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PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Dallas Cowboys -2 over
the Carolina Panthers
the Dallas Cowboys -2 over
the Carolina Panthers
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500K NFC South Lock/Year
the New Orleans Saints -1 over
the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Best Bets
the Indianapolis Colts -1½ over
the Cleveland Browns
the Green Bay Packers -5 over
the St Louis Rams
the Washington Redskins +6 over
the NY Giants
the Baltimore/Houston Game OVER
the Total Of 48 PointsComment
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500K NBC Lock
the Pittsburgh Steelers -1 over
the Cincinnati Bengals
Best Bets
the Pittsburgh/Cincinnati Game OVER
the Total Of 45 Points
the Oakland Raiders -6 over
the Jacksonville Jaguars
the NY Jets/New England Game OVER
the Total Of 47½ Points
the San Francisco Giants w/Vogelsong -115 over
the St Louis CardinalsComment
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PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the New England Patriots -10½ over
the NY JetsComment
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Andy Iskoe
SUNDAY
Titans +3 at Bills (46½): Tennessee has extra rest following last Thursday’s home upset of struggling Pittsburgh. Buffalo rebounded from back-to-back losses of 28 and 42 points with an overtime win at Arizona. After back-to-back road games this is the Bills’ lone home game in a – week stretch. And they have a bye next week. BILLS.
Cards +5½ at Vikings (40½): There are many similarities between the two. Each has a rather pedestrian offense although the Vikings do have a solid rushing attack. Both teams’ strengths are their defenses with each ranking in the top ten in total defense, passing defense and scoring defense. They also rank fourth and fifth in yards per play allowed with each under 5.0. UNDER.
Browns +3 at Colts (44½): Both teams are among the weakest in the league but each has shown signs of improvement as the season continues to unfold. The Colts have the more high profile rookie QB, Andrew Luck, but Cleveland rookie Brandon Weedon is also developing nicely. Colts rank last in the NFL with just 3 takeaways all season. The Browns have forced an average of 2.3 per game. BROWNS.
Ravens +5½ at Texans (47): In edging Dallas last week Baltimore suffered significant injuries to key defensive players including the heart and soul of the unit, Ray Lewis. The offense remains solid and the Ravens rank third by gaining 6.3 yards per play. Houston’s defense was picked apart by Green Bay, but has played well against weaker offenses. The usually stout Baltimore defense is allowing a surprisingly high 397 total yards per game. OVER.
Packers -5½ at Rams (44½): The Rams are 5-1 ATS, covering in two of their three road losses. Given the great success of underdogs this season the Rams are worth a play, especially if the line moves up as the public believes the Pack is back. RAMS.
Cowboys -2 at Panthers (45½): After winning at the Giants to open the season Dallas has lost its next two road games, at Seattle and Baltimore. The Panthers have lost three straight, but all have been to winning teams and their last two losses have been by 4 and 2 points. Carolina has had two weeks to prepare for the Cowboys. PANTHERS.
Redskins +6½ at NY Giants (49½): The Redskins defeated the Giants twice last season. Washington rookie QB Robert Griffin III’s mobility makes him less susceptible to the Giants’ pass rush than most QBs. The Giants are playing to avenge last season’s sweep but there’s plenty of room for the improved visitors to stay competitive. REDSKINS.
Saints -2½ at Bucs (49½): The Bucs have defended the run very well but have a leaky pass defense. That plays to the strength of the Saints’ offense, directed by record setting QB Drew Brees. But the Saints have defensive issues of their own, ranking last in total yardage. This has the makings of an entertaining shootout. OVER.
Jets +10½ at Patriots (47): New England has won 4 of the last 5 regular season games against the Jets with 3 of the wins by at least 17 points. There’s a bit of a rivalry between the head coaches and Pat’s coach Bill Belichick has always placed a great emphasis on Divisional games. Despite the great success of underdogs this season, double digit favorites are 3-2 ATS this season. PATRIOTS.
Jaguars +4 at Raiders (43): The Raiders’ defense has held three of five foes to under 60 yards rushing. Oakland’s defensive weakness has been against the pass. But Jacksonville has a very limited passing attack and has netted less than 150 passing yards in each of its last four games. Now they take to the road for the first time in a month. Although both teams are an identical 1-4, Oakland is the much better team. RAIDERS.
Steelers -2½ at Bengals (46): Pittsburgh has dominated this series of late, winning and covering four straight and are 9-2 both SU and ATS since 2006 with the game winner covering the line each time. The Bengals do have their bye next week. Pittsburgh has been outstanding after a loss in recent years, including 2-0 this season. STEELERS.Comment
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HANDICAPPSTER
Ravens +6.5 (5 UNITS)
Saints -1 (5 UNITS)
Jets +11 (4 UNITS)
Cowboys -1 (3 UNITS)
Steelers -1 (3 UNITS)Comment
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The Chicago Sports Connection
1:00 ET
OVER 45 Green Bay @ St. Louis
Green Bay is out of running backs...look for ARodg to throw, throw and throw some more.
Clock will stop a few more times than usual and we will see this game end at about 4:35 ETComment
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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets
NFL NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY
Play Under - Any team against the total in a game involving two poor teams (outgained by 40-100 YPG), after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% 37.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% 2.0 units )
NFL PITTSBURGH at CINCINNATI
Play On - Road teams with a money line of +130 to -150 (PITTSBURGH) in conference games, off a road loss.
63-34 over the last 10 seasons. ( 64.9% 0.0 units )
4-0 this year. ( 100.0% 0.0 units )
NFL WASHINGTON at NY GIANTS
Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (WASHINGTON) off an upset win as a home underdog, after the first month of the season.
102-54 since 1997. ( 65.4% 42.6 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% -0.1 units )Comment
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Ravens at Texans: What Bettors Need to Know
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans (-7, 48)
The Baltimore Ravens’ defense has carried the team for years. Now, more than ever, it’s time for Joe Flacco and the offense to lead the way. Baltimore’s already hamstrung defense will be missing emotional leader Ray Lewis and top cornerback Lardarius Webb - both out for the season - when the Ravens head to Houston to face the Texans, who are looking to rebound from their first loss. The Texans’ sixth-ranked rushing attack was stuck in neutral and their defense was gashed for six touchdowns by Aaron Rodgers in a 42-24 loss to Green Bay last Sunday night.
Baltimore may have had an even worse week, even though it ran its winning streak to four games. The Ravens allowed 481 yards, including a franchise-record 227 rushing yards, in a 31-29 win over Dallas – a game in which Lewis tore his biceps and Webb suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament. The teams faced off in the divisional playoffs last season, with the Ravens beating the Matt Schaub-less Texans 20-13 to improve to 6-0 against Houston. Webb intercepted T.J. Yates twice in that contest.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
LINE: Texans -7, O/U 48
ABOUT THE RAVENS (5-1): Flacco, an impending free agent, has been pining for a new contract and now is the time to prove his worth. After going a modest 17-of-26 for 234 yards and a touchdown against the league’s top-ranked pass defense, he gets another stern test against the Texans’ seventh-ranked pass defense (213.2 ypg). It will be interesting to see how much Baltimore uses its no-huddle offense considering it forces the injury-ravaged defense to be on the field more than usual. That unit has struggled to generate a pass rush (its 11 sacks ranks 23rd) minus reigning Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs, (Achilles) and is 26th against the run (136.5). Therefore, Baltimore needs an offense that is averaging 26.8 points to continue to play well. They’ll continue to lean on RB Ray Rice, who is second in the league in yards from scrimmage (715), and play-making WR Torrey Smith, who ranks fourth in the league in yards per reception (18.8).
ABOUT THE TEXANS (5-1): Houston received a mulligan after running into a desperate and angry Green Bay team last week. The Texans' first order of business will be re-establishing their dominant rushing attack after Arian Foster, the league’s second-leading rusher (561 yards), was held to 29 yards on 17 carries with a pair of 1-yard touchdown runs. Meanwhile, the defense, which is without LB Brian Cushing (torn ACL), still leads the AFC in scoring (19.2) despite the hiccup against Green Bay. Leading Defensive Player of the Year candidate J.J Watt was the lone bright spot in the loss, racking up two more sacks to push his league-leading total to 9.5. Watt has also batted down a league-best eight passes at the line of scrimmage.
TRENDS:
* Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
* Texans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 4-1 in Texans’ last five home games.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. The 37-year-old Lewis missed four games last season with a toe injury and the Ravens went 4-0 in his absence.
2. Suggs, who reportedly suffered the injury playing pickup basketball in the offseason, was activated from the physically unable to perform list and returned to practice Wednesday. The team anticipated a return around November, but reports have surfaced that Suggs plans to plan Sunday.
3. Foster ran for 132 yards and a touchdown in the playoff loss to Baltimore, making him the only player to rush for 100 yards against the Ravens in the postseason.Comment
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Jets at Patriots: What Bettors Need to Know
New York Jets at New England Patriots (-10.5, 47)
Despite all of the "Sky is Falling" talk, Rex Ryan's New York Jets find themselves in a four-way tie atop the AFC East as they renew their rivalry with Tom Brady and the shellshocked New England Patriots on Sunday in Foxborough. The Jets ended a two-game skid by returning to their ground-and-pound ways against the overmatched Indianapolis Colts last week as Shonn Greene ran for a career-best 161 yards and three touchdowns in a 35-9 win.
That strategy has quieted some of the Mark Sanchez-Tim Tebow controversy for the moment, but the Jets will likely have to throw the ball more than 18 times to keep up with the Patriots’ top-ranked offense. Especially since Brady and company are fuming after blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead in a stunning 24-23 defeat to Seattle – a loss that sent them to their worst start in seven years. History says Brady's bunch will bounce back against the Jets. The Patriots have won two straight and 15 of the last 20 meetings, including the last three regular-season meetings by a combined score of 112-40. Brady threw for 329 yards and three touchdowns – two to All-Pro tight end Rob Gronkowski - in a 37-16 romp in New Jersey last season.
TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
LINE: Patriots -10.5, O/U 47.
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-50s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will be light out of the west.
ABOUT THE JETS (3-3): Ryan is trash-talking once again after the Jets bludgeoned the rebuilding Colts. He said of the Patriots: “I want them to know, and they know, that I think we’re going to beat them.” In order to back up Ryan’s words, the Jets need another big game from Greene, who had been averaging 2.7 yards over the previous four contests. And with Bilal Powell (shoulder) and Joe McKnight (high ankle sprain) both out, he’ll be the workhorse against the NFL’s sixth-ranked rush defense (82.7 ypg). Sanchez will have to throw for more than 82 yards. The embattled fourth-year quarterback has the worst completion percentage (49.7) in the league, which has led to some cameo appearances from Tebow.
ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (3-3): The 3,000-plus mile plane ride back from Seattle must have felt longer than the line at Starbucks after the Patriots let a 23-10 lead slip away in the final 7:31. The defense, which let Sidney Rice get behind it for the winning 46-yard touchdown, is largely to blame, but Brady was not absolved of guilt. He threw two touchdowns but was intercepted twice – once in the end zone – and also had a costly intentional-grounding penalty in the red zone at the end of the first half. Brady finished 36-of-58 (a career high in attempts) for 395 yards. He was forced to throw an inordinate amount because the Patriots, who entered third in the league averaging 165.4 rushing yards, were held to 87 yards on the ground. New England, which welcomed back TE Aaron Hernandez from a month-long absence last week, is still averaging a league-best 31.3 points and 445.3 yards.
TRENDS:
* Over is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings.
* Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings.
* Patriots are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven Week 7 games.
* Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last four October games.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Since 2009, the Patriots have lost seven games in which they led with less than five minutes remaining in regulation - tied for third most in the NFL.
2. The Jets’ defense, which is ranked 30th in third-down conversion rate (46.0), will face its toughest test since star CB Darrelle Revis (torn ACL) went down three weeks ago.
3. The Patriots announced on Twitter that the team will wear the popular throwback red uniforms, circa 1992, featuring the helmet logo of “Patriot Pat” snapping a football.Comment
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NLCS Betting Preview: Cardinals at Giants
St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants (-115, 6.5)
St. Louis leads series 3-2.
The St. Louis Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history, but they’re not thinking about that as they head west for the rest of the National League Championship Series. Instead, St. Louis is looking to rebound from a 5-0 loss in Game 5 that trimmed their series lead to 3-2 with Game 6 looming on Sunday. The San Francisco Giants proved they can win the hard way after taking three straight against Cincinnati to capture the NL Division Series, and they have Ryan Vogelsong and Matt Cain lined up to start the final two games of the NLCS. Pablo Sandoval has homered in each of his last two games, and he’s hitting .310 (13-for-42) with three home runs in 10 postseason games.
The Cardinals are seeking more offensive consistency after batting .198 through the first three games of the series and going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position in Game 5. While Matt Holliday went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Friday, Carlos Beltran had a double and a stolen base after missing Game 4 with a strained left knee. The Giants are also hoping to get more production from the heart of their order, starting with MVP candidate Buster Posey, who is 3-for-18 with three walks in the NLCS. Hunter Pence and Gregor Blanco have both struggled this postseason, but manager Bruce Bochy has been reluctant to replace either outfielder with Xavier Nady. Pence is one of the Giants' clubhouse leaders, but he's hitting just .154 (6-for-39) in the playoffs.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 11 mph.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (1-0, 1.50)
Carpenter is looking to redeem himself after allowing five runs (two earned) over four innings against the Giants in Game 2. Pence is 5-for-28 with seven strikeouts against Carpenter, who is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco. Carpenter, who is one win shy of tying Greg Maddux and Curt Schilling for the fifth-most playoff victories in history (11), missed the first 150 games of the season with a right shoulder injury.
Vogelsong has been a pleasant surprise this postseason, posting a 1.50 ERA and allowing only seven hits in 12 innings over two starts. He gave up one run over seven frames in Game 2, and he threw seven scoreless innings in a 15-0 win at Busch Stadium on Aug. 8. Yadier Molina is 3-for-14 and Beltran is 6-for-13 with a home run against Vogelsong, who finished the regular season with a 0.53 ERA over his final three starts.
TRENDS:
* Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight games following a loss.
* Giants are 4-1 in Vogelsong’s last five starts.
* Over is 5-0 in Cardinals’ last five playoff games as an underdog.
* Over is 8-0 in Giants’ last eight playoff home games.
UMP TRENDS- Jerry Layne:
* Over is 10-2 in Layne’s last 12 games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games with Layne behind home plate.
* Road team is 15-6 in Layne’s last 21 games behind home plate.
WALK-OFFS:
1. The Giants are looking to become the seventh team to win a League Championship Series after trailing 3-1 since the best-of-seven format was adopted in 1985.
2. Carpenter has started with a chance for his team to clinch a playoff series four times in his career, with the Cardinals going 3-1. He has a 1.93 ERA in those starts over 28 innings.
3. The Giants are 4-1 when scoring four or more runs in the postseason and 1-4 when scoring three runs or fewer.Comment
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Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with Nebraska (-6 1/2) Saturday.
Sunday it’s the Patriots. The deficit is 885 sirignanos.Comment
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DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NFL - Sunday, October 21st - FREE PLAY
TOP (3 UNITS)
REDSKINS +7 (-135) at giants (10am)Comment
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Today's NFL Picks
NY Jets at New England
The Patriots look to build on their 6-0-1 ATS record in their last 7 games in Week 7 of the season. New England is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: New England (-10 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (10/17)Game 415-416: Tennessee at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 124.708; Buffalo 126.383
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3 1/2); OverGame 417-418: Arizona at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 135.928; Minnesota 132.922
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 40
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+6 1/2); OverGame 419-420: Cleveland at Indianapolis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 125.229; Indianapolis 129.479
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-3); UnderGame 421-422: Baltimore at Houston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 134.763; Houston 144.495
Dunkel Line: Houston by 9 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Houston by 6 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-6 1/2); OverGame 423-424: Green Bay at St. Louis (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 137.827; St. Louis 130.430
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 7 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 5; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-5); UnderGame 425-426: Dallas at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.827; Carolina 127.236
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Dallas by 1; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1); UnderGame 427-428: Washington at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 132.731; NY Giants 140.413
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 7 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 5 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-5 1/2); OverGame 429-430: New Orleans at Tampa Bay (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 132.610; Tampa Bay 128.555
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 4; 46
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-2 1/2); UnderGame 431-432: NY Jets at New England (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 130.799; New England 142.820
Dunkel Line: New England by 12; 51
Vegas Line: New England by 10 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New England (-10 1/2); OverGame 433-434: Jacksonville at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 125.907; Oakland 126.831
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Oakland by 4 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+4 1/2); OverGame 435-436: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (8:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 128.756; Cincinnati 136.591
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 46
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3); UnderComment
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DCI NFL
Week
Straight Up: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS: 1-0 (1.000)
ATS Vary Units: 2-0 (1.000)
Over/Under: 1-0 (1.000)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2-0 (1.000)
Season
Straight Up: 48-40 (.545)
ATS: 39-51 (.433)
ATS Vary Units: 187-323 (.367)
Over/Under: 51-38 (.573)
Over/Under Vary Units: 203-157 (.564)
Thursday, October 18, 2012
SAN FRANCISCO 20, Seattle 15
Sunday, October 21, 2012
BUFFALO 29, Tennessee 26
Cleveland 23, INDIANAPOLIS 19
N.Y. GIANTS 36, Washington 18
New Orleans 38, TAMPA BAY 26
CAROLINA 27, Dallas 21
HOUSTON 22, Baltimore 21
Green Bay 23, ST. LOUIS 19
MINNESOTA 21, Arizona 18
NEW ENGLAND 32, N.Y. Jets 22
OAKLAND 27, Jacksonville 16
Pittsburgh 21, CINCINNATI 20Comment
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