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This looks like a good dog play as both teams come off a weeks rest and that will favor Colorado as Arizona State has two revenge games coming up with Oregon and UCLA.
100* Play NY Yankees -155 over Baltimore (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 7:30 PM EST
Phil Hughes has won 9 of the last 11 games when pitching on a Thursday and he has won 39 of the last 51 home games. Phil Hughes has won 44 of the last 67 games as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 28 of the last 46 games vs. division opponents.
50* Play Washington +105 over St. Louis (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Detroit -140 over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Cincinnati -125 over San Francisco (MLB BONUS PLAY)
TROY +2 -105 over Western Kentucky
The Hilltoppers are ranked 25th in the nation in rushing, they’re averaging nearly 30 points a game and they’re ranked 39th overall in points allowed. WKU is 11-2 over the past calendar year with their only two losses coming to Alabama and LSU, both of whom were ranked No. 1 at the time the game was played. They have also won eight straight games against conference opponents, including a 41-18 win over these same Trojans last season. We point out their impressive numbers only to establish how this line is skewed. When playing a powder puff schedule, these types of stats are common and that’s the case here. The Hilltoppers schedule has been a very soft one. That works to our advantage as WKU is a one-dimensional offense that runs the ball often but rarely passes. WKU’s skewed defensive numbers are a result of them successfully pounding the ball on the ground against weak opposition and eating clock. The defense is spending less time on the field than most.
Troy is undervalued here. They’re a quality Sun Belt team that averages close to 500 yards of offense per game. The Trojans are 3-2 on the year but all three wins have come on the road, which confirms just how tough they can be. Looking for its first home win, the Trojans are 8-1 against the number in their past nine games after a bye and we’ll gladly play them here against a truly overhyped intruder.
6-Unit Play. #937. Take Baltimore Orioles +1.5, -160 over the New York Yankees (Thursday @ 7:30pm est).
I know it sounds a bit nuts, but in Buck and Joe I trust. Joe Saunders is no stranger to the moment as he pitched a gem against the Rangers and now the midseason pickup is called on again to deliver in a game deciding moment for the Orioles. He has pitching experience against the Yankees when he was with the Angels and now the veteran steps up once again for the O's who lost a tough game to the Yankees with Ibanez hitting two homers in both of his two bats - not bad for a guy who signed for a 1 year and a little over a 1 million dollar contract. With Jeter a bit banged up and Alex Rodriguez struggling at the plate, and this being a must win for the Orioles who went to Arlington and beat the Rangers in a similar matchup, I like Saunders here. In his post-season lifetime, Hughes has above a 5era and I can see the Baltimore offense who was stifled in their last game to step up here with a solid effort and the juice allows us to go ahead and take the plus run-line to have a 1 run handicap just in case. The Orioles are 20-7 of late following a loss, 4-1 of late when Saunders is an underdog and I like the pitcher that was essentially let go by the Diamondbacks to continue on his redemption this year.
Pittsburgh/ Houston Under 43.5: Was there any doubt which way I would go here. LOL The Titan offense has been bad and it didn't look much better last week with Hasselbeck behind center and I don't think they will be all that much better this week vs a solid Pittsburgh defense. The Steelers have allowed 30+ points in each of their two road games this year, but Tennessee has put up more than 14 points just once this year and last week with Matt in there they could muster just 7 total points vs Minnesota. Knowing their problems at QB and their defensive problems I look for Tennessee to come out and really try and establish the run with Johnson, which should also shorten the game and keep their defense on the sidelines. The Pittsburgh offense has had their problems running the ball this year, but they looked much better last week with Mendenhall back from injury and I expect them to use this week to work on that run game vs a Tennessee defense that has allowed 144 ypg on the ground this year. That should eat plenty of clock. I really expect both teams to play ball control in this one and that should help the game stay in the 30's and not the 40's.
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