11-5-12

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

***TOP PLAY*** Boyd's 5* Monday NBA *BEST BET* (3-0 L3)!

Sacramento Kings -2

[DaKid]

5Lines

Total Line for 11/05/2012
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - New York Knicks : o184.5
Cost: -110
Run Line for 11/05/2012
(Won last game)
Today's Winning Team is:
NBA - Miami Heat : -13.5
Cost: -110

[DaKid]

oe Nelson

NFL Guaranteed Pick

Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Philadelphia at New Orleans
Time: 8:40 PM EDT (Mon)
Play: New Orleans (-2.5 -115)
Line Source: Bet Phoenix
Posted on: November 5, 2012 @ 11:44:13 AM EST


It has been an ugly season for the Saints but New Orleans has won two of the last three games including beating San Diego and Tampa Bay, two teams with respectable records. The 0-4 start can certainly be partially attributed to the off-season mess and the coaching carousel and the Saints may emerge as a play-on team the rest of the year. The defense has taken a lot of heat with league-worst numbers but new defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo runs a pretty complicated scheme and his players should be starting to figure things out at this point. Look for the defensive numbers to improve in the coming weeks as there are still good players on the roster. Facing an underachieving turnover prone Eagles offense could be a good formula for success as Philadelphia has not topped 24 points all season long. Facing constant criticism and speculation Andy Reid and Michael Vick are under great pressure this week but it has been a tough week in the Philadelphia area with the impact in the region from Hurricane Sandy. The losses for the Saints have all been close games with the exception of the Denver game, while the Eagles have been out-gained by 90+ yards in each of the last three games. Off the bye week Philadelphia played its worst game last week at home against Atlanta and with the struggles of the offensive line the running game and the short passing game have disappeared. New Orleans is still one of the most explosive offenses in the league and with Jimmy Graham closer to 100 percent the offense should have more big play opportunities even with Darren Sproles out of action. The Saints are 13-3 ATS in the last 16 home games and while two of those losses came this season they finally meet a team that is even more dysfunctional. New Orleans has out-scored Philadelphia by 10 points per game and while statistically the Eagles are much better on defense Philadelphia is still allowing over 22 points per game and trending in the wrong direction. It is a do-or-die game for both teams but the home team with the more reliable quarterback should have more opportunities and the NFL chalk weekend can continue into Monday.

[DaKid]

Stephen Nover

NFL Guaranteed Pick

Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: Philadelphia at New Orleans
Time: 8:40 PM EDT (Mon)
Play: Over (51.5 -110)
Line Source: BetGrande
Posted on: November 5, 2012 @ 11:33:07 AM EST

The Saints' season. Michael Vick's starting job. A lot is at stake in this matchup and these two desperate teams are going to attack with everything they have. The Eagles have dumbed-down their offense to try to limit Vick's turnovers. That's not the right approach because Vick is ineffective when playing tentative. The Eagles are going to turn Vick loose to see if they can indeed win with him and live with his reckless style. I see Vick coming up big - aided by going against a defense that is on pace to allow the most yards in a single season. The Saints can't rush the passer and ranked second to last in pass defense entering this week. Their run defense rates even worse - being last giving up 170.1 yards on the ground. New Orleans is giving up an average of five yards per carry. Only the Bills have given up more rushing touchdowns. LeSean McCoy is one of the top five running backs in football. So all the pressure isn't on Vick. The Saints won't be able to key just on Vick. While the Saints are giving up 30.9 points per game, they also are averaging 27.1 points and feature the No. 1 passing attack. Drew Brees is especially effective when playing inside the fast track of the Louisiana Superdome where he's thrown 29 touchdown passes in his last eight home games. The Saints, thanks to Brees, are averaging 37.7 points in these past eight home games. The Eagles switched defensive coordinators during their bye two weeks ago. They found last week that it's their players and not the scheme that is bad. The Falcons scored on their first six possessions against the Eagles last week. The Eagles don't generate much of a pass rush and their secondary is vastly overrated particularly Nnamdi Asomugha. The Eagles can't stop high-powered passing attacks, especially on the road on carpet. Don't be intimidated by this big total. It would be a surprise if either of these teams didn't put up at least 28 points.

[DaKid]

Kelso's


Monday, November 05, 2012

10 Units


Eagles (+3) over Saints

8:30 PM -- Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Philadelphia Eagles (3-4) +3 over NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (2-5) Prediction: Eagles by 6-7 Starting Time: 8:40 TV: ESPN Comments: What a mess these two teams are. The once-proud Saints have struggled all season to stay alive, victimized by the so-called bounty scandal that put them behind the eight-ball before they played their first game—and things have gone downhill from there. The Philadelphia Eagles began the season as one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl but then fell apart when they lost two starting offensive linemen, Pro-Bowl tackle Jason Peters and center Jason Kelee. And that brings us to tonight’s game that in reality is a tossup. The Eagles will try to do a better job of protecting quarterback Michael Vick (he has been sacked 20 times in seven games this season, compared with 23 times in 13 games last season) and exploit a Saints defense that can stop nobody and that has become the first NFL team in 60 years to give up more than 400 yards of offense in seven straight games. Heading into this game, New Orleans is giving up an NFL-worst 474.7 yards per game and are ranked 30th in points allowed at 30.9 per game. It also is an important factor New Orleans will be without game-breaking running back and return specialist Darren Sproles who is out with a hand injury. The bottom line says the Saints have many more problems than does Philadelphia and the figures point to a straight up Eagles win.
Game is being played inside a dome.


10 Units


Eagles/Saints OVER 52 Points

8:30 PM -- Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Philadelphia Eagles-NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Over 52 Points Prediction: 58 or more points will be scored Comments: Neither of these teams shows much interest in playing defense and the figures say the guy managing the scoreboard will be dizzy before the night is over.

Game is being played inside a dome.


5 Units


Side/Total Parlay

Eagles (+3) over Saints
Eagles/Saints OVER 52 Points

[DaKid]

T.Covers 10* NFL Monday Night O/U
Eagles-Saints OVER

[DaKid]

Wunderdog
Eagles+3

[DaKid]

Paul Leiner

100* Cavs / Clippers Over 195.5

50* Knicks / Sixers Over 185

[DaKid]

Info Plays

7* Sacramento Kings -2

[DaKid]

Trace Adams


Top-Rated
1000♦
Winner #19 of 29


New Orleans Saints -3

[DaKid]

MONDAY NIGHT NFL POWER PLAY! - spartan


spartan | NFL Side Mon, 11/05/12 - 8:40 PM
double-dime bet 440 NOS -3.0 (+100) Hilton vs 439 PHI
Analysis: First of all for all my clients who love those nice trends to help them pull the trigger. I usually oblige but I am not going to apply those trends to this game. I just think you almost have to throw this season out as far as the Saints and past trends. With all the bounty gate fiasco and with Peyton being sidelined for a year from coaching I just think it's silly to apply the past several years of Saints football to this one. Just wanted to get that out of the way. Now, as far as this football game itself what we have are two clubs de‘sperate for a victory here. I used to have a coach who loved to say to us, tonight we're going to see who wants it the most. Well, I think that is very much applicable here. I like Andy Reid, I've followed his career since he was an assistant here at Mizzou, but I am getting the feeling it's time for a fresh start in Philly. I don't care what anyone says that club quit last week against Atlanta. They showed little to no heart when the chips were down. I know, I've heard all about the closed door, players only meeting. That's pretty much was all desperate clubs do. Sometimes it provides a jolt for the first few series, sometimes not even that. It comes down to execution and playing hard nosed, solid football. I don't think the Eagles can sustain that for an entire game on the road. Of course on the flip side we're talking about them dealing with the Saints here who clearly have their own soap opera going. But I'll side with Drew Brees here over Vick any day of the week guys. I look for Brees to be back in his comfort zone back in the dome where he has had so many great games and frankly he should torch that Eagles defense all night if given sufficient time. And given that miserable Eagles pass rush I don't see that being an issue. Okay, you can clearly see where this one is going. Neither team will be playing past the regular season but for this one night the Saints will enable their loyal fans to depart the dome in a festive mood. I say we go Double Star on the New Orleans Saints laying the field goal. Many sincere thanks as always fellas and best of luck to us. Enjoy the game!!


EAGLES at SAINTS WINNING WAGER - Dwayne Bryant

Dwayne Bryant | NFL Side Mon, 11/05/12 - 8:40 PM
double-dime bet 439 PHI 3.0 (-120) Justbet vs 440 NOS
Analysis:


2 Units


PHILADELPHIA EAGLES +3 (-120)


We keep doing the same thing in these NFL games & it just keeps working. We're simply grabbing the points with the better defensive team. The Saints defense has been absolutely horrible this season. They couldn't even hold a lead against the lowly Chiefs in this building. The Saints are allowing a whopping 474.7 yards per game, 5 yards per rush, and a 109.1 QB rating. They simply can't stop anything.


Michael Vick called a players-only meeting a few days ago & I have to believe the Eagles "circle the wagons" tonight. This isn't a "must win" game for Philly, but it's not far from it. I‰ expect a solid game from Vick & shifty RB LeSean "Shady" McCoy. I'm calling it EAGLES 27, Saints 24.

[DaKid]

David Chan
NBA: brooklyn -6.5

NBA: under brooklyn 194

MNF: 1half eagles +2.5

MNF: eagles +3

MNF: under 52.5

[DaKid]

Redsuit
Eagles / Saints Over 52

[DaKid]

The Prez

Eagles / Saints Over

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Keith Glantz - Eagles