames last Saturday, Tech trailed 13-7 late in the 3Q, before winning 24-13. QB Seth Doege threw for over 4,000 yards last year (ripped Oklahoma for 441 in the win with 4 TDs and 0 INTs) and is completing 71.4% this year for 1189 yards with 15 TDs and just three INTs. However, he had no competition last week at the QB position, as Steele Jantz was 10-of-20 for 73 yards with three INTs (one TD). Here, he draws Landry Jones, DESPERATE for a big game. Jones entered this season with 20, 300-yard (or more) passing games in his career (threw for 4718 and 4463 yards in his two full seasons) but has yet to reach 300 yards in three tries in 2012. Now the Red Raiders haven't lost at home to Oklahoma since 2003 (three-game stretch) and the Sooners do have Texas up next. However, a loss by Oklahoma here makes the Texas game irrelevant and as much as I've criticized Stoops in the past, he has won 20 straight games off a loss vs a conference foe. As for a look ahead to Texas, the Sooners are 9-1 SU with EIGHT of those nine wins by a TD or more (good enough with this pointspread). Tech's win in Norman last year snapped Oklahoma's 39-game home winning streak and after the loss to Kansas St (with a week in between), expect Oklahoma's "A-game" in this one. As for down the road, we'll see. Sooners by at least two TDs and maybe by three or more!

Good luck...Larry