JEFF SCOTT SPORTS TOP PLAYS 3 UNIT PLAYS Charlotte/ Phoenix Over 192.5 5 POINT TEASER --- Dallas -1.5 & Lakers +8.5 2 UNIT PLAY Philadelphia/ New Orleans Under 181 Google News Play 1 UNIT PLAY Lakers +3.5 Over UTAH |
11-7-12
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DOCS
3-Unit Play #503 Take Washington/Boston UNDER 187 (7:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
These teams played Saturday, and the total wound up at 175, a full 12 points under this posted number. While we don't normally like to go with the same result when two teams play in consecutive games like this, we just think this total is way too high and we have to take a shot here. Teams normally make adjustments in these situations, but we expect a low-scoring game here once again and we had this line handicapped at 179 considering that the teams would make adjustments to put a few more points on the board. Let's start with the Wizards. They are dead last in the NBA for offense at 85 PPG. This team is trying to become an elite defensive team in the Eastern Conference. While they don't have the personnel to match the best defensive teams in the east, they really concentrated on protecting the basket during the offseason and they have played pretty good on that side of the ball to start the season. Boston has gotten off to their typical slow start, and after a 100+ point effort in their season opener in Miami they have not gotten out of the 80s in their last two games. That Miami game was played at a very fast pace but this one won't be. The Wizards know their only chance to win is to slow this game down. Also, there is a decent chance this one will be a blowout so Boston might be burning the clock in the fourth, which will help us with the under if the score is close to the bookies' number. Three of the last five meetings between these teams have gone under.
5-Unit NBA Game of the Week #526 Take LA Clippers +1.5 over San Antonio (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)
The Clippers come into this one having lost two straight. However, we predicted they would slump after playing two intense games to start the season. In their wins against Memphis and the Lakers, both at Staples Center, the Clippers played with playoff intensity against the team in played a tough 7-game series against last year in the Grizzlies and a Lakers team that is their main rival. They were bound to have a letdown against Golden State and Cleveland and they lost both of those games. Now they face the team that swept them in the second round of the playoffs last season. While we think revenge is a way overrated handicapping angle in the NBA. However, it does come into play in certain situations and we think this is one of them. The Clippers were embarrassed in that playoff series. They were real banged up after their physical series with Memphis and they faced a Spurs team that was on the top of its game, playing their best basketball of the season. Not to mention that this Spurs team is full of playoff vets and that the Clippers were entering their first foray into the playoffs with this roster. The Clippers got better in the offseason and now they have one of the deepest benches, if not THE deepest, in the NBA. While Blake Griffin is banged up the team is still healthier than they were in the playoffs last season when these teams met. Most of all the Clippers have shown this year that they can get up for big games. When there is ?playoff atmosphere? which the Clippers have dealt with twice already this season they have shown they can step up and play well. While we are not sure that this game can match the intensity of the Grizzlies and Lakers games, we think the Clippers will bring their A Game after two straight losses to inferior teams. We don't see this Clippers team having too many three-game losing streaks this season and we think they take care of business tonight at home.Comment
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Mike Hook; Utah Jazz -3 1 Unit Buried Treasure , Spurs -1.5 Triple Star, Denver +2.5 Triple Star, Ohio Bobcats ml -135 Triple StarIWS NBA tracker champ 2013 66-57 %54
IWS NBA tracker champ 2018 31-29 %52
IWS NBA tracker champ 2020 11-9 %55
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IWS Col FB tracker champ 2014 50-33 %60
IWS Col FB tracker champ 2016 55-45 %55
IWS Col FB tracker champ 2017 57-57 %50
IWS Col FB tracker champ 2020 18-9 %57
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IWS NFL contest champ 2015 33-19 %63
IWS NFL Tracker champ 2017 57-57 %50
IWS NFL Tracker champ 2019 30-22 %58
IWS NFL Tracker champ 2020 23-15 %61
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IWS Col BB tracker champ 2016 44-28 %61
IWS Col BB tracker champ 2017 35-20 %64
IWS Col BB tracker champ 2018 28-24 %54
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IWS NHL tracker champ 2016 13-11 +2.12u
IWS NHL tracker champ 2018 39-29 +9.2uComment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Bowling Green +119 over OHIO
Another featured mid-week MAC game sees the 6-3 Bowling Green Falcons traveling to Ohio to play the 8-1 Bobcats. Ohio’s best win this season came in the season’s opening week when they went into State College and beat the Nittany Lions in one of the most anticipated and emotional games in college football history. Since then, the Bobcats have played a simple schedule against New Mexico St., Marshall, Norfolk St., UMass, Buffalo, Akron, Miami (Ohio) and Eastern Michigan. Not one of those programs is above .500 with Eastern Michigan, Akron, UMass, and New Mexico being a combined 3-34. Norfolk State is an FCS team that is 3-7. There is a price to pay for playing one of the weakest schedules in that it does not prepare you well and it’s not like Ohio was blowing out these cupcakes. They beat Marshall by 3, UMass by 3, Buffalo by 7, Akron by 6 and lost to Miami (Ohio). This is the most overvalued 8-1 team in the country.
Bowling Green lost three of its first four games to then #23 Florida State, #25 Toledo and Virginia Tech. To give you an idea of how well regarded BGU was to oddsmakers, and rightfully so, they were just a 3½-point dog in Toledo. The Falcons rank 9th in the nation in points allowed. They have a strong leader in quarterback Matt Schilz and they have outstanding special teams. This is fourth-year Bowling Green boss Dave Clawson's best team yet and on the strength of a great effort by the best back seven in the MAC, the Falcons are not going to need the points here. BGU outright.
Our Pick Bowling Green +119 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.38)Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS
Late Pick of the Day
Magic/T-WOLVES under 194 -107
The Magic have scored 102, 115 and 93 points respectively in their first three games and that has their offensive capabilities overvalued here. Orlando's first two games at home were against Phoenix and Denver, two clubs that play a turbo-paced style with little attention to defense. That changed last night when Orlando went on the road for the first time and lost 99-93 at Chicago in which the Bulls shot nearly 50% from the floor and went to the stripe another 24 times.
It’s early but Minnesota ranks 21st in points per game with 95. They have played two offensive minded teams also in Brooklyn and Sacramento and in its other game, they played a hot-shooting Raptors club. Both these teams are strong on the boards and T-Wolves coach Rick Adelman is a long-time proponent of playing defense first. Of the six combined games that these two have played, five came against offensive minded clubs. Expect the pace to slow way down tonight with a Magic team that may struggle with scoring for most of the season. The marketplace has missed the target here..
Our Pick Magic/T-WOLVES under 194 -107 (Risking 2.14 units - To Win: 2.00)Comment
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Platinum Plays
500K MAC Shocker
the Bowling Green Falcons +2½ over
the Ohio Bobcats
Best Bets
the Utah Jazz -3 over
the LA Lakers
the New Orleans Hornets -1 over
the Philadelphia 76ers
the LA Clippers +1½ over
the San Antonio Spurs
the Dallas Mavericks -6 over
the Toronto Raptors
PLATINUM PLAYS PREMIER PICK
the Bowling Green/Ohio Game UNDER 48.5Comment
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