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anthony redd
150 san diego
150 san diego
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OC DOOLEY
“2 UNIT” NATIONAL LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES SIDE (Giants -115 at home versus Cardinals in a 8:07 eastern start televised on Fox-------Carpenter versus Vogelsong): Continuing a stunning pattern that began in the recently completed Divisional round and even the Wildcard contests, the “road” team continues to thrive in the postseason. One could argue that tonight’s visiting side should come out on top again since St. Louis is an outstanding 13-3 all time in the playoffs when their ace Chris Carpenter is on the mound. But there is a problem with that theory in 2012 as Carpenter due to serious arm and shoulder problems was not supposed to pitch at all from comments made by top Cardinals brass as recently as the 19th of July. While it is remarkable that he is on the mound this evening, the fact of the matter is that the Cardinals are 1-3 in the four games that the former Cy Young Award winner has been the starting pitcher. As for host San Francisco their hottest hurler is on the mound tonight as Ryan Vogelsong in the most recent three mound assignments has a SUB-ONE ERA (0.56) including what was a clutch performance in the Divisional playoffs. Most reading this analysis will remember San Francisco traveling to Cincinnati down 0-2 and on the brink of getting swept out of the postseason until Vogelsong ultimately came to the rescue. Tonight’s Giants starter made one appearance against the Cardinals this season and San Francisco came away with a 15-0 victory on the road in St. Louis, which has to be a confidence booster. Cappersmall would like to say Hi to our fans at FBZ. It has been a very rough postseason so far for San Francisco in their home ballpark as the offense has crossed the plate in just 3 of 27 overall innings. The collective team batting average in those contests (.165) also has been deplorable, but last night in the NLCS opener the Giants actually scored FOUR times in one inning which also can be looked at as a confidence booster. Taking a look at pure statistics St. Louis has stunningly been bad the past two years with Chris Carpenter (4-12) when the team is coming off consecutive victories. On the flipside San Francisco is an excellent 14-5 this campaign with Ryan Vogelsong in NIGHT games. While the visitor has won every playoff contest involving the Giants so far, the HOST side has won 17 of 29 times with Chris Guccione as the homeplate UMPIRE. Finally in the history of the Giants franchise never have they dropped 4 consecutive postseason contests in front of their own home fansComment
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Joe Nelson's Pick Pack
NFL Guaranteed Pick
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Denver at San Diego
Time: 8:40 PM EDT (Mon)
Play: Denver (+1 -110)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: October 15, 2012 @ 1:04:48 AM EDT
Denver is just 2-3 on the season but the losses have come against teams that are a combined 14-4. The Broncos are 0-2 on the road this season but both games were very tight and statistically the Broncos have out-gained foes by more than 50 yards per game through one the league’s absolute toughest schedules through the first five weeks. San Diego leads the AFC West at 3-2 butt he Chargers have been shaky following the 2-0 start. The three wins for San Diego have come against teams that are a combined 4-13 and in two games against common opponents Denver has been far more impressive, losing by six to Atlanta while the Chargers lost by 24 and beating Oakland by 31 while San Diego won by just eight. San Diego’s defense is allowing just 74 rushing yards per game but the pass defense has been vulnerable as Atlanta and New Orleans posted big numbers against the Chargers. San Diego has been out-gained in the air in four of five games this season and Denver has out-passed every opponent despite facing some of the top passing teams in the NFL. San Diego has had some recent success in this series and this line has been jumping around but the road team has covered in four of the last six meetings in this division rivalry. Denver should shore up its run defense this week after struggling against the Patriots and while value is gone for the Broncos with the line move, Denver should be considered the more reliable team that has battled through a far tougher schedule to produce superior numbers. San Diego has received a lot of help with turnovers this season but this is a team that was out-gained in two of its wins against losing teams and there has been no real home field edge in San Diego in recent years.Comment
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LEGIT PICKS
Monday 10/15/12 Plays...
HIGHEST RATED 6* CHARGERS (MONEY LINE)
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