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2 UNIT = Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears - OVER 47 (-111) (Note: I'm risking 2.22 units to win 2.00 units)
These two division rivals will meet in the Monday Night'er with Chicago fresh off a bye week and 6.5 point favorites. Detroit enters the game with a 2-3 record, while going 1-2 on the road. Chicago is off to a hot start at 4-1 and are a perfect 2-0 at home. Detroit has beaten St Louis and Philadelphia, while losing to San Francisco, Tennessee and Minnesota. The Bears have beaten Indianapolis, St Louis, Dallas, and Jacksonville, with their only loss coming in Green Bay. Similar to last year the Lions have a high powered attack on offense as they've averaged 419 yards per game (2nd) and 25.2 points per game (10th). Chicago is just 21st in ypg at 346, but they've been effective scoring points ranking 3rd in ppg at 29.8. At home the Bears have scored 41 and 23 points, and they are averaging 32.7 ppg in their past 3 games. Defensively Chicago has been solid as expected ranking 4th in yards against per game, and 1st in points against per game - but they haven't been tested by too many good offenses with three of their games coming against Indianapolis, St Louis, and Jacksonville. Besides when they faced Green Bay and gave up 23 points, this should be their next toughest test tonight. Detroit on the other hand is ranked 26th in papg at 27.4, and 9th in total defense allowing 324 yards against per game. A big problem for the Lions is their special teams defense, which has given up 4 TDs in their past 3 games. Tonight they will facing the NFL's all time leader in punt returns in Devin Hester and that could lead to some quick points. Take note that the OVER is 5-1-1 in the Lions last 7 games overall, 4-1-1 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record, 37-14-2 in their last 53 road games overall, and 20-6 in their last 26 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The OVER is 6-2 in the Bears last 8 home games, and 9-4 in their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The OVER is also 5-2 in these two teams last 7 meetings overall, and 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Chicago. Tonight we have two high powered offenses and a Lions defense that gives up a lot of points. Their meeting last year in Chicago finished with 50 points and I think we see another high scoring game tonight. Take the OVER.
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Week 8 Plays sent earlier today:
2 UNIT = Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans - TITANS -3 (-123) (Note: I'm risking 2.46 units to win 2.00 units)
2 UNIT = San Diego Chargers @ Cleveland Browns - CHARGERS -2.5 (-118) (Note: I'm risking 2.36 units to win 2.00 units)
Platinum Plays. 500K NFC Lock/Month the Chicago Bears -6½ over the Detroit Lions Best Bets the St Louis Cardinals w/Lohse +130 over the San Francisco Giants the St Louis/San Francisco Game UNDER the Total Of 7 Runs
St Louis/ San Fran Under 7: The Cards are really having a hard time scoring right now, putting up just 2.6 rpg in their last 5 games, while scoring just 1 run in the last 2 games of this series. Matt Cain has struggled in the post season, but he has pitched well at home this year with a 2.18 ERA, while seeing just 6.3 rpg scored in his home starts. Kyle Lohse has pitched well in the post season, allowing just 1 ER in both of his starts. He also has allowed just 1 ER in each of his last 2 starts vs the Giants. The Giants have been scoring some runs of late, but still they average just 3.8 rpg at home and I see them having problems scoring off of Lohse tonight. I look for 5 runs at most in this one.
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