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2 unit soild gold tcu
2 unit soild gold tcu
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Trace Adams
Saturday's Selection ...
For Saturday in college football, 2000♦ Double Your Wager Winner # 3 of 4 in the New Mexico Lobos as the road undgrdog agacinst the Air Force Falcons. At the time I release this selejtion on Saturday morning, New Mexico is a +11 point road dog against the host Falcons.
After losing at home to Navy in overtime on October 6th, Troy Calhoun's Falcons were able to rebound with a scant 28-27 road win at Wyoming as the field goal favgrite. I expect the 3-3 Falcs to be just a little gassed when they tee it up against the surprising Lobos of New Mexico.
Bob Davie has done a bang-up job in his first season in Albuquerque, as he has the Wolves at 4-3 straight up with 4 straight pointspread covers under their belt.Their 3 losses do come againcst some quality opposition; Texas, Texas Tech, and Boise State, and they almost pulled the upset of Boise State in the process.
Who says the coaching staff can't make a big difference? The team is averaging 280 yards per game rushing, ranks 2nd in the Mountain West in Rush Defense, and owns a sensjtional turnover margin.
On the flip side, Air Force is just 3-7 their last 10 lined games as the home chalk. New Mexico might shock the world and win this one outright. No doubt grabbing the overly-generous double-digits is an absolute gift.
The Lobos have dropped each of the last 4 series meetings, including an ugly 42-0 home loss to the Force last season. It is payback time. Take the points.
Matt Rivers
Saturday's Selection ...
Your Saturday winner is: 400,000♦ Winner #6 in a Row is Kent State as the home favgrite against the visitcing Western Michigan Broncos. At the time I release this selectijn, the Golden Flashes are the 3 1/2 point favorite both in Vegas and at the offshore books.
Broncos coming off tough overtime loss at Ball State last Saturday as the small undgrdog, as Western Michigan dropped to 0-3 both straight up and against the spread away from Kalamazoo this season. The road gets no easier today against a Kent State team that has reeled off four straight wins and covers since their early season loss at Kentucky.
The Golden Flashes are in line for the top spot in the East Division of the MAC, and they have the X-factor in this game on their team. RB Dri Archer is the real deal, leading NCAA in kick-off returns (3 TDs and a 48 yard average) and all-purpose yards (229 yards per game). 1 of only 2 guys in the country with 200+ per game. 222 yards rushing on 12 carries against Army, 3 catches and 2 TDs against Ball State as well.
These schools did not meet last season, but the upperclassmen well rememcber the 2010 meeting when Kent went to Waldo Stadium as was trounced 38-3 as the field goal underdog.
Revenge time for Kent who are playing only their third home game of the campaign after playing four of their first six football contests away from home. Keep in mind WMU is just 6-14-1 as the road undjrdog dating back to the 2008 season.
Kent continues their climb today. Home win and cover to the Golden Flashes.
Jeff Benton
Saturday's Action
40 Dime winner going out in the Big 10 on the visitgng Michigan State Spartansin the undgrdog role agajnst the Michigan Wolverines. 20 Dime winner on Miss State as the favorite over Middle Tennessee State. The lines I am seeing when I release these selections are Michigan State +9 1/2 points, and Miss State -18 1/2 points both in Vegas and offshore.
ANALYSIS
Feel we have an overreaction on this Michigan State-Michigan number, as the Wolverines have been blowing the doors off foes the past couple of weeks, while the Spartans have struggled with losses in two of their last three. But, let's take a closer look shall we?
Who has Michigan really beaten? Purdue, Illinois, and Massachusetts don't qualify as "world-beaters", so I am quite hesitgnt to lay almost 10-points in this rivalry game. The Spartans have dropped two of their last three, but all three have been decided by four points or less, so you can see why taking this amount of points looks very appetizing.
Then of course there is the fact that Sparty owns the last four series wins, and they own the last four series covers. That fact tells me that a win by the Wolverines today will not come easy.
Mark Dantonio has shown he knows how to beat Michigan, and if the Spartans can esctablish the run and control the clock, then there is little chance Denard Robinson can impact this game as much as Brady Hoke would like.
At the end of the day this rivalry is too fierce for me to believe either team will pull away. State is up for the call, while Michigan's confjdence level from their past couple of lopsided wins prevents them from winning by more than a TD.
Take the points.
ANALYSIS #2
I know it is tempting to back the Blue Raiders plus the points, especially since they come into Starkville with straight up wins in four of their last five games, but don't do it!
Miss State is the real McCoy! This team just grinds you into submission. Great defense and solid offense...no mistakes!
Let's have a look at some common opponents:
Miss St beat Auburn 28-10 on September 8th. The following weekend, ULMonroe lost to Auburn 28-31 in overtime. ULMonroe then beat Middle Tenn St 31-17 on October 6th.
The last time these teams met in 2009, Miss State beat MTSU 27-6 and both Miss State (is a much better team this year) and MTSU (is a much worse team this year than 2009).
Finally, the loss of Blue Raiders do-everything RB Benny Cunningham for the season - he was the Sun Belt Conference rushing leader and also has 11 touchdowns - is going to take away any shot Middle Tennessee State has of staying close.
I am aware that Dan Mullen's squad has a huge date at Alabama up next, but the Bulldogs won't let down here....Miss State 38 MTSU 9.
Derek Mancini
Saturday's Winner...
60 Dime play on the Temple Owls plus the points agagnst the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. As I release this selecction at 10 pm Eastern on Saturday, Temple is currjntly listed as a 4-point underdog at the majority of the books.
Anthony Redd
Saturday's Play
150 Dime selgction on the Iowa Hawkeyes over the Penn State Nittany Lions. As I reclease this play at 9:00pm Pacific Friday night in Vegas, the line on Iowa is -2.5 in Vegas and offshjre.
Chuck O'Brien
Big Saturday night winner...
My 100 Dime Winner tongght is going to be on the Georgia Bulldogs, laying the points in SEC play, visitcing the Kentucky Wildcats, at Commonwealth Stadium in Lexington, Kentucky. And as I am releasing this game at 10 p.m. pacific Friday night, the line I am seeing across the board and most books in Las Vegas and Offshore is currently resjding at Georgia -26.
Tonight's Analysis
When I say massacre, I seriously mean one of the worst beatdowns in a BCS-confergnce that will take place this season. The Georgia Bulldogs are coming off a bye week, which followed their first loss of the season - a 35-7 shellacking at South Carolina. Now the Kentucky Wildcats, unfortunately, have to pay the price for the Dawgs' sore spot.
Using the 11th-best scoring offense that is driven by the 20th-ranked offense and balanced by a comprehensive stop unit that ranks 50th in the country, I love the Bulldogs today, even laying this big number on the road.
I know the defensive breakdowns have been a concern for the Dawgs, as they've given up 89 points the past two games. But Kentucky, which comes in with one of the worst offenses in the nation, could very well make it five straight games in which it's scored or more than 17 points.
In seven games this season, the Wildcats have gotten past the 17-point plateau just twice - against Kent State (a 47-14 win) and Western Kentucky (a 32-31 loss). The boys from Bluegrass rank 113th nationally on offense, out of 124 teams ranked in Footcball Bowl Subdivision, and 112th with their 18.5 points per game average.
Now, after they were pummeled in Arkansas last week, 49-7, they're hosting a revitalized Georgia team that had last week off and plenty of time to stew about its 28-point flop versus the Gamecocks. Plus, they come into this one dinged up pretty good, as injuries have forced the 'Cats to use freshmen on both sides of the ball.
It's quite possible four defensive rookies will start in the secondary against Bulldogs quarterback Aaron Murray, who ranks 15th nationally with his passing efficiency and 51st in the country in total offense. Balancing things out will be freshman running back Todd Gurley, who has rushed for 575 yards and nine touchdowns. The 6-foot-1, 220-pound bruiser leads the SEC in scoring (60 points) and all-purpose yards per game (138.2). He's joined by Keith Marshall, who with Gurley lead the nation as a tandem with 173.3 rushing yards per game.
Georgia, which is 13-4 following a bye under Mark Richt, are on school record-setting pace at 41.3 points per game. It is phenomenal inside the Red Zone, where they've scored 19 touchdowns on 23 opportunitjes, leading the SEC at an 83 percent clip.
Checking the betting numbers, the Dawgs are in on ATS streaks of 6-1 against losing teams, 5-2 after an ATS loss and 4-1 when visiting a team that loses at home. On the flipside, Kentucky checks in on ATS slides of 1-4 in October, 0-4 after SU and ATS losses and in conference play and 0-5 overall.
This is going to be ugly guys, lay the road chalk.
Craig Davis
Saturday's Action...
50 Dime Play for Saturday in college footbgll is a 2 TEAM, 6-POINT TEASER on Nevada and the Over as they play agaicnst San Diego State in Reno. At 9:00 am eastern, the price in Vegas and at the offshjre books is Nevada -6 1/2 points and the total is 66 points. Using the traditional 2 team, 6 point teaser, I am taking Nevada down to minus the half-point, and the total down to 61 points and playing Nevada and the Over.
Analysis
50 DIME - 2 TEAM, 6-POINT TEASER - NEVADA & OVER --- The Wolfpack are starting to play a lot better than we saw at the beginging of the year (yes, I'm referring to that South Florida meltdown). Granted, it's hard to compare this year's team to the team that had Colin Kaepernick at the helm, but I'm starting to see some similarities.
Nevada leads the confcerence in points per game at 41 and total offense at 549 yards per game. I'll admit, I wasn't sure what to think of QB Cody Fajardo because he had big shoes to fill, but he's turned into a pretty darn good field general.
And behind him in the pistol offense is RB Stefphon Jefferson... only the nation's leading rusher. It's pretty simple for San Diego State --- stop Jefferson and Fajardo and the running game and you stop Nevada. Problem is, aside from some very good linebackers, the Aztecs don't have much of a defense. Granted, they have surprised me by allowing a mere 116 rushing yards per game with some of those players, but the question is, have they seen a rushing attack like they're about to see tonight? The answer is a resounding "no".
With this game being in Reno, the advjntage clearly lies with the hometown Wolfpack... but 6 1/2 points had me a little leery. Teasing it down only made sense.
SDSU averages over 200 yards rushing and 35 points per game. This one shouldn't have any problem getting the cash with both the side and the total.
Al DeMarco - GM
Saturday's Play
15 Dime play on Clemson as the home favorite against Virginia Tech. The Tigers are -8 (although there are some 7 1/2's out there) as of 6:10 AM Pacific.
Best two games Clemson has played defensively the past two years might have come in last season's sweep of the Hokies, who they upset on both occasions, winning 23-3 as a seven-point dog in Blacksburg in the regular season and 38-10 in Atlanta catching a TD again in the ACC Championship Game.
Virginia Tech has historically been known for its defense, but noted coordinator Bud Foster's troops are struggling this season. In their only two road games, losses at Pitt and North Carolina, they allowed 35 and 48 points, respectively. They allowed 27 in a home loss to Cincy and found themselves down 20-0 in the first quarter to visiting Duke last Saturday before rallying for the win.
Offensively, V-Tech isn't as strong as a year ago when QB Logan Thomas had a strong ground game powered by David Wilson, who now plays for the NY Giants.
As for Clemson on offense, nothing has changed. The Tigers are averaging 41.3 points for the season and 46.7 in three home games, the last of which was a 47-31 triumph in revenge against Georgia Tech's triple-option attack two Saturdays ago.
Clemson is coming off a bye, while Tech is playing for the eighth consecutive week and for the third time in four weeks on the road.
Today's Note
A third straight NLCS winner - and baseball winner #23 of 33 overall - wasn't to be as the Cards lost on Friday at home to the Giants. Looking to rebound today with my ACC Game of the Year release, a 15 dime play on Clemson and Virginia Tech as the Hokies seek the cover as a road dog in double-revenge after losing in the ACC Title game to the Tigers a year ago.
Steve Budin - CEO
Saturday's Play
The Philadelphia Crew has a 25 Dime Play on Western Kentucky as the -3 1/2 point home favorite against U.L. Monroe. That's the price I'm seeing at most books as this play is released at 9:35 AM Eastern on Saturday morning. The game kicks off 4:00 PM Eastern this afternoon. With this price, you should go ahead and buy the insurance if you have Western Kentucky anywhere from -3 to -4 1/2, taking the price down by a half-point.Comment
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Mark Mayer @ Gaming Today
NCAA
LSU -3 at Texas A&M: Tigers come off a huge win over South Carolina, but beware of Manziel and the famed 12th man. TEXAS A&M.
Oregon -10 at Arizona St.: A Thursday night special. The lowest previous spread Oregon had to cover was 21. A bargain. OREGON.
Stanford -2 at Cal: The Cardinal are smarting from that goal line ripoff at Notre Dame. Cal is just the right medicine. STANFORD.
Baylor +10 at Texas: Both teams humbled by blowout losses last week. Teams now go into Austin thinking win. BAYLOR.
BC +14 at Georgia Tech: Whatever is left of that BC carcass that was dragged out of Tallahassee will be devoured in Atlanta. GT.
Texas Tech +1 at TCU: Line opened +3½ and one place I saw had Tech -2. Tech buried West Virginia in Lubbock. This is Ft. Worth. TCU.
Nebraska -5 at N’western: Huskers needed that bye week after giving up 63 at Ohio State. Wildcats are not Buckeyes. NEBRASKA.
Iowa St. +14 at Okla St.: The Cyclones went to Iowa and won then went to TCU and won. IOWA ST.
Michigan St. +10 at Michigan: Wolverines outscored Purdue and Illinois 89-13 the past two weeks. MICHIGAN.
Middle Tenn +20 at Miss St.: Classic sandwich game for host Bulldogs with Tennessee before and Alabama ahead next week. MTSU.Comment
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Mike Hook
320 Massachusetts 18.0(-110) single-dime bet
360 Navy -2.5(-110) double-dime bet
352 California 3.0(-110) double-dime bet
312 Northwestern 7.0(-110) double-dime bet
ML 370 West Virginia (-145) triple-dime bet
367 Utah 10.0(-110) double-dime bet
406 Nevada -6.5(-110) triple-dime bet
403 Wyoming 17.0(-110) double-dime betComment
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