11-1-12

[DaKid]

Al demarco
10.dimer
Okc

[DaKid]

Kelso's

Thursday, November 01, 2012


College Football

10 Units


MiamiFlorida (+1½) over Virginia Tech

7:30 PM -- Sun Life Stadium
MIAMI (4-4) +1 ½ over Virginia Tech (4-4)
Prediction: Miami by 6-7
Played in Miami Gardens, Florida
Played at Sun Life Stadium (74,916) Grass
Weather: Partly cloudy, 20% chance of rain, game-time temperatures in high 50s, relative humidity of 68%, with no appreciable wind.

Comments: There is little doubt in my mind Miami is the better team in this ACC contest and my figures say the Hurricanes should be favored by 3-4 points. Thus, we have a big edge going in, getting points while still grading out as the straight up winner. Miami has played well this season, except against the best, losing at Kansas State (8-0), 52-13, at Notre Dame (8-0), 41-3, and at home to Florida State (7-1), 33-20, in its last game. That said, this is not a typical Virginia Tech team with a solid ball-control offense and a lockdown defense and it has shown in losses to Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, North Carolina and Clemson. Virginia Tech will come to play but the edges belong mostly to Miami in this one and the Hurricanes should grind out the win.
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.


NFL


25 Units


Chargers (-7½) over Chiefs

8:20 PM -- Qualcomm Stadium

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (3-4) -7.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (1-6)
Prediction: Chargers by 17-21
Played in San Diego
Played at Qualcomm Stadium (71,500) Grass
Weather: Partly Cloudy, with game-time temperatures in high 50s, relative humidity 80%, and with no appreciable wind.
Starting Time: 8:25
TV: NFL Network

Comments: Neither of these teams inspires confidence but it is not even debatable San Diego has all the edges in this one. The Kansas City Chiefs are amazingly awful as the only NFL team without a quarterback, without a center, without a coach and without hope. Kansas City heads into Thursday night’s game with the San Diego Chargers as the only team since 1940 to play their first seven games without ever having a lead. As for having no quarterback, the performances, or lack thereof, of both Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn speak to that. As for the center issue, Kansas City has turned the ball over 25 times and four of those came on bad snaps. If this game involved any team other than San Diego I would have made this a 100-unit play but, with the Chargers, there is always the threat of an upset. Still San Diego should dominate from start to finish.

[DaKid]

Glenn Andrew
-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Nov 01 '12
7:30p Virginia Tech vs Miami (Fla)
Take: Miami (Fla) +2-110 in 4h
The 'Canes have endured an insanely tough schedule
of late, and are far better than their 4-4 record indicates. Losing to Notre
Dame, UNC and Florida St is something that a lot of teams have done this season.
Virginia Tech is also struggling this year, but that's due to their lack of
cohesiveness on both sides of the ball. Take Miami as they pull out the outright
win at home Thursday night!


-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Nov 01 '12
7:30p Virginia Tech vs Miami (Fla)
Take: Total 57½ ov-105 in 4h
Take the over 57.5!


-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA Nov 01 '12
9:35p Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
Take: San Antonio
Spurs -2-110 in 6h
Take San Antonio -2!


-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NBA Nov 01 '12
9:35p Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
Take: Total 203
un-110 in 6h
Take the under 203!


-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 01 '12
8:25p Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers
Take: San Diego
Chargers -7½-110 in 5h
With the exception of last week against Cleveland,
all of the Chargers losses have come at the hands of an elite quarterback. It's
not that they're not scoring enough, although Rivers is under-manned in terms of
offensive weapons to utilize, but their defense is one of the worst in the
league against the pass. Fortunately, they draw a Chiefs squad that has little
to no passing game at all, and solely rely on Jamaal Charles to carry the load.
San Diego's "D" may be underperforming, but they are a proud bunch and will hold
the Chiefs in check Thursday night. Lay the points as the Chargers cruise to
another easy win over KC at home!


-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NFL Nov 01 '12
8:25p Kansas City Chiefs vs San Diego Chargers
Take: Total 42
un-115 in 5h
Points will be hard to come by this time around for
these two teams. Six turnovers and numerous bad plays on defense led to a 37-20
score the first time these teams met up, but with each team struggling to get a
win since that game, we can expect a much stronger performance from both
defenses. Take the under as this one becomes a battle of field position!

[DaKid]

Chip Chirimbes

Miami

[DaKid]

JR ODonnell | CFBSide - Thursday, Nov 1 2012 7:30PM
306 Miami 1.5(-110) Bookmaker.com vs 305 Virginia Tech triple-dime bet


Analysis: Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 PM EST tonight as the Hokies of Virginia Tech (4-4 & 2-6 ATS) visit the Miami Hurricanes (4-4 & 5-3 ATS) in the Sunshine State. This was a Tech team that entered the season with a top "20" ranking, and has fallen from grace with "4" losses, three of which have come on the road. VT Coach Frank Beamer does have a glowing 19-5 record on Thursday night, but he has also lost his last "6" away from Blacksburg, and this is not his typical VT team. They are led by QB Logan Thomas (133/248 53.6% comp, 1910 yds with "13" TD & "10" INT) who hasn't been having the year they hoped. He has been truly a Dr. Jeckyl - Mr. Hyde performer. Tech has lost to a very average PITT (road), Cincinnati, @ a resurging North Carolina (road) and at #10 ranked Clemson (road). Miami on the other hand is trying to return to the "U" of old under second year coach Al Golden. They have a far more balance attack than VT with better rushing and passing, but their rush defense ranks # 118 of 120! Still this is not your typical VT Bud Foster defense either. A very important point is that the "4" Miami losses has been to the following foes: #4 Kansas State, #4 Notre Dame, #9 Florida State and the aforementioned North Carolina. This one will be close, but we like the home team vs. the Hokies who don't like to leave Blacksburg.
TAKE MIAMI +1.5 THE "U" WILL WIN OUTRIGHT

JR ODonnell | NFLSide - Thursday, Nov 1 2012 8:25PM
302 SDC -8.0(-110) Bookmaker.com vs 301 KAN triple-dime bet


Analysis:


At 8:20 PM EST Thursday, the Kansas City Chiefs (1-6 & 2-5 ATS) limp into San Diego to face the Chargers (3-4 & 3-4 ATS), and neither team has much good going on! This is truly one of those games that will have people looking to see what Pay Per View movie is available. Chiefs will start Matt Cassil (123/206 59/7% comp 1368 yards + 6 TD & 10 INT), who began the year as the starter, but lost it to Brady Quinn who is out with a concussion for this week at least. As you can see Cassil has connected with the other team wi th regularity and would be wise to utilize the legs of RB Jamal Charles (120/595 5yds/c) as much as possible. Unfortunately we see SD filling the box and forcing KC to throw the football. San Diego on the other hand is led by once record breaking Phillip Rivers who has struggled this year with 157/243 (62.3% comp), 1646 yards, "10" TD, but also "9" INT! SD, finally it appears has settled with Ryan Matthews (82/354 yds & 4.3 yds/c) and will no longer share the running duties. Defensive edge goes to the Chargers who are #2 (80 yds/g) against the run, and the total offensive edge goes to the Chiefs who are #3 in rushing the football. Can you say 8-9 in the box? Lastly, the Chiefs have averaged 3.5 turnovers per game and are 2-5 ATS in their last "7". It just gets down to San Diego's front seven vs. Jamal Charles and we like the Chargers here who are 17-8 SU in their last "25" at home.


TAKE SAN DIEGO -8

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard CFB (MAC Thursday)

Eastern Mich +17
Double-Dime

[Mr. IWS]

Al Demarco

10 Dime Thunder

[Mr. IWS]

From Platinum Plays.
PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Kansas City Chiefs +7½ over
the San Diego Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

From Platinum Plays.
500K ESPN Lock/Month
the Virginai Tech Hokies -1½ over
the Miami-Fla Hurricanes
Best Bets

the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders +9 over
the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
the Virginia Tech/Miami-Fla Game OVER
the otal Of 58 Points
the Middle Tennessee St/Western Kentucky Game OVER
the Total Of 54 Points
the Kansas City/San Diego Game UNDER
the Total Of 42½ Points

[Mr. IWS]

Totals 4 You Selections for Thursday, November 1st

2012 Thursday Night AFC Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Kansas City/San Diego over 41 1/2

College Best Bets
Eastern Michigan/Ohio over 57 1/2
Virginia Tech/Miami-Florida over 58
Middle Tennessee/Western Kentucky over 54

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard CFB (MAC Thursday)

Eastern Mich +17
Double-Dime

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers

In a rematch from Week 4, the San Diego Chargers (3-4, 3-4 ATS) hope to repeat that 37-20 victory when they again take on the Kansas City Chiefs (1-6, 2-5 ATS) on Thursday night, this time from Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, CA at 8:20 ET on NFL Network. Unfortunately the Chargers have not won a game since then and quarterback Philip Rivers has regressed badly in recent weeks.

The Chargers have lost three straight games since that win in Kansas City, first handing the New Orleans Saints their first win of the season, the blowing a 24-0 halftime lead vs. the Denver Broncos by getting outscored 35-0 in the second half, and then losing 7-6 to the lowly Cleveland Browns in their worst game yet last week, accumulating only 265 total yards. Rivers has gotten progressively worse as of late, and he completed 18-of-34 passes for only 154 yards vs. a Cleveland team that ranks only 25th in passing defense. Also, despite allowing only seven points against the Browns, San Diego has trouble stopping the run, allowing 133 rushing yards. That does not bode well for the Chargers on Thursday night, as for all of Kansas City's faults, one thing that the Chiefs do have is one of the best running backs in the NFL in Jamaal Charles, who was underutilized last week but can take advantage of a struggling San Diego run defense.

Yes the Chiefs are 1-6 and they have rarely even been competitive, covering the spread in only one of their losses, but there actually is some hope for them here. For some God forsaken reason, Charles ran the ball only five times in a 26-16 home loss to the Oakland Raiders last week, but you can bet that Kansas City will feed him the ball more often this week knowing that he gives the team the best shot at springing an upset. Charles ranks seventh in the NFL with his 595 rushing yards, and he is averaging an impressive 5.0 yards per carry vs. defenses mostly primed to stop him with the Chiefs having so few other options. Then again, that could be the reason that Kansas City tried to diversify the offense a bit last week, but given the disastrous results and also how bad the San Diego defense looked against the run in Cleveland, the Chiefs will probably return to leaning heavily on Charles here. After all, Kansas City does not want to get embarrassed in front of a national television audience. Also noteworthy is that Matt Cassel is back as the starting quarterback this week, making his first start since getting knocked out with a concussion by the Baltimore Ravens in Week 5. Cassel may be underwhelmingly mediocre, but believe it or not he is a refreshing upgrade over his awful fill-in Brady Quinn. Cassel came off the bench to replace the ineffective Quinn (2-of-4 for one yard and one interception) last week vs. the Raiders and passed for 218 yards in a little less than three quarters.

When the Chargers go bad, they often stay bad, going 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. The Chargers are also only 1-2 straight up here at home this year and Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games vs. teams with losing home records.
Pick: OVER 41.5

[Mr. IWS]

Brian Edwards's Pick Pack

NCAA Football Thursday Picks

Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Virginia Tech at Miami (FL)
Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: Virginia Tech (-2 -105)
Line Source: PinnacleSports
Posted on: October 29, 2012 @ 9:30:56 PM EDT

Although Va. Tech has struggled mightily on the road, losing all four games, it's not as if Miami has been incredible at home. In fact, the Hurricanes have been out-yarded in total offense in five of their seven games. They have lost three in a row, including their last two at home to North Carolina and FSU. I made the Hokies six-point favorites. I think Logan Thomas lead Frank Beamer's team to victory.

[Mr. IWS]

OC DOOLEY

“1 UNIT” COLLEGE FOOTBALL LINETRACKER (Eastern Michigan +15 at Ohio University in a 6:05 eastern kickoff televised on ESPNU cable): One would think that the line of tonight’s game would explode in favor of the home team who up until this past Saturday were undefeated in conference play. Ohio University leads the entire nation committing only 3 turnovers, while kicker Matt Weller is ranked #3 nationally in field goal percentage and connected from 56 yards out last weekend. The Bobcats offense as a whole are averaging a healthy 34 points per contest and are going up against an opponent this evening whose defense is permitting on average more than 300 yards on the ground which is fourth-worst among Division I-A entrants. It has already been a long season for Eastern Michigan who has committed 17 turnovers and are putting up on average just 22 points per contest, while actually getting shutout FIVE different times in the opening quarter. Despite all the negatives,like F B Z copy and pasting from CM, tonight’s line has actually dropped from an opening offshore figure of 16-and-a-half points which speaks volumes. One of the reasons is that Ohio University has had problems where it counts having FAILED to cover the spread in 4 consecutive outings and they are also ranked way down at #106 nationally in third-down efficiency. Last Saturday on the road Eastern Michigan suffered an ugly 24-3 loss, but they actually have COVERED the spread at a recent 9-1 clip on the ROAD after a game where the offense was held to single-digits. When off a blowout loss of at least 21 points in margin, Eastern Michigan is an equally spectacular 14-3 ATS/ROAD. To put this pick in proper perspective Eastern Michig an has faced the “second toughest” schedule in their conference and 39th nationally. A year ago Eastern Michigan actually finished with a .500 record which included three November losses of less than a touchdown. Tonight we have a veteran underdog that returned four offensive line starters and three different 500-yard rushers from last year’s squad that was Eastern Michigan’s most successful since 1995

[Mr. IWS]

Wise guy
Over ohio