11-3-12

[poopoo333]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.


Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[poopoo333]

THE GOLDSHEET

MIAMI 111 - Denver 98—Miami lost focus at times last season, but doubt this
is going to be one of those occasions vs. a Denver squad that humbled Heat by
13 at Pepsi Center last term. Assuming that prompts proper intensity from the
champs, enormous pressure will be put upon the Nugget defense, which often
struggles anyway. Heat proved pretty reliable as intermediate-range home chalk
last season (10-5 laying single digits at AA Arena), with concentration more likely
to wane vs. lesser foes. Unfortunately for higher-profile Denver, that doesn’t
apply.

DALLAS 100 - Charlotte 93—Has Charlotte really improved since last
season? And can Dallas handle a hefty impost like this without Dirk Nowitzki?
Remember, even with Big Dirk pouring in 27 points last season, Mavs couldn’t
get over pointspread hump at home vs. a 7-59 Bobcats entry, struggling to win
by 5. Sources suggesting Charlotte (despite 1-7 preseason) might not be as bad
this season, with some real NBA players (Ben Gordon, Ramon Sessions,
Brendan Haywood), plus a ballyhooed rookie (Kentucky’s Michael Kidd-
Gilchrist) now in the mix.

Alabama 30 - LSU 10—Sure, LSU in big revenge mode following
embarrassing 21-0 whitewash in LY’s BCS title game. But, since Tiger QB
Mettenberger (only 1 TD pass over 40 yds; lowly 12th in SEC in pass efficiency)
hasn’t provided required aerial component to “stretch” ferocious Bama (leads
nation in pass, run, total and scoring defense!), must endorse opportunistic
Tide (+17 TO margin), which has won 14 straight by 19 pts. or more. Bama’s uberefficient
QB A.J. McCarron (69%, 18 TDs, no ints.) attracts more deserved
Heisman talk after facing LSU secondary missing the “Honey Badger.”



KANSAS ST. 36 - Oklahoma St. 16—With impressive victories over
Oklahoma, West Virginia, and Texas Tech, is there any team that has
demonstrated so well TY its ability to counter spread passing offenses? With
run/pass maestro Collin Klein (16 TDR, 12 TDP) and a takeaway defense (+15
in TOs), the Wildcats have outscored their foes 118-42 in the fourth Q. OSU’s
pocket-passing true frosh Wes Lunt making only his second road start.

Oregon 45 - SOUTHERN CAL 27—With somewhat undisciplined USC
continuing to be plagued by mistakes (5 TOs,13 penalties vs. Arizona), must
support revenge-minded Oregon, able to again rest starters last week in 2nd H of
70-14 trouncing vs. Colorado. Depth-shy Trojan defense, which was unable to
cope with Cats’ well-designed spread option, has even greater worries vs.
Ducks’ warp speed attack (53 ppg), featuring blazing RB Kenjon Barner (974
YR, 14 TDs). Chip Kelly’s national contenders capture nation-leading 13th
straight road win. TV—ABC

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JACK CLAYTON

This is a complete mismatch where situations, matchups and motivation come into play.
Oddsmakers aren't paying attention, but Jack Clayton is.

2012 College Game of the Year: Penn State
Don't read too much into Penn State getting beat by undefeated Ohio State Saturday. This is a very good Nittany Lion squad under an outstanding young coach in Bill O'Brien. He was the Patriots offensive coordinator the last two years under Bill Belichick and did a masterful job, and has completely revamped the Penn State offense, one averaging 266 yards passing and 134 rushing, along with 28 ppg. QB Matt McGloin's amazing improvement is the biggest reason Penn State (5-3) was on a five-game winning streak before last week. McGloin wasn't even remotely competent in '11, although he did start in Penn State's post-Paterno win at Ohio State. He is the best quarterback in the Big Ten Conference this season. What coach Bill O'Brien and quarterbacks coach Charlie Fisher have done with McGloin is phenomenal, starting with 14 touchdowns with just two interceptions. He has run for a team-high five touchdowns. Lost in the focus on the offense is the Penn State defense, which is as good as ever allowing 18 ppg (20th in the nation). They take on a lifeless Purdue team playing no defense while losing 4 in a row. Danny Hope has a 19-26 record in four seasons after Purdue after replacing Joe Tiller, Purdue is 3-5 and 0-4 in the Big Ten after Hope said earlier this year this is his most talented team in four years at Purdue. The defense has allowed 44, 38, 29 and 44 points the last four games and Penn State will chew them up. Play Penn State.

[poopoo333]

PREDICTION MACHINE

SIDES

414 4:00 PM @ UL-MON UL-LAF -10 - 18.7 - 60.4% PP

316 2:00 PM @ KENT ST. AKRON -19.5 - 27.4 - 58.6% PP

343 4:30 PM COLO ST. @ WYO +8 - -0.2 - 57.8% PP

317 12:00 PM VANDY @ KTY -7 - 11.4 - 57.8% PP

407 3:30 PM FIU @ USA -3.5 - 9.6 - 57.8%

323 3:30 PM BC @ WAKE +3.5 - 5.1 - 57.6%

348 10:30 PM @ ORE ST. ARIST -4.5 - 11.1 - 57.6%

382 12:00 PM @ MINN MICH +12.5 - -7.6 - 57.4%

375 3:00 PM WASH ST. @ UTAH +12 - -6.3 - 57.3%

365 7:00 PM UCONN @ SOFLA +8.5 - -2.4 - 57.3%

328 3:30 PM @ IND IOWA -1.5 - 6.8 - 57.2%

322 12:00 PM @ LOU TEMPLE -15 - 20.0 - 57.2%

TOTALS

342 8:00 PM ALA @ LSU42 - 36.6 Under - 60.4%

336 12:30 PM NM ST. @ AUBURN50.5 - 57.0 Over - 58.9%

304 6:00 PM EAST MI @ OHIO57 - 64.7 Over - 58.4%

316 2:00 PM AKRON @ KENT ST. 58 - 65.4 Over - 58.3%

314 12:00 PM AF @ ARMY 61.5 - 73.0 Over - 58.2%

350 12:00 PM MIZZOU @ FLA42.5 - 38.2 Under - 58.1%

312 3:30 PM PSU @ PURDUE51.5 - 45.7 Under - 57.8%

388 12:00 PM TEX A&M @ MISS ST.59 - 65.3 Over - 57.8%

372 3:30 PM MISS @ UGA63 - 56.6 Under - 57.6%

384 8:00 PM OK ST. @ KAN ST.66 - 75.2 Over - 57.3%

400 10:30 PM ARI @ UCLA 71 - 81.6 Over - 57.3%

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Northcoast Big Dogs

ULL +10.5

Army +7.5

Kentucky +7.5

Duke +13.5

LSU +9.5

Colorado St. +8.5

Washington St. +12

Oklahoma St. +10

Texas +8

Mississippi St. +7

Kansas +17

Akron +20

Minnesota +12.5

Virginia +10

USC +8

Maryland +8

Mississippi +17

[poopoo333]

Jimmy Boyd
5* (NCAAF) Cincinnati -4
4* (NCAAF) Oklahoma -11
4* (NCAAF) Nebraska -2
3* (NCAAF) NC State -9.5
3* (NCAAF) West Virginia -6.5

[poopoo333]

DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS - NCAA - Saturday, November 3rd

FRANKEN-HYDRA (8 UNITS)
OREGON -8 at usc (4pm)

TOP (3 UNITS)
TEXAS A&M -7 at mississippi state (9am)
MISSISSIPPI +14 at georgia (12:30pm)
KANSAS STATE -9.5 vs oklahoma state (5pm)
ALABAMA / LSU UNDER 41.5 (5pm)

[poopoo333]

SEC TRIPLE (3*) GOM - ALL-ACCESS Dave Essler


Dave Essler | CFB Side Sat, 11/03/12 - 12:00 PM
triple-dime bet 318 Kentucky 7.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 317 Vanderbilt

Dave Essler | CFB Side Sat, 11/03/12 - 5:00 PM
double-dime bet 412 North Texas 6.0 (-110) SportsInteraction vs 411 Arkansas St.

Dave Essler | CFB Side Sat, 11/03/12 - 12:00 PM
double-dime bet 373 Syracuse 4.5 (-110) BetOnline vs 374 Cincinnati

[poopoo333]

WAC Game of the Month Bryan Leonard

Bryan Leonard | CFB Side Sat, 11/03/12 - 3:00 PM
double-dime bet 339 Texas State 26.0 (-110) Justbet vs 340 Utah St.
Analysis: 339 Texas State at Utah State
The Bobcats should be the much fresher team here already having two bye weeks while the Aggies are playing for the tenth straight week. Other than a 58-10 blowout loss to Texas Tech after their presumed huge upset over Houston in opening week, this team has been competitive in every game. Texas State won't dazzle you offensively but they are good enough defensively to keep this game well within point spread range.
Utah State has been a big story in co„llege football this year dating back to the big in-state upset of Utah on national television in week two. Since that time they took Wisconsin and BYU to the wire and blew out just about everyone on their schedule. Last week they beat up on Texas San Antonio 48-17. But now playing their tenth straight week, with the bye finally arriving next week, and with the huge match-up with Louisiana Tech on November 17th, this could be a major flat spot for the Aggies. We are getting a team that has to be a bit overconfident right now off three straight 40+ offensive performances, now playing a new entrant to the conference that they are unfamiliar with. We expect this Bobcats team to be completely overlooked on Saturday.

[poopoo333]

BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH Johnny Detroit

Johnny Detroit | CFB Side Sat, 11/03/12 - 3:30 PM
triple-dime bet 352 Michigan St. 1.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 351 Nebraska
Analysis: BIG 10 GAME OF THE MONTH


The wrong team is favored in this one. The line before the season started projected the Spartans to be favored by -5 on Saturday. Granted that line was before the season, but our number has Nebraska a +3.5 underdog in this one.


Michigan State has had a disappointing season, but played the defense everyone was expecting last week as they held Wisconsin to ONLY 190 total yards. The Spartans have revenge on their mind as Nebraska handed them their ass last season 24-3. Before playing their game last season, Sparty was off games vs. Michigan and Wisconsin and were in a monster letdown spot, so do not over-read into the beat-down last year. The Huskers are now the ones in a huge letdown spot after getting their revenge on Michigan last week and now go play a Spartans team that is looking to salvage the season.


Johnny Detroit | CFB Side Sat, 11/03/12 - 7:00 PM
dime bet 394 Southern Cal 8.5 (-110) 5dimes vs 393 Oregon
Analysis: Oregon ROLLED over Colorado 70-14 last week behind 617 yards of total offense. How potent is the Oregon running game? Saturday was the 6th time in 5 years they have ran for 400 yards or more. The entire Pac 12 COMBINED has only done that THREE TIMES in the same time frame. USC on the flip side was upset by Arizona 39-36 in a game the Trojans were favored by -6.5.


Talk about a major letdown for USC this season. When college football lines were first posted in Las Vegas, the Trojans were -6.0 over Oregon and now sit at +8.5 underdogs. We do believe Oregon should be favored this Saturday, but not by no 8.5 points. Yes, the scoreboard shows an Arizona win, but USC played a VERY SLOPPY game and turned the ball over five times. In the loss, Matt Barkley threw for 494 yards in the air and the offense overall put up 618.


This is just the third time in 10 years the Trojans are in the home underdog role and we expect them to leave EVERYTHING on the field in this game. Oregon has been putting up sick numbers, but also have been playing powerhouse teams like Colorado, Washington State and Arkansas State. The deep talent on the Oregon squad will prevail at the end, but that means nothing to us if they fail to cover. This game goes down to the wire and getting +8.5 with USC is the correct side in this one.

[poopoo333]

Goodfella - "TWO" CFB (3*) TRIPLES w/PAC-12 GOM

GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 11/03/12 - 7:00 PM
triple-dime bet 393 Oregon -0.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 394 Southern Cal
Analysis:
**{Rare CFB Teaser}} (3*) 7 pt Paid Teaser Play (-130)


#393 OREGON DUCKS -0.5 to¹ #384 KANSAS ST -1.5


I was going to UNLOAD on OREGON over USC if I could get -2.5 but due to USC blowing it and losing at Arizona on Saturday, we have lost the line value on Oregon and with the line now -7.5, I have teased them down to -0.5. They very well may cover the -7.5 but I simply love this teaser coupled with a very strong Kansas St. team down to -1.5.






GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 11/03/12 - 10:30 PM
triple-dime bet 400 UCLA -3.0 (-110) SportsInteraction vs 399 Arizona
Analysis:
"PAC-12 GOM" 3* o·n UCLA -3

[poopoo333]

CKO
11...Michigan State

10...Wake Forest
10...Arizona State
10...Mississippi State

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StatFox Super Situations - FoxSheets.com

CFB TEXAS ST at UTAH ST

Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (UTAH ST) dominant team - outscoring opponents by 17 or more points/game, after scoring 37 points or more in 3 straight games.
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% 26.2 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% -1.2 units )

CFB NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN ST

Play On - A road team vs. the money line (NEBRASKA) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%)
21-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.4% 0.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% 0.0 units )

CFB MASSACHUSETTS at N ILLINOIS

Play Over - Any team vs the 1rst half total dominant team outrushing opponents by 80+ YPG against a poor team who is outrushed by 80+ YPG
89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% 39.5 units )
15-12 this year. ( 55.6% 1.8 units )

[poopoo333]

WUNDERDOG
CFB 47-42 Last 89 picks +$690
Game: New Mexico State at Auburn (Saturday 11/03 12:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Auburn -22.5 (-110)

It wasn't too long ago that Cam Newton was leading the Auburn Tigers to a National Championship. It has been a big comedown for Coach Gene Chezik since then as Auburn owns just a single win on the season. They will likely be taking those frustrations out on a very poor New Mexico State team here. The Aggies have yet to beat an FBS team this season, losing seven straight. This team has now given up 40 or more points to nine of their last 13 opponents, and has not scored more than 18 in any of their last five. Do the math and you'll see that this big number stands a good chance to fall. All losses aren't created equal and six of the seven Auburn losses have occurred in the SEC where there are no easy games. The seventh loss was against Clemson. Auburn is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following a blowout loss by 21+ points. The last seven Aggies' road games have resulted in a 308-100 total deficit, or by just shy of 30 per game. I look for Auburn to take their frustrations out here and duplicate those numbers.

[poopoo333]

Info plays

7* san diego state aztecs +15