10-8-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #435 Houston (-8) over N.Y. Jets (8:30 p.m., Monday, Oct. 8)

I know that everyone has spent the week banging on the Jets. And the idea is that they are going to step up and they are going to put forward a gutty underdog effort on Monday Night Football and pull out a stunning upset. Well, it's not going to happen. This Jets team sucks. There is just not beating around the bush. They have horrible talent, bad schemes, and they are playing without some of their best players on both sides of the ball. People forget that even when they were going to AFC Championship Games, they were doing so as big underdogs making crazy late season runs. This team was never among the elite in football. And now that a lot of the veteran talent and toughness has moved on from this roster what is left is a debacle from the top down. Their blowout win over bumbling Buffalo was a fluke. They got hammered by 17 at Pittsburgh, they were down 10-0 before fluking out an OT win over a feeble Miami team, and they were crushed by 37 by San Fran. Well, Houston does everything that San Francisco does. And some things they do better. So if the Jets had a hard time staying within six touchdowns of the Niners at home they are going to have a tough time staying within 20 points of the Texans. If Houston gets up by a couple touchdowns in this game the crowd is going to go ballistic. The Tebow chants are going to start and this entire thing may turn into a circus. The Jets very well may have an inspired effort on MNF. But that will wear off. And their glaring lack of talent, poise, quality quarterback play, defensive front seven pressure, attention to detail, and (again) talent is going to catch up with them. Houston wins 30-10.

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine

PP Houston -8 57.4%

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense

Houston -8 NY JETS 41.5

Houston would qualify in a fundamental rushing situation, which is 510-328-23 if they are favored by seven or less points. Numbers favor Houston by 10.5 points and project about 41 points. The Jets are struggling and are extremely banged up at the receiver position and, of course, are playing without Revis at cornerback. If this line were to come down to -7 or lower I would make Houston a best bet. As it is, I will just lean their way. Houston has a much better defense and offense in this game. HOUSTON 26 NY JETS 13

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
2-Unit Play. #495. Take Winnipeg +13.5 over Montreal (Monday @ 1pm est).

This is a revenge game for Winnipeg and we're going to take it easy on this play. Winnipeg has consistently done well as a double-digit underdog. When Winnipeg faced lost 26-36 to Montreal earlier this year, this is a revenge opportunity for them. Winnipeg also comes off a very disappointing contest against Toronto losing 10-29 in a game they were favored by 3 points. Sure, Montreal lost to Hamilton but I just don't see them getting up for Winnipeg here at home and consequently, I like Winnipeg to step-up with revenge as Montreal likely looks ahead to another upcoming game. The Blue Bombers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games coming off an ATS loss and the Alouettes of Montreal are 2-5 ATS when they face a team with a losing record.

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

436 NYJ 9.0(-125) vs. 435 HOU triple-dime

[Mr. IWS]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL

TOP (3 UNITS)

TEXANS -7 (-130) at jets

[Mr. IWS]

David Chan

Monday SUPER ASSASSIN *****10*****
"FIRST HALF ASSASSIN" on the New York Jets.

[Mr. IWS]

R.a.w. Football

2* = houston

[Mr. IWS]

CRAIG DAVIS

Monday night's free play is the Texans-Jets Over the total.

2* HOUSTON-N.Y. JETS OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover's Pick Pack

NFL Monday Picks

Premium Plays

Matchup: Houston at N.Y. Jets
Time: 8:35 PM EDT (Mon)
Play: Houston (-8 -110)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: October 5, 2012 @ 2:46:48 AM EDT

Through the first month of the season, the Texans have been the best team in football. The Texans are 4-0 for the first time in their 11-year history. They have been a pointspread covering machine going 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games.

They are anxious to show the country on national television, especially in the media center of the nation, just how good they are.

The Jets were a very flawed team before losing Darrelle Revis, their best defensive player, and Santonio Holmes, their lone playmaker on offense. Now they are a team in deep trouble devoid of their weapons and swagger.

The Texans aren't the kind of team that beats themselves. They have a balanced offense with the top running back in the league in Arian Foster. Matt Schaub is an accurate game-manager with receiving weapons Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels.

Wade Phillips, with the addition of J.J. Watt, has built Houston into a dominant defense. The Jets are going to have problems scoring and their defense is far from elite minus Revis.

Look for the Texans to grind out a double-digit victory.

[Mr. IWS]

Ed Meyer's Pick Pack

NFL Guaranteed Pick

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: Houston at N.Y. Jets
Time: 8:35 PM EDT (Mon)
Play: N.Y. Jets (+9 -120)
Line Source: BetOnline.ag
Posted on: October 8, 2012 @ 6:43:27 AM EDT

The 49ers were in a fantastic spot last week and the Jets had no chance. Here it is the Texans who are in a terrible spot, so we’ll grab the ample points.
TD-plus road favorites are 0-12-1 ATS when they are off a game as a TD-plus home favorite when their opponent has won more than 1/3 of their games. The SDQL text is:
A and line<=-7 and p:H and p:line<=-7 and o:WP>33.4 and 20041201<=date
Since 2010, there have been three active games and the big favorite lost straight up every time. The Saints lost to the Seahawks as a 10-point favorite in the 2010 playoffs, the Bills upset the Patriots 27-24 getting 7’ last season and the Packers lost to the Chiefs 19-14 laying 12 in Kansas City. The last time this was active on Monday Night (week 13, 2007), the Pats were laying 20 points to an injured Ravens’ squad. The Pats needed late heroics from Tom Brady – just to get the lead -- and then their defense had to stop the Ravens on the 2-yard line after a long completion as time expired to eke out a 27-24 victory. Also, the League is 0-13 ATS as a TD-plus road favorite – not off their bye -- when they are were favored in each of their last two games and recorded at least three sacks in each. Check it out with this SDQL text:
A and line<=-7 and 3<=tp:sacks and 3<=tpp:sacks and p:F and pp:F and 20051101<=date and NB
The Jets have been very tough in their second straight home game, going 9-0 ATS (8.0 ppg) in their second home game in as many weeks. They upset the Patriots 28-14 in this spot in 2010. The SDQL is:
team=Jets and H and p:H and NB and 20060101<=date
As for Houston, they are 0-9 ATS in franchise history when they are off a win in which they committed fewer than four penalties and had a time-of-possession of less than 35 minutes. The SDQL text is:
p:W and penalties<=3 and team=Texans and p:TOP<2100
There’s no denying that the Jets were dominated by the 49ers last week. However, NY is 11-0 ATS when they are off a game in which they had fewer than 28 minutes of possession time and trailed by double-digits after the third quarter, as long as they managed at least 40 rushing yards. Check it out with this SDQL:
p:M3<=-10 and p:TOP<1680 and team=Jets and p:RY>=40 and 20051201<=date
A wounded, cornered dog can be dangerous vs an overconfident team. Grab the points.
MTi’s FORECAST: NY JETS 17 Houston 20

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Washington +101 ver ST. LOUIS
Losing a playoff game is one thing but losing in the fashion that the Cardinals lost last night is going to be difficult to rebound from. Up 2-1 in the bottom of the seventh, St. Louis loaded the bases with none out with its 4-5-6 hitters due up. They failed to score, Washington scored twice in the eighth and it was game over.

As we’ve seen with both Detroit and Cincinnati, the game one winner has a big psychological edge heading into game two, knowing they’re coming home for three games with at least one win.

From May 26th to September 15th, the Cardinals lost seven of Jaime Garcia’s eight starts. For most of the year, he had been the weakest link in the Cardinals rotation has been the rotation with a 4.41 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 44%/25% quality start/disaster start split. Garcia’s skills have dropped from stellar rookie season with less strikeouts. He’s also been hit hard by lefties.

Jordan Zimmerman has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the game with full skills support. He has outstanding control, a good K rate and a groundball bias profile. He almost always gives the Nats a better chance of winning than losing. With game 1 in the bag, the Nationals really have a chance to put a stranglehold on this series. All year they’ve answered the bell and this one should be no different.

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

3* NY Jets +9

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports

3* NY JETS+9